Arizona State at Oklahoma State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Arizona State Sun Devils at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -5 (57.0) (-198) Open: -1.5
Arizona State 42 - Oklahoma State: 21 (Big 12)

Sun Devils (11 - 3) (12 - 2 - 0)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (30 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ASU coming off BYE
Our Line: Arizona State -11 (SP+ ASU -12)
Projected Score: ASU: 34 - OKST: 23 (56)
ASU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
ASU Travel: 863 miles, 2 hrs behind

Cowboys (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Gundy (166 - 79)
Avg Score : 27 - 36 (31 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Arizona State vs Wyoming	-6.5	47.0	W 48 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Arizona State vs Mississippi State	-6.5	57.5	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Thu 9/12	Arizona State at Texas State	+2.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Arizona State at Texas Tech	+4.5	58.5	L 22 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Arizona State vs Kansas	-2.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Fri 10/11	Arizona State vs Utah	+6.0	46.5	W 27 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Arizona State at Cincinnati	+5.5	51.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Arizona State at Oklahoma State	-5.0	57.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Arizona State vs UCF	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Arizona State at Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Arizona State vs BYU	-3.5	49.0	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Arizona State at Arizona	-7.5	52.5	W 49 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Arizona State vs Iowa State	+1.5	51.5	W 45 - 19	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Arizona State vs Texas	+13.5	52.5	L 31 - 39	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Oklahoma State vs South Dakota State	-9.5	54.0	W 44 - 20	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Oklahoma State vs Arkansas	-10.5	60.5	W 39 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Oklahoma State at Tulsa	-17.5	62.5	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Oklahoma State vs Utah	+1.0	53.5	L 19 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/28	Oklahoma State at Kansas State	+6.0	58.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/5	Oklahoma State vs West Virginia	-2.5	65.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18	Oklahoma State at BYU	+8.5	53.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Oklahoma State at Baylor	+7.0	64.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/2	Oklahoma State vs Arizona State	+5.0	57.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Oklahoma State at TCU	+10.5	68.5	L 13 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Oklahoma State vs Texas Tech	+5.0	63.5	L 48 - 56	O	N
Fri 11/29	Oklahoma State at Colorado	+14.5	66.5	L 0 - 52	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)	32.9	52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)	22.6	41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)	27.2	43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)	35.6	47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4
OKST	#52 (.21)	43% (63)		43% (86)	2.79 (107)	114	44% (47)	265	4.22 (42)	#131 (.34)	46% (109)		47% (107)	44% (108)	3.93 (82)	43.2	1.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	14	32.9	30.3	49.8%	4.14	0.6	20	395	187	208	4.9	59%	41%	52%	47%	12%	.31
OKST Defense	12	35.6	34.8	45.6%	3.93	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	47%	44%	15%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	14	22.6	20.7	42.4%	3.64	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	41%	44%	16%	.12
OKST Offense	12	27.2	30.8	43.1%	4.22	1.8	20	379	114	265	3.9	42%	58%	43%	44%	15%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	14	29:54	20.4	47%	53%	6	50.1	0.6	1.4	4	1.3	3	28.6
Oklahoma State	12	27:03	20.4	35%	65%	5	43.2	1.8	1.3	5.5	2.1	1	27.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	14	59% (14)	52% (6)	38.1	187	4.9	28 (25)	.27 (12)	3.35 (19)	73% (76)	7% (18)	0.96 (71)
OKST Defense	12	50% (65)	47% (107)	-	-	-	-	.31 (133)	3.43 (126)	73% (68)	8% (112)	1.25 (133)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	14	45% (14)	41% (49)	-	-	-	-	.04 (27)	2.97 (61)	63% (19)	8% (116)	1 (76)
OKST Offense	12	42% (117)	43% (86)	29.4	114.2	3.9	18 (78)	.04 (109)	2.79 (107)	74% (61)	7% (19)	0.87 (119)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	14	41% (120)	47% (21)	14.9	23.9	208.4	8.7	14	25 (31)	5 (6)	.39 (14)	1.6 (43)	27% (11)	38% (5)	.45 (21)	4% (16)	1.9 (115)
OKST Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (108)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.37 (123)	1.8 (124)	32% (56)	36% (119)	.46 (120)	6% (53)	2.1 (88)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	14	54% (119)	44% (106)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.21 (57)	1.4 (18)	32% (65)	30% (68)	.14 (5)	8% (21)	1.9 (27)
OKST Offense	12	58% (17)	44% (47)	22.3	37.5	264.7	7.1	11.9	22 (46)	17 (127)	.34 (30)	1.6 (67)	31% (66)	31% (82)	.32 (77)	7% (109)	1.9 (99)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 16.01 #12
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 28.03 #7
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 7.01 #43
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Arizona State's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Arizona State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 #35
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 16.01 Oklahoma State: 1.495

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: 9.4 Oklahoma State: -2.6

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 1.495 #59
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: 25.18 #18
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: 14.51 #105
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #53
Oklahoma State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Oklahoma State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #81
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Arizona State's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 12 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona State 34
Oklahoma State 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona State 30
Oklahoma State 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Arizona State 33
Oklahoma State 25

Total Points: 58

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.8
Defense: 35.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.8

Oklahoma State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Oklahoma State	21	Arizona State	42	Arizona State -5	Arizona State	57.0	Over
2023	09/09	Arizona State	15	Oklahoma State	27	Oklahoma State -2.5	Oklahoma State	53.5	Under
2022	09/10	Oklahoma State	34	Arizona State	17	Oklahoma State -12	Oklahoma State	58.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	2	2	1 Overs
Arizona State	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1

(#12) ASU at (#59) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	OKST
Power RatePwr	#12	#59
SP+SP+	#35	#81
Perf GradeGrade	#76	#103
OffenseOff	#40	#65
DefenseDef	#98	#128
Spec TeamsST	#86	#49
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#53

Oklahoma State Notes
(12/10) Hired DC Todd Grantham (NFL, Florida)
(11/29) What does Gundy do to reset? Or does he?
(11/29) Killed by Buffs 52-0. OG'd 471-147. QB/RB awful
(11/29) 18 yr bowl streak over, was 2nd longest in CFB
(11/23) Fight w/ TT, QB Smith great, Def abysmal
(11/13) Quit. Awful vs TCU, Def is shockingly awful
(11/3) Pokes Def is worst in P4 and near worst in CFB
(11/2) Team has Quit. Have all 40 ppg in B12 play.
(10/19) Rangel inj vs BYU, out 'a while'. Bowman back
(10/19) Monitor for quit watch after BYU collapse
(10/18) QB Bowman benched, SO Rangel (FR Flores?)

Arizona State on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	OKST Def
Perf GradePerf	#40	#128
SuccessSuc	#8	#109
ExplosiveExp	#100	#132
PPAPPA	#13	#131
PowerPwr	#7	#105
SP+SP+	#32	#102
Pts POPPO	#48	#82
HavocHav	#11	#89

Arizona State Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#7	#128
Run SuccessRSuc	#6	#107
Run ExplRExp	#71	#133
PPAExp	#12	#133
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	#19	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#30	#119
TackleTak	-	#122

Arizona State Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ASU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#19	#119
Pass SuccessPSuc	#21	#108
Pass ExplPExl	#43	#124
PPAExp	#14	#123
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#20	#126
F7 HavocF7	#18	#112
DB HavocDB	#16	#53

Oklahoma State on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ASU Def
Perf GradePerf	#65	#98
SuccessSuc	#63	#79
ExplosiveExp	#69	#55
PPAPPA	#52	#36
PowerPwr	#18	#43
SP+SP+	#53	#26
Pts POPPO	#42	#51
HavocHav	#45	#75

Oklahoma State Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#92	#81
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#49
Run ExplRExp	#119	#76
PPAExp	#109	#27
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#61
Stuff RateStuff	#80	#47
TackleTak	-	#78

Oklahoma State Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	OKST Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#106
Pass ExplPExl	#67	#18
PPAExp	#30	#57
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#4	#134
F7 HavocF7	#19	#116
DB HavocDB	#109	#21

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Arizona State 5.0 (57.0)
Arizona State won at Oklahoma State this year (42-21)

Previous Matchups
Arizona State beat Oklahoma State last year (42-21)
Oklahoma State beat Arizona State in 2023 (27-15)
Oklahoma State beat Arizona State in 2022 (34-17)

ASU's OC Marcus Arroyo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo	293	1715	21	5.9	53
Sam Leavitt (Tr)	110	443	5	4.0	40
Kyson Brown	73	351	2	4.8	38
DeCarlos Brooks	37	148	1	4.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordyn Tyson	75	1101	10	14.7	59
Cameron Skattebo	45	605	3	13.4	66
Xavier Guillory	22	339	5	15.4	61
Chamon Metayer (Tr)	32	306	5	9.6	29

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Rowser (Tr)	98	4	1	2	4
Xavion Alford	85	0	0	1	5
Caleb McCullough	76	8	1	1	1
Shamari Simmons	72	9	0	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah O'Neal	28	5	4	5	5
Jacob Kongaika (Tr)	10	5	3	1	0
Prince Dorbah	12	4	3	3	1
Clayton Smith	33	6	3	12	4

Pass D	Tack	PRESS	PD
Keith Abney	52	1	9
Laterrance Welch (Tr)	19	1	7
Xavion Alford	85	1	5

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alan Bowman	204	340	60%	2442	17	12	7.2
Maealiuaki Smith	44	75	59%	499	2	4	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ollie Gordon	189	858	12	4.5	68
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Sesi Vailahi	42	99	2	2.4	11
Rodney Fields Jr.	21	99	1	4.7	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
De'Zhaun Stribling	52	892	6	17.2	77
Brennan Presley	89	764	7	8.6	36
Rashod Owens	32	515	4	16.1	58
Talyn Shettron	12	245	1	20.4	78

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Bryan Nardo (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Rucker	84	1	0	0	1
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Parker Robertson	49	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Jeff Roberson	58	9	3	7	0
Obi Ezeigbo (Tr)	42	9	3	4	0
Xavier Ross	12	3	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Korie Black	36	0	0	0	9
Kendal Daniels	64	11	6	3	7
Cam Smith	34	1	0	0	7