Michigan at Minnesota Game Matchup

Michigan Wolverines at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -18.5 (46.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan 52 - Minnesota: 10 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH 2nd straight Road Game
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -29.5 (SP+ MICH -33.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 37 - MINN: 7 (43)
MICH Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
MICH Travel: 509 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 26 - 17 (29 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
MINN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Minnesota vs Nebraska	-7.5	43.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan	-19.5	48.0	W 25 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Minnesota at North Carolina	+7.0	51.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/23	Minnesota at Northwestern	-11.5	39.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Minnesota vs Louisiana	-9.5	49.0	W 35 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Minnesota vs Michigan	+18.5	46.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Minnesota at Iowa	+3.0	30.5	W 12 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Minnesota vs Michigan State	-6.5	41.5	W 27 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Minnesota vs Illinois	-1.5	43.0	L 26 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/11	Minnesota at Purdue	-1.5	48.5	L 30 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/18	Minnesota at Ohio State	+27.5	51.5	L 3 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/25	Minnesota vs Wisconsin	+1.5	42.0	L 14 - 28	U	N
Tue 12/26	Minnesota vs Bowling Green	-2.5	45.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	.28	50%	22	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	19.9	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4
MINN	.24	48%	26.2	49%	3.3	207	48%	182	4.36	.12	37%	16.9	38%	36%	2.84	31.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MINN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	14	22	13	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28
MINN Defense	13	16.9	16.6	36.7%	2.84	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	36%	13%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	14	19.9	19.5	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04
MINN Offense	13	26.2	29	47.8%	4.36	1	22	390	207	182	4.6	64%	35%	49%	48%	12%	.24

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7
Minnesota	13	34:28	21.5	52%	55%	3.5	31.8	1	1.6	3.3	1.5	1	29.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02
MINN Defense	13	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.99	76%	7%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87
MINN Offense	13	64%	49%	44.8	207.4	4.6	33	.22	3.3	85%	7%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9
MINN Defense	13	52%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.17	1.5	37%	25%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2
MINN Offense	13	35%	48%	13.2	21.6	182.2	8.4	13.8	12	9	.37	1.5	28%	40%	.45	5%	1.7

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71 Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1 Minnesota: -1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 37
Minnesota 7

Projected Total Points: 43

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 16.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Michigan	27	Minnesota	24	Michigan	Michigan -10.5	Minnesota	34.5	Over
2023	10/07	Minnesota	10	Michigan	52	Michigan	Michigan -18.5	Michigan	46.0	Over
2020	10/24	Minnesota	24	Michigan	49	Michigan	Michigan -3	Michigan	53.0	Over
2017	11/04	Michigan	33	Minnesota	10	Michigan	Michigan -16	Michigan	39.5	Over
2015	10/31	Minnesota	26	Michigan	29	Michigan	Michigan -10	Minnesota	39.5	Over
2014	09/27	Michigan	14	Minnesota	30	Minnesota	Michigan -9.5	Minnesota	0
2013	10/05	Michigan	42	Minnesota	13	Michigan	Michigan -21	Michigan	0
2012	11/03	Minnesota	13	Michigan	35	Michigan
2011	10/01	Michigan	58	Minnesota	0	Michigan
2008	11/08	Minnesota	6	Michigan	29	Michigan
2007	10/27	Michigan	34	Minnesota	10	Michigan
2006	09/30	Minnesota	14	Michigan	28	Michigan
2005	10/08	Michigan	20	Minnesota	23	Minnesota
2004	10/09	Michigan	27	Minnesota	24	Michigan
2003	10/10	Minnesota	35	Michigan	38	Michigan
2002	11/09	Minnesota	24	Michigan	41	Michigan
2001	11/10	Michigan	31	Minnesota	10	Michigan

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Minnesota	2	3	5 Overs
Michigan	15	4	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 10	3 - 4	2 - 2	1 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 1	2 - 2

(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

,
,

Michigan Ratings Matchup Minnesota

Power #1

#88

Off #14

#108

Def #1

#99

Talent #10

#30

SP+ #1

#69

SP+ Off #10

#105

SP+ Def #1

#37

Rematch from Week 6
Michigan 18.5 (46.0)
Michigan won at Minnesota this year (52-10)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Minnesota last year (27-24)
Michigan beat Minnesota in 2023 (52-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | MINN
Depth Chart: MICH | MINN
Rosters: MICH | MINN

(#88) Minnesota Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 800.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20

Team Profile

,
,

Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1
Donovan Edwards	1	1	100%	23	1	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
C.J. Stokes	7	33	1	4.7	13
Eamonn Dennis	5	30	0	6.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Matthew Hibner	24	368	4	15.3	80
Jake Thaw	41	334	5	8.1	29
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44

View Michigan's Full Roster

Michigan's DC Jesse Minter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Keon Sabb	39	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	13	9	7	0
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5
Jerome Nichols	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun	21	1	0	0	9
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Athan Kaliakmanis	92	251	3	2.7	20
Zach Evans	9	58	0	6.4	40
Marquese Williams	6	13	0	2.2	7
Daniel Jackson	3	13	0	4.3	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Jackson	75	863	4	11.5	39
Elijah Spencer (Tr)	52	685	6	13.2	29
Nick Kallerup	9	117	0	13.0	44
Frank Bierman	1	13	0	13.0	13

View Minnesota's Full Roster

Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jack Henderson (Tr)	44	9	6	1	1
Danny Striggow	52	6	5	6	1
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Walley	42	2	1	1	10
Jah Joyner	32	6	5	9	7
Cody Lindenberg	94	5	1	3	6