Wyoming at Arizona State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Wyoming Cowboys at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, August 31st 2024 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -6.5 (47.0) (-250) Open: -6.0 | 47.5
Arizona State 48 - Wyoming: 7

Cowboys (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jay Sawvel (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Arizona State -31 (SP+ ASU -23)
Projected Score: WYO: 7 - ASU: 38 (44)
ASU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WYO Travel: 647 miles

Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Wyoming at Arizona State	+6.5	47.0	L 7 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/7	Wyoming vs Idaho	-6.5	39.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wyoming vs BYU	+9.5	40.5	L 14 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/21	Wyoming at North Texas	+7.0	55.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/28	Wyoming vs Air Force	+4.0	33.5	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Wyoming vs San Diego State	-1.5	43.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/19	Wyoming at San José State	+13.0	53.0	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wyoming vs Utah State	+2.5	57.0	L 25 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Wyoming at New Mexico	+7.5	60.5	W 49 - 45	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15	Wyoming at Colorado State	+8.5	47.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/23	Wyoming vs Boise State	+22.0	54.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Wyoming at Washington State	+18.5	55.5	W 15 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona State vs Wyoming	-6.5	47.0	W 48 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arizona State vs Mississippi State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Thu 9/12	Arizona State at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+4.5	58.5	L 22 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Arizona State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/11	Arizona State vs Utah	+6.0	46.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Arizona State at Cincinnati	+5.5	51.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Arizona State at Oklahoma State	-5.0	57.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Arizona State vs UCF	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Arizona State at Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona State vs BYU	-3.5	49.0	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Arizona State at Arizona	-7.5	52.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Arizona State vs Iowa State	+1.5	51.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Arizona State vs Texas	+13.5	52.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	#71 (.19)	43% (56)	16	44% (60)	3.25 (41)	158	43% (59)	169	3.97 (60)	#76 (.19)	43% (77)	20.5	42% (58)	44% (104)	3.44 (40)	33.4	0.8	1.7
ASU	#110 (.12)	38% (112)	25.8	44% (57)	3.14 (62)	111	34% (123)	210	3.28 (108)	#112 (.25)	47% (123)	24.5	47% (105)	47% (125)	3.99 (86)	51.8	1.7	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	16	11.3	43.1%	3.97	0.8	19	327	158	169	4.4	56%	44%	44%	43%	14%	.19
ASU Defense	12	24.5	21.4	46.5%	3.99	1	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	47%	47%	16%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	20.5	22.7	42.6%	3.44	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	42%	44%	14%	.19
ASU Offense	12	25.8	24.7	37.7%	3.28	1.7	19	322	111	210	3.6	43%	56%	44%	34%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	30:15	18.6	37%	67%	3.9	33.4	0.8	1.7	3.8	1.5	1	28.9
Arizona State	12	30:16	18.8	31%	47%	5.8	51.8	1.7	1	5.4	2.2	0	25.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	56% (28)	44% (60)	36	158.5	4.4	19 (69)	.17 (53)	3.25 (41)	82% (11)	9% (53)	1 (66)
ASU Defense	12	42% (5)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.2 (104)	3.53 (130)	72% (63)	10% (60)	0.99 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	48% (47)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.13 (64)	3.17 (86)	71% (55)	7% (130)	0.94 (38)
ASU Offense	12	43% (113)	44% (57)	31.2	111.2	3.6	17 (81)	.2 (42)	3.14 (62)	67% (107)	10% (73)	0.99 (71)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	44% (106)	43% (59)	14.5	23.4	168.5	7.2	11.6	20 (70)	6 (14)	.23 (86)	1.5 (101)	29% (23)	32% (61)	.3 (80)	5% (20)	2 (85)
ASU Defense	12	58% (129)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.3 (91)	1.4 (6)	30% (110)	33% (105)	.41 (109)	6% (67)	1.9 (21)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	51% (87)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (53)	.28 (79)	1.5 (25)	32% (74)	31% (81)	.33 (77)	6% (59)	2 (64)
ASU Offense	12	56% (23)	34% (123)	20.3	36.7	210.3	5.7	10.4	8 (128)	14 (107)	.1 (124)	1.5 (95)	34% (111)	25% (113)	.23 (102)	8% (120)	2.1 (41)

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: -17.71 #117
Wyoming's Offense Rating: 11.64 #122
Wyoming's Defense Rating: 11.59 #84
2024 Talent Rating: 213.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Wyoming's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Wyoming's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.6 #115
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #127
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 190
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -17.71 Arizona State: 15.205

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -13.6 Arizona State: 9.4

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 15.205 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 374.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 366.75
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 38
Wyoming 7

Projected Total Points: 44

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	Arizona State	48	Wyoming	7	Arizona State -6.5	Arizona State	47.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	1	1	1 Overs
Wyoming	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#117) WYO at (#12) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#117	#12
SP+SP+	#115	#35
Perf GradeGrade	#105	#76
OffenseOff	#118	#40
DefenseDef	#69	#98
Spec TeamsST	#94	#86
TalentTal	#112	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#102	#53

Wyoming Notes(11/25) Fight w/ Boise, Off awful, Def fought hard in L
(11/18) Off abysmal vs CSU, WR drops all over. Awful TY
(11/15) HC Sawvel is a f'ing idiot, punts down 14 late
(11/3) Off much better, QB Anderson lit up N. Mex in W
(10/20) 310 yds & 3 TOs vs SJSU. Forced 4 TOs in L
(10/17) Running more tempo in '24, Overs are 5-1
(10/13) QB Svoboda awful, Rgame better in L SDSU
(9/20) Off is near worst in CFB. WR awful, QB bad
(9/8) Lost @ home to Idaho? QB awful, penalties
(9/1) Mauled @ ASU, DL 241 yds rushing, run game awful
(8/11) DL may be best in MWC, OL exp'd and rising
(7/31) Exp'd team, great at home, can Off rise up?
Wyoming Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#98
SuccessSuc	#56	#123
ExplosiveExp	#103	#30
PPAPPA	#71	#112
PowerPwr	#122	#43
SP+SP+	#127	#26
Pts POPPO	#60	#86
HavocHav	#30	#62

Wyoming Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#125	#81
Run SuccessRSuc	#60	#105
Run ExplRExp	#66	#65
PPAExp	#53	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#60	-
OL YdsOLY	#41	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#42	#129
TackleTak	-	#78

Wyoming Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	WYO Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#122	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	#59	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#101	#6
PPAExp	#86	#91
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#112	#134
F7 HavocF7	#53	#60
DB HavocDB	#20	#67

Arizona State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#40	#69
SuccessSuc	#112	#77
ExplosiveExp	#90	#29
PPAPPA	#110	#76
PowerPwr	#7	#84
SP+SP+	#32	#95
Pts POPPO	#108	#40
HavocHav	#101	#118

Arizona State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#7	#46
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#58
Run ExplRExp	#71	#38
PPAExp	#42	#64
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#86
Stuff RateStuff	#18	#100
TackleTak	-	#96

Arizona State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#104
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#25
PPAExp	#124	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#75
F7 HavocF7	#73	#130
DB HavocDB	#120	#59

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Arizona State -6.5 (47.0)
Arizona State won vs Wyoming this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Wyoming in 2024 (48-7)

WYO's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Svoboda	111	226	49%	1308	5	8	5.8
Kaden Anderson	70	120	58%	955	6	3	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sam Scott	92	435	3	4.7	43
Harrison Waylee	63	323	1	5.1	36
Jamari Ferrell	80	318	1	4.0	62
Evan Svoboda	109	237	5	2.2	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Sargent	23	480	2	20.9	70
Johnmichael Gyllenborg	30	425	3	14.2	63
Chris Durr Jr.	31	348	1	11.2	40
Tyler King (Tr)	17	236	0	13.9	36

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Aaron Bohl (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shae Suiaunoa	87	10	1	3	2
Connor Shay	76	8	2	2	3
Isaac White	57	2	0	0	2
Wrook Brown	48	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Tyce Westland	41	6	3	0
Sabastian Harsh	41	9	3	1
Braden Siders	20	4	2	0
DeVonne Harris	21	5	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyrecus Davis	42	1	8
Keany Parks	41	1	7
Wrook Brown	48	1	6

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	110	443	5	4.0	40
Kyson Brown	73	351	2	4.8	38
DeCarlos Brooks	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	75	1101	10	14.7	59
Cameron Skattebo	45	605	3	13.4	66
Xavier Guillory	22	339	5	15.4	61
Chamon Metayer (Tr)	32	306	5	9.6	29

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Xavion Alford	85	0	0	1	5
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons	72	9	0	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah O'Neal	28	5	4	5	5
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)	10	5	3	1	0
Prince Dorbah	12	4	3	3	1
Clayton Smith	33	6	3	12	4

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	52	1	9
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	1	7
Xavion Alford	85	1	5