Tennessee at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -8.5 (47.5) (-350) Open: -8.0 | 49.0
Alabama 34 - Tennessee: 20 (SEC)

Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (22 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -11.5 (SP+ ALA -11)
Projected Score: TENN: 19 - ALA: 30 (52)
ALA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TENN Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tennessee vs Virginia	-27.5	56.0	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-48.0	65.5	W 30 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tennessee at Florida	-5.0	57.0	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Tennessee vs UTSA	-24.0	59.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-12.0	59.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Tennessee vs Texas A&M	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	47.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	Tennessee at Kentucky	-4.0	50.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Tennessee vs UConn	-35.0	55.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Tennessee at Missouri	-1.0	58.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tennessee vs Georgia	+9.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-27.0	58.0	W 48 - 24	O	N
Mon 1/1	Tennessee vs Iowa	-4.5	37.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN	.37	51%	35.7	51%	3.3	199	51%	326	4.81	.18	41%	16.1	39%	43%	3.16	69.5	0.8	1.8
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Offense	13	35.7	21.8	51.1%	4.81	0.8	25	526	199	326	5	50%	50%	51%	51%	10%	.37
ALA Defense	13	17.4	13.7	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TENN Defense	13	16.1	26	41.2%	3.16	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	39%	43%	16%	.18
ALA Offense	13	33.8	41	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tennessee	13	25:14	25.4	41%	68%	8.1	69.5	0.8	1.8	7	2.4	1	30.6
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Offense	13	50%	51%	40.2	199.5	5	40	.29	3.3	80%	7%	1.03
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TENN Defense	13	44%	39%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.65	70%	11%	0.98
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Offense	13	50%	51%	22.3	32.5	326.1	10.1	14.6	38	3	.45	1.6	25%	32%	.4	3%	2.2
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TENN Defense	13	56%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.29	1.6	32%	32%	.33	5%	2
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71 Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0 Alabama: 23.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 30
Tennessee 19

Projected Total Points: 52

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Tennessee	24	Alabama	17	Tennessee	Alabama -3.5	Tennessee	57.5	Under
2023	10/21	Alabama	34	Tennessee	20	Alabama	Alabama -8.5	Alabama	47.5	Over
2022	10/15	Tennessee	52	Alabama	49	Tennessee	Alabama -9	Tennessee	68.0	Over
2021	10/23	Alabama	52	Tennessee	24	Alabama	Alabama -24.5	Alabama	68.0	Over
2020	10/24	Tennessee	17	Alabama	48	Alabama	Alabama -21.5	Alabama	67.0	Under
2019	10/19	Alabama	35	Tennessee	13	Alabama	Alabama -35	Tennessee	62.0	Under
2018	10/20	Tennessee	21	Alabama	58	Alabama	Alabama -29.5	Alabama	57.5	Over
2017	10/21	Alabama	45	Tennessee	7	Alabama	Alabama -36.5	Alabama	51.5	Over
2016	10/15	Tennessee	10	Alabama	49	Alabama	Alabama -9	Alabama	54.5	Over
2015	10/24	Alabama	19	Tennessee	14	Alabama	Alabama -14.5	Tennessee	48.5	Under
2014	10/25	Tennessee	20	Alabama	34	Alabama	Alabama -15.5	Tennessee	0
2013	10/26	Alabama	45	Tennessee	10	Alabama	Alabama -26.5	Alabama	0
2012	10/20	Tennessee	13	Alabama	44	Alabama
2011	10/22	Alabama	37	Tennessee	6	Alabama
2010	10/23	Tennessee	10	Alabama	41	Alabama
2009	10/24	Alabama	12	Tennessee	10	Alabama
2008	10/25	Tennessee	9	Alabama	29	Alabama
2007	10/20	Alabama	41	Tennessee	17	Alabama
2006	10/21	Tennessee	16	Alabama	13	Tennessee
2005	10/22	Alabama	6	Tennessee	3	Alabama
2004	10/23	Tennessee	17	Alabama	13	Tennessee
2003	10/25	Alabama	43	Tennessee	51	Tennessee
2002	10/26	Tennessee	14	Alabama	34	Alabama
2001	10/20	Alabama	24	Tennessee	35	Tennessee
2000	10/20	Tennessee	20	Alabama	10	Tennessee

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	18	7	6 Overs
Tennessee	7	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 10	7 - 5	4 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 15	5 - 7	3 - 3	2 - 4

(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile

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Tennessee Ratings Matchup Alabama

Power #24

Off #36

#25

Def #31

#21

Talent #12

SP+ #19

SP+ Off #28

#11

SP+ Def #31

Rematch from Week 8
Alabama -8.5 (47.5)
Alabama won vs Tennessee this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 83° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | ALA
Depth Chart: TENN | ALA
Rosters: TENN | ALA

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Navy Shuler	1	3	33%	10	0	0	3.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
Bru McCoy	2	15	0	7.5	9
Patrick Wilk	3	12	0	4.0	9
Navy Shuler	2	5	0	2.5	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Dylan Sampson	20	143	0	7.2	21

View Tennessee's Full Roster

Tennessee's DC Tim Banks

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Doneiko Slaughter	78	3	1	0	6
Elijah Herring	59	8	4	3	4
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Tamarion McDonald	58	4	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Tyler Baron	38	11	6	6	0
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)	18	4	4	3	0
Elijah Herring	59	8	4	3	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
De'Shawn Rucker	41	2	0	0	7
Doneiko Slaughter	78	3	1	0	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6