Arkansas at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Arkansas logo Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide(#14)Alabama logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -19 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 24 - Arkansas: 21  (SEC)

 
Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 27 - 28 (28 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARK 2nd straight Road Game
ALA is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -20   (SP+ ALA -21)

Projected Score: ARK: 15 - ALA: 35 (51)
ALA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
ARK Travel: 425 miles
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (39 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6UN
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34OY
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34ON
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48ON
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20ON
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#75 (.18)39% (105)26.643% (74)3.3 (34)13936% (112)1884.22 (35)#42 (.14)39% (40)27.941% (48)39% (29)3.93 (79)55.41.51.5
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)3445% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)1938% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARK#27 (.25)48% (13)52% (5)3.23 (38)16844% (41)2483.95 (64)#45 (.13)42% (66)39% (32)44% (100)3.31 (22)56.31.71
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1226.627.839.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18
ALA Defense141918.635.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Defense1227.930.339.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
ALA Offense143438.645%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (5)15% (130)0.89 (115)
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (45)11% (29)0.9 (29)
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28   Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7   Alabama: 23.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.3

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 35
Arkansas 15


Total Points: 51

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Alabama24Arkansas21AlabamaAlabama -19Arkansas45.0Push
202210/01Arkansas26Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -17Alabama61.0Over
202111/20Alabama42Arkansas35AlabamaAlabama -20.5Arkansas58.5Over
202012/12Arkansas3Alabama52AlabamaAlabama -28.5Alabama69.5Under
201910/26Alabama48Arkansas7AlabamaAlabama -32Alabama56.0Under
201810/06Arkansas31Alabama65AlabamaAlabama -35Arkansas58.5Over
201710/14Alabama41Arkansas9AlabamaAlabama -37Arkansas54.5Under
201610/08Arkansas30Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -13Alabama48.5Over
201510/10Alabama27Arkansas14AlabamaAlabama -16Arkansas48.0Under
201410/11Arkansas13Alabama14AlabamaAlabama -9Arkansas0
201310/19Alabama52Arkansas0AlabamaAlabama -28Alabama0
201209/15Arkansas0Alabama52Alabama
201109/24Alabama38Arkansas14Alabama
201009/25Arkansas20Alabama24Alabama
200909/26Alabama35Arkansas7Alabama
200809/20Arkansas14Alabama49Alabama
200709/15Alabama41Arkansas38Alabama
200609/23Arkansas24Alabama23Arkansas
200509/24Alabama24Arkansas13Alabama
200409/25Arkansas27Alabama10Arkansas
200309/27Alabama31Arkansas34Arkansas
200209/28Arkansas12Alabama30Alabama
200109/22Alabama31Arkansas10Alabama
200009/22Arkansas28Alabama21Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama2054 Overs
Arkansas464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 104 - 72 - 42 - 3
Road Teams10 - 147 - 43 - 24 - 2

(#47) Arkansas Info
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00


Arkansas has lost 4 straight
Arkansas has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (4 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas Highlights
Arkansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

Arkansas has a good pass defense (#82)
Arkansas Front 7 is disruptive (#51)

Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Arkansas offense is really bad (#12)
Arkansas pass game is really bad (#13)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALAARK
OverallOver#3#52
OffenseOff#10#66
DefenseDef#5#50
Special TeamsST#3#43
PassingPass#25#55
RushingRush#11#71
Run BlockRBLK#3#42
Pass BlockPBLK#38#86
Route RunningWR Rt#28#52
TacklingTkl#6#17
Run DefenseR Def#8#77
Pass Rush DefPRush#12#40
Coverage DefCov#2#38

Rematch from Week 7
Alabama -19.0 (45.0)
Alabama won vs Arkansas this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2023 (24-21)
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2022 (49-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | ALA
Depth Chart: ARK | ALA
Rosters: ARK | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30


Alabama has won 4 straight
Alabama has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is explosive (#21)
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Alabama has a great TO Margin (#1)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Does Not Stuff Runs (#107)


  
Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jefferson19029664%21071987.1
Jacolby Criswell172763%143305.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Jefferson16144722.826
AJ Green6731224.755
Rashod Dubinion8226013.215
Raheim Sanders6220923.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)56764513.648
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)34351210.336
Luke Hasz16253315.859
Jaedon Wilson15199213.365

View Arkansas's Full Roster
Arkansas's DC Travis Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Chris Paul Jr.747211
Jayden Johnson612013
Al Walcott561002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Jackson4514721
Trajan Jeffcoat (Tr)169450
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)896352
Keivie Rose (Tr)154300
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon Braxton210008
Dwight McGlothern203006
Lorando Johnson (Tr)294105

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe18728466%283423610.0
Ty Simpson112055%179009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jase McClellan18089084.934
Roydell Williams11156055.048
Jalen Milroe161531123.353
Jamarion Miller4120114.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Burton39798820.568
Isaiah Bond48668413.952
Amari Niblack20327416.439
Kobe Prentice18314217.479

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kevin Steele
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Downs1074003
Deontae Lawson676344
Jihaad Campbell664133
Terrion Arnold6371212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Turner531611131
Chris Braswell4211851
Justin Eboigbe6312741
Deontae Lawson676344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrion Arnold6371212
Kool-Aid McKinstry322007
Trey Amos (Tr)121015