Washington at Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines(#14)Michigan logo
Monday, January 8th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Michigan -5.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: -4.0 | 54.5
Michigan 34 - Washington: 13  (CFP National Championship Pres. by AT&T)

 
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Michigan -12.5   (SP+ MICH -14)

Projected Score: WASH: 21 - MICH: 33 (54)
MICH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 36 - 10 (36 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)3654% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)24.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
MICH#11 (.33)50% (7)35.947% (31)3.26 (39)14056% (2)1904.79 (10)#1 (-.01)32% (1)10.432% (4)33% (4)2.37 (1)22.80.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense153637.652.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38
MICH Defense1510.49.632.3%2.371.6 - - - - - 49%50%32%33%21%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1524.825.244.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
MICH Offense1535.935.750.3%4.790.5183301401904.356%44%47%56%11%.33

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Michigan1528:2517.747%79%2.522.80.51.64.92.1433.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)
MICH Defense1549% (50)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (1)2.57 (9)55% (4)12% (13)0.85 (11)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
MICH Offense1556% (25)47% (31)32.9140.24.335 (5).19 (45)3.26 (39)76% (46)7% (7)0.91 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)
MICH Defense1550% (79)33% (4) - - - - - - 16 (9).09 (7)1.6 (67)36% (19)25% (16).07 (1)9% (3)1.7 (3)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
MICH Offense1544% (105)56% (2)15.521189.6912.221 (65)5 (6).55 (5)1.5 (89)28% (11)38% (11).52 (16)4% (12)2 (77)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14   Michigan: 29.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6   Michigan: 32.1




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 29.405 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 33
Washington 21


Total Points: 54

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 10.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.6

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Washington27Michigan17WashingtonWashington -1.5Washington39.5Over
202301/08Michigan34Washington13MichiganMichigan -5.5Michigan55.5Under
202109/11Michigan31Washington10MichiganMichigan -6.5Michigan47.5Under
200208/31Michigan31Washington29Michigan
200109/08Washington23Michigan18Washington
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan321 Overs
Washington212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 03 - 03 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 50 - 30 - 00 - 3

Washington Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023CFP Nat'l Title Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34
2023CFP Semifinal Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31
2022Alamo Bowl Washington vs Texas+3.067.0W 27 - 20
2019Vegas Bowl Washington vs Boise State-4.048.0W 38 - 7
2018Rose Bowl Washington vs Ohio State+5.555.5L 23 - 28
2017N/A Washington vs Penn State+3.055.0L 28 - 35
Michigan Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023CFP Nat'l Title Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13
2023CFP Semifinal Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20
2022CFP Semifinal Michigan vs TCU-8.056.0L 45 - 51
2021CFP Semifinal Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34
2019Citrus Bowl Michigan vs Alabama+8.562.0L 16 - 35
2018Peach Bowl Michigan vs Florida-4.051.0L 15 - 41
2017Outback Bowl Michigan vs South Carolina-9.042.5L 19 - 26
  
(#12) Washington Info
Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10


Washington has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (1 - 1)
Washington has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Washington has played in 17 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 10)

Washington Highlights
Washington is Undefeated away from Home
Washington is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home

Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington offense is good in red zone (#25)
Washington offense is good on 3rd downs
Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington Secondary is very good (#56)
Washington defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Washington does not Sack the QB (#80)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMICHWASH
OverallOver#1#11
OffenseOff#6#4
DefenseDef#1#34
Special TeamsST#27#15
PassingPass#10#3
RushingRush#36#26
Run BlockRBLK#9#32
Pass BlockPBLK#44#15
Route RunningWR Rt#6#1
TacklingTkl#2#93
Run DefenseR Def#2#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#24
Coverage DefCov#1#20

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -5.5 (55.5)
Michigan won vs Washington this year (34-13)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Michigan last year (27-17)
Michigan beat Washington in 2023 (34-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | MICH
Depth Chart: WASH | MICH
Rosters: WASH | MICH
(#1) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 29.405 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20


Michigan has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Michigan has played in 7 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 4)
Michigan has played in 22 Bowls since 2000 (8 - 14)

Michigan Highlights
Michigan in Undefeated
Michigan is Undefeated away from Home

Michigan offense is efficent (#99)
Michigan offense is good in red zone (#37)
Michigan offense is good on 3rd downs
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)

Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan defense is really good in red zone (#89)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan has a good pass defense (#70)
Michigan Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#85)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Front 7 is disruptive (#38)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)


  
Washington's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Penix Jr.36355665%490336118.8
Dylan Morris91464%2241116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)2331195165.153
Will Nixon3320116.121
Tybo Rogers4418404.222
Germie Bernard (Tr)134323.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rome Odunze9216401317.852
Ja'Lynn Polk691159916.892
Jalen McMillan45559512.445
Jack Westover4643349.428

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC William Inge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominique Hampton980006
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Carson Bruener802013
Alphonzo Tuputala642201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralen Trice46117152
Zion Tupuola-Fetui295420
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Dominique Hampton980006
Mishael Powell383026

Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
J.J. McCarthy24033272%29912249.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)151788%130107.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Corum2581245274.859
Donovan Edwards11949754.246
Kalel Mullings3622216.223
J.J. McCarthy6420233.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Wilson487891216.447
Colston Loveland45649414.454
Cornelius Johnson47604112.950
Donovan Edwards3024908.337

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Junior Colson892022
Michael Barrett614352
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)442000
Makari Paige380012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Harrell3010851
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)339632
Derrick Moore346542
Braiden McGregor269573
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mike Sainristil365236
Will Johnson00004
Josh Wallace (Tr)282004