Arizona State at Arizona - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona State -7.5 (52.5) (-300)  Open: -9.0 | 53.5
Arizona State 49 - Arizona: 7  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -15.5  (SP+ ASU -12)
Projected Score: ASU: 34 - ARIZ: 18 (52)
ASU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 101 miles
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39ON
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10UN
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41ON
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)25.844% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)24.547% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
ARIZ#10 (.34)51% (6)31.552% (5)3.26 (40)14050% (10)3084.42 (29)#57 (.16)42% (67)19.343% (71)41% (62)3.37 (29)531.11.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1225.824.637.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12
ARIZ Defense1319.315.641.9%3.371.4 - - - - - 46%53%43%41%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1224.525.246.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
ARIZ Offense1331.534.950.6%4.421.1234481403084.643%57%52%50%14%.34

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Arizona1330:502349%67%6.3531.11.45.32.4129.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)
ARIZ Defense1346% (21)43% (71) - - - - .12 (58)3 (50)75% (82)11% (54)0.97 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
ARIZ Offense1343% (112)52% (5)30.6139.74.617 (81).21 (34)3.26 (40)74% (68)9% (38)0.9 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)
ARIZ Defense1353% (115)41% (62) - - - - - - 9 (87).26 (57)1.5 (48)34% (38)32% (95).25 (38)6% (60)2 (36)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
ARIZ Offense1357% (20)50% (10)25.535.7308.38.612.136 (5)11 (68).47 (15)1.6 (68)29% (19)41% (6).54 (13)6% (69)2 (103)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 374.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6%  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01   Arizona: -2.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4   Arizona: -2.8




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -2.755  #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72  #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40  #104
2024 Talent Rating: 335.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 10  #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8  #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 34
Arizona 18

Projected Total Points: 52
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Arizona State7Arizona23Arizona -2.0Arizona48.5Under
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59Arizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35Arizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35Arizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35Arizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1068 Overs
Arizona State1573 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 64 - 23 - 4
Road Teams12 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4

(#12) ASU at (#90) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #12 #90
SP+SP+ #35 #82
Perf GradeGrade #76 #99
OffenseOff #40 #82
DefenseDef #98 #118
Spec TeamsST #86 #53
TalentTal #47 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #53 #41
Arizona Notes
(12/13) Hired OC Seth Doege (Marsh/Purdue/USC)
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)
(10/1) Great W (Utah), Rgame was good, Run D was great
Arizona Injury Report
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #118
SuccessSuc #112 #67
ExplosiveExp #90 #58
PPAPPA #110 #57
PowerPwr #7 #104
SP+SP+ #32 #84
Pts POPPO #108 #29
HavocHav #101 #50
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #7 #114
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #71
Run ExplRExp #71 #51
PPAExp #42 #58
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #50
Stuff RateStuff #18 #37
TackleTak -  #127
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #19 #114
Pass SuccessPSuc #123 #62
Pass ExplPExl #95 #48
PPAExp #124 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #20 #75
F7 HavocF7 #73 #54
DB HavocDB #120 #60
Arizona on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatARIZ OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #82 #98
SuccessSuc #6 #123
ExplosiveExp #76 #30
PPAPPA #10 #112
PowerPwr #87 #43
SP+SP+ #90 #26
Pts POPPO #29 #86
HavocHav #44 #62
Arizona Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffASU Def
Run GameRun #92 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #5 #105
Run ExplRExp #109 #65
PPAExp #34 #104
Run BlockR Blk #100 -
OL YdsOLY #40 #130
Stuff RateStuff #115 #129
TackleTak -  #78
Arizona Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatARIZ OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #56 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #10 #125
Pass ExplPExl #68 #6
PPAExp #15 #91
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #134
F7 HavocF7 #38 #60
DB HavocDB #69 #67
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Arizona State 7.5 (52.5)
Arizona State won at Arizona this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Arizona State last year (23-7)
Arizona State beat Arizona in 2024 (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)

  
ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015

ARIZ's OC Dino Babers (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley (Tr)15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley (Tr)3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Duane Akina (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss (Tr)494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith (Tr)487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy (Tr)174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith604006
Tacario Davis392016
Emmanuel Karnley140005