Alabama at Kentucky - 2023 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Kentucky WildcatsKentucky logo
Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Alabama -10 (45.5) (-425)  Open: -10.0
Alabama 49 - Kentucky: 21  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (12 - 2) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (191 - 28)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 4.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Alabama -11.5   (SP+ ALA -14.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 29 - UK: 17 (47)
ALA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ALA Travel: 374 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mark Stoops (69 - 59)
Avg Score : 21 - 22 (22 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#63)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34ON
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3UN
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20OY
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24ON
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24UY
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17UN
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14OY
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51ON
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31OY
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA.3347%33.846%2.9519648%2824.78.0639%17.442%36%3.4968.71.21.2
UK.1140%20.643%311637%2083.23.0737%22.138%37%3.1539.51.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1333.827.846.9%4.781.2244771962825.644%56%46%48%13%.33
UK Defense1322.117.637.2%3.151.5 - - - - - 54%46%38%37%14%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1317.422.238.9%3.491.2 - - - - - 47%53%42%36%18%.06
UK Offense1320.621.939.8%3.231.5183251162083.351%48%43%37%18%.11

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1329:5423.846%60%7.968.71.21.26.52.9331.2
Kentucky1333:0817.634%62%5.739.51.51.541.5227.5
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1344%46%35.2195.75.626.232.9573%9%1.09
UK Defense1354%38% - - - - .062.9162%8%1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1347%42% - - - - .092.8568%11%0.94
UK Offense1351%43%35.6116.23.39.05365%13%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1356%48%21.533.7281.58.413.1378.41.730%40%.684%2.4
UK Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.141.534%26%.186%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 7.061.433%26%.147%1.9
UK Offense1348%37%17.226.8208.57.812.12113.231.934%28%.226%2

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Alabama's Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
2023 Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 16.78   Kentucky: 8.97

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7   Kentucky: 9.3




Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Kentucky's Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Kentucky's Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
2023 Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 29
Kentucky 17

Projected Total Points: 47
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 20.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.9
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Kentucky21Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -10Alabama45.5Over
202011/21Alabama63Kentucky3AlabamaAlabama -31.5Alabama57.5Over
201610/01Alabama34Kentucky6AlabamaAlabama -32.5Kentucky54.5Under
201310/12Kentucky7Alabama48AlabamaAlabama -27Alabama0
200910/03Kentucky20Alabama38Alabama
200810/04Alabama17Kentucky14Alabama
200410/09Kentucky17Alabama45Alabama
200309/13Alabama27Kentucky17Alabama
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kentucky012 Overs
Alabama831 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 41 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams4 - 43 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.78 #9
Offense Rating: 22.42 #25
Defense Rating: 3.95 #21
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #9
Talent Rating: 1424.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 90% #1
Expected Record: 9.70 - 4.30

Team Profile






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Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Kentucky
Power #9
#43
Off #25
#60
Def #21
#72
Talent #1
#25
SP+ #7
#31
SP+ Off #11
#44
SP+ Def #9
#33

Rematch from Week 11
Alabama 10.0 (45.5)
Alabama won at Kentucky this year (49-21)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Kentucky in 2023 (49-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Commonwealth Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 54°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | UK
Depth Chart: ALA | UK
Rosters: ALA | UK
(#43) Kentucky Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8.97 #43
Offense Rating: 17.10 #60
Defense Rating: 10.02 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #33
Talent Rating: 826.00 #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 37 #20
Expected Record: 6.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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Alabama's OC Tommy Rees
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Eli Holstein17929062%22251777.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Eli Holstein8132834.049
Isaiah Bond498124.544
Roydell Williams265322.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Corey Brooks611013916.686
Isaiah Bond34540515.956
Malik Benson25311112.467
Miles Kitselman22301413.731

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kevin Steele
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Caleb Downs818116
Malachi Moore703138
Trey Amos (Tr)5040013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Smith354250
Malachi Moore703138
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Amos (Tr)5040013
Malachi Moore703138
Caleb Downs818116

Kentucky's OC Liam Coen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deuce Hogan61833%31021.7
Wilson Berry010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
La'Vell Wright11564355.672
Demie Sumo12958654.522
Deuce Hogan4-30-0.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demie Sumo2015407.718
Shamar Porter6113318.839
Izayah Cummings333011.019
Ardell Banks220010.013

View Kentucky's Full Roster
Kentucky's DC Brad White
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Childress556162
Deone Walker375202
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
D'Eryk Jackson324103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keaten Wade207410
J.J. Weaver317441
Tre'Vonn Rybka345321
Octavious Oxendine205330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Reed322014
Maxwell Hairston191104
D'Eryk Jackson324103