North Dakota at Iowa State - 2024 Matchup Preview

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Iowa State Cyclones

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa State -30.5 (51.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Iowa State 21 - North Dakota: 3

Fighting Hawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 3 - 21 (3 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Iowa State -13.5 (SP+ ISU -10)
ISU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%

Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (34 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UND Players
ISU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Dakota's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	North Dakota at Iowa State	+30.5	51.5	L 3 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Dakota's Schedule

Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Iowa State vs North Dakota	-30.5	51.5	W 21 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Iowa State at Iowa	+3.0	35.0	W 20 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Iowa State vs Arkansas State	-20.5	52.0	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Iowa State at Houston	-16.0	43.0	W 20 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Iowa State vs Baylor	-13.0	45.0	W 43 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Iowa State at West Virginia	-3.0	54.0	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Iowa State vs UCF	-13.0	49.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Iowa State vs Texas Tech	-13.5	55.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/9	Iowa State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.5	L 36 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/16	Iowa State vs Cincinnati	-7.0	52.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Iowa State at Utah	-6.5	42.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/30	Iowa State vs Kansas State	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 21	U	Y
Sat 12/7	Iowa State vs Arizona State	-1.5	51.5	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/28	Iowa State vs Miami	+5.0	62.0	W 42 - 41	O	Y

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%	3	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	21	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)	31.1	40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)	22.9	46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ISU	#62 (.2)	40% (99)		40% (106)	2.83 (102)	150	41% (77)	236	4.23 (37)	#79 (.18)	43% (81)		46% (101)	38% (41)	3.44 (29)	25.9	1.1	1.5

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Offense	1	3	3	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ISU Defense	14	22.9	18.1	42.6%	3.44	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	46%	38%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Defense	1	21	21	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
ISU Offense	14	31.1	34.1	40.4%	4.23	1.1	21	387	150	236	4.4	51%	49%	40%	41%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Dakota	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Iowa State	14	30:00	20.9	42%	81%	3.6	25.9	1.1	1.5	4.7	1.1	1	30

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
ISU Defense	14	55% (114)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.22 (114)	3.05 (76)	76% (81)	9% (85)	1.08 (112)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
ISU Offense	14	51% (68)	40% (106)	34.4	150.2	4.4	24 (45)	.12 (74)	2.83 (102)	70% (88)	8% (22)	1.1 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ISU Defense	14	45% (21)	38% (41)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (23)	.17 (36)	1.6 (73)	32% (63)	32% (86)	.32 (78)	5% (86)	2 (48)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
ISU Offense	14	49% (67)	41% (77)	18.3	31.1	236.4	7.6	12.9	22 (46)	10 (63)	.29 (49)	1.7 (27)	30% (52)	35% (29)	.39 (41)	7% (94)	2 (70)

North Dakota's Power Ratings
North Dakota's Power Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Dakota's 2024 Expected Record: -
North Dakota's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Iowa State: 13.685

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Iowa State: 10.3

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 13.685 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

North Dakota Scoring
Offense: 3 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 21

North Dakota's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa State 31
North Dakota 18

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa State 34
North Dakota 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Iowa State 27
North Dakota 12

Total Points: 39

Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.1

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Iowa State	21	North Dakota	3	Iowa State -30.5	North Dakota	51.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa State	1	0	0 Overs
North Dakota	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) UND at (#23) ISU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UND	ISU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#23
SP+SP+	NR	#28
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#81
OffenseOff	NR	#81
DefenseDef	NR	#77
Spec TeamsST	NR	#73
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#97

North Dakota Injury Report

Iowa State Notes(11/30) Even w/ KSU, forced 2 TOs, Becht 13/35 for 137?
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury
(9/1) Line play awful vs N Dak, 86 yds rush vs 174 gave up
Iowa State Injury Report

North Dakota on Offense


CategoryCat	UND Off	ISU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#77
SuccessSuc	NR	#81
ExplosiveExp	NR	#83
PPAPPA	NR	#79
PowerPwr	NR	#37
SP+SP+	NR	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	#29
HavocHav	NR	#84

North Dakota Run Game


CategoryCat	UND Off	ISU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#116
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#101
Run ExplRExp	NR	#112
PPAExp	NR	#114
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#76
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#43
TackleTak	-	#114

North Dakota Pass Game


CategoryCat	UND Off	ISU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#41
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#73
PPAExp	NR	#36
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#129
F7 HavocF7	NR	#85
DB HavocDB	NR	#86

Iowa State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	NR
SuccessSuc	#99	NR
ExplosiveExp	#7	NR
PPAPPA	#62	NR
PowerPwr	#42	NR
SP+SP+	#44	NR
Pts POPPO	#37	NR
HavocHav	#40	NR

Iowa State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UND Def
Run GameRun	#51	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#106	NR
Run ExplRExp	#19	NR
PPAExp	#74	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#121	-
OL YdsOLY	#102	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#115	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Iowa State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	ISU Off	UND Def
Pass GamePass	#92	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#77	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#27	NR
PPAExp	#49	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#104	NR
F7 HavocF7	#22	NR
DB HavocDB	#94	NR

Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'24 Profile: Remains Average P4

UND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'24 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79°

Rematch from Week 1
Iowa State -30.5 (51.5)
Iowa State won vs North Dakota this year (21-3)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat North Dakota last year (21-3)

UND's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Dakota's Full Roster

UND's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Bluiett	5	0	0	0	0
Malachi McNeal	4	0	0	0	0
Kason Kelley	4	0	0	0	0
Wyatt Pedigo	4	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Antonio Bluiett	5	0	0	0	0
Dylan Boecker	2	0	0	0	0
Jamal Dixon	1	0	0	0	0
Clayton Bishop	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Lance Rucker	3	1
Antonio Bluiett	5	0
Dylan Boecker	2	0

ISU's OC Taylor Mouser (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rocco Becht	272	457	60%	3505	25	9	7.7
Connor Moberly	5	10	50%	49	0	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Hansen	151	752	13	5.0	57
Abu Sama III	124	587	2	4.7	77
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)	93	388	2	4.2	51
Rocco Becht	98	318	8	3.2	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylin Noel	81	1194	8	14.7	75
Jayden Higgins	87	1183	9	13.6	39
Gabe Burkle	26	296	1	11.4	32
Benjamin Brahmer	10	179	1	17.9	39

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Beau Freyler	84	3	0	0	4
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5
Kooper Ebel	69	6	1	1	0
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.R. Singleton	32	5	4	7	1
Kenard Snyder (Tr)	8	2	2	0	0
Joey Petersen	46	6	2	9	0
Domonique Orange	24	5	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremiah Cooper	48	1	0	0	8
Myles Purchase	35	4	0	0	6
Malik Verdon	75	4	1	1	5