Kansas State at Iowa State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State CyclonesIowa State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -2.5 (51.5) (-125)  Open: -2.5 | 52.5
Iowa State 29 - Kansas State: 21  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (39 - 24)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 16.2°
ISU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Iowa State -0.5   (SP+ KSU -4)

Projected Score: KSU: 26 - ISU: 27 (54)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 249 miles
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kansas State vs UT Martin-36.556.5W 41 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas State at Tulane-8.547.5W 34 - 27ON
Fri 9/13 Kansas State vs Arizona-7.058.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/21 Kansas State at BYU-7.549.5L 9 - 38UN
Sat 9/28 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-6.058.0W 42 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kansas State at Colorado-3.554.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 10/19 Kansas State at West Virginia-2.556.5W 45 - 18OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas State vs Kansas-10.056.5W 29 - 27UN
Sat 11/2 Kansas State at Houston-12.546.5L 19 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Kansas State vs Arizona State-7.551.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 11/23 Kansas State vs Cincinnati-7.554.5W 41 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Kansas State at Iowa State+2.551.5L 21 - 29UN
Thu 12/26 Kansas State vs Rutgers-7.551.5W 44 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#34 (.28)47% (18)30.850% (14)3.33 (28)20544% (46)2415.11 (1)#46 (.15)38% (24)23.438% (29)39% (27)2.98 (12)43.70.91.8
ISU#57 (.21)37% (119)31.132% (132)2.34 (133)12041% (72)2453.72 (83)#32 (.13)39% (36)22.941% (46)39% (35)3.35 (27)43.50.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1330.826.547.3%5.110.924446205241553%47%50%44%12%.28
ISU Defense1322.918.139.2%3.351.5 - - - - - 48%50%41%39%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1323.427.337.8%2.981.8 - - - - - 46%52%38%39%17%.15
ISU Offense1331.134.136.8%3.720.8163651202454.148%52%32%41%14%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1331:5123.848%58%4.843.70.91.85.61.8130.4
Iowa State1329:0916.339%63%4.843.50.81.54.81.6130.2
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1353% (43)50% (14)40.8205.2532 (10).27 (13)3.33 (28)75% (60)6% (5)0.99 (75)
ISU Defense1348% (43)41% (46) - - - - .05 (20)2.77 (20)68% (38)8% (123)0.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1346% (23)38% (29) - - - - .14 (68)2.82 (25)61% (12)11% (47)1.24 (130)
ISU Offense1348% (87)32% (132)29.4119.94.116 (89).01 (126)2.34 (133)59% (130)9% (44)1.18 (5)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1347% (88)44% (46)19.832.8241.27.312.230 (16)10 (56).31 (60)1.6 (80)29% (17)35% (25).46 (31)6% (50)2.1 (50)
ISU Defense1350% (84)39% (35) - - - - - - 16 (9).28 (74)1.7 (116)34% (41)28% (35).23 (24)8% (9)2 (60)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1352% (107)39% (27) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (38)1.7 (95)35% (24)27% (23).23 (32)7% (45)2.2 (101)
ISU Offense1352% (44)41% (72)18.529.32458.413.223 (51)8 (30).42 (25)1.8 (11)37% (132)30% (76).26 (91)5% (44)2 (100)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 11.95 #25
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
2024 Talent Rating: 638.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Kansas State's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Kansas State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 11.95   Iowa State: 13.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.1   Iowa State: 10.3




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

Kansas State's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 27
Kansas State 26


Projected Total Points: 54
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Iowa State29Kansas State21Iowa StateIowa State -2.5Iowa State51.5Under
202311/25Kansas State35Iowa State42Iowa StateKansas State -9.5Iowa State46.0Over
202210/08Iowa State9Kansas State10Kansas StateKansas State -1NA45.0Under
202110/16Kansas State20Iowa State33Iowa StateIowa State -6.5Iowa State51.0Over
202011/21Iowa State45Kansas State0Iowa StateIowa State -13.5Iowa State48.0Under
201911/30Kansas State27Iowa State17Kansas StateIowa State -5.5Kansas State45.0Under
201811/24Iowa State42Kansas State38Iowa StateIowa State -10Kansas State41.0Over
201711/25Kansas State20Iowa State19Kansas StateKansas State -2.5Iowa State50.0Under
201610/29Iowa State26Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -6Iowa State50.5Over
201511/21Kansas State38Iowa State35Kansas StateKansas State -7Iowa State50.5Over
201409/06Iowa State28Kansas State32Kansas StateKansas State -15.5Iowa State0
201311/02Kansas State41Iowa State7Kansas StateKansas State -14.5Kansas State0
201210/13Iowa State21Kansas State27Kansas State
201112/03Kansas State30Iowa State23Kansas State
201009/18Kansas State27Iowa State20Kansas State
200910/03Iowa State23Kansas State24Kansas State
200811/22Kansas State38Iowa State30Kansas State
200711/03Iowa State31Kansas State20Iowa State
200610/28Kansas State31Iowa State10Kansas State
200511/05Iowa State45Kansas State17Iowa State
200411/20Kansas State23Iowa State37Iowa State
200311/08Iowa State0Kansas State45Kansas State
200211/09Kansas State58Iowa State7Kansas State
200111/03Iowa State3Kansas State42Kansas State
200011/03Kansas State56Iowa State10Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State885 Overs
Kansas State1735 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 106 - 53 - 43 - 1
Road Teams10 - 155 - 61 - 34 - 3

(#25) Kansas State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.95 #25
Offense Rating: 23.28 #35
Defense Rating: 3.97 #18
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.1 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #25
Talent Rating: 638.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 7% #48
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.08 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 36%
Good in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Great Run Def Success 34%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Kansas State Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled Cincy, Johnson OK, Def good
(11/18) 2 straight L's w/ Bad Off, Rgame OK but 3 TOs
(11/2) Rgame awful vs Hou, 89 yds, 2.6 ypc. Horrible L
(10/19) Best of B12? Johnson 298 yds, 3 TD @ WVU
(10/13) Rgame not great vs Col, QB Johnson sacked a lot
(9/28) Great W over OK St. Rgame 300 yds (8.8 ypc)
(9/23) Shocking L @ BYU. QB Johnson was awful, 3 TOs
(9/13) Bullied Az. Johnson great runner, still meh passer
(9/11) WR are JAGs, OL meh. QB/RB run game good.
(9/8) Lucky W Tulane, Pass D torched, good Rgame
Kansas State     Ratings Matchup     Iowa State
Power #25
#23
Off #35
#42
Def #18
#37
Talent #67
#61
SP+ #18
#28
SP+ Off #29
#44
SP+ Def #25
#24

Rematch from Week 14
Iowa State -2.5 (51.5)
Iowa State won vs Kansas State this year (29-21)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat Kansas State last year (29-21)
Iowa State beat Kansas State in 2023 (42-35)
Kansas State beat Iowa State in 2022 (10-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 16° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: KSU | ISU
Depth Chart: KSU | ISU
Rosters: KSU | ISU
(#23) Iowa State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 676.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury


  
Kansas State's OC Conor Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson21737258%271225107.3
Ta'Quan Roberson (Tr)3743%18002.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Avery Johnson11360575.433
Dylan Edwards (Tr)7454657.465
Joe Jackson3922715.832
Jayce Brown342014.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown47823517.565
Keagan Johnson29359112.435
Garrett Oakley22236510.728
Dante Cephas (Tr)15184012.335

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine968242
VJ Payne644003
Desmond Purnell4610461
Jordan Riley-Scott422113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell4610461
Tobi Osunsanmi196440
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Travis Bates (Tr)134311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chiddi Obiazor175433
Jordan Riley-Scott422113
VJ Payne644003

Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939
Carson Brown11141112.844
Eli Green (Tr)10115011.534

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Jacob Ellis415120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Jack Sadowsky294111
Marcus Neal181100
Ikenna Ezeogu192110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Jontez Williams462005
Beau Goodwin243012