Iowa State at West Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#12)Iowa State Cyclones at West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia logo
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Iowa State -3 (54.0) (-155)  Open: -3.5
Iowa State 28 - West Virginia: 16  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
ISU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -7.5   (SP+ ISU -8)

Projected Score: ISU: 31 - WVU: 23 (54)
ISU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 733 miles, 1 hrs behind
Mountaineers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Neal Brown (31 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (28 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
West Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 West Virginia vs Penn State+7.548.0L 12 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 West Virginia vs UAlbany-38.553.5W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/14 West Virginia at Pittsburgh-2.560.5L 34 - 38ON
Sat 9/21 West Virginia vs Kansas-1.556.0W 32 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 West Virginia at Oklahoma State+2.565.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 West Virginia vs Iowa State+3.054.0L 16 - 28UN
Sat 10/19 West Virginia vs Kansas State+2.556.5L 18 - 45ON
Sat 10/26 West Virginia at Arizona+5.551.5W 31 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 West Virginia at Cincinnati+5.554.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/16 West Virginia vs Baylor+2.060.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 West Virginia vs UCF+3.060.0W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 West Virginia at Texas Tech+2.561.5L 15 - 52ON
Tue 12/17 West Virginia vs Memphis+5.060.0L 37 - 42OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)29.244% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)31.941% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
WVU#63 (.2)43% (69)44% (75)3.05 (64)19641% (73)2104.6 (16)#124 (.3)45% (103)41% (46)49% (128)4.74 (131)33.91.51.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1431.124.840.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2
WVU Defense1331.931.344.8%4.741.1 - - - - - 51%49%41%49%13%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1422.915.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
WVU Offense1329.227.642.5%4.61.5234061962104.956%44%44%41%16%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
West Virginia1331:3622.642%62%4.333.91.51.14.81.5128.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)
WVU Defense1351% (68)41% (46) - - - - .08 (46)2.83 (41)64% (21)9% (97)1.02 (86)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
WVU Offense1356% (28)44% (75)40.11964.927 (30).16 (52)3.05 (64)78% (33)10% (82)1.07 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)
WVU Defense1349% (68)49% (128) - - - - - - 5 (117).53 (133)1.8 (127)31% (84)38% (128).61 (133)4% (126)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
WVU Offense1344% (107)41% (73)17.428.6210.37.412.120 (58)14 (115).26 (65)1.8 (16)34% (117)32% (63).37 (52)6% (75)2.3 (8)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07   West Virginia: 3.57

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3   West Virginia: 2.1




West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.57 #63
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
West Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 31
West Virginia 23


Total Points: 54

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.6
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.3

West Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12West Virginia16Iowa State28Iowa StateIowa State -3Iowa State54.0Under
202211/05Iowa State31West Virginia14Iowa StateIowa State -6.5Iowa State49.5Under
202110/30West Virginia38Iowa State31West VirginiaIowa State -7.5West Virginia49.0Over
202012/05Iowa State42West Virginia6Iowa StateIowa State -5.5Iowa State47.5Over
201910/12West Virginia14Iowa State38Iowa StateIowa State -9Iowa State55.0Under
201810/13Iowa State30West Virginia14Iowa StateWest Virginia -4Iowa State54.5Under
201711/04West Virginia20Iowa State16West VirginiaWest Virginia -3.5West Virginia59.5Under
201611/26Iowa State19West Virginia49West VirginiaWest Virginia -9West Virginia60.5Over
201511/28West Virginia30Iowa State6West VirginiaWest Virginia -13.5West Virginia57.5Under
201411/29Iowa State24West Virginia37West VirginiaWest Virginia -13NA0
201311/30West Virginia44Iowa State52Iowa StateWest Virginia -7.5Iowa State0
201211/23Iowa State24West Virginia31West Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
West Virginia643 Overs
Iowa State666 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 66 - 44 - 12 - 3
Road Teams6 - 64 - 63 - 21 - 4

(#23) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Iowa State has won 5 straight
Iowa State has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWVUISU
OverallOver#48#57
OffenseOff#31#66
DefenseDef#94#58
Special TeamsST#18#61
PassingPass#59#73
RushingRush#47#36
Run BlockRBLK#8#94
Pass BlockPBLK#11#88
Route RunningWR Rt#64#22
TacklingTkl#10#99
Run DefenseR Def#38#93
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#108
Coverage DefCov#109#14

Rematch from Week 7
Iowa State 3.0 (54.0)
Iowa State won at West Virginia this year (28-16)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat West Virginia last year (28-16)
Iowa State beat West Virginia in 2022 (31-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Milan Puskar Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | WVU
Depth Chart: ISU | WVU
Rosters: ISU | WVU
(#63) West Virginia Info
Power Rating: 3.57 #63
Offense Rating: 23.43 #32
Defense Rating: 16.47 #118
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #87
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 5 #62
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.6 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.74 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

West Virginia has won 2 straight
West Virginia has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

West Virginia Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Rodriguez (Former HC, Jax St 3 yrs)
(12/1) HC Brown fired after 37-35 in 6 years
(11/23) Rgame 200 yds, 3.7 ypc, Greene meh in UCF W
(11/18) Bad L vs Baylor, Def torched, QB Green was bad
(11/16) QB Greene back for Baylor, Marchiol was better
(11/13) 2 cons road W's, lucky vs Cincy, OG's by 180 yds
(11/7) QB change: Marchiol takes over for Greene full time
(10/29) DC Lesley fired, LB/ST Koonz will take over
(10/27) QB Marhiol good vs Az, 18/22, 2 TDs. Rgame good
(10/19) Killed by K St pass game (300 yds)? Bad team

West Virginia Highlights
West Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#26)
West Virginia offense is explosive (#107)
West Virginia offense is good in red zone (#51)
West Virginia commits very few Penalties (#109)

West Virginia Deficiencies
West Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
West Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
West Virginia has a bad defense (#19)
West Virginia gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#58)
West Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#36)


  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115

West Virginia's OC Chad Scott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Greene18931660%230015127.3
Nicco Marchiol375666%434527.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahiem White14984575.755
Garrett Greene13375165.656
CJ Donaldson163734114.548
Nicco Marchiol4012023.019
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Hudson Clement51741514.544
Kole Taylor43448310.439
Traylon Ray28426415.254
Rodney Gallagher26288311.133

View West Virginia's Full Roster
West Virginia's DC Jeff Koonz (Int)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Wilson1020003
Josiah Trotter934152
Trey Lathan799230
Tyrin Bradley568224
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Jackson (Tr)4014710
Sean Martin236451
Hammond Russell IV174330
Trey Lathan799230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Garnett Hollis Jr. (Tr)461006
Tyrin Bradley568224
Anthony Wilson1020003