Michigan at Maryland - 2023 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#21)Michigan Wolverines at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan -17.5 (50.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 31 - Maryland: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 36 - 10 (40 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -19   (SP+ MICH -23)

Projected Score: MICH: 35 - MD: 16 (51)
MICH Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
MICH Travel: 422 miles
Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (32 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Maryland's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Maryland vs Towson-38.555.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/9 Maryland vs Charlotte-24.550.0W 38 - 20ON
Fri 9/15 Maryland vs Virginia-16.548.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Maryland at Michigan State-7.052.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 9/30 Maryland vs Indiana-14.550.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Maryland at Ohio State+17.056.5L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Maryland vs Illinois-13.552.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Maryland at Northwestern-14.048.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Maryland vs Penn State+8.550.5L 15 - 51ON
Sat 11/11 Maryland at Nebraska-1.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Maryland vs Michigan+17.550.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Maryland at Rutgers-2.045.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 12/30 Maryland vs Auburn+4.047.5W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#11 (.33)50% (7)35.947% (31)3.26 (39)14056% (2)1904.79 (10)#1 (-.01)32% (1)10.432% (4)33% (4)2.37 (1)22.80.51.6
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)29.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)22.544% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1535.940.250.3%4.790.5183301401904.356%44%47%56%11%.33
MD Defense1322.523.740.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1510.411.232.3%2.371.6 - - - - - 49%50%32%33%21%-.01
MD Offense1329.732.144%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1528:2517.747%79%2.522.80.51.64.92.1433.6
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1556% (25)47% (31)32.9140.24.335 (5).19 (45)3.26 (39)76% (46)7% (7)0.91 (107)
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1549% (50)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (1)2.57 (9)55% (4)12% (13)0.85 (11)
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1544% (105)56% (2)15.521189.6912.221 (65)5 (6).55 (5)1.5 (89)28% (11)38% (11).52 (16)4% (12)2 (77)
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1550% (79)33% (4) - - - - - - 16 (9).09 (7)1.6 (67)36% (19)25% (16).07 (1)9% (3)1.7 (3)
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71   Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1   Maryland: 9.2




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.2
Defense: 10.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 35
Maryland 16


Total Points: 51

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.1
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.7

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Maryland24Michigan31MichiganMichigan -17.5Maryland50.5Over
202209/24Michigan34Maryland27MichiganMichigan -17Maryland66.0Under
202111/20Maryland18Michigan59MichiganMichigan -16Michigan58.5Over
201911/02Maryland7Michigan38MichiganMichigan -21.5Michigan57.5Under
201810/06Michigan42Maryland21MichiganMichigan -17.5Michigan44.0Over
201711/11Maryland10Michigan35MichiganMichigan -16.5Michigan48.5Under
201611/05Michigan59Maryland3MichiganMichigan -26.5Michigan54.5Over
201510/03Maryland0Michigan28MichiganMichigan -12Michigan45.0Under
201411/22Michigan16Maryland23MarylandMichigan -3Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland134 Overs
Michigan864 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 63 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams6 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#1) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20


Michigan has won 10 straight
Michigan has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Michigan Highlights
Michigan in Undefeated

Michigan offense is efficent (#99)
Michigan offense is good in red zone (#37)
Michigan offense is good on 3rd downs
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)

Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan defense is really good in red zone (#89)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan has a good pass defense (#70)
Michigan Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMDMICH
OverallOver#53#1
OffenseOff#58#6
DefenseDef#49#1
Special TeamsST#52#27
PassingPass#35#10
RushingRush#49#36
Run BlockRBLK#58#9
Pass BlockPBLK#47#44
Route RunningWR Rt#47#6
TacklingTkl#30#2
Run DefenseR Def#82#2
Pass Rush DefPRush#60#2
Coverage DefCov#17#1

Rematch from Week 12
Michigan 17.5 (50.5)
Michigan won at Maryland this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Maryland in 2023 (31-24)
Michigan beat Maryland in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | MD
Depth Chart: MICH | MD
Rosters: MICH | MD
(#31) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10


Maryland has won 1 straight
Maryland has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Maryland Highlights
Maryland defense does not give up big plays (#115)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Does Not Stuff Runs (#62)


  
Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
J.J. McCarthy24033272%29912249.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)151788%130107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Corum2581245274.859
Donovan Edwards11949754.246
Kalel Mullings3622216.223
J.J. McCarthy6420233.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Wilson487891216.447
Colston Loveland45649414.454
Cornelius Johnson47604112.950
Donovan Edwards3024908.337

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Junior Colson892022
Michael Barrett614352
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)442000
Makari Paige380012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Harrell3010851
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)339632
Derrick Moore346542
Braiden McGregor269573
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mike Sainristil365236
Will Johnson00004
Josh Wallace (Tr)282004

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taulia Tagovailoa29043766%337725117.7
Billy Edwards103033%128114.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby14368044.840
Colby McDonald5330625.835
Antwain Littleton II6925523.732
Billy Edwards299173.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeshaun Jones56790414.164
Tai Felton48723615.157
Kaden Prather (Tr)42666515.957
Corey Dyches49491210.044

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Brade754006
Ruben Hyppolite II663101
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Tarheeb Still452002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kellan Wyatt347531
Caleb Wheatland416421
Tre Colbert273300
Jaishawn Barham373331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquan Sheppard313108
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Beau Brade754006