Kansas at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kansas logo   Kansas Jayhawks at Arizona State Sun Devils  Arizona State logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Arizona State -2.5 (50.0) (-130)  Open: -1.5
Arizona State 35 - Kansas: 31  (Big 12)

 
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU coming off BYE
KU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Arizona State -9.5  (SP+ ASU -5)

Projected Score: KU: 21 - ASU: 30 (51)
ASU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
KU Travel: 1004 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona State vs Wyoming-6.547.0W 48 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Arizona State vs Mississippi State-6.557.5W 30 - 23UY
Thu 9/12 Arizona State at Texas State+2.558.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/21 Arizona State at Texas Tech+4.558.5L 22 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Arizona State vs Kansas-2.550.0W 35 - 31OY
Fri 10/11 Arizona State vs Utah+6.046.5W 27 - 19UY
Sat 10/19 Arizona State at Cincinnati+5.551.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Arizona State at Oklahoma State-5.057.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/9 Arizona State vs UCF-2.555.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Arizona State at Kansas State+7.551.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona State vs BYU-3.549.0W 28 - 23OY
Sat 11/30 Arizona State at Arizona-7.552.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Arizona State vs Iowa State+1.551.5W 45 - 19OY
Wed 1/1 Arizona State vs Texas+13.552.5L 31 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU#5 (.4)48% (13)28.147% (28)3.42 (10)20651% (9)2404.43 (27)#83 (.2)45% (108)26.846% (101)44% (102)4.15 (102)56.91.31.5
ASU#110 (.12)38% (112)25.844% (57)3.14 (62)11134% (123)2103.28 (108)#112 (.25)47% (123)24.547% (105)47% (125)3.99 (86)51.81.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Offense1328.121.848.1%4.431.3214462062405.459%40%47%51%13%.4
ASU Defense1224.521.446.5%3.991 - - - - - 42%58%47%47%16%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KU Defense1326.833.244.9%4.151.5 - - - - - 52%48%46%44%15%.2
ASU Offense1225.824.737.7%3.281.7193221112103.643%56%44%34%18%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas1330:5521.548%37%5.656.91.31.54.61.8428.4
Arizona State1230:1618.831%47%5.851.81.715.42.2025.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Offense1359% (13)47% (28)38.42065.432 (10).24 (20)3.42 (10)75% (52)8% (30)1.06 (36)
ASU Defense1242% (5)47% (105) - - - - .2 (104)3.53 (130)72% (63)10% (60)0.99 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KU Defense1352% (95)46% (101) - - - - .2 (101)3.23 (99)78% (98)8% (111)1 (73)
ASU Offense1243% (113)44% (57)31.2111.23.617 (81).2 (42)3.14 (62)67% (107)10% (73)0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Offense1340% (122)51% (9)15.423.9240.11015.624 (41)11 (68).67 (1)1.9 (4)31% (52)35% (24).5 (18)5% (26)2.2 (20)
ASU Defense1258% (129)47% (125) - - - - - - 5 (126).3 (91)1.4 (6)30% (110)33% (105).41 (109)6% (67)1.9 (21)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KU Defense1348% (43)44% (102) - - - - - - 14 (21).23 (47)1.5 (23)31% (75)30% (59).29 (51)7% (48)2 (50)
ASU Offense1256% (23)34% (123)20.336.7210.35.710.48 (128)14 (107).1 (124)1.5 (95)34% (111)25% (113).23 (102)8% (120)2.1 (41)

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 6.04  #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66  #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87  #98
2024 Talent Rating: 343.00  #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9  #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5  #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 6.04   Arizona State: 15.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: 4.9   Arizona State: 9.4




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205  #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03  #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01  #43
2024 Talent Rating: 374.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 30
Kansas 21


Projected Total Points: 51
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Arizona State35Kansas31Arizona State -2.5Arizona State50.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State111 Overs
Kansas000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#41) KU at (#12) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKUASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #41 #12
SP+SP+ #50 #35
Perf GradeGrade #31 #76
OffenseOff #8 #40
DefenseDef #95 #98
Spec TeamsST #8 #86
TalentTal #60 #47
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #53
Kansas Notes
(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report
Kansas on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8 #98
SuccessSuc #13 #123
ExplosiveExp #7 #30
PPAPPA #5 #112
PowerPwr #3 #43
SP+SP+ #32 #26
Pts POPPO #27 #86
HavocHav #16 #62
Kansas Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffASU Def
Run GameRun #11 #81
Run SuccessRSuc #28 #105
Run ExplRExp #36 #65
PPAExp #20 #104
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #130
Stuff RateStuff #25 #129
TackleTak -  #78
Kansas Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
KU OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #51 #69
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #125
Pass ExplPExl #4 #6
PPAExp #1 #91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #14 #134
F7 HavocF7 #30 #60
DB HavocDB #26 #67
Arizona State on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #40 #95
SuccessSuc #112 #108
ExplosiveExp #90 #32
PPAPPA #110 #83
PowerPwr #7 #98
SP+SP+ #32 #68
Pts POPPO #108 #102
HavocHav #101 #95
Arizona State Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat
ASU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #7 #93
Run SuccessRSuc #57 #101
Run ExplRExp #71 #73
PPAExp #42 #101
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #99
Stuff RateStuff #18 #127
TackleTak -  #101
Arizona State Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCatASU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #19 #86
Pass SuccessPSuc #123 #102
Pass ExplPExl #95 #23
PPAExp #124 #47
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #102
F7 HavocF7 #73 #111
DB HavocDB #120 #48
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Arizona State -2.5 (50.0)
Arizona State won vs Kansas this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Kansas in 2024 (35-31)

  
KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)21635062%28852468.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)132552%168006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Skattebo2931715215.953
Sam Leavitt (Tr)11044354.040
Kyson Brown7335124.838
DeCarlos Brooks3714814.015
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordyn Tyson7511011014.759
Cameron Skattebo45605313.466
Xavier Guillory22339515.461
Chamon Metayer (Tr)3230659.629

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Rowser (Tr)984124
Xavion Alford850015
Caleb McCullough768111
Shamari Simmons729044
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah O'Neal285455
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)105310
Prince Dorbah124331
Clayton Smith3363124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keith Abney520019
Laterrance Welch (Tr)190017
Xavion Alford850015