Alabama vs Michigan Game Matchup

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines

Monday, January 1st 2024 (5:00 PM EST)
Michigan -2.0 (46.0) (-125) Open: -2.5 | 45.5
Michigan 27 - Alabama: 20 (CFP Semifinal at the Rose Bowl Game Pres. by Prudential)

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Michigan -9 (SP+ MICH -8)
Projected Score: ALA: 19 - MICH: 28 (47)
MICH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
ALA Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ALA Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2
MICH	.28	50%	22	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	19.9	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	33.8	27.8	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33
MICH Defense	14	19.9	21	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	17.4	22.2	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06
MICH Offense	14	22	26.9	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78 Michigan: 29.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7 Michigan: 32.1

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 29.405 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 28
Alabama 19

Projected Total Points: 47

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/31	Michigan	19	Alabama	13	Michigan	Alabama -16.5	Michigan	45.5	Under
2023	01/01	Michigan	27	Alabama	20	Michigan	Michigan -2.0	Michigan	46.0	Over
2019	01/01	Alabama	35	Michigan	16	Alabama	Alabama -8.5	Alabama	62.0	Under
2012	09/01	Alabama	41	Michigan	14	Alabama

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	2	2	1 Overs
Alabama	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

Alabama Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27
2022	Sugar Bowl	Alabama vs Kansas State	-8.0	58.5	W 45 - 20
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33
2021	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Ohio State	-9.5	75.0	W 52 - 24
2020	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Notre Dame	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 14
2019	Citrus Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16
2018	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Clemson	-5.5	56.5	L 16 - 44
2018	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-14.5	81.5	W 45 - 34
2017	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	-3.5	45.5	W 26 - 23
2017	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Clemson	-3.5	46.5	W 24 - 6

Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13
2023	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20
2022	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51
2021	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Georgia	+7.5	47.0	L 11 - 34
2019	Citrus Bowl	Michigan vs Alabama	+8.5	62.0	L 16 - 35
2018	Peach Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41
2017	Outback Bowl	Michigan vs South Carolina	-9.0	42.5	L 19 - 26

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Alabama has played in 11 CFP Playoff Games (7 - 4)
Alabama has played in 10 Bowls in the last 5 years (6 - 4)
Alabama has played in 28 Bowls since 2000 (18 - 10)

Alabama Ratings Matchup Michigan

Power #9

Off #25

#14

Def #21

Talent #1

#10

SP+ #7

SP+ Off #11

#10

SP+ Def #9

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -2.0 (46.0)
Michigan won vs Alabama this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Alabama last year (19-13)
Michigan beat Alabama in 2023 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 64° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | MICH
Depth Chart: ALA | MICH
Rosters: ALA | MICH

(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.405 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Michigan has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Michigan has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 4)
Michigan has played in 22 Bowls since 2000 (8 - 14)

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6

Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1
Donovan Edwards	1	1	100%	23	1	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
C.J. Stokes	7	33	1	4.7	13
Eamonn Dennis	5	30	0	6.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Matthew Hibner	24	368	4	15.3	80
Jake Thaw	41	334	5	8.1	29
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44

View Michigan's Full Roster

Michigan's DC Jesse Minter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Keon Sabb	39	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	13	9	7	0
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5
Jerome Nichols	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun	21	1	0	0	9
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5