Iowa State at Kansas - 2024 Matchup Preview
Iowa State logo (#12)Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -2.5 (50.5) (-130)  Open: -3.0 | 50.5
Kansas 45 - Iowa State: 36  (Big 12)

 
Cyclones (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (53 - 48)
Avg Score : 31 - 23 (25 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
KU coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa State -5.5   (SP+ ISU -5.5)

Projected Score: ISU: 28 - KU: 23 (51)
ISU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ISU Travel: 227 miles
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Iowa State vs North Dakota-30.551.5W 21 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Iowa State at Iowa+3.035.0W 20 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Iowa State vs Arkansas State-20.552.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/28 Iowa State at Houston-16.043.0W 20 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Iowa State vs Baylor-13.045.0W 43 - 21OY
Sat 10/12 Iowa State at West Virginia-3.054.0W 28 - 16UY
Sat 10/19 Iowa State vs UCF-13.049.5W 38 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Iowa State vs Texas Tech-13.555.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Iowa State vs Kansas-2.550.5L 36 - 45ON
Sat 11/16 Iowa State vs Cincinnati-7.052.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Iowa State at Utah-6.542.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/30 Iowa State vs Kansas State-2.551.5W 29 - 21UY
Sat 12/7 Iowa State vs Arizona State-1.551.5L 19 - 45ON
Sat 12/28 Iowa State vs Miami+5.062.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Kansas's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Kansas vs Lindenwood-48.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/7 Kansas at Illinois-4.558.5L 17 - 23UN
Fri 9/13 Kansas vs UNLV-7.057.0L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/21 Kansas at West Virginia+1.556.0L 28 - 32ON
Sat 9/28 Kansas vs TCU-1.558.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/5 Kansas at Arizona State+2.550.0L 31 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Kansas vs Houston-4.545.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 10/26 Kansas at Kansas State+10.056.5L 27 - 29UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Kansas vs Iowa State+2.550.5W 45 - 36OY
Sat 11/16 Kansas at BYU+3.055.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/23 Kansas vs Colorado+2.559.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 11/30 Kansas at Baylor-2.562.5L 17 - 45UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)31.140% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)22.946% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)29.749% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)2646% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ISU#62 (.2)40% (99)40% (106)2.83 (102)15041% (77)2364.23 (37)#79 (.18)43% (81)46% (101)38% (41)3.44 (29)25.91.11.5
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Offense1431.124.840.4%4.231.1213871502364.451%49%40%41%14%.2
KU Defense12262644.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ISU Defense1422.915.842.6%3.441.5 - - - - - 55%45%46%38%15%.18
KU Offense1229.729.748.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa State1430:0020.942%81%3.625.91.11.54.71.1130
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Offense1451% (68)40% (106)34.4150.24.424 (45).12 (74)2.83 (102)70% (88)8% (22)1.1 (19)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ISU Defense1455% (114)46% (101) - - - - .22 (114)3.05 (76)76% (81)9% (85)1.08 (112)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Offense1449% (67)41% (77)18.331.1236.47.612.922 (46)10 (63).29 (49)1.7 (27)30% (52)35% (29).39 (41)7% (94)2 (70)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ISU Defense1445% (21)38% (41) - - - - - - 14 (23).17 (36)1.6 (73)32% (63)32% (86).32 (78)5% (86)2 (48)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Iowa State's Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Iowa State's Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Iowa State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Iowa State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 12.07   Kansas: 5.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa State: 10.3   Kansas: 4.9




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.8

Iowa State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
Kansas 23


Total Points: 51

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Kansas45Iowa State36KansasIowa State -2.5Kansas50.5Over
202311/04Iowa State21Kansas28KansasIowa State -2.5Kansas53.0Under
202210/01Kansas14Iowa State11KansasIowa State -3.5Kansas59.0Under
202110/02Iowa State59Kansas7Iowa StateIowa State -34.5Iowa State57.5Over
202010/31Kansas22Iowa State52Iowa StateIowa State -28.5Iowa State0
201911/23Iowa State41Kansas31Iowa StateIowa State -26.5Kansas58.0Over
201811/03Kansas3Iowa State27Iowa StateIowa State -18.5Iowa State46.0Under
201710/14Iowa State45Kansas0Iowa StateIowa State -22.5Iowa State63.0Under
201611/12Kansas24Iowa State31Iowa StateIowa State -11.5Kansas54.5Over
201510/03Iowa State38Kansas13Iowa StateIowa State -14.5Iowa State59.5Under
201411/08Kansas34Iowa State14KansasIowa State -4Kansas0
201311/23Iowa State34Kansas0Iowa StateIowa State -5Iowa State0
201211/17Kansas23Iowa State51Iowa State
201111/05Iowa State13Kansas10Iowa State
201010/30Iowa State28Kansas16Iowa State
200910/10Kansas41Iowa State36Kansas
200810/04Iowa State33Kansas35Kansas
200711/17Kansas45Iowa State7Kansas
200611/04Iowa State10Kansas41Kansas
200511/26Kansas24Iowa State21Kansas
200410/30Iowa State13Kansas7Iowa State
200311/22Kansas36Iowa State7Kansas
200208/31Iowa State45Kansas3Iowa State
200111/17Kansas7Iowa State49Iowa State
200011/17Iowa State38Kansas17Iowa State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas1064 Overs
Iowa State1565 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 88 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams8 - 174 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#23) Iowa State Info
Power Rating: 12.07 #23
Offense Rating: 22.95 #42
Defense Rating: 6.20 #37
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #24
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #97
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Iowa State has lost 1 straight
Iowa State has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa State Notes
(11/23) OG'd Utah 405-224. Beat K St = B12 title game
(11/18) Bounce back vs Cincy, Off better, Pass D great
(11/13) Run Def mauled by KU, Rgame abysmal, all Becht
(11/2) Bad L vs T.T., Outgained TT, but TOs, 3rd down bad
(10/22) Def stop rate is 77%, #6 in CFB but bad Offs so far
(10/13) Even w/ WVU, clean game, 9-14 3rd down in W
(10/11) LB's are really beat up going into WVU game
(9/19) WR Noel in top 5 vs M2M coverage. Higgins good #2
(9/8) Great comeback vs Iowa, Becht good, Rgame awful
(9/4) Starting MLB Bacon out indefinitely, leg injury

Iowa State Highlights
Iowa State is Undefeated away from Home

Iowa State offense is explosive (#82)
Iowa State defense is really good in red zone (#50)
Iowa State commits very few Penalties (#25)
Iowa State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Iowa State Deficiencies
Iowa State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#68)
Iowa State run game is really bad (#94)
Iowa State does not Sack the QB (#47)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKUISU
OverallOver#24#57
OffenseOff#8#66
DefenseDef#75#58
Special TeamsST#8#61
PassingPass#41#73
RushingRush#11#36
Run BlockRBLK#6#94
Pass BlockPBLK#14#88
Route RunningWR Rt#41#22
TacklingTkl#87#99
Run DefenseR Def#75#93
Pass Rush DefPRush#87#108
Coverage DefCov#70#14

Rematch from Week 11
Iowa State 2.5 (50.5)
Kansas won vs Iowa State this year (45-36)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Iowa State last year (45-36)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2023 (28-21)
Kansas beat Iowa State in 2022 (14-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ISU | KU
Depth Chart: ISU | KU
Rosters: ISU | KU
(#41) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas has lost 1 straight
Kansas has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas Notes
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth

Kansas Highlights
Kansas has Really Good Running Game (#60)
Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas offense is good in red zone (#34)
Kansas offense is good on 3rd downs
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas commits very few Penalties (#67)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)
Kansas Does Not Stuff Runs (#18)
Kansas has a bad defensive line (#33)


  
Iowa State's OC Taylor Mouser
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocco Becht27245760%35052597.7
Connor Moberly51050%49014.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Hansen151752135.057
Abu Sama III12458724.777
Jaylon Jackson (Tr)9338824.251
Rocco Becht9831883.232
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylin Noel811194814.775
Jayden Higgins871183913.639
Gabe Burkle26296111.432
Benjamin Brahmer10179117.939

View Iowa State's Full Roster
Iowa State's DC Jon Heacock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Freyler843004
Malik Verdon754115
Kooper Ebel696110
Jeremiah Cooper481008
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.R. Singleton325471
Kenard Snyder (Tr)82200
Joey Petersen466290
Domonique Orange245131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Cooper481008
Myles Purchase354006
Malik Verdon754115

Kansas's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels17130057%245414128.2
Cole Ballard5683%51108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Neal2191266165.854
Jalon Daniels9344764.833
Daniel Hishaw Jr.6537635.832
Sevion Morrison2716426.138
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Grimm51690613.570
Quentin Skinner25557422.362
Lawrence Arnold26360113.840
Devin Neal24254110.651

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC Brian Borland
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JB Brown7410552
Cornell Wheeler655004
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jereme Robinson219650
JB Brown7410552
Dean Miller3210543
Marvin Grant594316
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacobee Bryant374107
O.J. Burroughs644006
Marvin Grant594316