Tennessee at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo (#15)Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide(#14)Alabama logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -8.5 (47.5) (-350)  Open: -8.0 | 49.0
Alabama 34 - Tennessee: 20  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (19 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -11.5   (SP+ ALA -11)

Projected Score: TENN: 19 - ALA: 31 (50)
ALA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
TENN Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (39 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#36 (.27)46% (24)31.846% (39)3.31 (30)18747% (25)2323.56 (94)#54 (.16)39% (35)20.337% (19)41% (65)3.41 (34)65.60.91.2
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)3445% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)1938% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1331.81946.3%3.560.9204191872325.651%49%46%47%13%.27
ALA Defense141918.635.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1320.331.538.9%3.411.2 - - - - - 48%52%37%41%18%.16
ALA Offense143438.645%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1322:3219.943%31%7.565.60.91.27.22.8430.3
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1351% (60)46% (39)33.5186.95.620 (61).22 (28)3.31 (30)72% (80)7% (16)1.05 (39)
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1348% (41)37% (19) - - - - .05 (21)2.71 (15)65% (24)13% (11)1.03 (85)
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1349% (69)47% (25)19.330.1231.77.71221 (65)5 (6).35 (39)1.5 (110)30% (39)32% (64).38 (54)6% (68)2.1 (63)
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1352% (96)41% (65) - - - - - - 10 (67).29 (85)1.6 (85)35% (27)31% (82).36 (93)5% (100)2 (41)
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 9.71   Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 13.0   Alabama: 23.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.5

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 31
Tennessee 19


Total Points: 50

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17TennesseeAlabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20AlabamaAlabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49TennesseeAlabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24AlabamaAlabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48AlabamaAlabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13AlabamaAlabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58AlabamaAlabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7AlabamaAlabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14AlabamaAlabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34AlabamaAlabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10AlabamaAlabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44Alabama
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6Alabama
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41Alabama
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10Alabama
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29Alabama
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17Alabama
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13Tennessee
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3Alabama
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13Tennessee
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51Tennessee
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34Alabama
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35Tennessee
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1876 Overs
Tennessee754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 155 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#24) Tennessee Info
Power Rating: 9.71 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48% #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60


Tennessee has won 3 straight
Tennessee has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Tennessee Highlights
Tennessee has Really Good Running Game (#21)
Tennessee offense is efficent (#22)
Tennessee has a top Offensive Line (#61)
Tennessee does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#36)

Tennessee Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tennessee has a good run defense (#102)
Tennessee Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#111)
Tennessee Defensive Line is very good (#58)
Tennessee Front 7 is disruptive (#76)
Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#54)

Tennessee Deficiencies
Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#18)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALATENN
OverallOver#3#30
OffenseOff#10#55
DefenseDef#5#27
Special TeamsST#3#13
PassingPass#25#41
RushingRush#11#15
Run BlockRBLK#3#65
Pass BlockPBLK#38#63
Route RunningWR Rt#28#61
TacklingTkl#6#39
Run DefenseR Def#8#59
Pass Rush DefPRush#12#10
Coverage DefCov#2#21

Rematch from Week 8
Alabama -8.5 (47.5)
Alabama won vs Tennessee this year (34-20)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TENN | ALA
Depth Chart: TENN | ALA
Rosters: TENN | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30


Alabama has won 5 straight
Alabama has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)


  
Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe18728466%283423610.0
Ty Simpson112055%179009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jase McClellan18089084.934
Roydell Williams11156055.048
Jalen Milroe161531123.353
Jamarion Miller4120114.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Burton39798820.568
Isaiah Bond48668413.952
Amari Niblack20327416.439
Kobe Prentice18314217.479

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kevin Steele
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Downs1074003
Deontae Lawson676344
Jihaad Campbell664133
Terrion Arnold6371212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Turner531611131
Chris Braswell4211851
Justin Eboigbe6312741
Deontae Lawson676344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrion Arnold6371212
Kool-Aid McKinstry322007
Trey Amos (Tr)121015