Kansas State at Iowa State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -2.5 (51.5) (-125)  Open: -2.5 | 52.5
Iowa State 29 - Kansas State: 21  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 16.2°
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -0.5  (SP+ KSU -4)

Projected Score: KSU: 26 - ISU: 26 (52)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 249 miles
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)30.846% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)23.434% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.544%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
ISU Defense1422.918.142.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.335.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
ISU Offense1431.134.140.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95  #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28  #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97  #18
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1  #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0  #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95   Iowa State: 13.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1   Iowa State: 10.3




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685  #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95  #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20  #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 26
Kansas State 26


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 26
Kansas State 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 29
Kansas State 25

Total Points: 54
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/23Kansas State21Iowa State24Kansas State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202411/30Iowa State29Kansas State21Iowa State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202311/25Kansas State35Iowa State42Kansas State -9.5Iowa State46.0Over
202210/08Iowa State9Kansas State10Kansas State -1NA45.0Under
202110/16Kansas State20Iowa State33Iowa State -6.5Iowa State51.0Over
202011/21Iowa State45Kansas State0Iowa State -13.5Iowa State48.0Under
201911/30Kansas State27Iowa State17Iowa State -5.5Kansas State45.0Under
201811/24Iowa State42Kansas State38Iowa State -10Kansas State41.0Over
201711/25Kansas State20Iowa State19Kansas State -2.5Iowa State50.0Under
201610/29Iowa State26Kansas State31Kansas State -6Iowa State50.5Over
201511/21Kansas State38Iowa State35Kansas State -7Iowa State50.5Over
201409/06Iowa State28Kansas State32Kansas State -15.5Iowa State0
201311/02Kansas State41Iowa State7Kansas State -14.5Kansas State0
201210/13Iowa State21Kansas State27
201112/03Kansas State30Iowa State23
201009/18Kansas State27Iowa State20
200910/03Iowa State23Kansas State24
200811/22Kansas State38Iowa State30
200711/03Iowa State31Kansas State20
200610/28Kansas State31Iowa State10
200511/05Iowa State45Kansas State17
200411/20Kansas State23Iowa State37
200311/08Iowa State0Kansas State45
200211/09Kansas State58Iowa State7
200111/03Iowa State3Kansas State42
200011/03Kansas State56Iowa State10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State995 Overs
Kansas State1736 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 116 - 63 - 53 - 1
Road Teams11 - 156 - 61 - 35 - 3

(#25) KSU at (#23) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #25 #23
SP+SP+ #18 #28
Perf GradeGrade #61 #81
OffenseOff #58 #81
DefenseDef #80 #77
Spec TeamsST #77 #73
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #48 #97
Kansas State Notes
(11/30) 1-3 finish. QB Johnson 12/28, KSU 2 TOs, 3-13 3rd
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
(7/30) Johnson now QB, WR has vets but playmakers?
Kansas State Injury Report
Iowa State Notes
(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #58 #77
SuccessSuc #55 #81
ExplosiveExp #9 #83
PPAPPA #17 #79
PowerPwr #35 #37
SP+SP+ #29 #24
Pts POPPO #53 #29
HavocHav #21 #84
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #25 #116
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #101
Run ExplRExp #10 #112
PPAExp #11 #114
Run BlockR Blk #48 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #76
Stuff RateStuff #79 #43
TackleTak -  #114
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KSU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #17
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #41
Pass ExplPExl #31 #73
PPAExp #36 #36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #31 #129
F7 HavocF7 #29 #85
DB HavocDB #27 #86
Iowa State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatISU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #80
SuccessSuc #99 #6
ExplosiveExp #7 #129
PPAPPA #62 #29
PowerPwr #42 #18
SP+SP+ #44 #25
Pts POPPO #37 #43
HavocHav #40 #50
Iowa State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
ISU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #51 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #106 #4
Run ExplRExp #19 #83
PPAExp #74 #10
Run BlockR Blk #121 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #15
Stuff RateStuff #115 #12
TackleTak -  #77
Iowa State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatISU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #92 #90
Pass SuccessPSuc #77 #32
Pass ExplPExl #27 #130
PPAExp #49 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #104 #114
F7 HavocF7 #22 #39
DB HavocDB #94 #68
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'24 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 16° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Iowa State -2.5 (51.5)
Iowa State won vs Kansas State this year (29-21)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas State last year (29-21)
Iowa State beat Kansas State in 2023 (42-35)
Kansas State beat Iowa State in 2022 (10-9)

  
KSU's OC Conor Riley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Giddens205134376.666
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
DJ Giddens21258112.353
Garrett Oakley22236510.728

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Marques Sigle607003
Austin Moore597261
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brendan Mott4511850
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Parrish503047
Keenan Garber291005
Chiddi Obiazor175433

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115