Alabama at Texas A&M - 2023 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -2.5 (45.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Alabama 26 - Texas A&M: 20 (SEC)

Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.2 MPH
ALA 2nd straight Road Game
TA&M is playing their 6th straight game
ALA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -2.5 (SP+ ALA -8.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 25 - TA&M: 23 (52)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 546 miles

Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (31 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Alabama vs Middle Tennessee	-39.5	52.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Alabama vs Texas	-7.0	53.0	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/16	Alabama at South Florida	-34.0	61.0	W 17 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/23	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-7.0	56.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Alabama at Mississippi State	-16.5	45.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Alabama at Texas A&M	-2.5	45.0	W 26 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Alabama vs Arkansas	-19.0	45.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/21	Alabama vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Alabama vs LSU	-3.0	61.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Alabama at Kentucky	-10.0	45.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Alabama vs Chattanooga	-44.5	54.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Alabama at Auburn	-14.0	48.0	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/2	Alabama vs Georgia	+5.0	56.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-37.5	48.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas A&M at Miami	-3.0	50.5	L 33 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/16	Texas A&M vs UL Monroe	-36.5	53.5	W 47 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-9.5	51.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/14	Texas A&M at Tennessee	+3.0	54.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-17.0	51.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	+3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-16.5	40.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian	-40.5	54.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	Texas A&M at LSU	+10.5	67.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Wed 12/27	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	.33	47%	33.8	46%	2.95	196	48%	282	4.78	.06	39%	17.4	42%	36%	3.49	68.7	1.2	1.2
TA&M	.14	40%	30.4	45%	3.03	142	36%	219	3.78	.12	40%	22.2	43%	35%	3.04	49.1	1.5	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	33.8	27.8	46.9%	4.78	1.2	24	477	196	282	5.6	44%	56%	46%	48%	13%	.33
TA&M Defense	12	22.2	15.1	40%	3.04	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	60%	40%	43%	35%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	17.4	22.2	38.9%	3.49	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	42%	36%	18%	.06
TA&M Offense	12	30.4	30.7	40.1%	3.78	1.5	19	362	142	219	4.7	46%	54%	45%	36%	19%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	29:54	23.8	46%	60%	7.9	68.7	1.2	1.2	6.5	2.9	3	31.2
Texas A&M	12	27:50	19.4	36%	36%	6.3	49.1	1.5	1.9	5.5	1.6	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	44%	46%	35.2	195.7	5.6	26	.23	2.95	73%	9%	1.09
TA&M Defense	12	60%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.08	76%	10%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	47%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.85	68%	11%	0.94
TA&M Offense	12	46%	45%	30.6	142.3	4.7	12	.14	3.03	69%	11%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	56%	48%	21.5	33.7	281.5	8.4	13.1	37	8	.4	1.7	30%	40%	.68	4%	2.4
TA&M Defense	12	40%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.14	1.6	35%	27%	.27	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.06	1.4	33%	26%	.14	7%	1.9
TA&M Offense	12	54%	36%	18.3	32.6	219.4	6.7	12	18	6	.18	1.6	34%	28%	.26	7%	2.2

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78 Texas A&M: 17.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7 Texas A&M: 15.4

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 25
Texas A&M 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Texas A&M	20	Alabama	26	Alabama	Alabama -2.5	Alabama	45.0	Over
2022	10/08	Alabama	24	Texas A&M	20	Alabama	Alabama -24	Texas A&M	48.0	Under
2021	10/09	Texas A&M	41	Alabama	38	Texas A&M	Alabama -18.5	Texas A&M	50.5	Over
2020	10/03	Alabama	52	Texas A&M	24	Alabama	Alabama -18	Alabama	54.0	Over
2019	10/12	Texas A&M	28	Alabama	47	Alabama	Alabama -17	Alabama	61.0	Over
2018	09/22	Alabama	45	Texas A&M	23	Alabama	Alabama -24	Texas A&M	58.5	Over
2017	10/07	Texas A&M	19	Alabama	27	Alabama	Alabama -26.5	Texas A&M	56.5	Under
2016	10/22	Alabama	33	Texas A&M	14	Alabama	Alabama -16.5	Alabama	59.0	Under
2015	10/17	Texas A&M	23	Alabama	41	Alabama	Alabama -3	Alabama	54.5	Over
2014	10/18	Alabama	59	Texas A&M	0	Alabama	Alabama -12	Alabama	0
2013	09/14	Texas A&M	42	Alabama	49	Alabama	Alabama -7	NA	0
2012	11/10	Alabama	24	Texas A&M	29	Texas A&M

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	2	4	6 Overs
Alabama	10	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile

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Alabama Ratings Matchup Texas A&M

Power #9

#13

Off #25

#63

Def #21

Talent #1

SP+ #7

#15

SP+ Off #11

#20

SP+ Def #9

#15

Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 2.5 (45.0)
Alabama won at Texas A&M this year (26-20)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2023 (26-20)
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2022 (24-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 13 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | TA&M
Depth Chart: ALA | TA&M
Rosters: ALA | TA&M

(#13) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.675 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75 #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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Alabama's OC Tommy Rees

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Eli Holstein	179	290	62%	2225	17	7	7.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Eli Holstein	81	328	3	4.0	49
Isaiah Bond	4	98	1	24.5	44
Roydell Williams	26	53	2	2.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ja'Corey Brooks	61	1013	9	16.6	86
Isaiah Bond	34	540	5	15.9	56
Malik Benson	25	311	1	12.4	67
Miles Kitselman	22	301	4	13.7	31

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kevin Steele

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Amos (Tr)	50	4	0	0	13
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Caleb Downs	81	8	1	1	6

Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Johnson	12	19	63%	71	0	1	3.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jahdae Walker (Tr)	3	12	0	4.0	6
Max Johnson	6	10	1	1.7	16
Jordan Anthony (Tr)	2	7	0	3.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Stewart	48	613	5	12.8	69
Jahdae Walker (Tr)	29	345	2	11.9	40
Jordan Anthony (Tr)	8	111	1	13.9	27
Moose Muhammad III	6	55	2	9.2	20

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jardin Gilbert	52	2	1	0	2
Walter Nolen	47	13	6	4	2
Lebbeus Overton	42	3	2	9	1
Fadil Diggs	42	13	7	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fadil Diggs	42	13	7	3	1
Walter Nolen	47	13	6	4	2
Lebbeus Overton	42	3	2	9	1
Shemar Turner	36	6	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deuce Harmon	28	2	0	0	6
Tony Grimes (Tr)	20	0	0	1	5
Kent Robinson	33	4	2	0	4