Iowa State at Utah - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -6.5 (42.5) (-258) Open: -9.0
Iowa State 31 - Utah: 28 (Big 12)

Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -3 (SP+ ISU -2.5)
Projected Score: ISU: 22 - UTAH: 19 (41)
ISU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ISU Travel: 946 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (23 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
UTAH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa State vs North Dakota	-30.5	51.5	W 21 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Iowa State at Iowa	+3.0	35.0	W 20 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Iowa State vs Arkansas State	-20.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Iowa State at Houston	-16.0	43.0	W 20 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Iowa State vs Baylor	-13.0	45.0	W 43 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Iowa State at West Virginia	-3.0	54.0	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa State vs UCF	-13.0	49.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	-13.5	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/9	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.5	L 36 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/16	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Iowa State at Utah	-6.5	42.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Iowa State vs Arizona State	-1.5	51.5	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/28	Iowa State vs Miami	+5.0	62.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Utah's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Utah vs Southern Utah	-37.5	55.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Utah vs Baylor	-14.5	52.5	W 23 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/14	Utah at Utah State	-20.5	43.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Utah at Oklahoma State	-1.0	53.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Utah vs Arizona	-7.5	47.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Utah at Arizona State	-6.0	46.5	L 19 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/19	Utah vs TCU	-3.0	52.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/26	Utah at Houston	-4.5	36.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Utah vs BYU	+3.5	40.5	L 21 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Utah at Colorado	+13.5	43.5	L 24 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	Utah vs Iowa State	+6.5	42.5	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Utah at UCF	+9.5	45.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)	31.1	40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)	22.9	46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)	23.6	38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)	20.7	37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
UTAH	#120 (.08)	37% (125)		38% (116)	2.73 (114)	130	35% (119)	199	3.4 (111)	#7 (.05)	35% (4)		37% (10)	34% (6)	3.13 (15)	46.3	1.8	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	14	31.1	24.8	40.4%	4.23	1.1	21	387	150	236	4.4	51%	49%	40%	41%	14%	.2
UTAH Defense	12	20.7	16.8	35.3%	3.13	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	37%	34%	20%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	14	22.9	15.8	42.6%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	46%	38%	15%	.18
UTAH Offense	12	23.6	23	36.7%	3.4	1.8	17	330	130	199	3.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	19%	.08

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	14	30:00	20.9	42%	81%	3.6	25.9	1.1	1.5	4.7	1.1	1	30
Utah	12	32:06	16.6	33%	45%	5.4	46.3	1.8	1.5	6.4	1.9	4	30.7

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	14	51% (68)	40% (106)	34.4	150.2	4.4	24 (45)	.12 (74)	2.83 (102)	70% (88)	8% (22)	1.1 (19)
UTAH Defense	12	48% (41)	37% (10)	-	-	-	-	.04 (25)	2.53 (9)	64% (22)	12% (34)	1.07 (105)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	14	55% (114)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.22 (114)	3.05 (76)	76% (81)	9% (85)	1.08 (112)
UTAH Offense	12	49% (76)	38% (116)	33.6	130.4	3.9	7 (131)	(123)	2.73 (114)	66% (113)	12% (117)	0.88 (111)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	14	49% (67)	41% (77)	18.3	31.1	236.4	7.6	12.9	22 (46)	10 (63)	.29 (49)	1.7 (27)	30% (52)	35% (29)	.39 (41)	7% (94)	2 (70)
UTAH Defense	12	51% (92)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.09 (15)	1.6 (74)	37% (4)	25% (8)	.09 (1)	8% (4)	2 (59)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	14	45% (21)	38% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.17 (36)	1.6 (73)	32% (63)	32% (86)	.32 (78)	5% (86)	2 (48)
UTAH Offense	12	51% (58)	35% (119)	16.6	29.8	199.4	6.7	12	20 (58)	17 (127)	.16 (106)	1.7 (23)	36% (127)	24% (127)	.2 (110)	7% (107)	2.2 (22)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07 Utah: 8.035

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3 Utah: 7.7

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 8.035 #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54 #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59 #8
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22 #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 22
Utah 19

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 19
Utah 15

Total Points: 34

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 23
Utah 21

Total Points: 44

Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 23
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/23	Utah	28	Iowa State	31	Iowa State -6.5	Utah	42.5	Over
2010	10/09	Iowa State	27	Utah	68

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Utah	1	1	1 Overs
Iowa State	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#23) ISU at (#48) UTAH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	UTAH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#23	#48
SP+SP+	#28	#40
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#77
OffenseOff	#81	#99
DefenseDef	#77	#51
Spec TeamsST	#73	#31
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#97	#25

Iowa State Notes(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report

Utah Notes(12/11) Signed QB Dampier (New Mexico '24)
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs
(10/14) QB Rising out for season, could have 8th yr?
Utah Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UTAH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#51
SuccessSuc	#99	#4
ExplosiveExp	#7	#104
PPAPPA	#62	#7
PowerPwr	#42	#8
SP+SP+	#44	#16
Pts POPPO	#37	#15
HavocHav	#40	#12

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UTAH Def
Run GameRun	#51	#50
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#10
Run ExplRExp	#19	#105
PPAExp	#74	#25
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#3
TackleTak	-	#129

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UTAH Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#77	#6
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#74
PPAExp	#49	#15
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#84
F7 HavocF7	#22	#34
DB HavocDB	#94	#4

Utah on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#99	#77
SuccessSuc	#125	#81
ExplosiveExp	#55	#83
PPAPPA	#120	#79
PowerPwr	#127	#37
SP+SP+	#96	#24
Pts POPPO	#111	#29
HavocHav	#120	#84

Utah Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#123	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#116	#101
Run ExplRExp	#111	#112
PPAExp	#123	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	#76
Stuff RateStuff	#123	#43
TackleTak	-	#114

Utah Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	UTAH Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#73
PPAExp	#106	#36
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#47	#129
F7 HavocF7	#117	#85
DB HavocDB	#107	#86

Program Comparison
UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice-Eccles Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 45° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Iowa State 6.5 (42.5)
Iowa State won at Utah this year (31-28)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Utah last year (31-28)

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	272	457	60%	3505	25	9	7.7
Connor Moberly	5	10	50%	49	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Hansen	151	752	13	5.0	57
Abu Sama III	124	587	2	4.7	77
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)	93	388	2	4.2	51
Rocco Becht	98	318	8	3.2	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Gabe Burkle	26	296	1	11.4	32
Benjamin Brahmer	10	179	1	17.9	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Kooper Ebel	69	6	1	1	0
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Kenard Snyder (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Domonique Orange	24	5	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

UTAH's OC Andy Ludwig (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Isaac Wilson	127	225	56%	1510	10	11	6.7
Cameron Rising	34	66	52%	555	7	3	8.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Micah Bernard	197	1009	4	5.1	64
Mike Mitchell	47	158	1	3.4	18
Dijon Stanley	20	66	0	3.3	14
Brandon Rose	11	66	0	6.0	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Brant Kuithe	35	505	6	14.4	71
Money Parks	21	294	3	14.0	71
Dijon Stanley	7	166	2	23.7	79

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Lander Barton	72	5	2	1	4
Tao Johnson	70	2	0	0	4
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5
Karene Reid	54	6	3	1	1
Logan Fano	35	7	3	4	1
Connor O'Toole	22	5	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)	21	1	0	0	9
Smith Snowden	48	4	0	0	8
Van Fillinger	43	8	5	1	5