Purdue at Michigan Game Matchup

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -32.5 (52.5) (-6500) Open: -32.0
Michigan 41 - Purdue: 13 (Big Ten)

Boilermakers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Ryan Walters (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 16 - 40 (16 - 46 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.7 - 7.3 (#103)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PUR 2nd straight Road Game
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -37 (SP+ MICH -40)
Projected Score: PUR: 8 - MICH: 45 (49)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 46%
PUR Travel: 207 miles

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Purdue vs Fresno State	-4.0	47.0	L 35 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/9	Purdue at Virginia Tech	+1.5	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Purdue vs Syracuse	+1.0	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Fri 9/22	Purdue vs Wisconsin	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/30	Purdue vs Illinois	-1.0	54.0	W 44 - 19	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Purdue at Iowa	+2.5	38.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Purdue vs Ohio State	+17.5	53.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Purdue at Nebraska	-1.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/4	Purdue at Michigan	+32.5	52.5	L 13 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Purdue vs Minnesota	+1.5	48.5	W 49 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+2.5	47.5	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Purdue vs Indiana	-2.5	55.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	.15	44%	15.8	47%	3	121	43%	278	3.52	.16	41%	39.9	42%	41%	4.38	53.4	1.6	1.7
MICH	.28	50%	22	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	19.9	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	14	15.8	15.5	43.7%	3.52	1.6	23	399	121	278	3.6	41%	58%	47%	43%	13%	.15
MICH Defense	14	19.9	21	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	14	39.9	45.8	40.8%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	16%	.16
MICH Offense	14	22	26.9	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	14	31:51	23	38%	55%	5.3	53.4	1.6	1.7	4.3	1.9	3	28.5
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	14	41%	47%	33.4	121.1	3.6	17	.09	3	79%	6%	0.76
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	71%	9%	0.93
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	14	58%	43%	26.3	41.5	278.2	6.7	10.6	26	17	.24	1.4	30%	28%	.18	7%	1.8
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	30%	23%	.09	7%	2.1
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Purdue's Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
2023 Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Purdue's 2023 Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30
Purdue's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.72 Michigan: 31.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.4 Michigan: 32.1

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 31.905 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 39.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.8

Purdue's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 45
Purdue 8

Projected Total Points: 49

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Michigan	41	Purdue	13	Michigan	Michigan -32.5	Purdue	52.5	Over
2022	12/03	Michigan	43	Purdue	22	Michigan	Michigan -16	Michigan	53.0	Over
2017	09/23	Purdue	10	Michigan	28	Michigan	Michigan -13	Michigan	51.0	Under
2012	10/06	Purdue	13	Michigan	44	Michigan
2011	10/29	Michigan	36	Purdue	14	Michigan
2010	11/13	Purdue	16	Michigan	27	Michigan
2009	11/07	Michigan	36	Purdue	38	Purdue
2008	11/01	Purdue	48	Michigan	42	Purdue
2007	10/13	Michigan	48	Purdue	21	Michigan
2004	10/23	Purdue	14	Michigan	16	Michigan
2003	10/25	Michigan	31	Purdue	3	Michigan
2002	10/19	Purdue	21	Michigan	23	Michigan
2001	10/13	Michigan	24	Purdue	10	Michigan
2000	10/06	Purdue	32	Michigan	31	Purdue

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	11	2	2 Overs
Purdue	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 6	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 8	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

(#81) Purdue Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.72 #81
Offense Rating: 14.07 #90
Defense Rating: 10.70 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 642.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #37
Expected Record: 4.70 - 7.30

Team Profile

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Purdue Ratings Matchup Michigan

Power #81

Off #90

#14

Def #83

Talent #65

#10

SP+ #90

SP+ Off #89

#10

SP+ Def #72

Rematch from Week 10
Michigan -32.5 (52.5)
Michigan won vs Purdue this year (41-13)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Purdue in 2023 (41-13)
Michigan beat Purdue in 2022 (43-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | MICH
Depth Chart: PUR | MICH
Rosters: PUR | MICH

(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.905 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile

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Purdue's OC Graham Harrell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hudson Card (Tr)	144	248	58%	1641	9	7	6.6
Christian Gelov	1	3	33%	26	0	0	8.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Downing	44	152	1	3.5	15
Deion Burks	5	32	0	6.4	11
Christian Gelov	1	12	0	12.0	12
Ben Furtney	1	-5	0	-5.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
TJ Sheffield	54	505	3	9.4	58
Elijah Canion	25	354	3	14.2	50
Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen	21	254	0	12.1	51
Deion Burks	31	245	3	7.9	20

View Purdue's Full Roster

Purdue's DC Kevin Kane

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
O.C. Brothers	47	3	0	2	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Clyde Washington	36	3	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kydran Jenkins	83	13	7	5	1
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Khordae Sydnor	14	7	4	2	2
Prince Boyd Jr.	3	1	1	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Markevious Brown (Tr)	9	0	0	0	3
Nic Caraway	37	14	4	4	2
Braxton Myers (Tr)	31	2	0	0	2

Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1
Donovan Edwards	1	1	100%	23	1	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
C.J. Stokes	7	33	1	4.7	13
Eamonn Dennis	5	30	0	6.0	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Matthew Hibner	24	368	4	15.3	80
Jake Thaw	41	334	5	8.1	29
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44

View Michigan's Full Roster

Michigan's DC Jesse Minter

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Keon Sabb	39	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	13	9	7	0
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5
Jerome Nichols	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Calhoun	21	1	0	0	9
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5
Kenneth Grant	32	7	3	3	5