Utah at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Utah logo Utah Utes at Arizona State Sun Devils(#21)Arizona State logo
Friday, October 11th 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Utah -6 (46.5) (-218)  Open: -5.0
Arizona State 27 - Utah: 19  (Big 12)

 
Utes (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (162 - 79)
Avg Score : 24 - 21 (24 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.2° (13% Hum)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
UTAH coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona State -9.5  (SP+ ASU -2)

Projected Score: UTAH: 20 - ASU: 29 (49)
UTAH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
UTAH Travel: 507 miles
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (34 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Utah's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Utah vs Southern Utah-37.555.5W 49 - 0UY
Sat 9/7 Utah vs Baylor-14.552.5W 23 - 12UN
Sat 9/14 Utah at Utah State-20.543.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 9/21 Utah at Oklahoma State-1.053.5W 22 - 19UY
Sat 9/28 Utah vs Arizona-7.547.0L 10 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Utah at Arizona State-6.046.5L 19 - 27UN
Sat 10/19 Utah vs TCU-3.052.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Utah at Houston-4.536.0L 14 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Utah vs BYU+3.540.5L 21 - 22OY
Sat 11/16 Utah at Colorado+13.543.5L 24 - 49ON
Sat 11/23 Utah vs Iowa State+6.542.5L 28 - 31OY
Fri 11/29 Utah at UCF+9.545.5W 28 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Utah's Schedule
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)23.638% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)20.737% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)32.952% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)22.641% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UTAH#120 (.08)37% (125)38% (116)2.73 (114)13035% (119)1993.4 (111)#7 (.05)35% (4)37% (10)34% (6)3.13 (15)46.31.81.5
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Offense1223.624.236.7%3.41.8173301301993.949%51%38%35%19%.08
ASU Defense1422.622.342.4%3.641.4 - - - - - 45%54%41%44%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UTAH Defense1220.724.535.3%3.131.5 - - - - - 48%51%37%34%20%.05
ASU Offense1432.933.849.8%4.140.6203951872084.959%41%52%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Utah1232:0616.633%45%5.446.31.81.56.41.9430.7
Arizona State1429:5420.447%53%650.10.61.441.3328.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Offense1249% (76)38% (116)33.6130.43.97 (131) (123)2.73 (114)66% (113)12% (117)0.88 (111)
ASU Defense1445% (14)41% (49) - - - - .04 (27)2.97 (61)63% (19)8% (116)1 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UTAH Defense1248% (41)37% (10) - - - - .04 (25)2.53 (9)64% (22)12% (34)1.07 (105)
ASU Offense1459% (14)52% (6)38.11874.928 (25).27 (12)3.35 (19)73% (76)7% (18)0.96 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Offense1251% (58)35% (119)16.629.8199.46.71220 (58)17 (127).16 (106)1.7 (23)36% (127)24% (127).2 (110)7% (107)2.2 (22)
ASU Defense1454% (119)44% (106) - - - - - - 15 (18).21 (57)1.4 (18)32% (65)30% (68).14 (5)8% (21)1.9 (27)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UTAH Defense1251% (92)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (15)1.6 (74)37% (4)25% (8).09 (1)8% (4)2 (59)
ASU Offense1441% (120)47% (21)14.923.9208.48.71425 (31)5 (6).39 (14)1.6 (43)27% (11)38% (5).45 (21)4% (16)1.9 (115)

Utah's Power Ratings
Utah's Power Rating: 3.37  #48
Utah's Offense Rating: 10.54  #127
Utah's Defense Rating: 1.59  #8
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 22%  #25
Utah's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Utah's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #40
Utah's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #96
Utah's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Utah: 3.37   Arizona State: 15.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Utah: 7.7   Arizona State: 9.4




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Utah Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Utah's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 29
Utah 20


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Utah 27
Arizona State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 28
Utah 23

Total Points: 51
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Utah42Arizona State10Utah -9.5Utah44.5Over
202410/11Arizona State27Utah19Utah -6Arizona State46.5Under
202311/04Utah55Arizona State3Utah -11Utah40.5Over
202209/24Arizona State13Utah34Utah -16.5Utah54.0Under
202110/16Utah35Arizona State21Utah -1Utah51.0Over
201910/19Utah21Arizona State3Utah -16Utah46.0Under
201811/03Arizona State38Utah20Utah -7.5Arizona State54.0Over
201710/21Utah10Arizona State30Utah -10Arizona State54.5Under
201611/10Arizona State26Utah49Utah -5.5Utah56.0Over
201510/17Utah34Arizona State18Utah -6.5Utah51.5Over
201411/01Arizona State19Utah16Arizona State -2.5Arizona State0
201311/09Utah19Arizona State20Arizona State -7Utah0
201209/22Arizona State37Utah7
201110/08Utah14Arizona State35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State746 Overs
Utah784 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 59 - 36 - 13 - 2
Road Teams5 - 93 - 92 - 31 - 6

(#48) UTAH at (#12) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUTAHASU
Power RatePwr #48 #12
SP+SP+ #40 #35
Perf GradeGrade #77 #76
OffenseOff #99 #40
DefenseDef #51 #98
Spec TeamsST #31 #86
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #25 #53
Utah Notes
(12/11) Signed QB Dampier (New Mexico '24)
(11/24) Fight w/ ISU, OG'd by 180+, pick 6, PR TD
(11/24) Only 9 1st D, 3-10 on 3rd, Rgame/Wilson bad
(11/18) Wilson better but 3 INTs, Pass D torched by Buffs
(11/13) Fr QB Rose out for season, only Wilson left
(11/10) TE Kuithe lost for season (inj vs BYU)
(10/31) QB Wilson split reps w/ So. Rose for being awful
(10/27) Off still awful, BAD L vs Houston, Run D mauled
(10/21) 3 bad L's, Avg'd 12 PPG. Def is great, Off is poor
(10/21) New OC Bajakian led awful NW Off, < 120 ypp
(10/20) OC Ludwig steps down, near last Off 2 yrs
(10/14) QB Rising out for season, could have 8th yr?
Utah Injury Report
Utah on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffASU Def
Perf GradePerf #99 #98
SuccessSuc #125 #79
ExplosiveExp #55 #55
PPAPPA #120 #36
PowerPwr #127 #43
SP+SP+ #96 #26
Pts POPPO #111 #51
HavocHav #120 #75
Utah Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffASU Def
Run GameRun #123 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #116 #49
Run ExplRExp #111 #76
PPAExp #123 #27
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLY #114 #61
Stuff RateStuff #123 #47
TackleTak -  #78
Utah Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
UTAH OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #131 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #106
Pass ExplPExl #23 #18
PPAExp #106 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #47 #134
F7 HavocF7 #117 #116
DB HavocDB #107 #21
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffUTAH Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #51
SuccessSuc #8 #4
ExplosiveExp #100 #104
PPAPPA #13 #7
PowerPwr #7 #8
SP+SP+ #32 #16
Pts POPPO #48 #15
HavocHav #11 #12
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffUTAH Def
Run GameRun #7 #50
Run SuccessRSuc #6 #10
Run ExplRExp #71 #105
PPAExp #12 #25
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #19 #9
Stuff RateStuff #30 #3
TackleTak -  #129
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffUTAH Def
Pass GamePass #19 #44
Pass SuccessPSuc #21 #6
Pass ExplPExl #43 #74
PPAExp #14 #15
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #84
F7 HavocF7 #18 #34
DB HavocDB #16 #4
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

UTAH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 91° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Utah 6.0 (46.5)
Arizona State won vs Utah this year (27-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Utah last year (27-19)
Utah beat Arizona State in 2023 (55-3)
Utah beat Arizona State in 2022 (34-13)

  
UTAH's OC Mike Bajakian (Int) (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Isaac Wilson12722556%151010116.7
Cameron Rising346652%555738.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Bernard197100945.164
Mike Mitchell4715813.418
Dijon Stanley206603.314
Brandon Rose116606.027
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dorian Singer (Tr)53702113.240
Brant Kuithe35505614.471
Money Parks21294314.071
Dijon Stanley7166223.779

View Utah's Full Roster

UTAH's DC Morgan Scalley (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lander Barton725214
Tao Johnson702004
Karene Reid546311
Smith Snowden484008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Van Fillinger438515
Karene Reid546311
Logan Fano357341
Connor O'Toole225300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun (Tr)211009
Smith Snowden484008
Van Fillinger438515

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015