BYU at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona State -3.5 (49.0) (-170) Open: -1.0
Arizona State 28 - BYU: 23 (Big 12)

Cougars (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (61 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -2 (SP+ BYU -6)
Projected Score: BYU: 24 - ASU: 26 (49)
ASU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BYU Travel: 472 miles

Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	BYU vs Southern Illinois	-31
Fri 9/6	BYU at SMU	+12.5	55.5	W 18 - 15	U	Y
Sat 9/14	BYU at Wyoming	-9.5	40.5	W 34 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/21	BYU vs Kansas State	+7.5	49.5	W 38 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/28	BYU at Baylor	+3.0	47.0	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	BYU vs Arizona	-3.0	48.5	W 41 - 19	O	Y
Fri 10/18	BYU vs Oklahoma State	-8.5	53.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 10/26	BYU at UCF	+2.5	53.5	W 37 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	BYU at Utah	-3.5	40.5	W 22 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/16	BYU vs Kansas	-3.0	55.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/23	BYU at Arizona State	+3.5	49.0	L 23 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	BYU vs Houston	-9.5	39.5	W 30 - 18	O	Y
Sat 12/28	BYU vs Colorado	+3.0	55.5	W 36 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona State vs Wyoming	-6.5	47.0	W 48 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arizona State vs Mississippi State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Thu 9/12	Arizona State at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+4.5	58.5	L 22 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Arizona State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/11	Arizona State vs Utah	+6.0	46.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Arizona State at Cincinnati	+5.5	51.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Arizona State at Oklahoma State	-5.0	57.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Arizona State vs UCF	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Arizona State at Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona State vs BYU	-3.5	49.0	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Arizona State at Arizona	-7.5	52.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Arizona State vs Iowa State	+1.5	51.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Arizona State vs Texas	+13.5	52.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	#120 (.08)	36% (125)	31.4	37% (126)	2.97 (94)	104	36% (115)	205	3.96 (61)	#88 (.21)	44% (97)	19.1	44% (75)	45% (117)	3.59 (50)	43	1.6	1.7
ASU	#110 (.12)	38% (112)	25.8	44% (57)	3.14 (62)	111	34% (123)	210	3.28 (108)	#112 (.25)	47% (123)	24.5	47% (105)	47% (125)	3.99 (86)	51.8	1.7	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	12	31.4	27.5	35.9%	3.96	1.6	17	310	104	205	3.5	45%	54%	37%	36%	21%	.08
ASU Defense	12	24.5	21.4	46.5%	3.99	1	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	47%	47%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	12	19.1	21.8	44%	3.59	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	45%	15%	.21
ASU Offense	12	25.8	24.7	37.7%	3.28	1.7	19	322	111	210	3.6	43%	56%	44%	34%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	12	28:19	16.8	29%	50%	5.3	43	1.6	1.7	4.2	0.9	2	29.3
Arizona State	12	30:16	18.8	31%	47%	5.8	51.8	1.7	1	5.4	2.2	0	25.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	12	45% (101)	37% (126)	30	104.3	3.5	15 (100)	.06 (115)	2.97 (94)	76% (49)	12% (120)	1.05 (42)
ASU Defense	12	42% (5)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.2 (104)	3.53 (130)	72% (63)	10% (60)	0.99 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	12	49% (57)	44% (75)	-	-	-	-	.19 (96)	3.35 (114)	66% (28)	8% (124)	1 (70)
ASU Offense	12	43% (113)	44% (57)	31.2	111.2	3.6	17 (81)	.2 (42)	3.14 (62)	67% (107)	10% (73)	0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	12	54% (30)	36% (115)	18.3	33	205.4	6.2	11.2	17 (85)	9 (40)	.13 (118)	1.7 (45)	36% (128)	23% (126)	.13 (123)	8% (127)	2.2 (29)
ASU Defense	12	58% (129)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.3 (91)	1.4 (6)	30% (110)	33% (105)	.41 (109)	6% (67)	1.9 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	12	50% (75)	45% (117)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.29 (81)	1.5 (44)	32% (56)	37% (127)	.56 (131)	7% (39)	2 (43)
ASU Offense	12	56% (23)	34% (123)	20.3	36.7	210.3	5.7	10.4	8 (128)	14 (107)	.1 (124)	1.5 (95)	34% (111)	25% (113)	.23 (102)	8% (120)	2.1 (41)

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 10.80 #28
BYU's Offense Rating: 20.40 #63
BYU's Defense Rating: 6.88 #42
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
BYU's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
BYU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.3 #17
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #36
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: 10.80 Arizona State: 15.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 15.3 Arizona State: 9.4

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.8

BYU's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 26
BYU 24

Projected Total Points: 49

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Arizona State	28	BYU	23	Arizona State -3.5	Arizona State	49.0	Over
2021	09/18	BYU	27	Arizona State	17	Arizona State -3.5	BYU	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	1	1	1 Overs
BYU	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1

(#28) BYU at (#12) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BYU	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#28	#12
SP+SP+	#17	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#30	#76
OffenseOff	#52	#40
DefenseDef	#33	#98
Spec TeamsST	#29	#86
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#53

BYU Notes(11/23) 2 str L's, Rgame meh, 2 INTs in L to ASU
(11/18) Outplayed KU but lost, Retzlaff awful, Rgame avg
(11/10) B12 refs handed BYU W. Miracle team will end
(10/28) 7.8 ppg via TO's, near top of CFB thru 8 games
(10/19) Gutty W (Ok St). Rgame great. QB meh, had 3 TOs
(10/12) Killed AZ, forced 4 TOs. Rgame/Retzlaff good
(9/28) Run Def great vs Bay. Rgame better, 5-0
(9/26) New DC Jay Hill proving he can really coach
(9/23) Blitzed K St with TOs. Rgame bad, 3.4 ypc
(9/20) QB Retzlaff has been good but TO prone
(9/20) Def has been great, esp vs pass so far (#6)
(9/8) Great W, outgained SMU 336-261. Great Def
BYU Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

BYU on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#98
SuccessSuc	#125	#123
ExplosiveExp	#20	#30
PPAPPA	#120	#112
PowerPwr	#63	#43
SP+SP+	#36	#26
Pts POPPO	#61	#86
HavocHav	#127	#62

BYU Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#71	#81
Run SuccessRSuc	#126	#105
Run ExplRExp	#42	#65
PPAExp	#115	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#35	#129
TackleTak	-	#78

BYU Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	BYU Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	#115	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#6
PPAExp	#118	#91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#54	#134
F7 HavocF7	#120	#60
DB HavocDB	#127	#67

Arizona State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	BYU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#33
SuccessSuc	#112	#97
ExplosiveExp	#90	#53
PPAPPA	#110	#88
PowerPwr	#7	#42
SP+SP+	#32	#21
Pts POPPO	#108	#50
HavocHav	#101	#106

Arizona State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#7	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#75
Run ExplRExp	#71	#70
PPAExp	#42	#96
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#18	#102
TackleTak	-	#90

Arizona State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#66
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#117
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#44
PPAExp	#124	#81
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#70
F7 HavocF7	#73	#124
DB HavocDB	#120	#39

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

BYU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78°

Rematch from Week 13
Arizona State -3.5 (49.0)
Arizona State won vs BYU this year (28-23)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat BYU in 2024 (28-23)

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jake Retzlaff	211	367	58%	2896	19	12	7.9
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
LJ Martin	138	723	7	5.2	39
Jake Retzlaff	100	417	6	4.2	29
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Sione I Moa	23	127	3	5.5	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chase Roberts	50	803	3	16.1	62
Darius Lassiter	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keelan Marion	24	346	1	14.4	52
Jojo Phillips	10	211	2	21.1	57

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Harrison Taggart	69	3	1	4	3
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Tanner Wall	53	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Kelly (Tr)	50	10	5	13	1
Isaiah Glasker	70	15	4	2	4
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marque Collins (Tr)	25	1	0	1	8
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	110	443	5	4.0	40
Kyson Brown	73	351	2	4.8	38
DeCarlos Brooks	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	75	1101	10	14.7	59
Cameron Skattebo	45	605	3	13.4	66
Xavier Guillory	22	339	5	15.4	61
Chamon Metayer (Tr)	32	306	5	9.6	29

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Xavion Alford	85	0	0	1	5
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons	72	9	0	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah O'Neal	28	5	4	5	5
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)	10	5	3	1	0
Prince Dorbah	12	4	3	3	1
Clayton Smith	33	6	3	12	4

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	52	1	9
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	1	7
Xavion Alford	85	1	5