Florida at Michigan - 2018 Matchup Preview

Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, December 29th 2018 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan -4 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 41 - Michigan: 15 (CHICK-FIL-A PEACH BOWL)

Gators (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ FLA -1)
Projected Score: FLA: 17 - MICH: 28 (45)
MICH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
FLA Travel: 308 miles

Wolverines (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
FLA Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Florida vs Charleston Southern	-43.0
Sat 9/8	Florida vs Kentucky	-13.5	52.5	L 16 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/15	Florida vs Colorado State	-21.5	60.0	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/22	Florida at Tennessee	-3.5	46.0	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Florida at Mississippi State	+6.5	49.5	W 13 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Florida vs LSU	+1.0	44.0	W 27 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Florida at Vanderbilt	-9.5	51.0	W 37 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Florida vs Georgia	+7.0	53.0	L 17 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/3	Florida vs Missouri	-6.0	59.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/10	Florida vs South Carolina	-7.0	55.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/17	Florida vs Idaho	-43.0	59.0	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida at Florida State	-8.5	52.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/29	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0	51.0	W 41 - 15	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Michigan's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Michigan at Notre Dame	-2.5	46.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan vs Western Michigan	-27.5	54.5	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Michigan vs SMU	-37.0	54.5	W 45 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/22	Michigan vs Nebraska	-18.0	52.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan at Northwestern	-14.5	46.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan vs Maryland	-17.5	44.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/13	Michigan vs Wisconsin	-10.0	47.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan at Michigan State	-7.5	38.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Michigan vs Penn State	-13.5	48.0	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan at Rutgers	-36.5	45.0	W 42 - 7	O	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan vs Indiana	-28.0	53.5	W 31 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan at Ohio State	-4.5	52.5	L 39 - 62	O	N
Sat 12/29	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.13	40%	21.6	43%	2.99	156	35%	180	3.85	.12	39%	24	37%	39%	2.89	58.7	1.8	1.5
MICH	.08	39%	27.5	40%	2.83	178	35%	171	3.11	-.02	32%	20.4	33%	29%	2.79	57.2	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	11	21.6	13	40.5%	3.85	1.8	17	336	156	180	4.3	50%	47%	43%	35%	20%	.13
MICH Defense	13	20.4	13.3	32%	2.79	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	33%	29%	24%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	11	24	30.4	39.2%	2.89	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	43%	37%	39%	19%	.12
MICH Offense	13	27.5	29.2	39.1%	3.11	1.6	17	349	178	171	4.4	56%	42%	40%	35%	17%	.08

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	11	31:03	16.8	32%	67%	8	58.7	1.8	1.5	6.5	2.1	3	29.1
Michigan	13	31:57	17.5	32%	56%	6.6	57.2	1.6	1.2	8.7	3.2	3	33.7

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	11	50%	43%	36.4	156.4	4.3	15	.11	2.99	68%	12%	0.91
MICH Defense	13	52%	33%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.24	53%	17%	1.13

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	11	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.64	50%	11%	1.07
MICH Offense	13	56%	40%	40.7	177.7	4.4	26	.1	2.83	77%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	11	47%	35%	15.8	28.4	179.5	6.3	11.4	10	10	.14	1.7	36%	30%	.18	8%	1.5
MICH Defense	13	47%	29%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	-.04	1.7	37%	24%	.11	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	11	43%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.19	1.8	36%	36%	.18	7%	1.7
MICH Offense	13	42%	35%	14.2	26.6	171.2	6.4	12	9	10	.08	1.7	35%	32%	.26	5%	1.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.0 #9
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.6 #15
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Michigan: 11

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 23.0 Michigan: 22.0

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 11 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #25
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 28
Florida 17

Projected Total Points: 45

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	12/29	Michigan	15	Florida	41	Michigan -4	Florida	51.0	Over
2017	09/02	Florida	17	Michigan	33	Michigan -4.5	Michigan	45.5	Over
2015	01/01	Florida	7	Michigan	41	Michigan -4	Michigan	0
2007	01/01	Florida	35	Michigan	41
2002	01/01	Florida	30	Michigan	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	4	2	2 Overs
Florida	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 5	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	5 - 0	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0

Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Peach Bowl	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0	51.0	W 41 - 15
2016	Outback Bowl	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3
2015	Citrus Bowl	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0		L 7 - 41
2014	Birmingham Bowl	Florida vs East Carolina	-6.5	54.0	W 28 - 20
2012	Sugar Bowl	Florida vs Louisville			L 23 - 33

Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Peach Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41
2017	Outback Bowl	Michigan vs South Carolina	-9.0	42.5	L 19 - 26
2016	Orange Bowl	Michigan vs Florida State	-6.5	51.0	L 32 - 33
2015	Citrus Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0		W 41 - 7
2013	Wings Bowl	Michigan vs Kansas State	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31
2012	Outback Bowl	Michigan vs South Carolina			L 28 - 33

(#) FLA at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#10
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#13	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#15	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -4.0 (51.0)
Florida won at Michigan this year (41-15)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD