Arizona State at Kansas State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (7:00 PM EST)
Kansas State -7.5 (51.5) (-278)  Open: -7.0
Arizona State 24 - Kansas State: 14  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas State -3  (SP+ KSU -5)

Projected Score: ASU: 25 - KSU: 28 (53)
KSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 941 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (33 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1432.930.349.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31
KSU Defense1323.416.535.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1422.620.742.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
KSU Offense1330.83344%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01   Kansas State: 15.525

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4   Kansas State: 14.1




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 15.525  #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28  #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97  #18
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 28
Arizona State 25


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona State 27
Kansas State 27

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 27
Arizona State 26

Total Points: 53
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.5

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Kansas State14Arizona State24Kansas State -7.5Arizona State51.5Under
200212/27Arizona State27Kansas State34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State100 Overs
Arizona State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#12) ASU at (#25) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUKSU
Power RatePwr #12 #25
SP+SP+ #35 #18
Perf GradeGrade #76 #61
OffenseOff #40 #58
DefenseDef #98 #80
Spec TeamsST #86 #77
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #48
Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #80
SuccessSuc #8 #6
ExplosiveExp #100 #129
PPAPPA #13 #29
PowerPwr #7 #18
SP+SP+ #32 #25
Pts POPPO #48 #43
HavocHav #11 #50
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #7 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #4
Run ExplRExp #71 #83
PPAExp #12 #10
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #15
Stuff RateStuff #30 #12
TackleTak -  #77
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #19 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #32
Pass ExplPExl #43 #130
PPAExp #14 #72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #20 #114
F7 HavocF7 #18 #39
DB HavocDB #16 #68
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKSU OffASU Def
Perf GradePerf #58 #98
SuccessSuc #55 #79
ExplosiveExp #9 #55
PPAPPA #17 #36
PowerPwr #35 #43
SP+SP+ #29 #26
Pts POPPO #53 #51
HavocHav #21 #75
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffASU Def
Run GameRun #25 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #49
Run ExplRExp #10 #76
PPAExp #11 #27
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #61
Stuff RateStuff #79 #47
TackleTak -  #78
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKSU OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #106
Pass ExplPExl #31 #18
PPAExp #36 #57
Pass Block/RushP Blk #31 #134
F7 HavocF7 #29 #116
DB HavocDB #27 #21
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 12
Kansas State -7.5 (51.5)
Arizona State won at Kansas State this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Kansas State last year (24-14)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015

KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433