Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State Cyclones(#12)
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Iowa State -7 (52.5) (-265) Open: -7.5
Iowa State 34 - Cincinnati: 17 (Big 12)
Bearcats (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 25 - 25 (24 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Iowa State -13 (SP+ ISU -10)
Projected Score: CIN: 20 - ISU: 33 (52)
ISU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Projected Score: CIN: 20 - ISU: 33 (52)
ISU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| Cincinnati's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Cincinnati vs Towson | -33.5 | 56.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 62.5 | L 27 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Cincinnati at Miami (OH) | -3.5 | 47.5 | W 27 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Cincinnati vs Houston | -4.0 | 47.5 | W 34 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Cincinnati at Texas Tech | +3.0 | 60.0 | L 41 - 44 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Cincinnati at UCF | +2.0 | 58.0 | W 19 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Cincinnati vs Arizona State | -5.5 | 51.0 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Cincinnati at Colorado | +6.0 | 57.0 | L 23 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Cincinnati vs West Virginia | -5.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Cincinnati at Iowa State | +7.0 | 52.5 | L 17 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Cincinnati at Kansas State | +7.5 | 54.5 | L 15 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Cincinnati vs TCU | +2.5 | 58.5 | L 13 - 20 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Iowa State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Iowa State vs North Dakota | -30.5 | 51.5 | W 21 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Iowa State at Iowa | +3.0 | 35.0 | W 20 - 19 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Iowa State vs Arkansas State | -20.5 | 52.0 | W 52 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Iowa State at Houston | -16.0 | 43.0 | W 20 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Iowa State vs Baylor | -13.0 | 45.0 | W 43 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Iowa State at West Virginia | -3.0 | 54.0 | W 28 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Iowa State vs UCF | -13.0 | 49.5 | W 38 - 35 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Iowa State vs Texas Tech | -13.5 | 55.0 | L 22 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Iowa State vs Kansas | -2.5 | 50.5 | L 36 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Iowa State vs Cincinnati | -7.0 | 52.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Iowa State at Utah | -6.5 | 42.5 | W 31 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Iowa State vs Kansas State | -2.5 | 51.5 | W 29 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Iowa State vs Arizona State | -1.5 | 51.5 | L 19 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | Iowa State vs Miami | +5.0 | 62.0 | W 42 - 41 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | #59 (.21) | 45% (43) | 25.2 | 44% (67) | 3.03 (69) | 185 | 45% (32) | 237 | 3.33 (118) | #75 (.18) | 42% (76) | 24.6 | 46% (94) | 39% (43) | 3.51 (40) | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 31.1 | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 22.9 | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | #59 (.21) | 45% (43) | 44% (67) | 3.03 (69) | 185 | 45% (32) | 237 | 3.33 (118) | #75 (.18) | 42% (76) | 46% (94) | 39% (43) | 3.51 (40) | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | ||
| ISU | #62 (.2) | 40% (99) | 40% (106) | 2.83 (102) | 150 | 41% (77) | 236 | 4.23 (37) | #79 (.18) | 43% (81) | 46% (101) | 38% (41) | 3.44 (29) | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Offense | 12 | 25.2 | 23.7 | 44.7% | 3.33 | 1.5 | 22 | 422 | 185 | 237 | 5.2 | 50% | 50% | 44% | 45% | 16% | .21 |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 22.9 | 18.1 | 42.6% | 3.44 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 46% | 38% | 15% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Defense | 12 | 24.6 | 30.3 | 42.2% | 3.51 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 46% | 39% | 16% | .18 |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 31.1 | 34.1 | 40.4% | 4.23 | 1.1 | 21 | 387 | 150 | 236 | 4.4 | 51% | 49% | 40% | 41% | 14% | .2 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 12 | 31:42 | 22.1 | 42% | 55% | 5.3 | 44.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 0 | 26.4 |
| Iowa State | 14 | 30:00 | 20.9 | 42% | 81% | 3.6 | 25.9 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 1 | 30 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Offense | 12 | 50% (72) | 44% (67) | 35.3 | 185 | 5.2 | 19 (73) | .15 (59) | 3.03 (69) | 71% (84) | 11% (93) | 1.07 (34) |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 55% (114) | 46% (101) | - | - | - | - | .22 (114) | 3.05 (76) | 76% (81) | 9% (85) | 1.08 (112) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Defense | 12 | 51% (75) | 46% (94) | - | - | - | - | .14 (77) | 3.19 (98) | 73% (63) | 11% (51) | 0.95 (49) |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 51% (68) | 40% (106) | 34.4 | 150.2 | 4.4 | 24 (45) | .12 (74) | 2.83 (102) | 70% (88) | 8% (22) | 1.1 (19) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Offense | 12 | 50% (63) | 45% (32) | 21 | 32.9 | 236.5 | 7.2 | 11.3 | 18 (68) | 7 (26) | .26 (63) | 1.4 (121) | 30% (41) | 36% (20) | .5 (10) | 5% (33) | 2.1 (67) |
| ISU Defense | 14 | 45% (21) | 38% (41) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (23) | .17 (36) | 1.6 (73) | 32% (63) | 32% (86) | .32 (78) | 5% (86) | 2 (48) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN Defense | 12 | 49% (63) | 39% (43) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .23 (71) | 1.7 (108) | 31% (93) | 31% (79) | .34 (86) | 5% (87) | 2 (66) |
| ISU Offense | 14 | 49% (67) | 41% (77) | 18.3 | 31.1 | 236.4 | 7.6 | 12.9 | 22 (46) | 10 (63) | .29 (49) | 1.7 (27) | 30% (52) | 35% (29) | .39 (41) | 7% (94) | 2 (70) |
Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Cincinnati's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Cincinnati's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 1.93 Iowa State: 13.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1 Iowa State: 10.3
Cincinnati: 1.93 Iowa State: 13.685
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: -0.1 Iowa State: 10.3
Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3
Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3
Cincinnati's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 33
Cincinnati 20
Total Points: 52
Iowa State 33
Cincinnati 20
Total Points: 52
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1
Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1
Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/16 | Iowa State | 34 | Cincinnati | 17 | Iowa State | Iowa State -7 | Iowa State | 52.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 10/14 | Cincinnati | 10 | Iowa State | 30 | Iowa State | Cincinnati -4 | Iowa State | 42.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 2 | 2 | 0 Overs |
| Cincinnati | 0 | 0 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#56) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Cincinnati has lost 2 straight
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )
Cincinnati Notes
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge
Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Cincinnati Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#43)
Cincinnati offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#10)
Power Rating: 1.93 #56
Offense Rating: 22.64 #44
Defense Rating: 11.67 #85
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.1 #72
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #57
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.51 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Cincinnati has lost 2 straight
Cincinnati has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 1 vs Spread )
Cincinnati Notes
(11/18) 3 str L's, Sorsby awful pass, good run, Rgame good
(11/13) 2 awful L's, outplayed WVU, 3 TO's cost, fading
(10/27) Big L vs Buffs, Off bad, 3-10 on 3rd, 9 flags
(10/19) Sorsby, Rgame enough vs ASU. Def held 4 big W
(10/12) Sorsby meh, Rgame awful, Def Ok in W (UCF)
(9/26) QB Sorsby a revelation. Top 3 QB in B12
(9/15) Pass heavy team, awful Red Zone, Def Rzone good
(9/8) Gagged vs Pitt. Had 36+ mins Off but Def torched
(9/1) Def gave up 438 yds to Towson? Rgame good
(8/3) New DC Fuqua will run 3-3-5, DT loss huge
Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Cincinnati Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#43)
Cincinnati offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#10)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ISU | CIN |
| OverallOver | #57 | #48 |
| OffenseOff | #66 | #47 |
| DefenseDef | #58 | #52 |
| Special TeamsST | #61 | #75 |
| PassingPass | #73 | #50 |
| RushingRush | #36 | #23 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #94 | #42 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #88 | #34 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #22 | #54 |
| TacklingTkl | #99 | #60 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #49 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #108 | #95 |
| Coverage DefCov | #14 | #35 |
Rematch from Week 12
Iowa State -7.0 (52.5)
Iowa State won vs Cincinnati this year (34-17)
Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Cincinnati last year (34-17)
Iowa State beat Cincinnati in 2023 (30-10)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: CIN | ISU
Depth Chart: CIN | ISU
Rosters: CIN | ISU
(#23) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Iowa State has lost 2 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)
Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Iowa State has lost 2 straight
Iowa State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Sorsby (Tr) | 249 | 389 | 64% | 2813 | 18 | 7 | 7.2 |
| Brady Lichtenberg | 3 | 5 | 60% | 25 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Kiner | 204 | 1153 | 4 | 5.7 | 46 |
| Brendan Sorsby (Tr) | 106 | 445 | 9 | 4.2 | 41 |
| Evan Pryor (Tr) | 56 | 418 | 6 | 7.5 | 65 |
| Chance Williams (Tr) | 15 | 67 | 0 | 4.5 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzavier Henderson | 58 | 735 | 4 | 12.7 | 42 |
| Joe Royer (Tr) | 51 | 532 | 3 | 10.4 | 38 |
| Tony Johnson (Tr) | 49 | 452 | 6 | 9.2 | 23 |
| Jamoi Mayes | 29 | 349 | 1 | 12.0 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Bartlett (Tr) | 70 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Jake Golday (Tr) | 57 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Antwan Peek Jr. | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jonathan Thompson | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Bartlett (Tr) | 70 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| Eric Phillips | 19 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Dontay Corleone | 26 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Jonathan Thompson | 49 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Young | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Derrick Canteen (Tr) | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Josh Minkins (Tr) | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rocco Becht | 272 | 457 | 60% | 3505 | 25 | 9 | 7.7 |
| Connor Moberly | 5 | 10 | 50% | 49 | 0 | 1 | 4.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Hansen | 151 | 752 | 13 | 5.0 | 57 |
| Abu Sama III | 124 | 587 | 2 | 4.7 | 77 |
| Jaylon Jackson (Tr) | 93 | 388 | 2 | 4.2 | 51 |
| Rocco Becht | 98 | 318 | 8 | 3.2 | 32 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Noel | 81 | 1194 | 8 | 14.7 | 75 |
| Jayden Higgins | 87 | 1183 | 9 | 13.6 | 39 |
| Gabe Burkle | 26 | 296 | 1 | 11.4 | 32 |
| Benjamin Brahmer | 10 | 179 | 1 | 17.9 | 39 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beau Freyler | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Malik Verdon | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Kooper Ebel | 69 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Jeremiah Cooper | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Singleton | 32 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Kenard Snyder (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Joey Petersen | 46 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| Domonique Orange | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Cooper | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Myles Purchase | 35 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Malik Verdon | 75 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |