BYU at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview
BYU logo BYU Cougars at Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona State -3.5 (49.0) (-170)  Open: -1.0
Arizona State 28 - BYU: 23  (Big 12)

 
Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -2   (SP+ BYU -6)
Projected Score: BYU: 25 - ASU: 27 (53)
ASU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 472 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
BYU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 BYU vs Southern Illinois-31
Fri 9/6 BYU at SMU+12.555.5W 18 - 15UY
Sat 9/14 BYU at Wyoming-9.540.5W 34 - 14OY
Sat 9/21 BYU vs Kansas State+7.549.5W 38 - 9UY
Sat 9/28 BYU at Baylor+3.047.0W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 BYU vs Arizona-3.048.5W 41 - 19OY
Fri 10/18 BYU vs Oklahoma State-8.553.0W 38 - 35ON
Sat 10/26 BYU at UCF+2.553.5W 37 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 BYU at Utah-3.540.5W 22 - 21ON
Sat 11/16 BYU vs Kansas-3.055.5L 13 - 17UN
Sat 11/23 BYU at Arizona State+3.549.0L 23 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 BYU vs Houston-9.539.5W 30 - 18OY
Sat 12/28 BYU vs Colorado+3.055.5W 36 - 14UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#120 (.08)36% (125)31.237% (126)2.97 (94)10436% (115)2053.96 (61)#88 (.21)44% (97)19.644% (75)45% (117)3.59 (50)431.61.7
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)32.944% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)22.647% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1231.22835.9%3.961.6173101042053.545%54%37%36%21%.08
ASU Defense1222.622.346.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1219.621.744%3.591.7 - - - - - 49%50%44%45%15%.21
ASU Offense1232.933.837.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1228:1916.829%50%5.3431.61.74.20.9229.3
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1245% (101)37% (126)30104.33.515 (100).06 (115)2.97 (94)76% (49)12% (120)1.05 (42)
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1249% (57)44% (75) - - - - .19 (96)3.35 (114)66% (28)8% (124)1 (70)
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1254% (30)36% (115)18.333205.46.211.217 (85)9 (40).13 (118)1.7 (45)36% (128)23% (126).13 (123)8% (127)2.2 (29)
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1250% (75)45% (117) - - - - - - 14 (21).29 (81)1.5 (44)32% (56)37% (127).56 (131)7% (39)2 (43)
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80   Arizona State: 15.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3   Arizona State: 9.4




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 736.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 27
BYU 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Arizona State28BYU23Arizona StateArizona State -3.5Arizona State49.0Over
202109/18BYU27Arizona State17BYUArizona State -3.5BYU50.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State111 Overs
BYU111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#28) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.80 #28
Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21
Talent Rating: 624.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
BYU     Ratings Matchup     Arizona State
Power #28
#12
Off #63
#7
Def #42
#43
Talent #70
#46
SP+ #17
#35
SP+ Off #36
#32
SP+ Def #21
#26

Rematch from Week 13
Arizona State -3.5 (49.0)
Arizona State won vs BYU this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat BYU last year (28-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78°

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | ASU
Depth Chart: BYU | ASU
Rosters: BYU | ASU
(#12) Arizona State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 736.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Gerry Bohannon3475%27016.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Keelan Marion219624.618
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Keelan Marion24346114.452
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Harrison Taggart693143
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly (Tr)50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Logan Lutui134132
Harrison Taggart693143
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marque Collins (Tr)251018
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Mory Bamba170004

Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
Jeff Sims (Tr)2410114.212
Raleek Brown (Tr)94204.714
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629
Kyson Brown13189114.568
Malik McClain (Tr)285142.543

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Keyshaun Elliott (Tr)644221
Jordan Crook (Tr)574002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Prince Dorbah124331
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015