Alabama at Auburn Game Matchup

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -14.0 (48.0) (-700) Open: -13.0 | 49.0
Alabama 27 - Auburn: 24 (SEC)

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AUB 2nd straight Home Game
AUB is playing their 7th straight game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -10.5 (SP+ ALA -15.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - AUB: 20 (51)
ALA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ALA Travel: 127 miles

Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (3 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (33 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
AUB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Auburn's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Auburn vs Massachusetts	-35.0	52.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Auburn at California	-5.0	55.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Auburn vs Samford	-37.5	62.0	W 45 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/23	Auburn at Texas A&M	+9.5	51.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/30	Auburn vs Georgia	+14.0	44.5	L 20 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Auburn at LSU	+11.0	60.0	L 18 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Auburn vs Ole Miss	+6.5	55.5	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Auburn vs Mississippi State	-6.5	40.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Auburn at Vanderbilt	-12.5	50.0	W 31 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Auburn at Arkansas	+2.5	46.5	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Auburn vs New Mexico State	-25.5	48.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/25	Auburn vs Alabama	+14.0	48.0	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Auburn vs Maryland	-4.0	47.5	L 13 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2
AUB	.2	39%	27.8	43%	3.01	206	33%	173	3.74	.18	42%	21.3	49%	36%	4.57	57.3	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AUB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	33.8	27.8	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33
AUB Defense	12	21.3	20.8	42.2%	4.57	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	49%	36%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	17.4	22.2	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06
AUB Offense	12	27.8	33.1	39%	3.74	1.8	18	379	206	173	5.1	59%	40%	43%	33%	19%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2
Auburn	12	30:13	18.1	36%	59%	7.5	57.3	1.8	1.5	5.2	2.2	1	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09
AUB Defense	12	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.14	76%	10%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94
AUB Offense	12	59%	43%	40.7	205.8	5.1	25	.25	3.01	86%	13%	1.24

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4
AUB Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.13	1.5	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9
AUB Offense	12	40%	33%	13.3	25.7	172.7	6.7	13	9	12	.14	1.8	37%	27%	.25	5%	2.2

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78 Auburn: 9.69

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7 Auburn: 8.1

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Auburn's Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Auburn's Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
2023 Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 30
Auburn 20

Projected Total Points: 51

Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Alabama	28	Auburn	14	Alabama	Alabama -10.5	Alabama	50.5	Under
2023	11/25	Auburn	24	Alabama	27	Alabama	Alabama -14.0	Auburn	48.0	Over
2022	11/26	Alabama	49	Auburn	27	Alabama	Alabama -22	Push	51.0	Over
2021	11/27	Auburn	22	Alabama	24	Alabama	Alabama -21	Auburn	57.5	Under
2020	11/28	Alabama	42	Auburn	13	Alabama	Alabama -24.5	Alabama	65.0	Under
2019	11/30	Auburn	48	Alabama	45	Auburn	Alabama -3.5	Auburn	51.0	Over
2018	11/24	Alabama	52	Auburn	21	Alabama	Alabama -26	Alabama	53.0	Over
2017	11/25	Auburn	26	Alabama	14	Auburn	Alabama -5	Auburn	47.5	Under
2016	11/26	Alabama	30	Auburn	12	Alabama	Alabama -20	Auburn	47.0	Under
2015	11/28	Auburn	13	Alabama	29	Alabama	Alabama -13	Alabama	47.5	Under
2014	11/29	Alabama	55	Auburn	44	Alabama	Alabama -7	Alabama	0
2013	11/30	Auburn	34	Alabama	28	Auburn	Alabama -9.5	Auburn	0
2012	11/24	Alabama	49	Auburn	0	Alabama
2011	11/26	Auburn	14	Alabama	42	Alabama
2010	11/26	Alabama	27	Auburn	28	Auburn
2009	11/27	Auburn	21	Alabama	26	Alabama
2008	11/29	Alabama	36	Auburn	0	Alabama
2007	11/24	Auburn	17	Alabama	10	Auburn
2006	11/18	Alabama	15	Auburn	22	Auburn
2005	11/19	Auburn	28	Alabama	18	Auburn
2004	11/20	Alabama	13	Auburn	21	Auburn
2003	11/22	Auburn	28	Alabama	23	Auburn
2001	11/17	Auburn	7	Alabama	31	Alabama
2000	11/17	Alabama	0	Auburn	9	Auburn

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Auburn	10	6	4 Overs
Alabama	14	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	9 - 2	4 - 1	5 - 1
Road Teams	10 - 14	2 - 9	1 - 5	1 - 4

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

,
,

Alabama Ratings Matchup Auburn

Power #9

#32

Off #25

#70

Def #21

#44

Talent #1

#23

SP+ #7

#36

SP+ Off #11

#65

SP+ Def #9

#24

Rematch from Week 13
Alabama 14.0 (48.0)
Alabama won at Auburn this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2022 (49-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | AUB
Depth Chart: ALA | AUB
Rosters: ALA | AUB

(#32) Auburn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.69 #32
Offense Rating: 16.07 #70
Defense Rating: 7.76 #44
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #24
Talent Rating: 830.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 52 #15
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

,
,

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6

Auburn's OC Philip Montgomery

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Payton Thorne (Tr)	199	317	63%	2713	21	9	8.6
Robby Ashford	23	32	72%	324	2	0	10.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jarquez Hunter	187	1201	8	6.4	50
Payton Thorne (Tr)	112	283	2	2.5	31
Robby Ashford	41	227	2	5.5	38
Ja'Varrius Johnson	4	40	0	10.0	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly	53	869	4	16.4	71
Malcolm Johnson Jr.	49	573	3	11.7	50
Rivaldo Fairweather (Tr)	31	372	2	12.0	43
Tyler Fromm	25	249	2	10.0	30

View Auburn's Full Roster

Auburn's DC Ron Roberts

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen McLeod (Tr)	56	14	8	2	1
Eugene Asante	44	4	2	7	0
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Cam Riley	37	4	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Colton Hood	23	1	0	0	6
Donovan Kaufman	74	4	1	6	4
Austin Keys (Tr)	39	2	0	4	2