Cincinnati at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Friday, December 31st 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -13.0 (57.5) (-500) Open: -14.0 | 58.5
Alabama 27 - Cincinnati: 6 (CFP Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic)

Bearcats (13 - 1) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (38 - 14)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ ALA -5)
Projected Score: CIN: 23 - ALA: 33 (56)
ALA Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
CIN Travel: 829 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
CIN Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-22.5	49.0	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Cincinnati vs Murray State	-36.5	51.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	Cincinnati at Indiana	-4.0	50.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Cincinnati at Notre Dame	-2.5	50.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Cincinnati vs Temple	-30.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Cincinnati vs UCF	-21.5	56.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Cincinnati at Navy	-28.5	49.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Cincinnati at Tulane	-27.5	61.5	W 31 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/6	Cincinnati vs Tulsa	-22.5	56.0	W 28 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/12	Cincinnati at South Florida	-24.5	58.5	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/20	Cincinnati vs SMU	-9.5	65.5	W 48 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/26	Cincinnati at East Carolina	-14.5	56.5	W 35 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Cincinnati vs Houston	-10.5	52.5	W 35 - 20	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Cincinnati vs Alabama	+13.0	57.5	L 6 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Alabama vs Miami	-19.5	61.5	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Alabama vs Mercer	-54.0	60.5	W 48 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Alabama at Florida	-14.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/25	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-45.0	57.5	W 63 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-15.0	79.5	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Alabama at Texas A&M	-18.5	50.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-17.5	59.5	W 49 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Alabama vs Tennessee	-24.5	68.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Alabama vs LSU	-29.5	66.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-50.0	67.0	W 59 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Alabama vs Arkansas	-20.5	58.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Alabama at Auburn	-21.0	57.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/4	Alabama vs Georgia	+6.0	48.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Mon 1/10	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.25	46%	30.3	42%	2.88	213	51%	239	4.01	.01	34%	25.6	38%	31%	1.98	76.2	1.6	2
ALA	.49	58%	29.5	54%	3.29	183	61%	358	5.18	.12	38%	19.2	37%	38%	2.88	48.1	0.9	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	10	30.3	30.8	46.2%	4.01	1.6	22	451	213	239	5.6	53%	47%	42%	51%	16%	.25
ALA Defense	13	19.2	11.4	37.5%	2.88	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	37%	38%	18%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	10	25.6	35.3	34.2%	1.98	2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	38%	31%	20%	.01
ALA Offense	13	29.5	39.3	57.9%	5.18	0.9	28	541	183	358	5	47%	53%	54%	61%	11%	.49

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	10	32:00	21.9	45%	67%	8.7	76.2	1.6	2	7.2	2.9	2	36.4
Alabama	13	30:48	28.1	60%	67%	6	48.1	0.9	1.7	5.5	2.1	4	30

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	10	53%	42%	38.1	212.6	5.6	29	.13	2.88	60%	11%	1.12
ALA Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.63	71%	11%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	10	46%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.57	81%	12%	0.92
ALA Offense	13	47%	54%	36.5	182.9	5	37	.23	3.29	81%	7%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	10	47%	51%	19.7	29.5	238.6	8.1	12.1	20	6	.39	1.5	29%	38%	.43	5%	1.8
ALA Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.7	34%	32%	.3	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	10	54%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	-	1.6	35%	25%	.14	8%	2
ALA Offense	13	53%	61%	24.9	32.7	358.2	11	14.4	42	4	.71	1.6	22%	48%	.87	4%	2.3

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #52
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2021 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.2 #5
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #13
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #11

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: Alabama: 13

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 21.2 Alabama: 26.0

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 13 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9 #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 33
Cincinnati 23

Projected Total Points: 56

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/31	Alabama	27	Cincinnati	6	Alabama -13.0	Alabama	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	1	1	0 Overs
Cincinnati	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

Cincinnati Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	CFP Semifinal	Cincinnati vs Alabama	+13.0	57.5	L 6 - 27
2020	Peach Bowl	Cincinnati vs Georgia	+7.0	50.0	L 21 - 24
2019	Birmingham Bowl	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8.0	53.0	W 38 - 6
2018	N/A	Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	48.5	W 35 - 31
2015	I Bowl	Cincinnati vs San Diego State	-2.5		L 7 - 42

Alabama Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33
2021	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Ohio State	-9.5	75.0	W 52 - 24
2020	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Notre Dame	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 14
2019	Citrus Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16
2018	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Clemson	-5.5	56.5	L 16 - 44
2018	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-14.5	81.5	W 45 - 34
2017	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	-3.5	45.5	W 26 - 23
2017	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Clemson	-3.5	46.5	W 24 - 6
2016	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Clemson	-6.0	51.0	L 31 - 35
2016	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Washington	-14.0	51.0	W 24 - 7
2015	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Clemson	-5.5		W 45 - 40
2015	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Michigan State	-9.5		W 38 - 0

(#) CIN at (#) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#5	#3
Perf GradeGrade	#11	#6
OffenseOff	#32	#15
DefenseDef	#5	#12
Spec TeamsST	#9	#72
TalentTal	#52	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#12
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#13	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#8	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#76	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#81	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#5
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#26	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#13

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#80	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

CIN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Alabama -13.0 (57.5)
Alabama won vs Cincinnati this year (27-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CIN's OC Mike Denbrock (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD