Georgia at Alabama - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#5)Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson Tide(#17)

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -2 (50.0) (-125) Open: -4.5
Alabama 41 - Georgia: 34 (SEC)

Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UGA coming off BYE
ALA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -1 (SP+ ALA -1)
Projected Score: UGA: 24 - ALA: 25 (49)
UGA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UGA Travel: 246 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UGA Players
ALA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Georgia vs Clemson	-10.5	49.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Georgia vs Tennessee Tech	-54.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/14	Georgia at Kentucky	-24.0	45.0	W 13 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Georgia at Alabama	-2.0	50.0	L 34 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/5	Georgia vs Auburn	-21.0	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Georgia vs Mississippi State	-34.0	53.5	W 41 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/19	Georgia at Texas	+4.0	57.0	W 30 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Georgia vs Florida	-14.5	52.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/9	Georgia at Ole Miss	-1.5	54.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/16	Georgia vs Tennessee	-8.5	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Georgia vs Massachusetts	-42.5	55.5	W 59 - 21	O	N
Fri 11/29	Georgia vs Georgia Tech	-17.5	48.5	W 44 - 42	O	N
Sat 12/7	Georgia vs Texas	+2.5	50.5	W 22 - 19	U	Y
Thu 1/2	Georgia vs Notre Dame	+1.5	46.5	L 10 - 23	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule

Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-31.0	60.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs South Florida	-33.5	65.5	W 42 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at Wisconsin	-15.5	51.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.0	50.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-23.5	53.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/12	Alabama vs South Carolina	-21.0	50.0	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Alabama at Tennessee	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Missouri	-16.0	51.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama at LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 42 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Alabama vs Mercer	-42.0	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama at Oklahoma	-14.0	47.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	Alabama vs Auburn	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)	31.5	46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)	20.6	39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)	33.8	45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)	17.4	38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UGA	#37 (.24)	47% (25)		46% (46)	2.91 (91)	121	47% (16)	264	4.68 (12)	#49 (.14)	39% (32)		39% (34)	38% (37)	3.22 (19)	51.1	1.3	1.4
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)		45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)		38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Offense	14	31.5	21.8	46.6%	4.68	1.3	21	385	121	264	4.3	43%	57%	46%	47%	15%	.24
ALA Defense	13	17.4	13.7	37.2%	2.85	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	38%	37%	18%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UGA Defense	14	20.6	24	38.8%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.14
ALA Offense	13	33.8	41	45.2%	4.71	1.4	20	390	169	222	4.8	53%	47%	45%	45%	16%	.23

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia	14	27:43	20.6	41%	75%	5.4	51.1	1.3	1.4	6.1	2.6	0	29.7
Alabama	13	27:39	19.7	49%	62%	7.1	66.3	1.4	2.1	4.8	1.8	0	29.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Offense	14	43% (112)	46% (46)	28.1	120.6	4.3	24 (45)	.12 (76)	2.91 (91)	73% (67)	9% (47)	0.88 (109)
ALA Defense	13	52% (87)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (8)	2.81 (38)	76% (86)	10% (61)	0.87 (19)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UGA Defense	14	49% (48)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	.1 (59)	2.81 (39)	80% (107)	12% (21)	0.96 (53)
ALA Offense	13	53% (49)	45% (52)	35.2	168.8	4.8	41 (5)	.21 (28)	2.75 (112)	76% (44)	11% (102)	1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Offense	14	57% (22)	47% (16)	22.6	34.4	264.3	7.7	11.7	28 (15)	13 (103)	.34 (31)	1.5 (111)	28% (15)	36% (19)	.39 (47)	7% (95)	1.8 (127)
ALA Defense	13	48% (49)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.12 (22)	1.6 (86)	35% (21)	29% (38)	.25 (44)	8% (15)	2 (56)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UGA Defense	14	51% (89)	38% (37)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.17 (37)	1.6 (59)	35% (27)	26% (13)	.23 (36)	5% (110)	2.1 (86)
ALA Offense	13	47% (84)	45% (31)	16.2	24.7	221.6	9	13.7	16 (87)	10 (63)	.27 (59)	1.5 (78)	28% (21)	31% (77)	.3 (83)	4% (20)	2.3 (4)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.76 Alabama: 24.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.3 Alabama: 25.0

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 24.435 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 25
Georgia 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 29
Georgia 15

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 30
Georgia 21

Total Points: 51

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Georgia	21	Alabama	24	Georgia -2.5	Alabama	53.5	Under
2025	12/06	Alabama	7	Georgia	28	Georgia -2.5	Georgia	47.5	Under
2024	09/28	Alabama	41	Georgia	34	Georgia -2	Alabama	50.0	Over
2023	12/02	Alabama	27	Georgia	24	Georgia -5	Alabama	56.0	Under
2021	01/10	Alabama	18	Georgia	33	Georgia -3.0	Georgia	53.5	Under
2021	12/04	Alabama	41	Georgia	24	Georgia -6	Alabama	48.5	Over
2020	10/17	Alabama	41	Georgia	24	Alabama -5.5	Alabama	56.5	Over
2018	12/01	Georgia	28	Alabama	35	Alabama -11	Georgia	62.0	Over
2017	01/08	Georgia	23	Alabama	26	Alabama -3.5	Georgia	45.5	Over
2015	10/03	Georgia	10	Alabama	38	Georgia -1	Alabama	50.5	Under
2012	12/01	Georgia	28	Alabama	32
2008	09/27	Georgia	30	Alabama	41
2007	09/22	Alabama	23	Georgia	26
2003	10/04	Georgia	37	Alabama	23
2002	10/05	Alabama	25	Georgia	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Alabama	10	6	5 Overs
Georgia	5	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 10	6 - 4	1 - 2	5 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 5	4 - 6	2 - 5	2 - 1

(#7) UGA at (#9) ALA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UGA	ALA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#7	#9
SP+SP+	#6	#4
Perf GradeGrade	#19	#12
OffenseOff	#32	#24
DefenseDef	#22	#9
Spec TeamsST	#59	#58
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#3	#1

Georgia Notes(11/30) Mauled by GT. Beck/Refs great comeback. D bad
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
(7/30) Only 4 road games, only Tenn test @ home.
Georgia Injury Report

Alabama Injury Report

Georgia on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ALA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#32	#9
SuccessSuc	#25	#12
ExplosiveExp	#97	#47
PPAPPA	#37	#8
PowerPwr	#13	#20
SP+SP+	#10	#8
Pts POPPO	#12	#5
HavocHav	#60	#41

Georgia Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#24	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#15
Run ExplRExp	#109	#19
PPAExp	#76	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	#91	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#53
TackleTak	-	#5

Georgia Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	UGA Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#16	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#86
PPAExp	#31	#22
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#12	#49
F7 HavocF7	#47	#61
DB HavocDB	#95	#15

Alabama on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UGA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#22
SuccessSuc	#34	#32
ExplosiveExp	#34	#64
PPAPPA	#44	#49
PowerPwr	#33	#25
SP+SP+	#6	#9
Pts POPPO	#8	#19
HavocHav	#63	#57

Alabama Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UGA Def
Run GameRun	#14	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#34
Run ExplRExp	#12	#53
PPAExp	#28	#59
Run BlockR Blk	#74	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#39
Stuff RateStuff	#121	#59
TackleTak	-	#14

Alabama Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	UGA Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#58
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#37
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#59
PPAExp	#59	#37
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#51
F7 HavocF7	#102	#21
DB HavocDB	#20	#110

Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

UGA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 5
Georgia 2.0 (50.0)
Alabama won vs Georgia this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Georgia last year (41-34)
Alabama beat Georgia in 2023 (27-24)

UGA's OC Mike Bobo (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Beck	290	448	65%	3485	28	12	7.8
Gunner Stockton	45	64	70%	440	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nate Frazier	133	671	8	5.0	40
Trevor Etienne (Tr)	122	609	9	5.0	48
Dillon Bell	9	107	1	11.9	33
Branson Robinson	25	73	3	2.9	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Arian Smith	48	817	4	17.0	67
Dominic Lovett	59	607	6	10.3	38
Dillon Bell	43	466	4	10.8	67
Lawson Luckie	24	348	3	14.5	37

View Georgia's Full Roster

UGA's DC Glenn Schumann (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	0	3
C.J. Allen	76	3	0	5	4
Dan Jackson	64	2	0	0	3
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chaz Chambliss	41	10	7	2	0
Jalon Walker	61	11	7	7	2
Mykel Williams	21	9	5	3	1
Damon Wilson Jr.	22	6	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
C.J. Allen	76	3	5	4
Julian Humphrey	10	0	0	4
Malaki Starks	77	4	0	3

ALA's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Ty Simpson	14	25	56%	167	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Jamarion Miller	145	668	7	4.6	56
Justice Haynes	79	448	7	5.7	85
Richard Young	27	146	2	5.4	62

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	48	865	8	18.0	84
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
C.J. Dippre	21	256	0	12.2	46
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Justin Jefferson	61	7	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Keenan III	40	8	3	2	1
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7
DeVonta Smith	30	1	0	1	5