Alabama at LSU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo (#4)Alabama Crimson Tide at LSU TigersLSU logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (7:30 PM EST)
Alabama -2.5 (57.5) (-140)  Open: -2.5 | 58.5
Alabama 42 - LSU: 13  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA coming off BYE
LSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Alabama -4  (SP+ ALA -9)

Projected Score: ALA: 30 - LSU: 26 (55)
ALA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 288 miles
Tigers (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (20 - 7)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
LSU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 LSU vs USC-4.066.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/7 LSU vs Nicholls-50.562.0W 44 - 21ON
Sat 9/14 LSU at South Carolina-7.050.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 9/21 LSU vs UCLA-21.556.5W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/28 LSU vs South Alabama-21.064.5W 42 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 LSU vs Ole Miss+3.564.5W 29 - 26UY
Sat 10/19 LSU at Arkansas-3.057.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 10/26 LSU at Texas A&M+2.054.5L 23 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 LSU vs Alabama+2.557.5L 13 - 42UN
Sat 11/16 LSU at Florida-3.057.0L 16 - 27UN
Sat 11/23 LSU vs Vanderbilt-10.053.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 LSU vs Oklahoma-4.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Tue 12/31 LSU vs Baylor+3.062.5W 44 - 31OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)30.542% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)24.341% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
LSU#30 (.25)45% (38)42% (89)2.92 (90)10847% (24)2913.99 (60)#92 (.21)41% (60)41% (54)41% (73)3.44 (30)45.71.21



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1333.827.845.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23
LSU Defense1324.321.441.1%3.441 - - - - - 51%49%41%41%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1317.422.237.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
LSU Offense1330.531.944.9%3.991.2223991082914.139%61%42%47%13%.25

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
LSU1329:4722.150%50%5.845.71.215.12.5127.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)
LSU Defense1351% (67)41% (54) - - - - .18 (97)2.94 (55)84% (125)12% (29)1.23 (132)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
LSU Offense1339% (128)42% (89)26.4108.24.114 (98).12 (79)2.92 (90)82% (13)6% (5)0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)
LSU Defense1349% (69)41% (73) - - - - - - 5 (117).25 (75)1.6 (68)35% (28)31% (76).36 (93)7% (41)2.2 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
LSU Offense1361% (7)47% (24)24.538.4290.87.611.926 (26)11 (72).33 (37)1.5 (96)33% (89)37% (16).42 (28)7% (97)2 (84)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87  #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39  #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21  #20
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82%  #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0  #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87   LSU: 17.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0   LSU: 15.9




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.92  #15
LSU's Offense Rating: 23.07  #38
LSU's Defense Rating: 8.72  #59
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 56  #7
LSU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
LSU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #15
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8  #11
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #33

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 30
LSU 26


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
LSU 30
Alabama 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 27
LSU 26

Total Points: 53
LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.9
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

LSU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1144 Overs
Alabama1597 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#9) ALA at (#15) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatALALSU
Power RatePwr #9 #15
SP+SP+ #4 #15
Perf GradeGrade #12 #55
OffenseOff #24 #62
DefenseDef #9 #53
Spec TeamsST #58 #103
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #1 #7
Alabama on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Perf GradePerf #24 #53
SuccessSuc #34 #60
ExplosiveExp #34 #118
PPAPPA #44 #92
PowerPwr #33 #59
SP+SP+ #6 #33
Pts POPPO #8 #30
HavocHav #63 #30
Alabama Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #14 #96
Run SuccessRSuc #52 #54
Run ExplRExp #12 #132
PPAExp #28 #97
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLY #112 #55
Stuff RateStuff #121 #50
TackleTak -  #38
Alabama Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #21 #78
Pass SuccessPSuc #31 #73
Pass ExplPExl #78 #68
PPAExp #59 #75
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #6
F7 HavocF7 #102 #29
DB HavocDB #20 #41
LSU on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Perf GradePerf #62 #9
SuccessSuc #38 #12
ExplosiveExp #57 #47
PPAPPA #30 #8
PowerPwr #38 #20
SP+SP+ #11 #8
Pts POPPO #60 #5
HavocHav #26 #41
LSU Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRun #89 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #89 #15
Run ExplRExp #103 #19
PPAExp #79 #8
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLY #90 #38
Stuff RateStuff #52 #53
TackleTak -  #5
LSU Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
CategoryCatLSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #29 #10
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #19
Pass ExplPExl #96 #86
PPAExp #37 #22
Pass Block/RushP Blk #46 #49
F7 HavocF7 #5 #61
DB HavocDB #97 #15
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Alabama 2.5 (57.5)
Alabama won at LSU this year (42-13)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)
LSU beat Alabama in 2022 (32-31)

  
ALA's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
C.J. Dippre21256012.246
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Deontae Lawson766204
Malachi Moore703138
Justin Jefferson617201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Tim Smith354250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Moore703138
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015

LSU's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Garrett Nussmeier33652464%403929127.7
Rickie Collins55100%35007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Caden Durham13875465.586
Josh Williams11748264.123
Kaleb Jackson4714903.219
Zavion Thomas (Tr)97608.426
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Aaron Anderson61875514.376
Kyren Lacy58866914.935
Mason Taylor5554629.933
C.J. Daniels (Tr)42480011.434

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Blake Baker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Whit Weeks1118344
Greg Penn III835280
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Jardin Gilbert (Tr)522102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bradyn Swinson5713983
Savion Jones407482
Whit Weeks1118344
Dominick McKinley73310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Stamps5000211
Whit Weeks1118344
Zy Alexander333104