Michigan at Iowa - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, December 2nd 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
Michigan -23.5 (35.0) (-2400) Open: -23.5 | 35.0
Michigan 26 - Iowa: 0 (Big Ten Championship)

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA is playing their 5th straight game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -25.5 (SP+ MICH -24)
Projected Score: MICH: 33 - IOWA: 8 (41)
MICH Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
MICH Travel: 214 miles

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	.28	50%	27.5	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	20.4	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4
IOWA		36%	29.3	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	16.1	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	14	27.5	26.4	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28
IOWA Defense	13	16.1	13.7	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	14	20.4	24.4	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04
IOWA Offense	13	29.3	28.3	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 850.43 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71 Iowa: 4.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1 Iowa: 8.1

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 4.01 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 692.62 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 33
Iowa 8

Projected Total Points: 41

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/02	Iowa	0	Michigan	26	Michigan -23.5	Michigan	35.0	Under
2022	10/01	Iowa	14	Michigan	27	Michigan -10.5	Michigan	42.0	Under
2021	12/04	Iowa	3	Michigan	42	Michigan -12	Michigan	43.5	Over
2019	10/05	Michigan	10	Iowa	3	Michigan -4	Michigan	48.0	Under
2016	11/12	Iowa	14	Michigan	13	Michigan -18.5	Iowa	51.0	Under
2013	11/23	Iowa	24	Michigan	21	Iowa -3.5	Michigan	0
2012	11/17	Michigan	42	Iowa	17
2011	11/05	Iowa	24	Michigan	16
2010	10/16	Michigan	28	Iowa	38
2009	10/10	Iowa	30	Michigan	28
2006	10/21	Michigan	20	Iowa	6
2005	10/22	Iowa	20	Michigan	23
2004	09/25	Michigan	30	Iowa	17
2003	10/04	Iowa	30	Michigan	27
2002	10/26	Michigan	9	Iowa	34
2001	10/27	Iowa	26	Michigan	32

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	7	1	1 Overs
Michigan	9	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 7	2 - 4	1 - 1	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 9	4 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 1

(#1) MICH at (#61) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#1	#61
SP+SP+	#1	#36
Perf GradeGrade	#1	#53
OffenseOff	#6	#134
DefenseDef	#1	#4
Spec TeamsST	#27	#5
TalentTal	#14	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	#16	#38

Michigan Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#6	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#14	#3
SP+SP+	#10	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#51	#1
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#51	#42
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#134	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#133	#1
SP+SP+	#127	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#134	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#2

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#98	#3
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'23 Profile: Remains Average P4

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lucas Oil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Michigan 23.5 (35.0)
Michigan won at Iowa this year (26-0)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Iowa in 2023 (26-0)

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
J.J. McCarthy	240	332	72%	2991	22	4	9.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	15	17	88%	130	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Corum	258	1245	27	4.8	59
Donovan Edwards	119	497	5	4.2	46
Kalel Mullings	36	222	1	6.2	23
J.J. McCarthy	64	202	3	3.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Wilson	48	789	12	16.4	47
Colston Loveland	45	649	4	14.4	54
Cornelius Johnson	47	604	1	12.9	50
Donovan Edwards	30	249	0	8.3	37

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Junior Colson	89	2	0	2	2
Michael Barrett	61	4	3	5	2
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)	44	2	0	0	0
Makari Paige	38	0	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Harrell	30	10	8	5	1
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	9	6	3	2
Derrick Moore	34	6	5	4	2
Braiden McGregor	26	9	5	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mike Sainristil	36	5	2	3	6
Will Johnson	0	0	0	0	4
Josh Wallace (Tr)	28	2	0	0	4

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)	122	251	49%	1152	5	8	4.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)	46	90	51%	505	4	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Leshon Williams	170	821	1	4.8	82
Kaleb Johnson	117	463	3	4.0	67
Jaziun Patterson	58	206	2	3.6	59
Kamari Moulton	27	93	2	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erick All (Tr)	21	299	3	14.2	34
Nico Ragaini	31	255	0	8.2	29
Kaleb Brown	22	215	1	9.8	31
Addison Ostrenga	31	192	2	6.2	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	171	5	2	3	3
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Quinn Schulte	65	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Yahya Black	50	5	4	2	4
Logan Lee	55	6	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermari Harris	42	1	0	0	8
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5