(#14)Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU Tigers(#3)
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Alabama -2.5 (57.5) (-140) Open: -2.5 | 58.5
Alabama 42 - LSU: 13 (SEC)
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -4 (SP+ ALA -9)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - LSU: 26 (55)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -4 (SP+ ALA -9)
Projected Score: ALA: 30 - LSU: 26 (55)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| Alabama's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Alabama vs Western Kentucky | -31.0 | 60.0 | W 63 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Alabama vs South Florida | -33.5 | 65.5 | W 42 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Alabama at Wisconsin | -15.5 | 51.0 | W 42 - 10 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Alabama vs Georgia | +2.0 | 50.0 | W 41 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/5 | Alabama at Vanderbilt | -23.5 | 53.5 | L 35 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Alabama vs South Carolina | -21.0 | 50.0 | W 27 - 25 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Alabama at Tennessee | -3.5 | 57.5 | L 17 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Alabama vs Missouri | -16.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 0 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Alabama at LSU | -2.5 | 57.5 | W 42 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Alabama vs Mercer | -42.0 | 58.5 | W 52 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Alabama at Oklahoma | -14.0 | 47.0 | L 3 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Alabama vs Auburn | -10.5 | 50.5 | W 28 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Alabama vs Michigan | -16.5 | 45.5 | L 13 - 19 | U | N | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| LSU's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sun 9/1 | LSU vs USC | -4.0 | 66.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | LSU vs Nicholls | -50.5 | 62.0 | W 44 - 21 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | LSU at South Carolina | -7.0 | 50.0 | W 36 - 33 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | LSU vs UCLA | -21.5 | 56.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | LSU vs South Alabama | -21.0 | 64.5 | W 42 - 10 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | LSU vs Ole Miss | +3.5 | 64.5 | W 29 - 26 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | LSU at Arkansas | -3.0 | 57.0 | W 34 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | LSU at Texas A&M | +2.0 | 54.5 | L 23 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | LSU vs Alabama | +2.5 | 57.5 | L 13 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | LSU at Florida | -3.0 | 57.0 | L 16 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | LSU vs Vanderbilt | -10.0 | 53.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | LSU vs Oklahoma | -4.5 | 47.5 | W 37 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | LSU vs Baylor | +3.0 | 62.5 | W 44 - 31 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | #44 (.23) | 45% (34) | 33.8 | 45% (52) | 2.75 (112) | 169 | 45% (31) | 222 | 4.71 (8) | #8 (.05) | 37% (12) | 17.4 | 38% (15) | 37% (19) | 2.85 (5) | 66.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 30.5 | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 24.3 | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | #44 (.23) | 45% (34) | 45% (52) | 2.75 (112) | 169 | 45% (31) | 222 | 4.71 (8) | #8 (.05) | 37% (12) | 38% (15) | 37% (19) | 2.85 (5) | 66.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | ||
| LSU | #30 (.25) | 45% (38) | 42% (89) | 2.92 (90) | 108 | 47% (24) | 291 | 3.99 (60) | #92 (.21) | 41% (60) | 41% (54) | 41% (73) | 3.44 (30) | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 13 | 33.8 | 27.8 | 45.2% | 4.71 | 1.4 | 20 | 390 | 169 | 222 | 4.8 | 53% | 47% | 45% | 45% | 16% | .23 |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 24.3 | 21.4 | 41.1% | 3.44 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 41% | 41% | 18% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 13 | 17.4 | 22.2 | 37.2% | 2.85 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 48% | 38% | 37% | 18% | .05 |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 30.5 | 31.9 | 44.9% | 3.99 | 1.2 | 22 | 399 | 108 | 291 | 4.1 | 39% | 61% | 42% | 47% | 13% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 13 | 27:39 | 19.7 | 49% | 62% | 7.1 | 66.3 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.8 |
| LSU | 13 | 29:47 | 22.1 | 50% | 50% | 5.8 | 45.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 13 | 53% (49) | 45% (52) | 35.2 | 168.8 | 4.8 | 41 (5) | .21 (28) | 2.75 (112) | 76% (44) | 11% (102) | 1.12 (12) |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 51% (67) | 41% (54) | - | - | - | - | .18 (97) | 2.94 (55) | 84% (125) | 12% (29) | 1.23 (132) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 13 | 52% (87) | 38% (15) | - | - | - | - | -.02 (8) | 2.81 (38) | 76% (86) | 10% (61) | 0.87 (19) |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 39% (128) | 42% (89) | 26.4 | 108.2 | 4.1 | 14 (98) | .12 (79) | 2.92 (90) | 82% (13) | 6% (5) | 0.89 (103) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Offense | 13 | 47% (84) | 45% (31) | 16.2 | 24.7 | 221.6 | 9 | 13.7 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .27 (59) | 1.5 (78) | 28% (21) | 31% (77) | .3 (83) | 4% (20) | 2.3 (4) |
| LSU Defense | 13 | 49% (69) | 41% (73) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .25 (75) | 1.6 (68) | 35% (28) | 31% (76) | .36 (93) | 7% (41) | 2.2 (104) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA Defense | 13 | 48% (49) | 37% (19) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (10) | .12 (22) | 1.6 (86) | 35% (21) | 29% (38) | .25 (44) | 8% (15) | 2 (56) |
| LSU Offense | 13 | 61% (7) | 47% (24) | 24.5 | 38.4 | 290.8 | 7.6 | 11.9 | 26 (26) | 11 (72) | .33 (37) | 1.5 (96) | 33% (89) | 37% (16) | .42 (28) | 7% (97) | 2 (84) |
Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87 LSU: 17.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0 LSU: 15.9
Alabama: 18.87 LSU: 17.92
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0 LSU: 15.9
LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92 #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2
Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2
Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
LSU 26
Total Points: 55
Alabama 30
LSU 26
Total Points: 55
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4
LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4
LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | LSU | 13 | Alabama | 42 | Alabama | Alabama -2.5 | Alabama | 57.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/04 | Alabama | 42 | LSU | 28 | Alabama | Alabama -3 | Alabama | 61.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/05 | LSU | 32 | Alabama | 31 | LSU | Alabama -13.5 | LSU | 56.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/06 | Alabama | 20 | LSU | 14 | Alabama | Alabama -29.5 | LSU | 66.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 12/05 | LSU | 17 | Alabama | 55 | Alabama | Alabama -29 | Alabama | 64.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/09 | Alabama | 41 | LSU | 46 | LSU | Alabama -5 | LSU | 65.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 11/03 | LSU | 0 | Alabama | 29 | Alabama | Alabama -14 | Alabama | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Alabama | 24 | LSU | 10 | Alabama | Alabama -20.5 | LSU | 45.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 11/05 | LSU | 0 | Alabama | 10 | Alabama | Alabama -7 | Alabama | 46.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/07 | Alabama | 30 | LSU | 16 | Alabama | Alabama -7 | Alabama | 47.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/08 | LSU | 13 | Alabama | 20 | Alabama | Alabama -6 | Alabama | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/09 | Alabama | 38 | LSU | 17 | Alabama | Alabama -9.5 | Alabama | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/03 | LSU | 17 | Alabama | 21 | Alabama | ||||
| 2011 | 11/05 | Alabama | 6 | LSU | 9 | LSU | ||||
| 2011 | 01/09 | LSU | 0 | Alabama | 21 | Alabama | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | LSU | 24 | Alabama | 21 | LSU | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Alabama | 24 | LSU | 15 | Alabama | ||||
| 2008 | 11/08 | LSU | 21 | Alabama | 27 | Alabama | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Alabama | 34 | LSU | 41 | LSU | ||||
| 2006 | 11/11 | LSU | 28 | Alabama | 14 | LSU | ||||
| 2005 | 11/12 | Alabama | 13 | LSU | 16 | LSU | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | LSU | 26 | Alabama | 10 | LSU | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Alabama | 3 | LSU | 27 | LSU | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Alabama | 21 | LSU | 35 | LSU | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | LSU | 30 | Alabama | 28 | LSU |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 11 | 4 | 4 Overs |
| Alabama | 14 | 8 | 6 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 11 - 14 | 4 - 8 | 3 - 3 | 1 - 5 |
| Road Teams | 14 - 11 | 8 - 4 | 5 - 1 | 3 - 3 |
(#9) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Alabama has won 1 straight
Alabama has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Secondary is very good (#103)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#91)
Alabama Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Alabama has won 1 straight
Alabama has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Alabama Highlights
Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Secondary is very good (#103)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#91)
Alabama Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LSU | ALA |
| OverallOver | #39 | #10 |
| OffenseOff | #52 | #22 |
| DefenseDef | #39 | #7 |
| Special TeamsST | #86 | #49 |
| PassingPass | #24 | #19 |
| RushingRush | #64 | #12 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #73 | #57 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #46 | #58 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #23 | #16 |
| TacklingTkl | #34 | #4 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #76 | #7 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #6 | #44 |
| Coverage DefCov | #64 | #10 |
Rematch from Week 11
Alabama 2.5 (57.5)
Alabama won at LSU this year (42-13)
Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)
LSU beat Alabama in 2022 (32-31)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: ALA | LSU
Depth Chart: ALA | LSU
Rosters: ALA | LSU
(#15) LSU Info
Power Rating: 17.92 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has lost 1 straight
LSU has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
Power Rating: 17.92 #15
Offense Rating: 23.07 #38
Defense Rating: 8.72 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #11
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #33
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56 #7
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.99 PPO
Poor Run Success 42%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Good in Scoring Position 3.44 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
LSU has lost 1 straight
LSU has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
LSU Highlights
LSU offense is good on 3rd downs
LSU Defense Sacks the QB a lot
LSU defense is really good in red zone (#40)
LSU Front 7 is disruptive (#120)
LSU Deficiencies
LSU Can Not Run the Ball (#116)
LSU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#19)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Milroe | 205 | 319 | 64% | 2844 | 16 | 11 | 8.9 |
| Ty Simpson | 14 | 25 | 56% | 167 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Milroe | 168 | 726 | 20 | 4.3 | 72 |
| Jamarion Miller | 145 | 668 | 7 | 4.6 | 56 |
| Justice Haynes | 79 | 448 | 7 | 5.7 | 85 |
| Richard Young | 27 | 146 | 2 | 5.4 | 62 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Williams | 48 | 865 | 8 | 18.0 | 84 |
| Germie Bernard (Tr) | 50 | 794 | 2 | 15.9 | 47 |
| C.J. Dippre | 21 | 256 | 0 | 12.2 | 46 |
| Josh Cuevas (Tr) | 16 | 218 | 1 | 13.6 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihaad Campbell | 119 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Deontae Lawson | 76 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Malachi Moore | 70 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Justin Jefferson | 61 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jihaad Campbell | 119 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Quandarrius Robinson | 23 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Tim Keenan III | 40 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Tim Smith | 35 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Moore | 70 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Domani Jackson (Tr) | 51 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| DeVonta Smith | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Nussmeier | 336 | 524 | 64% | 4039 | 29 | 12 | 7.7 |
| Rickie Collins | 5 | 5 | 100% | 35 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Durham | 138 | 754 | 6 | 5.5 | 86 |
| Josh Williams | 117 | 482 | 6 | 4.1 | 23 |
| Kaleb Jackson | 47 | 149 | 0 | 3.2 | 19 |
| Zavion Thomas (Tr) | 9 | 76 | 0 | 8.4 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Anderson | 61 | 875 | 5 | 14.3 | 76 |
| Kyren Lacy | 58 | 866 | 9 | 14.9 | 35 |
| Mason Taylor | 55 | 546 | 2 | 9.9 | 33 |
| C.J. Daniels (Tr) | 42 | 480 | 0 | 11.4 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Greg Penn III | 83 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Bradyn Swinson | 57 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Jardin Gilbert (Tr) | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradyn Swinson | 57 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Savion Jones | 40 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Dominick McKinley | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Stamps | 50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 |
| Whit Weeks | 111 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Zy Alexander | 33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |