Alabama vs Michigan Game Matchup

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines

Tuesday, December 31st 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Alabama -16.5 (45.5) (-850) Open: 0.0 | 43.5
Michigan 19 - Alabama: 13 (ReliaQuest Bowl)

Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Alabama -14 (SP+ ALA -14.5)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - MICH: 16 (47)
ALA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
ALA Travel: 659 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
ALA Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-31.0	60.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs South Florida	-33.5	65.5	W 42 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at Wisconsin	-15.5	51.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.0	50.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-23.5	53.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/12	Alabama vs South Carolina	-21.0	50.0	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Alabama at Tennessee	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Missouri	-16.0	51.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama at LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 42 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Alabama vs Mercer	-42.0	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama at Oklahoma	-14.0	47.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	Alabama vs Auburn	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Michigan vs Fresno State	-21.0	48.0	W 30 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan vs Texas	+7.0	42.0	L 12 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Michigan vs Arkansas State	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan vs USC	+4.0	44.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan vs Minnesota	-10.5	34.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan at Washington	+1.5	39.5	L 17 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Michigan at Illinois	-6.0	44.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Michigan vs Michigan State	-3.5	39.0	W 24 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Michigan vs Oregon	+14.5	45.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Michigan at Indiana	+14.5	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Michigan vs Northwestern	-10.5	35.5	W 50 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan at Ohio State	+20.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Michigan vs Alabama	+16.5	45.5	W 19 - 13	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#20 (.29)	45% (39)	33.8	45% (43)	3.23 (45)	160	45% (34)	212	4.59 (17)	#26 (.11)	36% (12)	17.4	38% (28)	34% (6)	3.86 (73)	45.7	0.7	1.3
MICH	#11 (.33)	50% (7)	22	47% (31)	3.26 (39)	140	56% (2)	190	4.79 (10)	#1 (-.01)	32% (1)	19.9	32% (4)	33% (4)	2.37 (1)	22.8	0.5	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	14	33.8	27.8	45%	4.59	0.7	19	373	160	212	4.3	57%	43%	45%	45%	15%	.29
MICH Defense	15	19.9	21	32.3%	2.37	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	32%	33%	21%	-.01

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	14	17.4	22.2	35.8%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	34%	19%	.11
MICH Offense	15	22	26.9	50.3%	4.79	0.5	18	330	140	190	4.3	56%	44%	47%	56%	11%	.33

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	14	28:25	18.6	47%	83%	5.4	45.7	0.7	1.3	5.9	2.8	2	30.6
Michigan	15	28:25	17.7	47%	79%	2.5	22.8	0.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	4	33.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	14	57% (18)	45% (43)	37	160.4	4.3	30 (21)	.21 (39)	3.23 (45)	81% (13)	11% (91)	0.98 (79)
MICH Defense	15	49% (50)	32% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.09 (1)	2.57 (9)	55% (4)	12% (13)	0.85 (11)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	14	48% (40)	38% (28)	-	-	-	-	.15 (71)	3.13 (74)	67% (36)	12% (21)	1.12 (114)
MICH Offense	15	56% (25)	47% (31)	32.9	140.2	4.3	35 (5)	.19 (45)	3.26 (39)	76% (46)	7% (7)	0.91 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	14	43% (115)	45% (34)	13.7	21.6	212.1	9.8	15.5	23 (51)	6 (14)	.44 (20)	1.9 (8)	31% (50)	34% (39)	.55 (11)	4% (6)	2.6 (1)
MICH Defense	15	50% (79)	33% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.09 (7)	1.6 (67)	36% (19)	25% (16)	.07 (1)	9% (3)	1.7 (3)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	14	52% (98)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.11 (9)	1.5 (42)	35% (29)	26% (18)	.23 (25)	7% (37)	2.1 (71)
MICH Offense	15	44% (105)	56% (2)	15.5	21	189.6	9	12.2	21 (65)	5 (6)	.55 (5)	1.5 (89)	28% (11)	38% (11)	.52 (16)	4% (12)	2 (77)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87 Michigan: 7.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0 Michigan: 10.6

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 7.855 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 30
Michigan 16

Projected Total Points: 47

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	12/31	Michigan	19	Alabama	13	Michigan	Alabama -16.5	Michigan	45.5	Under
2023	01/01	Michigan	27	Alabama	20	Michigan	Michigan -2.0	Michigan	46.0	Over
2019	01/01	Alabama	35	Michigan	16	Alabama	Alabama -8.5	Alabama	62.0	Under
2012	09/01	Alabama	41	Michigan	14	Alabama

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	2	2	1 Overs
Alabama	2	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	3 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 2

Alabama Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Reliaquest Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19
2023	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Michigan	+2.0	46.0	L 20 - 27
2022	Sugar Bowl	Alabama vs Kansas State	-8.0	58.5	W 45 - 20
2021	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33
2021	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6
2020	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Ohio State	-9.5	75.0	W 52 - 24
2020	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Notre Dame	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 14
2019	Citrus Bowl	Alabama vs Michigan	-8.5	62.0	W 35 - 16
2018	CFP Nat'l Title	Alabama vs Clemson	-5.5	56.5	L 16 - 44
2018	CFP Semifinal	Alabama vs Oklahoma	-14.5	81.5	W 45 - 34

Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Reliaquest Bowl	Michigan vs Alabama	+16.5	45.5	W 19 - 13
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Michigan vs Washington	-5.5	55.5	W 34 - 13
2023	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Alabama	-2.0	46.0	W 27 - 20
2022	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51
2021	CFP Semifinal	Michigan vs Georgia	+7.5	47.0	L 11 - 34
2019	Citrus Bowl	Michigan vs Alabama	+8.5	62.0	L 16 - 35
2018	Peach Bowl	Michigan vs Florida	-4.0	51.0	L 15 - 41

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has played in 11 CFP Playoff Games (7 - 4)
Alabama has played in 8 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 3)
Alabama has played in 28 Bowls since 2000 (18 - 10)

Alabama Ratings Matchup Michigan

Power #9

#43

Off #33

#116

Def #20

#51

Talent #3

SP+ #4

#26

SP+ Off #6

#93

SP+ Def #8

#10

Rematch from Week 1
Alabama 16.5 (45.5)
Michigan won vs Alabama this year (19-13)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Alabama last year (19-13)
Michigan beat Alabama in 2023 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | MICH
Depth Chart: ALA | MICH
Rosters: ALA | MICH

(#43) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 7.855 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Michigan has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Michigan has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Michigan has played in 22 Bowls since 2000 (8 - 14)

Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW

Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Simpson	14	25	56%	167	0	0	6.7
Dylan Lonergan	5	6	83%	23	0	0	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Miller	145	668	7	4.6	56
Justice Haynes	79	448	7	5.7	85
Richard Young	27	146	2	5.4	62
Daniel Hill	21	61	1	2.9	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	48	865	8	18.0	84
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Jamarion Miller	16	155	1	9.7	25

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kane Wommack

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Justin Jefferson	61	7	2	0	1
Brayson Hubbard	57	1	0	0	2
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Keenan III	40	8	3	2	1
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Lebbeus Overton	42	3	2	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7
DeVonta Smith	30	1	0	1	5
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4

Michigan's OC Kirk Campbell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Warren	133	207	64%	1198	7	9	5.8
Alex Orji	26	49	53%	151	3	2	3.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alex Orji	57	269	1	4.7	29
Jordan Marshall	31	120	0	3.9	24
Benjamin Hall	29	72	0	2.5	14
Semaj Morgan	6	32	0	5.3	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Morris	23	248	2	10.8	28
Semaj Morgan	27	139	1	5.1	31
Fredrick Moore	11	128	1	11.6	20
Marlin Klein	13	108	0	8.3	33

View Michigan's Full Roster

Michigan's DC Don Martindale

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ernest Hausmann	89	7	2	2	1
Jaishawn Barham (Tr)	66	4	1	5	2
Aamir Hall (Tr)	38	3	1	0	4
Zeke Berry	37	3	0	2	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
TJ Guy	32	7	6	6	0
Derrick Moore	23	6	4	4	2
Cameron Brandt	13	4	3	1	2
Ernest Hausmann	89	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zeke Berry	37	3	0	2	9
Jyaire Hill	35	6	1	0	8
Aamir Hall (Tr)	38	3	1	0	4