Michigan at Alabama - 2019 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines vs Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Wednesday, January 1st 2020 (1:00 PM EST)
Alabama -8.5 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Alabama 35 - Michigan: 16  (VRBO CITRUS BOWL)

 
Wolverines (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Crimson Tide (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Michigan vs Middle Tennessee-36.056.5W 40 - 21ON
Sat 9/7 Michigan vs Army-21.548.0W 24 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Michigan at Wisconsin+3.046.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 9/28 Michigan vs Rutgers-27.550.0W 52 - 0OY
Sat 10/5 Michigan vs Iowa-4.048.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 10/12 Michigan at Illinois-24.549.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Michigan at Penn State+7.547.0L 21 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan vs Notre Dame+1.546.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/2 Michigan at Maryland-21.557.5W 38 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan vs Michigan State-13.543.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Michigan at Indiana-10.052.5W 39 - 14OY
Sat 11/30 Michigan vs Ohio State+9.053.0L 27 - 56ON
Wed 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama+8.562.0L 16 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Alabama's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Duke-33.557.5W 42 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs New Mexico State-54.565.0W 62 - 10ON
Sat 9/14 Alabama at South Carolina-25.559.5W 47 - 23ON
Sat 9/21 Alabama vs Southern Miss-36.563.0W 49 - 7UY
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Ole Miss-37.562.5W 59 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Alabama at Texas A&M-17.061.0W 47 - 28OY
Sat 10/19 Alabama vs Tennessee-35.062.0W 35 - 13UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Arkansas-32.056.0W 48 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama vs LSU-5.065.5L 41 - 46ON
Sat 11/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-19.061.0W 38 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Alabama vs Western Carolina-58.561.5W 66 - 3OY
Sat 11/30 Alabama at Auburn-3.551.0L 45 - 48ON
Wed 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan-8.562.0W 35 - 16UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2247%27.544%2.9820348%2123.86.0134%20.434%31%2.57620.91.3
ALA.4457%29.557%3.6419855%3244.54.0835%19.233%36%2.8753.11.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense1327.526.447.1%3.860.9214162032124.857%41%44%48%13%.22
ALA Defense1519.211.435.4%2.871.3 - - - - - 44%54%33%36%20%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1320.424.433.8%2.571.3 - - - - - 52%47%34%31%18%.01
ALA Offense1529.539.356.7%4.541.1255221983245.249%49%57%55%11%.44

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1334:0021.248%47%6.6620.91.36.92.6632.8
Alabama1530:2724.852%44%5.753.11.11.372.9631.3
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1357%44%42.1203.34.826.132.9873%8%0.97
ALA Defense1544%33% - - - - -.022.566%12%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1352%34% - - - - .062.4269%12%1.25
ALA Offense1549%57%38.1198.35.233.283.6479%7%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1341%48%16.826.2212.48.112.6249.391.629%35%.335%1.7
ALA Defense1554%36% - - - - - - 14.161.740%31%.368%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1347%31% - - - - - - 11-.051.736%24%.166%2.1
ALA Offense1549%55%20.129.2323.611.116.1528.621.825%46%.734%2.1

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.7  #10
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.0  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Alabama: 16.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 20.7   Alabama: 32.4




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.2 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2019 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.4  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.7  #2
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #3

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 28
Michigan 21

Projected Total Points: 49
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/31Michigan19Alabama13Alabama -16.5Michigan45.5Under
202301/01Michigan27Alabama20Michigan -2.0Michigan46.0Over
201901/01Alabama35Michigan16Alabama -8.5Alabama62.0Under
201209/01Alabama41Michigan14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama211 Overs
Michigan222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 03 - 02 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 40 - 30 - 10 - 2

Michigan Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Citrus Bowl Michigan vs Alabama+8.562.0L 16 - 35
2018Peach Bowl Michigan vs Florida-4.051.0L 15 - 41
2017Outback Bowl Michigan vs South Carolina-9.042.5L 19 - 26
2016Orange Bowl Michigan vs Florida State-6.551.0L 32 - 33
2015Citrus Bowl Michigan vs Florida-4.0W 41 - 7
2013Wings Bowl Michigan vs Kansas State+7.052.0L 14 - 31
Alabama Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Citrus Bowl Alabama vs Michigan-8.562.0W 35 - 16
2018CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Clemson-5.556.5L 16 - 44
2018CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Oklahoma-14.581.5W 45 - 34
2017CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Georgia-3.545.5W 26 - 23
2017CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Clemson-3.546.5W 24 - 6
2016CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Clemson-6.051.0L 31 - 35
2016CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Washington-14.051.0W 24 - 7
2015CFP Nat'l Title Alabama vs Clemson-5.5W 45 - 40
2015CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Michigan State-9.5W 38 - 0
2014CFP Semifinal Alabama vs Ohio State-7.558.0L 35 - 42
2013Sugar Bowl Alabama vs Oklahoma-17.051.5L 31 - 45
  
(#) MICH at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #3
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #10 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffALA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -8.5 (62.0)
Alabama won vs Michigan this year (35-16)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Alabama in 2024 (19-13)
Michigan beat Alabama in 2023 (27-20)

  
MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD