UNLV at Michigan Game Matchup
UNLV logo UNLV Rebels at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -38 (57.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan 35 - UNLV: 7

 
Rebels (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 6.3 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Michigan -32   (SP+ MICH -30)

Projected Score: UNLV: 11 - MICH: 43 (50)
MICH Win prob: 100% | Cover: 60%
UNLV Travel: 1722 miles, 3 hrs behind
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UNLV's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 UNLV vs Bryant-16.566.0W 44 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 UNLV at Michigan+38.057.5L 7 - 35UY
Sat 9/16 UNLV vs Vanderbilt+4.556.5W 40 - 37OY
Sat 9/23 UNLV at UTEP+1.049.5W 45 - 28OY
Sat 9/30 UNLV vs Hawai'i-10.558.5W 44 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 UNLV at Nevada-7.551.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 UNLV vs Colorado State-6.560.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 10/28 UNLV at Fresno State+10.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/4 UNLV at New Mexico-10.061.0W 56 - 14OY
Fri 11/10 UNLV vs Wyoming-2.548.5W 34 - 14UY
Sat 11/18 UNLV at Air Force+2.546.5W 31 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 UNLV vs San José State-3.558.5L 31 - 37ON
Sat 12/2 UNLV vs Boise State+2.558.0L 20 - 44ON
Tue 12/26 UNLV vs Kansas+8.064.5L 36 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV.1840%35.445%3.3413737%2153.57.246%21.351%41%3.6257.31.32.1
MICH.2850%2252%3.1523948%2204.55.0437%19.938%36%3.4320.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNLV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Offense1235.428.840.4%3.571.3183521372154.147%51%45%37%20%.18
MICH Defense1419.92136.7%3.41.4 - - - - - 41%59%38%36%16%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNLV Defense1221.321.746%3.622.1 - - - - - 53%46%51%41%16%.2
MICH Offense142226.950%4.550.7234592392205.659%41%52%48%12%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UNLV1228:4917.633%53%5.857.31.32.14.62.3227.1
Michigan1433:4723.345%86%4.1320.71.44.92.6232.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense1247%45%33.6137.34.118.273.3484%14%1.07
MICH Defense1441%38% - - - - .022.780%9%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense1253%51% - - - - .173.5577%10%0.8
MICH Offense1459%52%42.9238.95.641.283.1576%8%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense1251%37%18.930.12157.211.4157.171.533%26%.256%2.1
MICH Defense1459%36% - - - - - - 14.071.434%22%.147%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 15.331.728%34%.376%2.2
MICH Offense1441%48%1726.4219.98.312.9246.311.526%32%.314%1.9

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -1.91 #76
UNLV's Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
UNLV's Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
2023 Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UNLV's 2023 Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30
UNLV's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 492.67
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -1.91   Michigan: 31.905

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: 2.0   Michigan: 32.1




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 31.905 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


UNLV Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.8
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

UNLV's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 43
UNLV 11


Projected Total Points: 50
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Michigan35UNLV7MichiganMichigan -38UNLV57.5Under
201509/19Michigan28UNLV7MichiganMichigan -34UNLV50.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan200 Overs
UNLV022 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#76) UNLV Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.91 #76
Offense Rating: 18.43 #52
Defense Rating: 10.09 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #35
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #98
Talent Rating: 434.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 7.70 - 6.30

Team Profile






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UNLV     Ratings Matchup     Michigan
Power #76
#1
Off #52
#14
Def #73
#1
Talent #106
#10
SP+ #60
#1
SP+ Off #35
#10
SP+ Def #98
#1

Rematch from Week 2
Michigan -38.0 (57.5)
Michigan won vs UNLV this year (35-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat UNLV in 2023 (35-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UNLV | MICH
Depth Chart: UNLV | MICH
Rosters: UNLV | MICH
(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.905 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51 #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile






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UNLV's OC Brennan Marion
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jayden Maiava10116960%12011167.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Maiava204542.313
Ricky White1101.01
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ricky White7910411113.255
Senika McKie24319413.341
Zyell Griffin6151125.289
Cameron Oliver152052.052

View UNLV's Full Roster
UNLV's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010
Naki Fahina291020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Keith Conley Jr.133210
Tatuo Martinson242212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Woodard (Tr)135174412
Johnathan Baldwin6894010
Cameron Oliver3311010

Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)305060%306126.1
Donovan Edwards11100%231023.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kalel Mullings185948125.163
Donovan Edwards12858944.641
C.J. Stokes73314.713
Eamonn Dennis53006.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Colston Loveland56582510.436
Matthew Hibner24368415.380
Jake Thaw4133458.129
Darrius Clemons25292211.744

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Graham467431
Makari Paige451004
Quinten Johnson431005
Keon Sabb391004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)3313970
Mason Graham467431
Kenneth Grant327335
Jerome Nichols10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun211009
Quinten Johnson431005
Kenneth Grant327335