Arizona State at Arizona - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo Arizona State Sun Devils at Arizona WildcatsArizona logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Arizona State -7.5 (52.5) (-300)  Open: -9.0 | 53.5
Arizona State 49 - Arizona: 7  (Big 12)

 
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -15.5   (SP+ ASU -12)

Projected Score: ASU: 34 - ARIZ: 19 (53)
ASU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ASU Travel: 101 miles
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 7, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 7, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 5, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39ON
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10UN
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41ON
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1432.930.349.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31
ARIZ Defense1231.827.744.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1422.620.742.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
ARIZ Offense1221.824.638.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01   Arizona: -2.755

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4   Arizona: -2.8




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -2.755 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 34
Arizona 19


Total Points: 53

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.7

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Arizona7Arizona State49Arizona StateArizona State -7.5Arizona State52.5Over
202311/25Arizona State23Arizona59ArizonaArizona -12.5Arizona48.5Over
202211/25Arizona38Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -4Arizona State66.5Over
202111/27Arizona State38Arizona15Arizona StateArizona State -20Arizona State52.5Over
202012/11Arizona7Arizona State70Arizona StateArizona State -9Arizona State57.0Over
201911/30Arizona State24Arizona14Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona60.5Under
201811/24Arizona40Arizona State41Arizona StateArizona State -1.5Arizona66.0Over
201711/25Arizona State42Arizona30Arizona StateArizona -2Arizona State76.0Under
201611/25Arizona56Arizona State35ArizonaArizona State -6Arizona65.0Over
201511/21Arizona State52Arizona37Arizona StateArizona State -7Arizona State66.5Over
201411/28Arizona42Arizona State35ArizonaArizona -2.5Arizona0
201311/30Arizona State58Arizona21Arizona StateArizona State -13.5Arizona State0
201211/23Arizona34Arizona State41Arizona State
201111/19Arizona State27Arizona31Arizona
201012/02Arizona29Arizona State30Arizona State
200911/28Arizona State17Arizona20Arizona
200812/06Arizona31Arizona State10Arizona
200712/01Arizona State20Arizona17Arizona State
200611/25Arizona14Arizona State28Arizona State
200511/25Arizona State23Arizona20Arizona State
200411/26Arizona34Arizona State27Arizona
200311/28Arizona State28Arizona7Arizona State
200111/23Arizona State21Arizona34Arizona
200011/23Arizona17Arizona State30Arizona State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona958 Overs
Arizona State1572 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 117 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams11 - 135 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#12) Arizona State Info
Power Rating: 16.01 #12
Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 50%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.14 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona State has won 4 straight
Arizona State has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona State Highlights
Arizona State has Really Good Running Game (#15)
Arizona State offense is efficent (#54)
Arizona State has a top Offensive Line (#19)
Arizona State offense is good on 3rd downs
Arizona State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#71)

Arizona State Secondary is very good (#20)
Arizona State has a great TO Margin (#54)
Arizona State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Arizona State Deficiencies
Arizona State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Arizona State offense is not Explosive (#40)
Arizona State does not Sack the QB (#4)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatARIZASU
OverallOver#71#53
OffenseOff#67#36
DefenseDef#97#78
Special TeamsST#45#72
PassingPass#45#17
RushingRush#66#7
Run BlockRBLK#77#74
Pass BlockPBLK#16#20
Route RunningWR Rt#54#67
TacklingTkl#111#68
Run DefenseR Def#91#64
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#113
Coverage DefCov#92#56

Rematch from Week 14
Arizona State 7.5 (52.5)
Arizona State won at Arizona this year (49-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Arizona last year (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2022 (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ASU | ARIZ
Depth Chart: ASU | ARIZ
Rosters: ASU | ARIZ
(#90) Arizona Info
Power Rating: -2.755 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona has lost 1 straight
Arizona has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (1 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is explosive (#8)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Can Not Run the Ball (#40)
Arizona throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Arizona offense is really bad (#96)
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)
Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona has a bad defense (#11)
Arizona Does Not Stuff Runs (#19)
Arizona has a bad defensive line (#24)
Arizona has a bad red zone defense (#3)


  
Arizona State's OC Marcus Arroyo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster
Arizona State's DC Brian Ward
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015

Arizona's OC Dino Babers
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley (Tr)15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley (Tr)3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Duane Akina
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss (Tr)494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith (Tr)487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy (Tr)174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith604006
Tacario Davis392016
Emmanuel Karnley140005