Iowa State at West Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#22)Iowa State Cyclones at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, October 12th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -3 (54.0) (-155) Open: -3.5
Iowa State 28 - West Virginia: 16 (Big 12)

Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ISU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -7.5 (SP+ ISU -8)
Projected Score: ISU: 30 - WVU: 23 (53)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 733 miles, 1 hrs behind

Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa State vs North Dakota	-30.5	51.5	W 21 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Iowa State at Iowa	+3.0	35.0	W 20 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Iowa State vs Arkansas State	-20.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Iowa State at Houston	-16.0	43.0	W 20 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Iowa State vs Baylor	-13.0	45.0	W 43 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Iowa State at West Virginia	-3.0	54.0	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa State vs UCF	-13.0	49.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	-13.5	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/9	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.5	L 36 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/16	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Iowa State at Utah	-6.5	42.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Iowa State vs Arizona State	-1.5	51.5	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/28	Iowa State vs Miami	+5.0	62.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	West Virginia vs Penn State	+7.5	48.0	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	West Virginia vs UAlbany	-38.5	53.5	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/14	West Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	60.5	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/21	West Virginia vs Kansas	-1.5	56.0	W 32 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	West Virginia at Oklahoma State	+2.5	65.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	West Virginia vs Iowa State	+3.0	54.0	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/19	West Virginia vs Kansas State	+2.5	56.5	L 18 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/26	West Virginia at Arizona	+5.5	51.5	W 31 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	West Virginia at Cincinnati	+5.5	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/16	West Virginia vs Baylor	+2.0	60.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/23	West Virginia vs UCF	+3.0	60.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+2.5	61.5	L 15 - 52	O	N
Tue 12/17	West Virginia vs Memphis	+5.0	60.0	L 37 - 42	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)	31.1	40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)	22.9	46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)	29.2	44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)	31.9	41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5
WVU	#63 (.2)	43% (69)		44% (75)	3.05 (64)	196	41% (73)	210	4.6 (16)	#124 (.3)	45% (103)		41% (46)	49% (128)	4.74 (131)	33.9	1.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	14	31.1	24.8	40.4%	4.23	1.1	21	387	150	236	4.4	51%	49%	40%	41%	14%	.2
WVU Defense	13	31.9	31.3	44.8%	4.74	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	41%	49%	13%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	14	22.9	15.8	42.6%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	46%	38%	15%	.18
WVU Offense	13	29.2	27.6	42.5%	4.6	1.5	23	406	196	210	4.9	56%	44%	44%	41%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	14	30:00	20.9	42%	81%	3.6	25.9	1.1	1.5	4.7	1.1	1	30
West Virginia	13	31:36	22.6	42%	62%	4.3	33.9	1.5	1.1	4.8	1.5	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	14	51% (68)	40% (106)	34.4	150.2	4.4	24 (45)	.12 (74)	2.83 (102)	70% (88)	8% (22)	1.1 (19)
WVU Defense	13	51% (68)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.08 (46)	2.83 (41)	64% (21)	9% (97)	1.02 (86)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	14	55% (114)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.22 (114)	3.05 (76)	76% (81)	9% (85)	1.08 (112)
WVU Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (75)	40.1	196	4.9	27 (30)	.16 (52)	3.05 (64)	78% (33)	10% (82)	1.07 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	14	49% (67)	41% (77)	18.3	31.1	236.4	7.6	12.9	22 (46)	10 (63)	.29 (49)	1.7 (27)	30% (52)	35% (29)	.39 (41)	7% (94)	2 (70)
WVU Defense	13	49% (68)	49% (128)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.53 (133)	1.8 (127)	31% (84)	38% (128)	.61 (133)	4% (126)	2.3 (123)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	14	45% (21)	38% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.17 (36)	1.6 (73)	32% (63)	32% (86)	.32 (78)	5% (86)	2 (48)
WVU Offense	13	44% (107)	41% (73)	17.4	28.6	210.3	7.4	12.1	20 (58)	14 (115)	.26 (65)	1.8 (16)	34% (117)	32% (63)	.37 (52)	6% (75)	2.3 (8)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07 West Virginia: 3.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3 West Virginia: 2.1

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.57 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 30
West Virginia 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
West Virginia 25
Iowa State 25

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 30
West Virginia 24

Total Points: 54

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	West Virginia	16	Iowa State	28	Iowa State -3	Iowa State	54.0	Under
2022	11/05	Iowa State	31	West Virginia	14	Iowa State -6.5	Iowa State	49.5	Under
2021	10/30	West Virginia	38	Iowa State	31	Iowa State -7.5	West Virginia	49.0	Over
2020	12/05	Iowa State	42	West Virginia	6	Iowa State -5.5	Iowa State	47.5	Over
2019	10/12	West Virginia	14	Iowa State	38	Iowa State -9	Iowa State	55.0	Under
2018	10/13	Iowa State	30	West Virginia	14	West Virginia -4	Iowa State	54.5	Under
2017	11/04	West Virginia	20	Iowa State	16	West Virginia -3.5	West Virginia	59.5	Under
2016	11/26	Iowa State	19	West Virginia	49	West Virginia -9	West Virginia	60.5	Over
2015	11/28	West Virginia	30	Iowa State	6	West Virginia -13.5	West Virginia	57.5	Under
2014	11/29	Iowa State	24	West Virginia	37	West Virginia -13	NA	0
2013	11/30	West Virginia	44	Iowa State	52	West Virginia -7.5	Iowa State	0
2012	11/23	Iowa State	24	West Virginia	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	6	4	3 Overs
Iowa State	6	6	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	6 - 4	4 - 1	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	4 - 6	3 - 2	1 - 4

(#23) ISU at (#63) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ISU	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#23	#63
SP+SP+	#28	#65
Perf GradeGrade	#81	#70
OffenseOff	#81	#35
DefenseDef	#77	#114
Spec TeamsST	#73	#20
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#97	#62

Iowa State Notes(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report

West Virginia Notes(12/29) Hired DC Z Alley (Okl, Jax St DC)
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team
(10/13) Even w/ ISU, 3 TO's, Greene just not good enough
West Virginia Injury Report

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#114
SuccessSuc	#99	#103
ExplosiveExp	#7	#128
PPAPPA	#62	#124
PowerPwr	#42	#118
SP+SP+	#44	#87
Pts POPPO	#37	#131
HavocHav	#40	#119

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	#51	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	#46
Run ExplRExp	#19	#86
PPAExp	#74	#46
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	#41
Stuff RateStuff	#115	#53
TackleTak	-	#11

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#132
Pass SuccessPSuc	#77	#128
Pass ExplPExl	#27	#127
PPAExp	#49	#133
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#104	#102
F7 HavocF7	#22	#97
DB HavocDB	#94	#126

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#35	#77
SuccessSuc	#69	#81
ExplosiveExp	#13	#83
PPAPPA	#63	#79
PowerPwr	#32	#37
SP+SP+	#46	#24
Pts POPPO	#16	#29
HavocHav	#79	#84

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	#66	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	#75	#101
Run ExplRExp	#35	#112
PPAExp	#52	#114
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#64	#76
Stuff RateStuff	#74	#43
TackleTak	-	#114

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#73	#41
Pass ExplPExl	#16	#73
PPAExp	#65	#36
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#129
F7 HavocF7	#82	#85
DB HavocDB	#75	#86

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Down to Top G5

ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65°

Rematch from Week 7
Iowa State 3.0 (54.0)
Iowa State won at West Virginia this year (28-16)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat West Virginia last year (28-16)
Iowa State beat West Virginia in 2022 (31-14)

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	272	457	60%	3505	25	9	7.7
Connor Moberly	5	10	50%	49	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Hansen	151	752	13	5.0	57
Abu Sama III	124	587	2	4.7	77
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)	93	388	2	4.2	51
Rocco Becht	98	318	8	3.2	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Gabe Burkle	26	296	1	11.4	32
Benjamin Brahmer	10	179	1	17.9	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Kooper Ebel	69	6	1	1	0
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Kenard Snyder (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Domonique Orange	24	5	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5

WVU's OC Chad Scott (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3
Nicco Marchiol	37	56	66%	434	5	2	7.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahiem White	149	845	7	5.7	55
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
CJ Donaldson	163	734	11	4.5	48
Nicco Marchiol	40	120	2	3.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hudson Clement	51	741	5	14.5	44
Kole Taylor	43	448	3	10.4	39
Traylon Ray	28	426	4	15.2	54
Rodney Gallagher	26	288	3	11.1	33

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC ShaDon Brown (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3
Josiah Trotter	93	4	1	5	2
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)	40	14	7	1	0
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Hammond Russell IV	17	4	3	3	0
Trey Lathan	79	9	2	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)	46	1	0	0	6
Tyrin Bradley	56	8	2	2	4
Anthony Wilson	102	0	0	0	3