Michigan at Nebraska - 2023 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#21)Michigan Wolverines at Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -17 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 45 - Nebraska: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 36 - 10 (40 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NEB 3rd straight Home Game
NEB is playing their 5th straight game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -26   (SP+ MICH -32)

Projected Score: MICH: 34 - NEB: 8 (41)
MICH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MICH Travel: 677 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 18 (20 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Nebraska at Minnesota+7.543.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 9/9 Nebraska at Colorado+2.556.5L 14 - 36UN
Sat 9/16 Nebraska vs Northern Illinois-11.542.5W 35 - 11OY
Sat 9/23 Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech-20.544.5W 28 - 14UN
Sat 9/30 Nebraska vs Michigan+17.039.5L 7 - 45ON
Fri 10/6 Nebraska at Illinois+3.543.0W 20 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Nebraska vs Northwestern-10.540.0W 17 - 9UN
Sat 10/28 Nebraska vs Purdue+1.039.5W 31 - 14OY
Sat 11/4 Nebraska at Michigan State-3.034.5L 17 - 20ON
Sat 11/11 Nebraska vs Maryland+1.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/18 Nebraska at Wisconsin+7.536.5L 17 - 24OY
Fri 11/24 Nebraska vs Iowa-3.025.5L 10 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#11 (.33)50% (7)35.947% (31)3.26 (39)14056% (2)1904.79 (10)#1 (-.01)32% (1)10.432% (4)33% (4)2.37 (1)22.80.51.6
NEB#105 (.13)38% (111)1842% (84)3.31 (33)17734% (125)1363.33 (104)#18 (.1)38% (22)18.337% (18)39% (31)3.09 (16)42.32.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
NEB#74 (.18)45% (37)48% (22)3.21 (40)12143% (55)2103.38 (114)#44 (.13)40% (50)39% (24)42% (82)3.06 (11)48.91.31.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1535.940.250.3%4.790.5183301401904.356%44%47%56%11%.33
NEB Defense1218.31737.6%3.091.2 - - - - - 43%56%37%39%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1510.411.232.3%2.371.6 - - - - - 49%50%32%33%21%-.01
NEB Offense121819.738.1%3.332.6163131771364.462%36%42%34%22%.13

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1528:2517.747%79%2.522.80.51.64.92.1433.6
Nebraska1230:5316.438%50%542.32.61.26.32.7029
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1556% (25)47% (31)32.9140.24.335 (5).19 (45)3.26 (39)76% (46)7% (7)0.91 (107)
NEB Defense1243% (8)37% (18) - - - - .03 (16)3.15 (81)73% (70)12% (22)0.77 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1549% (50)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (1)2.57 (9)55% (4)12% (13)0.85 (11)
NEB Offense1262% (5)42% (84)39.8176.84.416 (89).12 (84)3.31 (33)76% (51)14% (129)0.99 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1544% (105)56% (2)15.521189.6912.221 (65)5 (6).55 (5)1.5 (89)28% (11)38% (11).52 (16)4% (12)2 (77)
NEB Defense1256% (126)39% (31) - - - - - - 9 (87).2 (31)1.5 (35)35% (25)26% (20).27 (44)8% (17)2.1 (83)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1550% (79)33% (4) - - - - - - 16 (9).09 (7)1.6 (67)36% (19)25% (16).07 (1)9% (3)1.7 (3)
NEB Offense1236% (129)34% (125)11.321.8135.96.31210 (120)16 (121).24 (85)1.9 (7)34% (100)25% (118).28 (84)7% (110)2.4 (5)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71   Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1   Nebraska: 0.1




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.2
Defense: 10.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 34
Nebraska 8


Total Points: 41

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 18 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 18.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Nebraska7Michigan45MichiganMichigan -17Michigan39.5Over
202211/12Michigan34Nebraska3MichiganMichigan -30.5Michigan49.5Under
202110/09Nebraska29Michigan32MichiganMichigan -2.5Michigan50.5Over
201809/22Michigan56Nebraska10MichiganMichigan -18Michigan52.0Over
201311/09Michigan13Nebraska17NebraskaMichigan -6.5Nebraska0
201210/27Nebraska23Michigan9Nebraska
201111/19Michigan45Nebraska17Michigan
200512/28Nebraska32Michigan28Nebraska
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska313 Overs
Michigan541 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 32 - 32 - 10 - 2
Road Teams3 - 53 - 22 - 01 - 2

(#1) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20


Michigan has won 4 straight
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Michigan Highlights
Michigan in Undefeated

Michigan offense is efficent (#99)
Michigan offense is good in red zone (#37)
Michigan offense is good on 3rd downs
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)

Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan defense is really good in red zone (#89)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan has a good pass defense (#70)
Michigan Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNEBMICH
OverallOver#80#1
OffenseOff#107#6
DefenseDef#33#1
Special TeamsST#9#27
PassingPass#114#10
RushingRush#93#36
Run BlockRBLK#39#9
Pass BlockPBLK#66#44
Route RunningWR Rt#108#6
TacklingTkl#13#2
Run DefenseR Def#45#2
Pass Rush DefPRush#71#2
Coverage DefCov#28#1

Rematch from Week 5
Michigan 17.0 (39.5)
Michigan won at Nebraska this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Nebraska in 2023 (45-7)
Michigan beat Nebraska in 2022 (34-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | NEB
Depth Chart: MICH | NEB
Rosters: MICH | NEB
(#53) Nebraska Info
Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50


Nebraska has won 2 straight
Nebraska has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Nebraska Highlights
Nebraska does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#87)

Nebraska has a really good defense (#99)
Nebraska defense does not give up big plays (#7)
Nebraska defense is really good in red zone (#8)
Nebraska has a good run defense (#135)
Nebraska Front 7 is disruptive (#129)
Nebraska Secondary is very good (#5)
Nebraska commits very few Penalties (#6)

Nebraska Deficiencies
Nebraska has a really bad Offense
Nebraska has a really bad Offense at Home
Nebraska has a bad TO Margin (#1)
Nebraska Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Nebraska throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Nebraska offense is really bad (#28)
Nebraska offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#111)
Nebraska pass game is really bad (#20)
Nebraska Does Not Stuff Runs (#88)


  
Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
J.J. McCarthy24033272%29912249.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)151788%130107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Corum2581245274.859
Donovan Edwards11949754.246
Kalel Mullings3622216.223
J.J. McCarthy6420233.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Wilson487891216.447
Colston Loveland45649414.454
Cornelius Johnson47604112.950
Donovan Edwards3024908.337

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Junior Colson892022
Michael Barrett614352
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)442000
Makari Paige380012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Harrell3010851
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)339632
Derrick Moore346542
Braiden McGregor269573
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mike Sainristil365236
Will Johnson00004
Josh Wallace (Tr)282004

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Heinrich Haarberg7715749%967776.2
Chubba Purdy315754%382236.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Heinrich Haarberg12047754.072
Anthony Grant10441334.034
Emmett Johnson9041124.629
Gabe Ervin3819615.227
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Billy Kemp (Tr)3531018.934
Thomas Fidone Jr.25260410.429
Jaylen Lloyd6237339.573
Alex Bullock15221114.734

View Nebraska's Full Roster
Nebraska's DC Tony White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Gifford867108
Javin Wright512102
Omar Brown513003
John Bullock503212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jimari Butler349612
Luke Reimer488550
Nash Hutmacher408542
Cameron Lenhardt165310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tommi Hill261009
Isaac Gifford867108
Malcolm Hartzog402006