UNLV at Michigan - 2023 Matchup Preview

UNLV Rebels at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -38 (57.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan 35 - UNLV: 7

Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Michigan -32 (SP+ MICH -30)
Projected Score: UNLV: 12 - MICH: 44 (56)
MICH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
UNLV Travel: 1722 miles, 3 hrs behind

Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UNLV vs Bryant	-16.5	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UNLV at Michigan	+38.0	57.5	L 7 - 35	U	Y
Sat 9/16	UNLV vs Vanderbilt	+4.5	56.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/23	UNLV at UTEP	+1.0	49.5	W 45 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UNLV vs Hawai'i	-10.5	58.5	W 44 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	UNLV at Nevada	-7.5	51.5	W 45 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	UNLV vs Colorado State	-6.5	60.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/28	UNLV at Fresno State	+10.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/4	UNLV at New Mexico	-10.0	61.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Fri 11/10	UNLV vs Wyoming	-2.5	48.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/18	UNLV at Air Force	+2.5	46.5	W 31 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	UNLV vs San José State	-3.5	58.5	L 31 - 37	O	N
Sat 12/2	UNLV vs Boise State	+2.5	58.0	L 20 - 44	O	N
Tue 12/26	UNLV vs Kansas	+8.0	64.5	L 36 - 49	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Michigan's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Michigan vs East Carolina	-36.0	53.5	W 30 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	Michigan vs UNLV	-38.0	57.5	W 35 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/16	Michigan vs Bowling Green	-40.5	53.5	W 31 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan vs Rutgers	-24.0	44.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan at Nebraska	-17.0	39.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Michigan at Minnesota	-18.5	46.0	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Michigan vs Indiana	-33.5	45.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan at Michigan State	-25.5	47.0	W 49 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Michigan vs Purdue	-32.5	52.5	W 41 - 13	O	N
Sat 11/11	Michigan at Penn State	-4.0	44.5	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Michigan at Maryland	-17.5	50.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/25	Michigan vs Ohio State	-3.0	47.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Michigan vs Iowa	-23.5	35.0	W 26 - 0	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.18	40%	34.1	45%	3.34	137	37%	215	3.57	.2	46%	28	51%	41%	3.62	57.3	1.3	2.1
MICH	.28	50%	27.5	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	20.4	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	12	34.1	34.7	40.4%	3.57	1.3	18	352	137	215	4.1	47%	51%	45%	37%	20%	.18
MICH Defense	14	20.4	13.3	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	12	28	29.3	46%	3.62	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	51%	41%	16%	.2
MICH Offense	14	27.5	29.2	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	12	28:49	17.6	33%	53%	5.8	57.3	1.3	2.1	4.6	2.3	2	27.1
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	12	47%	45%	33.6	137.3	4.1	18	.27	3.34	84%	14%	1.07
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	12	53%	51%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.55	77%	10%	0.8
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	12	51%	37%	18.9	30.1	215	7.2	11.4	15	7	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.25	6%	2.1
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.33	1.7	28%	34%	.37	6%	2.2
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 354.46 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 355.54
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91 Michigan: 31.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0 Michigan: 32.1

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 31.905 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 850.43 #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 44
UNLV 12

Projected Total Points: 56

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Michigan	35	UNLV	7	Michigan -38	UNLV	57.5	Under
2015	09/19	Michigan	28	UNLV	7	Michigan -34	UNLV	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	2	0	0 Overs
UNLV	0	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#76) UNLV at (#1) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#76	#1
SP+SP+	#60	#1
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#1
OffenseOff	#60	#6
DefenseDef	#110	#1
Spec TeamsST	#99	#27
TalentTal	#119	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#16

UNLV Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#60	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#52	#1
SP+SP+	#35	#1
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#72	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#2

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#43	#3
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#6	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#14	#73
SP+SP+	#10	#98
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#51	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	#39
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Michigan -38.0 (57.5)
Michigan won vs UNLV this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat UNLV in 2023 (35-7)

UNLV's OC Brennan Marion (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jayden Maiava	224	353	64%	3085	17	10	8.7
Doug Brumfield	26	50	52%	252	0	2	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Vincent Davis (Tr)	145	760	7	5.2	69
Jai'Den Thomas	108	503	12	4.7	46
Donavyn Lester	95	455	9	4.8	66
Jayden Maiava	73	277	3	3.8	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ricky White	88	1483	8	16.9	82
Jacob De Jesus	60	606	2	10.1	48
Senika McKie	23	342	1	14.9	50
Kaleo Ballungay	18	314	2	17.4	84

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Marsel McDuffie	78	2	1	0	2
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	0	4
Fred Thompkins	54	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Whitmore	30	6	3	3	0
Jackson Woodard (Tr)	97	9	3	2	2
Cooper Webb	26	4	2	1	0
Cameron Oliver	50	6	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Ricky Johnson	33	3	0	7
Johnathan Baldwin	65	3	1	4
Jett Elad	52	3	0	4

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
J.J. McCarthy	240	332	72%	2991	22	4	9.0
Jack Tuttle (Tr)	15	17	88%	130	1	0	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Blake Corum	258	1245	27	4.8	59
Donovan Edwards	119	497	5	4.2	46
Kalel Mullings	36	222	1	6.2	23
J.J. McCarthy	64	202	3	3.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roman Wilson	48	789	12	16.4	47
Colston Loveland	45	649	4	14.4	54
Cornelius Johnson	47	604	1	12.9	50
Donovan Edwards	30	249	0	8.3	37

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Junior Colson	89	2	0	2	2
Michael Barrett	61	4	3	5	2
Ernest Hausmann (Tr)	44	2	0	0	0
Makari Paige	38	0	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Harrell	30	10	8	5	1
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)	33	9	6	3	2
Derrick Moore	34	6	5	4	2
Braiden McGregor	26	9	5	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mike Sainristil	36	5	2	3	6
Will Johnson	0	0	0	0	4
Josh Wallace (Tr)	28	2	0	0	4