Tennessee at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -8.5 (47.5) (-350)  Open: -8.0 | 49.0
Alabama 34 - Tennessee: 20  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -11.5  (SP+ ALA -11)
Projected Score: TENN: 21 - ALA: 32 (53)
ALA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
ALA.3347%29.546%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%19.242%36%3.4968.71.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1339.83751.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37
ALA Defense1319.211.438.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
ALA Offense1329.539.346.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48%  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71   Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0   Alabama: 23.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74  #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42  #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95  #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1015.43  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90  #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7  #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1  #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 32
Tennessee 21

Projected Total Points: 53
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Alabama37Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama60.5Under
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17Alabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49Alabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24Alabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48Alabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13Alabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58Alabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7Alabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49Alabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14Alabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34Alabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10Alabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1986 Overs
Tennessee755 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 55 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 83 - 32 - 5

(#24) TENN at (#9) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #24 #9
SP+SP+ #19 #7
Perf GradeGrade #37 #3
OffenseOff #59 #10
DefenseDef #33 #6
Spec TeamsST #13 #3
TalentTal #16 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #17 #1
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #21
SP+SP+ #28 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Run GameRun #22 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #53 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #73 #13
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #25 #31
SP+SP+ #11 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #15 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #32 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #43 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Alabama -8.5 (47.5)
Alabama won vs Tennessee this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Tennessee last year (37-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2024 (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)

  
TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014

ALA's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe18728466%283423610.0
Ty Simpson112055%179009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jase McClellan18089084.934
Roydell Williams11156055.048
Jalen Milroe161531123.353
Jamarion Miller4120114.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Burton39798820.568
Isaiah Bond48668413.952
Amari Niblack20327416.439
Kobe Prentice18314217.479

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kevin Steele (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Downs1074003
Deontae Lawson676344
Jihaad Campbell664133
Terrion Arnold6371212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Turner531611131
Chris Braswell4211851
Justin Eboigbe6312741
Deontae Lawson676344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrion Arnold6371212
Kool-Aid McKinstry322007
Trey Amos (Tr)121015