Arkansas at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview

Arkansas Razorbacks at Alabama Crimson Tide

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -19 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 24 - Arkansas: 21 (SEC)

Razorbacks (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sam Pittman (21 - 18)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (34 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#75)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARK 2nd straight Road Game
ALA is playing their 7th straight game
ARK is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -20 (SP+ ALA -21)
Projected Score: ARK: 15 - ALA: 35 (53)
ALA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
ARK Travel: 425 miles

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARK Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Arkansas vs Western Carolina	-38.0	61.0	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Arkansas vs Kent State	-38.0	57.5	W 28 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arkansas vs BYU	-9.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/23	Arkansas at LSU	+17.5	55.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arkansas vs Texas A&M	+6.5	53.5	L 22 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/7	Arkansas at Ole Miss	+13.0	61.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Arkansas at Alabama	+19.0	45.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Arkansas vs Mississippi State	-6.5	46.5	L 3 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Arkansas at Florida	+4.5	50.0	W 39 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Arkansas vs Auburn	-2.5	46.5	L 10 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/18	Arkansas vs Florida International	-27.5	49.5	W 44 - 20	O	N
Fri 11/24	Arkansas vs Missouri	+9.5	53.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK	.26	46%	30.9	48%	3.23	237	43%	234	4.18	.25	43%	25	45%	41%	3.65	55.6	1.4	1.7
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Offense	13	30.9	33.5	45.6%	4.18	1.4	24	471	237	234	5.1	60%	40%	48%	43%	15%	.26
ALA Defense	13	17.4	13.7	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARK Defense	13	25	26.5	42.5%	3.65	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	41%	16%	.25
ALA Offense	13	33.8	41	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arkansas	13	30:22	23.9	46%	45%	6.4	55.6	1.4	1.7	5.6	3	1	31.8
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Offense	13	60%	48%	46.6	237.3	5.1	27	.14	3.23	71%	11%	0.98
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARK Defense	13	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.22	3.04	76%	10%	1.08
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Offense	13	40%	43%	17.7	27.4	233.9	8.5	13.2	26	7	.46	1.9	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARK Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.32	1.8	34%	34%	.5	6%	2.3
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4

Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Arkansas's Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Arkansas's Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
2023 Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 3.28 Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas: 2.7 Alabama: 23.7

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.5

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 35
Arkansas 15

Projected Total Points: 53

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Alabama	24	Arkansas	21	Alabama	Alabama -19	Arkansas	45.0	Push
2022	10/01	Arkansas	26	Alabama	49	Alabama	Alabama -17	Alabama	61.0	Over
2021	11/20	Alabama	42	Arkansas	35	Alabama	Alabama -20.5	Arkansas	58.5	Over
2020	12/12	Arkansas	3	Alabama	52	Alabama	Alabama -28.5	Alabama	69.5	Under
2019	10/26	Alabama	48	Arkansas	7	Alabama	Alabama -32	Alabama	56.0	Under
2018	10/06	Arkansas	31	Alabama	65	Alabama	Alabama -35	Arkansas	58.5	Over
2017	10/14	Alabama	41	Arkansas	9	Alabama	Alabama -37	Arkansas	54.5	Under
2016	10/08	Arkansas	30	Alabama	49	Alabama	Alabama -13	Alabama	48.5	Over
2015	10/10	Alabama	27	Arkansas	14	Alabama	Alabama -16	Arkansas	48.0	Under
2014	10/11	Arkansas	13	Alabama	14	Alabama	Alabama -9	Arkansas	0
2013	10/19	Alabama	52	Arkansas	0	Alabama	Alabama -28	Alabama	0
2012	09/15	Arkansas	0	Alabama	52	Alabama
2011	09/24	Alabama	38	Arkansas	14	Alabama
2010	09/25	Arkansas	20	Alabama	24	Alabama
2009	09/26	Alabama	35	Arkansas	7	Alabama
2008	09/20	Arkansas	14	Alabama	49	Alabama
2007	09/15	Alabama	41	Arkansas	38	Alabama
2006	09/23	Arkansas	24	Alabama	23	Arkansas
2005	09/24	Alabama	24	Arkansas	13	Alabama
2004	09/25	Arkansas	27	Alabama	10	Arkansas
2003	09/27	Alabama	31	Arkansas	34	Arkansas
2002	09/28	Arkansas	12	Alabama	30	Alabama
2001	09/22	Alabama	31	Arkansas	10	Alabama
2000	09/22	Arkansas	28	Alabama	21	Arkansas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	20	5	4 Overs
Arkansas	4	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	4 - 7	2 - 4	2 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 14	7 - 4	3 - 2	4 - 2

(#47) Arkansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.28 #47
Offense Rating: 16.54 #65
Defense Rating: 8.58 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #69
Talent Rating: 808.00 #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 30% #25
Expected Record: 6.00 - 6.00

Team Profile

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Arkansas Ratings Matchup Alabama

Power #47

Off #65

#25

Def #55

#21

Talent #28

SP+ #58

SP+ Off #57

#11

SP+ Def #69

Rematch from Week 7
Alabama -19.0 (45.0)
Alabama won vs Arkansas this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2023 (24-21)
Alabama beat Arkansas in 2022 (49-26)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 11 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ARK | ALA
Depth Chart: ARK | ALA
Rosters: ARK | ALA

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Arkansas's OC Kenny Guiton

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacolby Criswell	186	320	58%	2459	15	6	7.7
KJ Jefferson	64	108	59%	1012	7	4	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Raheim Sanders	183	881	11	4.8	66
Isaiah Augustave	85	384	4	4.5	37
KJ Jefferson	61	193	2	3.2	23
Jacolby Criswell	71	103	3	1.5	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Andrew Armstrong (Tr)	78	1140	1	14.6	43
Isaac Teslaa (Tr)	28	545	3	19.5	75
Raheim Sanders	27	316	2	11.7	43
Tyrone Broden Jr.	15	197	1	13.1	22

View Arkansas's Full Roster

Arkansas's DC Travis Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Jordan Crook	57	4	0	0	2
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Landon Jackson	49	10	7	9	3
Chris Paul Jr.	87	12	4	9	4
Mani Powell	58	9	4	4	0
Eric Gregory	43	5	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Lorando Johnson (Tr)	13	1	0	10
Jayden Johnson	55	4	1	5
Jaylen Lewis	43	2	0	5

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6