Michigan at Nebraska Game Matchup

Michigan Wolverines at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -17 (39.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan 45 - Nebraska: 7 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 95.2° (33% Hum)
Wind: 20.5 MPH
NEB 3rd straight Home Game
NEB is playing their 5th straight game
MICH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -26 (SP+ MICH -32)
Projected Score: MICH: 33 - NEB: 7 (43)
MICH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
MICH Travel: 677 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	.28	50%	22	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	19.9	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4
NEB	.2	41%	23.5	40%	2.97	123	42%	221	3.84	.2	47%	19.5	52%	43%	4.11	42.5	1.6	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	14	22	13	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28
NEB Defense	12	19.5	15.7	47.3%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	52%	43%	14%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	14	19.9	19.5	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04
NEB Offense	12	23.5	29.1	41%	3.84	1.6	18	344	123	221	3.5	51%	49%	40%	42%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7
Nebraska	12	26:48	18.1	40%	43%	5.4	42.5	1.6	1.6	5	1.8	1	26.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02
NEB Defense	12	51%	52%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	80%	8%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87
NEB Offense	12	51%	40%	35	123.3	3.5	17	.08	2.97	76%	11%	0.86

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9
NEB Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.4	30%	31%	.22	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2
NEB Offense	12	49%	42%	17.1	28.3	220.8	7.8	12.9	17	13	.35	1.7	34%	29%	.28	6%	1.8

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71 Nebraska: 3.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1 Nebraska: 0.1

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 33
Nebraska 7

Projected Total Points: 43

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.1
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Nebraska	7	Michigan	45	Michigan	Michigan -17	Michigan	39.5	Over
2022	11/12	Michigan	34	Nebraska	3	Michigan	Michigan -30.5	Michigan	49.5	Under
2021	10/09	Nebraska	29	Michigan	32	Michigan	Michigan -2.5	Michigan	50.5	Over
2018	09/22	Michigan	56	Nebraska	10	Michigan	Michigan -18	Michigan	52.0	Over
2013	11/09	Michigan	13	Nebraska	17	Nebraska	Michigan -6.5	Nebraska	0
2012	10/27	Nebraska	23	Michigan	9	Nebraska
2011	11/19	Michigan	45	Nebraska	17	Michigan
2005	12/28	Nebraska	32	Michigan	28	Nebraska

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	3	1	3 Overs
Michigan	5	4	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	2 - 3	2 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 0	1 - 2

(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Michigan Ratings Matchup Nebraska

Power #1

#53

Off #14

#121

Def #1

#28

Talent #10

#21

SP+ #1

#65

SP+ Off #10

#123

SP+ Def #1

Rematch from Week 5
Michigan 17.0 (39.5)
Michigan won at Nebraska this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Nebraska in 2023 (45-7)
Michigan beat Nebraska in 2022 (34-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 95° - Wind: 21 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | NEB
Depth Chart: MICH | NEB
Rosters: MICH | NEB

(#53) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.355 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1
Donovan Edwards	1	1	100%	23	1	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
C.J. Stokes	7	33	1	4.7	13
Eamonn Dennis	5	30	0	6.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Matthew Hibner	24	368	4	15.3	80
Jake Thaw	41	334	5	8.1	29
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44

View Michigan's Full Roster

Michigan's DC Jesse Minter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Keon Sabb	39	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	13	9	7	0
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5
Jerome Nichols	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun	21	1	0	0	9
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5

Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7
Brian Buschini	2	2	100%	38	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jeff Sims (Tr)	24	101	1	4.2	12
Maurice Mazzccua	5	8	0	1.6	5
Isaiah Neyor	2	6	0	3.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Neyor	34	455	5	13.4	59
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33
Rahmir Johnson	21	179	1	8.5	36
Jake Appleget	4	45	0	11.3	20

View Nebraska's Full Roster

Nebraska's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Javier Morton	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman (Tr)	29	5	4	4	0
Nash Hutmacher	24	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamon Lynum	37	2	1	0	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4