The new 12 team College Football Playoff begins this season. The teams selected will be the five highest ranked conference champions and seven at large slots. The top four will almost certainly come from the P4 leagues with the last automatic bid coming from the G5. The top four teams will get a 1st round bye. The seven at large will be strictly resume based, and can come from any team in any conference. It's assumed that most, if not all, at large slots will come from the 35 teams in the 'Power 2', the SEC, Big Ten + Notre Dame. The 'Longshots' category means a team can either still win their conference, or still play their way into an at-large bid. These are record based only, I'm still working on a model for a resume profile that includes SOS and best wins.
Click Here for my current Playoff Projections
#1 Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0)
#2 Indiana Hoosiers (10-0)
#3 Texas A&M Aggies (9-0)
#4 Alabama Crimson Tide (8-1)
#5 Georgia Bulldogs (8-1)
#7 Ole Miss Rebels (9-1)
#8 Oregon Ducks (8-1)
#9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (7-2)
#10 Texas Longhorns (7-2)
#11 Oklahoma Sooners (7-2)
#14 Vanderbilt Commodores (8-2)
#17 USC Trojans (7-2)
#18 Michigan Wolverines (7-2)
#21 Iowa Hawkeyes (6-3)
#23 Tennessee Volunteers (6-3)
Nebraska Cornhuskers (7-3)
Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-3)
Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3)
Washington Huskies (6-3)
Missouri Tigers (6-3)
#6 Texas Tech Red Raiders (9-1)
#12 BYU Cougars (8-1)
#13 Utah Utes (7-2)
#15 Miami Hurricanes (7-2)
#16 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (8-1)
#19 Virginia Cavaliers (8-2)
#20 Louisville Cardinals (7-2)
#22 Pittsburgh Panthers (7-2)
#25 Cincinnati Bearcats (7-2)
Houston Cougars (8-2)
#24 South Florida Bulls (7-2)
James Madison Dukes (8-1)
North Texas Mean Green (8-1)
Memphis Tigers (8-2)
Kennesaw State Owls (7-2)
Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-2)
Navy Midshipmen (7-2)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (7-2)
San Diego State Aztecs (7-2)
Tulane Green Wave (7-2)
UNLV Rebels (7-2)
Arizona State Sun Devils (6-3)
Arizona Wildcats (6-3)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (6-3)
SMU Mustangs (7-3)
TCU Horned Frogs (6-3)
There are currently 11 Group of Five contenders for the G5 CFP Bid.
5 Power Four teams in the last column still could technically win their conference so we can't quite rule them out yet.
As of week 12, 97 teams have already been eliminated, 40 Power Four teams and 57 Group of five teams.
Power 5 Teams contenders by Conference - ACC: 5 Big Ten: 10 Big 12: 5 SEC: 9
Group of 5 contenders by Conference - AAC: 5 MWC: 2 Conf USA: 2 MAC: 0 Pac 12: 0 Sun Belt: 2 Independents: 0
Power 5 Teams Longshots by Conference - ACC: 2 Big Ten: 0 Big 12: 3 SEC: 0
