Michigan at Minnesota - 2023 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#21)Michigan Wolverines at Minnesota Golden GophersMinnesota logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -18.5 (46.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 52 - Minnesota: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 36 - 10 (40 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
MINN 2nd straight Home Game
MINN is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -29.5   (SP+ MICH -33.5)

Projected Score: MICH: 38 - MINN: 9 (47)
MICH Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
MICH Travel: 509 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (46 - 28)
Avg Score : 21 - 27 (21 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.8 - 8.2 (#102)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.543.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan-19.548.0W 25 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Minnesota at North Carolina+7.051.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-11.539.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 9/30 Minnesota vs Louisiana-9.549.0W 35 - 24OY
Sat 10/7 Minnesota vs Michigan+18.546.0L 10 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Minnesota at Iowa+3.030.5W 12 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Minnesota vs Michigan State-6.541.5W 27 - 12UY
Sat 11/4 Minnesota vs Illinois-1.543.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 11/11 Minnesota at Purdue-1.548.5L 30 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Minnesota at Ohio State+27.551.5L 3 - 37UN
Sat 11/25 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+1.542.0L 14 - 28UN
Tue 12/26 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#11 (.33)50% (7)35.947% (31)3.26 (39)14056% (2)1904.79 (10)#1 (-.01)32% (1)10.432% (4)33% (4)2.37 (1)22.80.51.6
MINN#118 (.09)41% (87)20.944% (53)3.15 (61)15836% (116)1433.85 (73)#93 (.22)43% (75)26.745% (90)41% (63)4.67 (129)27.11.31.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1535.940.250.3%4.790.5183301401904.356%44%47%56%11%.33
MINN Defense1326.722.742.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1510.411.232.3%2.371.6 - - - - - 49%50%32%33%21%-.01
MINN Offense1320.921.440.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1528:2517.747%79%2.522.80.51.64.92.1433.6
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1556% (25)47% (31)32.9140.24.335 (5).19 (45)3.26 (39)76% (46)7% (7)0.91 (107)
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (109)7% (132)0.99 (63)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1549% (50)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (1)2.57 (9)55% (4)12% (13)0.85 (11)
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (52)7% (13)0.83 (127)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1544% (105)56% (2)15.521189.6912.221 (65)5 (6).55 (5)1.5 (89)28% (11)38% (11).52 (16)4% (12)2 (77)
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1550% (79)33% (4) - - - - - - 16 (9).09 (7)1.6 (67)36% (19)25% (16).07 (1)9% (3)1.7 (3)
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71   Minnesota: -0.24

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1   Minnesota: -1.3




Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Minnesota's Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Minnesota's Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.2
Defense: 10.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 38
Minnesota 9


Total Points: 47

Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Michigan27Minnesota24MichiganMichigan -10.5Minnesota34.5Over
202310/07Minnesota10Michigan52MichiganMichigan -18.5Michigan46.0Over
202010/24Minnesota24Michigan49MichiganMichigan -3Michigan53.0Over
201711/04Michigan33Minnesota10MichiganMichigan -16Michigan39.5Over
201510/31Minnesota26Michigan29MichiganMichigan -10Minnesota39.5Over
201409/27Michigan14Minnesota30MinnesotaMichigan -9.5Minnesota0
201310/05Michigan42Minnesota13MichiganMichigan -21Michigan0
201211/03Minnesota13Michigan35Michigan
201110/01Michigan58Minnesota0Michigan
200811/08Minnesota6Michigan29Michigan
200710/27Michigan34Minnesota10Michigan
200609/30Minnesota14Michigan28Michigan
200510/08Michigan20Minnesota23Minnesota
200410/09Michigan27Minnesota24Michigan
200310/10Minnesota35Michigan38Michigan
200211/09Minnesota24Michigan41Michigan
200111/10Michigan31Minnesota10Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Minnesota235 Overs
Michigan1540 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 103 - 42 - 21 - 2
Road Teams10 - 74 - 32 - 12 - 2

(#1) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20


Michigan has won 5 straight
Michigan has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 6 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Michigan Highlights
Michigan in Undefeated

Michigan offense is efficent (#99)
Michigan offense is good in red zone (#37)
Michigan offense is good on 3rd downs
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)

Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan defense is really good in red zone (#89)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan has a good pass defense (#70)
Michigan Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMINNMICH
OverallOver#56#1
OffenseOff#57#6
DefenseDef#69#1
Special TeamsST#75#27
PassingPass#91#10
RushingRush#30#36
Run BlockRBLK#30#9
Pass BlockPBLK#59#44
Route RunningWR Rt#93#6
TacklingTkl#96#2
Run DefenseR Def#94#2
Pass Rush DefPRush#27#2
Coverage DefCov#69#1

Rematch from Week 6
Michigan 18.5 (46.0)
Michigan won at Minnesota this year (52-10)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Minnesota last year (27-24)
Michigan beat Minnesota in 2023 (52-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Huntington Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MICH | MINN
Depth Chart: MICH | MINN
Rosters: MICH | MINN
(#88) Minnesota Info
Power Rating: -0.24 #88
Offense Rating: 12.36 #108
Defense Rating: 12.35 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #105
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #43
Expected Record: 4.80 - 8.20


Minnesota has won 1 straight
Minnesota has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Minnesota Highlights
Minnesota commits very few Penalties (#38)

Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota has a really bad Offense
Minnesota offense is not Explosive (#72)
Minnesota pass game is really bad (#31)
Minnesota has a bad red zone defense (#77)


  
Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
J.J. McCarthy24033272%29912249.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)151788%130107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Corum2581245274.859
Donovan Edwards11949754.246
Kalel Mullings3622216.223
J.J. McCarthy6420233.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Wilson487891216.447
Colston Loveland45649414.454
Cornelius Johnson47604112.950
Donovan Edwards3024908.337

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Junior Colson892022
Michael Barrett614352
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)442000
Makari Paige380012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Harrell3010851
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)339632
Derrick Moore346542
Braiden McGregor269573
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mike Sainristil365236
Will Johnson00004
Josh Wallace (Tr)282004

Minnesota's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr.
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis15629453%18381496.3
Cole Kramer81747%26221.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor13879955.843
Jordan Nubin12755934.421
Sean Tyler (Tr)6124204.019
Zach Evans5223014.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson59831814.139
Corey Crooms (Tr)28376013.432
Brevyn Spann-Ford2523929.631
Darius Taylor119208.425

View Minnesota's Full Roster
Minnesota's DC Nick Monroe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Henderson (Tr)524001
Tre'Von Jones514106
Tyler Nubin501103
Maverick Baranowski484111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jah Joyner188820
Danny Striggow426620
Kyler Baugh395333
Jalen Logan-Redding293211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Walley382008
Tre'Von Jones514106
Tyler Nubin501103