Texas at Alabama - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas logo Texas Longhorns at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -7 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Texas 34 - Alabama: 24

 
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Alabama -2.5   (SP+ TEX -1)
Projected Score: TEX: 24 - ALA: 27 (50)
ALA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
TEX Travel: 631 miles
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX.2848%3351%3.2918846%2414.52.1339%15.337%40%3.0647.31.11.3
ALA.3347%33.846%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%17.442%36%3.4968.71.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense133323.848.3%4.521.1234291882415.248%52%51%46%12%.28
ALA Defense1317.413.738.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1315.313.338.5%3.061.3 - - - - - 45%55%37%40%17%.13
ALA Offense1333.84146.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1327:1822.839%55%6.147.31.11.36.72.1330.4
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1348%51%36.21885.229.223.2975%8%0.9
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1345%37% - - - - .052.9181%11%0.97
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1352%46%19.131.2241.47.812.7227.341.528%32%.44%2
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 10.211.635%31%.266%2
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87   Alabama: 22.74

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6   Alabama: 23.7




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 27
Texas 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Alabama24Texas34TexasAlabama -7Texas53.0Over
202209/10Texas19Alabama20AlabamaAlabama -21Texas64.0Under
200901/07Alabama37Texas21Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama201 Overs
Texas121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#11) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Texas     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #11
#9
Off #40
#25
Def #15
#21
Talent #6
#1
SP+ #6
#7
SP+ Off #6
#11
SP+ Def #10
#9

Rematch from Week 2
Alabama -7.0 (53.0)
Texas won at Alabama this year (34-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Alabama in 2023 (34-24)
Alabama beat Texas in 2022 (20-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TEX | ALA
Depth Chart: TEX | ALA
Rosters: TEX | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.74 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90 #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile






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Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers29344566%347231127.8
Maalik Murphy25442160%293226127.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaydon Blue13473085.477
Savion Red11968785.869
Ky Woods72503.68
Casey Cain1707.07
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gunnar Helm60786713.149
Jaydon Blue4236868.845
Johntay Cook II8137217.140
Casey Cain7136219.450

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Jeff Choate
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Kitan Crawford763016
Jahdae Barron6731210
Jerrin Thompson652105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Barryn Sorrell43116121
Vernon Broughton395452
Kristopher Ross296332
Jalen Catalon (Tr)775213
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahdae Barron6731210
Alfred Collins556116
Kitan Crawford763016

Alabama's OC Tommy Rees
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Isaiah Bond498124.544
Roydell Williams265322.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Corey Brooks611013916.686
Isaiah Bond34540515.956
Malik Benson25311112.467
Miles Kitselman22301413.731

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kevin Steele
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Caleb Downs818116
Malachi Moore703138
Trey Amos (Tr)5040013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Smith354250
Malachi Moore703138
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Amos (Tr)5040013
Malachi Moore703138
Caleb Downs818116