Washington at Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington Huskies vs Michigan Wolverines(#19)

Monday, January 8th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Michigan -5.5 (55.5) (0) Open: -4.0 | 54.5
Michigan 34 - Washington: 13 (CFP National Championship Pres. by AT&T)

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Michigan -12.5 (SP+ MICH -14)
Projected Score: WASH: 21 - MICH: 34 (55)
MICH Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
WASH Travel: 1892 miles, 2 hrs behind

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 36 - 10 (36 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WASH Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	36	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	24.8	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2
MICH	#11 (.33)	50% (7)	35.9	47% (31)	3.26 (39)	140	56% (2)	190	4.79 (10)	#1 (-.01)	32% (1)	10.4	32% (4)	33% (4)	2.37 (1)	22.8	0.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	15	36	37.6	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38
MICH Defense	15	10.4	9.6	32.3%	2.37	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	32%	33%	21%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	15	24.8	25.2	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19
MICH Offense	15	35.9	35.7	50.3%	4.79	0.5	18	330	140	190	4.3	56%	44%	47%	56%	11%	.33

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31
Michigan	15	28:25	17.7	47%	79%	2.5	22.8	0.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	4	33.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)
MICH Defense	15	49% (50)	32% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.09 (1)	2.57 (9)	55% (4)	12% (13)	0.85 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)
MICH Offense	15	56% (25)	47% (31)	32.9	140.2	4.3	35 (5)	.19 (45)	3.26 (39)	76% (46)	7% (7)	0.91 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)
MICH Defense	15	50% (79)	33% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.09 (7)	1.6 (67)	36% (19)	25% (16)	.07 (1)	9% (3)	1.7 (3)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)
MICH Offense	15	44% (105)	56% (2)	15.5	21	189.6	9	12.2	21 (65)	5 (6)	.55 (5)	1.5 (89)	28% (11)	38% (11)	.52 (16)	4% (12)	2 (77)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 Michigan: 29.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 Michigan: 32.1

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 29.405 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 34
Washington 21

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 30
Washington 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 30
Washington 23

Total Points: 53

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 35.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 10.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.6

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Michigan	24	Washington	7	Michigan -4.5	Michigan	50.5	Under
2024	10/05	Washington	27	Michigan	17	Washington -1.5	Washington	39.5	Over
2023	01/08	Michigan	34	Washington	13	Michigan -5.5	Michigan	55.5	Under
2021	09/11	Michigan	31	Washington	10	Michigan -6.5	Michigan	47.5	Under
2002	08/31	Michigan	31	Washington	29
2001	09/08	Washington	23	Michigan	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	4	3	1 Overs
Washington	2	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 0	4 - 0	4 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 6	0 - 4	0 - 0	0 - 4

Washington Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34
2023	CFP Semifinal	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31
2022	Alamo Bowl	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	67.0	W 27 - 20
2019	Vegas Bowl	Washington vs Boise State	-4.0	48.0	W 38 - 7
2018	Rose Bowl	Washington vs Ohio State	+5.5	55.5	L 23 - 28
2017	N/A	Washington vs Penn State	+3.0	55.0	L 28 - 35

Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13
2023	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20
2022	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51
2021	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Georgia	+7.5	47.0	L 11 - 34
2019	Citrus Bowl	Michigan vs Alabama	+8.5	62.0	L 16 - 35
2018	Peach Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41
2017	Outback Bowl	Michigan vs South Carolina	-9.0	42.5	L 19 - 26

(#12) WASH at (#1) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#12	#1
SP+SP+	#11	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#1
OffenseOff	#4	#6
DefenseDef	#42	#1
Spec TeamsST	#15	#27
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#23	#16

Washington Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#1
SuccessSuc	#4	#1
ExplosiveExp	#81	#37
PPAPPA	#7	#1
PowerPwr	#5	#1
SP+SP+	#4	#1
Pts POPPO	#12	#1
HavocHav	#13	#6

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#39	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#4
Run ExplRExp	#90	#11
PPAExp	#10	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#22
TackleTak	-	#2

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#67
PPAExp	#11	#7
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#17	#3
F7 HavocF7	#18	#13
DB HavocDB	#36	#3

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#6	#42
SuccessSuc	#7	#99
ExplosiveExp	#106	#20
PPAPPA	#11	#72
PowerPwr	#14	#52
SP+SP+	#10	#45
Pts POPPO	#10	#80
HavocHav	#6	#89

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#51	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#127
Run ExplRExp	#107	#66
PPAExp	#45	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#39	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#6	#130
TackleTak	-	#109

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#7
PPAExp	#5	#13
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	#27
F7 HavocF7	#7	#126
DB HavocDB	#12	#12

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions: Rain Shower
Temp: 53° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan -5.5 (55.5)
Michigan won vs Washington this year (34-13)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Michigan last year (27-17)
Michigan beat Washington in 2023 (34-13)

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
J.J. McCarthy	240	332	72%	2991	22	4	9.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	15	17	88%	130	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Corum	258	1245	27	4.8	59
Donovan Edwards	119	497	5	4.2	46
Kalel Mullings	36	222	1	6.2	23
J.J. McCarthy	64	202	3	3.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Wilson	48	789	12	16.4	47
Colston Loveland	45	649	4	14.4	54
Cornelius Johnson	47	604	1	12.9	50
Donovan Edwards	30	249	0	8.3	37

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Junior Colson	89	2	0	2	2
Michael Barrett	61	4	3	5	2
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)	44	2	0	0	0
Makari Paige	38	0	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Harrell	30	10	8	5	1
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	9	6	3	2
Derrick Moore	34	6	5	4	2
Braiden McGregor	26	9	5	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mike Sainristil	36	5	2	3	6
Will Johnson	0	0	0	0	4
Josh Wallace (Tr)	28	2	0	0	4