Ole Miss at Alabama Game Matchup

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -7 (56.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 24 - Ole Miss: 10 (SEC)

Rebels (11 - 2) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Lane Kiffin (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 39 - 14 (35 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ALA is playing their 4th straight game
MISS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -9 (SP+ ALA -8)
Projected Score: MISS: 23 - ALA: 32 (52)
ALA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MISS Travel: 139 miles

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MISS Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ole Miss vs Mercer	-35.0	59.5	W 73 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Ole Miss at Tulane	-8.0	64.0	W 37 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech	-17.0	61.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Ole Miss at Alabama	+7.0	56.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Ole Miss vs LSU	+3.0	67.0	W 55 - 49	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Ole Miss vs Arkansas	-13.0	61.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ole Miss at Auburn	-6.5	55.5	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt	-24.0	62.0	W 33 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Ole Miss vs Texas A&M	-3.0	52.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	Ole Miss at Georgia	+11.0	59.0	L 17 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/18	Ole Miss vs UL Monroe	-35.5	59.5	W 35 - 3	U	N
Thu 11/23	Ole Miss at Mississippi State	-11.0	56.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
Sat 12/30	Ole Miss vs Penn State	+5.5	53.0	W 38 - 25	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ole Miss's Schedule

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS	.27	48%	38.6	49%	3.11	257	45%	240	4.04	.16	44%	14.4	44%	44%	3.72	63.2	1.5	2.3
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MISS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Offense	13	38.6	34.6	47.5%	4.04	1.5	25	496	257	240	5.4	60%	40%	49%	45%	16%	.27
ALA Defense	13	17.4	13.7	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MISS Defense	13	14.4	18.6	43.9%	3.72	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	44%	44%	16%	.16
ALA Offense	13	33.8	41	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ole Miss	13	26:23	25.2	47%	49%	6.8	63.2	1.5	2.3	5.7	2.5	0	27.3
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Offense	13	60%	49%	47.2	256.5	5.4	33	.27	3.11	74%	10%	1.1
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MISS Defense	13	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.1	3.22	74%	10%	0.86
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Offense	13	40%	45%	18.4	29.7	239.8	8.1	13.1	22	11	.3	1.6	29%	36%	.33	5%	1.9
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MISS Defense	13	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.5	29%	30%	.22	6%	1.8
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4

Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
2023 Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 11.28 Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0 Alabama: 23.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 38.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.6
Defense: 14.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 32
Ole Miss 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Alabama	24	Ole Miss	10	Alabama	Alabama -7	Alabama	56.0	Under
2022	11/12	Ole Miss	24	Alabama	30	Alabama	Alabama -11	Ole Miss	65.5	Under
2021	10/02	Alabama	42	Ole Miss	21	Alabama	Alabama -15	Alabama	79.5	Under
2020	10/10	Ole Miss	48	Alabama	63	Alabama	Alabama -24	Ole Miss	74.0	Over
2019	09/28	Alabama	59	Ole Miss	31	Alabama	Alabama -37.5	Ole Miss	62.5	Over
2018	09/15	Ole Miss	7	Alabama	62	Alabama	Alabama -22.5	Alabama	71.5	Under
2017	09/30	Alabama	66	Ole Miss	3	Alabama	Alabama -30	Alabama	56.0	Over
2016	09/17	Ole Miss	43	Alabama	48	Alabama	Alabama -9.5	Ole Miss	53.0	Over
2015	09/19	Alabama	37	Ole Miss	43	Ole Miss	Alabama -8.5	Ole Miss	52.0	Over
2014	10/04	Ole Miss	23	Alabama	17	Ole Miss	Alabama -4.5	Ole Miss	0
2013	09/28	Alabama	25	Ole Miss	0	Alabama	Alabama -16	Alabama	0
2012	09/29	Alabama	33	Ole Miss	14	Alabama
2011	10/15	Ole Miss	7	Alabama	52	Alabama
2010	10/16	Alabama	23	Ole Miss	10	Alabama
2009	10/10	Ole Miss	3	Alabama	22	Alabama
2008	10/18	Alabama	24	Ole Miss	20	Alabama
2007	10/13	Ole Miss	24	Alabama	27	Alabama
2006	10/14	Alabama	26	Ole Miss	23	Alabama
2005	10/15	Ole Miss	10	Alabama	13	Alabama
2004	09/11	Alabama	28	Ole Miss	7	Alabama
2003	10/18	Ole Miss	43	Alabama	28	Ole Miss
2002	10/19	Alabama	42	Ole Miss	7	Alabama
2001	10/13	Ole Miss	27	Alabama	24	Ole Miss
2000	10/13	Alabama	45	Ole Miss	7	Alabama

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	20	5	5 Overs
Ole Miss	4	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	8 - 3	4 - 2	4 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 15	3 - 8	1 - 4	2 - 4

(#18) Ole Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.28 #18
Offense Rating: 22.85 #22
Defense Rating: 8.12 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 #14
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #21
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 764.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 36% #21
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Ole Miss Ratings Matchup Alabama

Power #18

Off #22

#25

Def #47

#21

Talent #34

SP+ #14

SP+ Off #21

#11

SP+ Def #21

Rematch from Week 4
Alabama -7.0 (56.0)
Alabama won vs Ole Miss this year (24-10)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2023 (24-10)
Alabama beat Ole Miss in 2022 (30-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 90° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MISS | ALA
Depth Chart: MISS | ALA
Rosters: MISS | ALA

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Ole Miss's OC John David Baker

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jaxson Dart	276	398	69%	4279	29	6	10.8
Caden Davis (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins	194	1060	14	5.5	86
Jaxson Dart	124	495	3	4.0	35
Jamious Griffin	73	450	4	6.2	33
Ulysses Bentley IV	84	419	5	5.0	89

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Harris (Tr)	61	1063	7	17.4	70
Jordan Watkins	49	906	9	18.5	75
Zakhari Franklin (Tr)	56	658	4	11.8	44
JJ Henry	42	485	4	11.5	66

View Ole Miss's Full Roster

Ole Miss's DC Pete Golding

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Khari Coleman	45	1	0	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3
Reginald Hughes	83	10	4	6	0
J.J. Pegues	42	14	4	5	0
Joshua Harris (Tr)	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Washington	64	4	0	2	7
John Saunders Jr.	46	2	0	0	5
Jared Ivey	41	10	8	8	3

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6