The new 12 team College Football Playoff begins this season. The teams selected will be the five highest ranked conference champions and seven at large slots. The top four will almost certainly come from the P4 leagues with the last automatic bid coming from the G5. The top four teams will get a 1st round bye. The seven at large will be strictly resume based, and can come from any team in any conference. It's assumed that most, if not all, at large slots will come from the 35 teams in the 'Power 2', the SEC, Big Ten + Notre Dame. The 'Longshots' category means a team can either still win their conference, or still play their way into an at-large bid. These are record based only, I'm still working on a model for a resume profile that includes SOS and best wins.
Click Here for my current Playoff Projections
#1 Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0)
#2 Indiana Hoosiers (10-0)
#3 Texas A&M Aggies (9-0)
#4 Alabama Crimson Tide (7-1)
#5 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1)
#6 Ole Miss Rebels (9-1)
#9 Oregon Ducks (8-1)
#10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2)
#11 Texas Longhorns (7-2)
#12 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2)
#16 Vanderbilt Commodores (7-2)
#19 USC Trojans (7-2)
#20 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3)
#21 Michigan Wolverines (7-2)
#22 Missouri Tigers (6-3)
#23 Washington Huskies (6-2)
#25 Tennessee Volunteers (6-3)
Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3)
Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3)
Nebraska Cornhuskers (6-3)
LSU Tigers (5-3)
#7 BYU Cougars (8-1)
#8 Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1)
#13 Utah Utes (7-2)
#14 Virginia Cavaliers (8-1)
#15 Louisville Cardinals (7-1)
#17 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-1)
#18 Miami Hurricanes (7-2)
#24 Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2)
Houston Cougars (8-2)
Cincinnati Bearcats (7-2)
James Madison Dukes (8-1)
North Texas Mean Green (8-1)
Navy Midshipmen (7-1)
San Diego State Aztecs (7-1)
Memphis Tigers (8-2)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-2)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2)
South Florida Bulls (7-2)
Tulane Green Wave (7-2)
Kennesaw State Owls (6-2)
UNLV Rebels (6-2)
Arizona State Sun Devils (6-3)
Arizona Wildcats (6-3)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (5-3)
SMU Mustangs (7-3)
TCU Horned Frogs (6-3)
There are currently 11 Group of Five contenders for the G5 CFP Bid.
5 Power Four teams in the last column still could technically win their conference so we can't quite rule them out yet.
As of week 11, 96 teams have already been eliminated, 39 Power Four teams and 57 Group of five teams.
Power 5 Teams contenders by Conference - ACC: 5 Big Ten: 10 Big 12: 5 SEC: 10
Group of 5 contenders by Conference - AAC: 5 MWC: 2 Conf USA: 2 MAC: 0 Pac 12: 0 Sun Belt: 2 Independents: 0
Power 5 Teams Longshots by Conference - ACC: 2 Big Ten: 0 Big 12: 3 SEC: 0
