Alabama at Texas A&M - 2023 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo   Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies  Texas A&M logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -2.5 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 26 - Texas A&M: 20  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.2 MPH
ALA 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M is playing their 6th straight game
ALA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -2.5  (SP+ ALA -8.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 25 - TA&M: 23 (48)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 546 miles
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.3347%29.546%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%19.242%36%3.4968.71.21.2
TA&M.1440%33.845%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%2143%35%3.0449.11.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1329.526.346.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33
TA&M Defense122115.340%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1319.223.738.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
TA&M Offense1233.831.140.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78  #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42  #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95  #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1015.43  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90%  #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7  #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1  #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 577.46

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78   Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7   Texas A&M: 15.4




Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675  #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69  #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57  #9
2023 Talent Rating: 925.92  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 75  #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 577.46


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 25
Texas A&M 23

Projected Total Points: 48
Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Texas A&M20Alabama26Alabama -2.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/08Alabama24Texas A&M20Alabama -24Texas A&M48.0Under
202110/09Texas A&M41Alabama38Alabama -18.5Texas A&M50.5Over
202010/03Alabama52Texas A&M24Alabama -18Alabama54.0Over
201910/12Texas A&M28Alabama47Alabama -17Alabama61.0Over
201809/22Alabama45Texas A&M23Alabama -24Texas A&M58.5Over
201710/07Texas A&M19Alabama27Alabama -26.5Texas A&M56.5Under
201610/22Alabama33Texas A&M14Alabama -16.5Alabama59.0Under
201510/17Texas A&M23Alabama41Alabama -3Alabama54.5Over
201410/18Alabama59Texas A&M0Alabama -12Alabama0
201309/14Texas A&M42Alabama49Alabama -7NA0
201211/10Alabama24Texas A&M29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas A&M246 Overs
Alabama1063 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 65 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams6 - 65 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#9) ALA at (#13) TA&M
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALATA&M
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #9 #13
SP+SP+ #7 #15
Perf GradeGrade #3 #18
OffenseOff #10 #32
DefenseDef #6 #21
Spec TeamsST #3 #27
TalentTal #1 #4
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #4
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCat
ALA OffTA&M Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #25 #9
SP+SP+ #11 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #15 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #32 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #25
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCatTA&M OffALA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #63 #21
SP+SP+ #20 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffALA Def
Run GameRun #93 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCatTA&M OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #16 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #95 #13
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'23 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 2.5 (45.0)
Alabama won at Texas A&M this year (26-20)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2023 (26-20)

  
ALA's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe18728466%283423610.0
Ty Simpson112055%179009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jase McClellan18089084.934
Roydell Williams11156055.048
Jalen Milroe161531123.353
Jamarion Miller4120114.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Burton39798820.568
Isaiah Bond48668413.952
Amari Niblack20327416.439
Kobe Prentice18314217.479

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kevin Steele (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Downs1074003
Deontae Lawson676344
Jihaad Campbell664133
Terrion Arnold6371212
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dallas Turner531611131
Chris Braswell4211851
Justin Eboigbe6312741
Deontae Lawson676344
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Terrion Arnold6371212
Kool-Aid McKinstry322007
Trey Amos (Tr)121015

TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006