Iowa State at Iowa Game Matchup

Saturday, September 7th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -3 (35.0) (-142) Open: -2.5
Iowa State 20 - Iowa: 19

Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Iowa -4.5 (SP+ IOWA -6)
Projected Score: ISU: 18 - IOWA: 23 (50)
IOWA Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ISU Travel: 110 miles

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (196 - 119)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ISU Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa State vs North Dakota	-30.5	51.5	W 21 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Iowa State at Iowa	+3.0	35.0	W 20 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Iowa State vs Arkansas State	-20.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Iowa State at Houston	-16.0	43.0	W 20 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Iowa State vs Baylor	-13.0	45.0	W 43 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Iowa State at West Virginia	-3.0	54.0	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa State vs UCF	-13.0	49.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	-13.5	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/9	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.5	L 36 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/16	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Iowa State at Utah	-6.5	42.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Iowa State vs Arizona State	-1.5	51.5	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/28	Iowa State vs Miami	+5.0	62.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Iowa's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa vs Illinois State	-31.5
Sat 9/7	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.0	35.0	L 19 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/14	Iowa vs Troy	-23.5	39.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Iowa at Minnesota	-3.0	34.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Iowa at Ohio State	+17.0	46.0	L 7 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/12	Iowa vs Washington	-2.5	41.5	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa at Michigan State	-7.0	39.5	L 20 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/26	Iowa vs Northwestern	-16.5	38.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-2.5	40.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Fri 11/8	Iowa at UCLA	-6.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Iowa at Maryland	-4.0	40.5	W 29 - 13	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Iowa vs Nebraska	-3.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/30	Iowa vs Missouri	+1.0	41.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU	#57 (.21)	37% (119)	31.1	32% (132)	2.34 (133)	120	41% (72)	245	3.72 (83)	#32 (.13)	39% (36)	22.9	41% (46)	39% (35)	3.35 (27)	43.5	0.8	1.5
IOWA	#133 (-.04)	33% (133)	27.7	33% (131)	2.47 (132)	109	34% (124)	114	2.86 (126)	#2 (-.01)	34% (5)	17.8	35% (11)	34% (6)	2.65 (4)	28	1.4	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ISU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Offense	13	31.1	24.8	36.8%	3.72	0.8	16	365	120	245	4.1	48%	52%	32%	41%	14%	.21
IOWA Defense	14	17.8	13	34.2%	2.65	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	35%	34%	16%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ISU Defense	13	22.9	15.8	39.2%	3.35	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	41%	39%	16%	.13
IOWA Offense	14	27.7	33.1	32.9%	2.86	1.4	12	223	109	114	3.4	56%	43%	33%	34%	19%	-.04

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa State	13	29:09	16.3	39%	63%	4.8	43.5	0.8	1.5	4.8	1.6	1	30.2
Iowa	14	26:29	12.1	31%	50%	3.3	28	1.4	1.1	4.9	1.9	2	31.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Offense	13	48% (87)	32% (132)	29.4	119.9	4.1	16 (89)	.01 (126)	2.34 (133)	59% (130)	9% (44)	1.18 (5)
IOWA Defense	14	45% (17)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (5)	2.8 (21)	71% (53)	9% (88)	0.72 (1)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ISU Defense	13	48% (43)	41% (46)	-	-	-	-	.05 (20)	2.77 (20)	68% (38)	8% (123)	0.9 (28)
IOWA Offense	14	56% (23)	33% (131)	32.1	108.7	3.4	11 (123)	-.08 (133)	2.47 (132)	66% (113)	12% (105)	0.82 (129)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Offense	13	52% (44)	41% (72)	18.5	29.3	245	8.4	13.2	23 (51)	8 (30)	.42 (25)	1.8 (11)	37% (132)	30% (76)	.26 (91)	5% (44)	2 (100)
IOWA Defense	14	53% (113)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.08 (5)	1.4 (8)	37% (8)	25% (13)	.12 (3)	7% (36)	1.7 (4)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ISU Defense	13	50% (84)	39% (35)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.28 (74)	1.7 (116)	34% (41)	28% (35)	.23 (24)	8% (9)	2 (60)
IOWA Offense	14	43% (113)	34% (124)	11.5	23.1	114.4	5	9.9	9 (126)	9 (40)	.08 (125)	1.4 (124)	34% (99)	21% (131)	.05 (133)	7% (112)	1.7 (128)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07 Iowa: 15.465

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3 Iowa: 15.8

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Iowa's Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
2024 Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Iowa's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Iowa's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 23
Iowa State 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Iowa	19	Iowa State	20	Iowa State	Iowa -3	Iowa State	35.0	Over
2023	09/09	Iowa State	13	Iowa	20	Iowa	Iowa -3.5	Iowa	35.5	Under
2022	09/10	Iowa	7	Iowa State	10	Iowa State	Iowa -3.5	Iowa State	39.0	Under
2021	09/11	Iowa State	17	Iowa	27	Iowa	Iowa State -4	Iowa	45.0	Under
2019	09/14	Iowa State	17	Iowa	18	Iowa	Iowa -1.5	Iowa State	42.5	Under
2018	09/08	Iowa	13	Iowa State	3	Iowa	Iowa -3.5	Iowa	47.0	Under
2017	09/09	Iowa State	41	Iowa	44	Iowa	Iowa -3.5	Iowa State	48.5	Over
2016	09/10	Iowa	42	Iowa State	3	Iowa	Iowa -18	Iowa	49.0	Under
2015	09/12	Iowa State	17	Iowa	31	Iowa	Iowa -4	Iowa	48.0	Push
2014	09/13	Iowa	17	Iowa State	20	Iowa State	Iowa -15.5	Iowa State	0
2013	09/14	Iowa State	21	Iowa	27	Iowa	Iowa -3	Iowa	0
2012	09/08	Iowa	6	Iowa State	9	Iowa State
2011	09/10	Iowa State	44	Iowa	41	Iowa State
2010	09/11	Iowa	35	Iowa State	7	Iowa
2009	09/12	Iowa State	3	Iowa	35	Iowa
2008	09/13	Iowa	17	Iowa State	5	Iowa
2007	09/15	Iowa State	15	Iowa	13	Iowa State
2006	09/16	Iowa	27	Iowa State	17	Iowa
2005	09/10	Iowa State	23	Iowa	3	Iowa State
2004	09/11	Iowa	17	Iowa State	10	Iowa
2003	09/13	Iowa State	21	Iowa	40	Iowa
2002	09/14	Iowa	31	Iowa State	36	Iowa State
2001	11/24	Iowa State	17	Iowa	14	Iowa State
2000	09/15	Iowa	14	Iowa State	24	Iowa State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	14	6	2 Overs
Iowa State	10	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 14	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 10	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#23) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury

Iowa State Ratings Matchup Iowa

Power #23

#31

Off #42

#88

Def #37

Talent #61

#20

SP+ #28

#16

SP+ Off #44

#69

SP+ Def #24

Rematch from Week 2
Iowa -3.0 (35.0)
Iowa State won at Iowa this year (20-19)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Iowa last year (20-19)
Iowa beat Iowa State in 2023 (20-13)
Iowa State beat Iowa in 2022 (10-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 9 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | IOWA
Depth Chart: ISU | IOWA
Rosters: ISU | IOWA

(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.465 #31
Offense Rating: 17.67 #88
Defense Rating: 2.77 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #16
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #5
Talent Rating: 852.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 9 #44
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Iowa Notes
(11/23) Rgame mauled bad Terps. 3rd QB Stratton meh
(11/18) QB Sullivan out for season (ankle), Cade time?
(11/13) QB's awful, Rgame worse, Def bad vs UCLA
(11/2) Off humming, 2 straight W's. Killed Wisky
(10/30) QB McMamara out vs Wisky, Sullivan to start
(10/19) Def torched by Sparty. QB is a joke. Bad, bad loss
(10/12) Off Expl vs Wash, Rgame 220 (5.9 ypc), Def good
(10/6) Can't compete w/ elites, Pass game awful
(10/6) Def v good, Off awful outside of Kaleb Johnson
(9/8) McNamara awful vs ISU, RB/OL v good. Pass D bad

Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	272	457	60%	3505	25	9	7.7
Connor Moberly	5	10	50%	49	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Hansen	151	752	13	5.0	57
Abu Sama III	124	587	2	4.7	77
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)	93	388	2	4.2	51
Rocco Becht	98	318	8	3.2	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gabe Burkle	26	296	1	11.4	32
Benjamin Brahmer	10	179	1	17.9	39
Carson Brown	11	141	1	12.8	44
Eli Green (Tr)	10	115	0	11.5	34

View Iowa State's Full Roster

Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kooper Ebel	69	6	1	1	0
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8
Jontez Williams	46	2	0	0	5
Jacob Ellis	41	5	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenard Snyder (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Jack Sadowsky	29	4	1	1	1
Marcus Neal	18	1	1	0	0
Ikenna Ezeogu	19	2	1	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	8
Jontez Williams	46	2	0	5
Beau Goodwin	24	3	1	2

Iowa's OC Tim Lester

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade McNamara	104	172	61%	1017	6	5	5.9
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	38	53	72%	474	3	3	8.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kamari Moulton	84	473	3	5.6	68
Jaziun Patterson	63	309	2	4.9	39
Brendan Sullivan (Tr)	47	151	4	3.2	30
Max White	6	35	0	5.8	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacob Gill (Tr)	35	411	2	11.7	59
Reece Vander Zee	14	176	3	12.6	19
Zach Ortwerth	11	133	0	12.1	52
Addison Ostrenga	15	114	1	7.6	29

View Iowa's Full Roster

Iowa's DC Phil Parker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	56	12	7	2	0
Deshaun Lee	42	1	0	0	4
Xavier Nwankpa	41	0	0	0	1
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ethan Hurkett	56	12	7	2	0
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3
Max Llewellyn	22	8	6	7	3
Brian Allen	17	5	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deshaun Lee	42	1	0	0	4
Aaron Graves	33	8	6	2	3
Max Llewellyn	22	8	6	7	3