Georgia at Alabama - 2024 Matchup Preview
Georgia logo Georgia Bulldogs at Alabama Crimson TideAlabama logo
Saturday, September 28th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Georgia -2 (50.0) (-125)  Open: -4.5
Alabama 41 - Georgia: 34  (SEC)

 
Bulldogs (11 - 3) (4 - 10 - 0)
Coach Kirby Smart (94 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (22 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 11 - 3 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UGA coming off BYE
ALA coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -1   (SP+ ALA -1)

Projected Score: UGA: 25 - ALA: 26 (52)
UGA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
UGA Travel: 246 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Georgia vs Clemson-10.549.0W 34 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Georgia vs Tennessee Tech-54.562.5W 48 - 3UN
Sat 9/14 Georgia at Kentucky-24.045.0W 13 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Georgia at Alabama-2.050.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Georgia vs Auburn-21.050.0W 31 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Georgia vs Mississippi State-34.053.5W 41 - 31ON
Sat 10/19 Georgia at Texas+4.057.0W 30 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Georgia vs Florida-14.552.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 11/9 Georgia at Ole Miss-1.554.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/16 Georgia vs Tennessee-8.547.0W 31 - 17OY
Sat 11/23 Georgia vs Massachusetts-42.555.5W 59 - 21ON
Fri 11/29 Georgia vs Georgia Tech-17.548.5W 44 - 42ON
Sat 12/7 Georgia vs Texas+2.550.5W 22 - 19UY
Thu 1/2 Georgia vs Notre Dame+1.546.5L 10 - 23UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia's Schedule
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA#4 (.4)53% (5)31.551% (8)3.34 (25)19154% (4)3055.02 (3)#25 (.11)38% (28)20.645% (86)34% (5)3.45 (41)42.911.2
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)33.845% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)17.438% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UGA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Offense1431.521.852.5%5.021264961913055.349%51%51%54%12%.4
ALA Defense1417.413.735.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UGA Defense1420.62438.2%3.451.2 - - - - - 45%54%45%34%16%.11
ALA Offense1433.84145%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia1433:272655%73%4.442.911.24.92229.2
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Offense1449% (74)51% (8)35.8191.15.340 (1).31 (5)3.34 (25)75% (58)7% (19)1.04 (46)
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UGA Defense1445% (12)45% (86) - - - - .16 (85)3.02 (51)66% (26)9% (94)1.03 (86)
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Offense1451% (52)54% (4)23.432.6305.39.41329 (18)7 (21).52 (7)1.4 (120)25% (5)45% (2).7 (3)5% (17)2 (93)
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UGA Defense1454% (119)34% (5) - - - - - - 14 (21).08 (6)1.5 (37)35% (35)24% (7).14 (5)7% (35)2 (49)
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)

Georgia's Power Ratings
Georgia's Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Georgia's Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Georgia's Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
2024 Talent Rating: 1150.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Georgia's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0
Georgia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Georgia's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Georgia's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 22.76   Alabama: 24.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia: 24.3   Alabama: 25.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 24.435 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Georgia Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 24

Georgia's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 4 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 26
Georgia 25


Projected Total Points: 52
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/28Alabama41Georgia34AlabamaGeorgia -2Alabama50.0Over
202312/02Alabama27Georgia24AlabamaGeorgia -5Alabama56.0Under
202101/10Alabama18Georgia33GeorgiaGeorgia -3.0Georgia53.5Under
202112/04Alabama41Georgia24AlabamaGeorgia -6Alabama48.5Over
202010/17Alabama41Georgia24AlabamaAlabama -5.5Alabama56.5Over
201812/01Georgia28Alabama35AlabamaAlabama -11Georgia62.0Over
201701/08Georgia23Alabama26AlabamaAlabama -3.5Georgia45.5Over
201510/03Georgia10Alabama38AlabamaGeorgia -1Alabama50.5Under
201212/01Georgia28Alabama32Alabama
200809/27Georgia30Alabama41Alabama
200709/22Alabama23Georgia26Georgia
200310/04Georgia37Alabama23Georgia
200210/05Alabama25Georgia27Georgia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama955 Overs
Georgia433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 86 - 21 - 15 - 1
Road Teams8 - 52 - 61 - 51 - 1

(#7) Georgia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 22.76 #7
Offense Rating: 26.08 #13
Defense Rating: 4.43 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #9
Talent Rating: 1150.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 73% #3
Expected Record: 11.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Avg Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position


Georgia Notes
(11/24) Def all 226 yds, 5.7 ypc to UMass? With GT next?
(11/18) Beck torched Tenn, TE's weapons, Death star Def
(11/15) RB Etienne out for Tenn game
(11/13) Beck awful, Rgame worse, Def torched (Ole Miss)
(10/19) DL bullied Tx. Beck/Rgame meh but enough
(10/19) Bama gm looks like anomaly, still class of SEC
(10/12) Pass Def a massive issue. Rgame meh, Beck great
(9/16) Star OG Ratledge out until at least 11/2 vs UF
(9/15) 3.4 ypc, allowed 45/170 @ UK. WR/playmakers?
(8/31) Mauled Clemson, Def great, Off good w/o Etienne
Georgia     Ratings Matchup     Alabama
Power #7
#9
Off #13
#33
Def #25
#20
Talent #1
#3
SP+ #6
#4
SP+ Off #10
#6
SP+ Def #9
#8

Rematch from Week 5
Georgia 2.0 (50.0)
Alabama won vs Georgia this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Georgia last year (41-34)
Alabama beat Georgia in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 72°

Team Information
Injuries: UGA | ALA
Depth Chart: UGA | ALA
Rosters: UGA | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 24.435 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position



  
Georgia's OC Mike Bobo
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carson Beck29044865%348528127.8
Gunner Stockton456470%440116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nate Frazier13367185.040
Trevor Etienne (Tr)12260995.048
Dillon Bell9107111.933
Branson Robinson257332.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Bell43466410.867
Lawson Luckie24348314.537
Cash Jones24275411.532
Oscar Delp21248411.843

View Georgia's Full Roster
Georgia's DC Glenn Schumann
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
KJ Bolden592111
Daylen Everette582113
Raylen Wilson477211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Damon Wilson Jr.226340
Gabe Harris144200
Raylen Wilson477211
Christen Miller274211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
C.J. Allen763054
Julian Humphrey100004
Daniel Harris221003

Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Dylan Lonergan5683%23003.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643
Jamarion Miller1615519.725

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Deontae Lawson766204
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015
Deontae Lawson766204