Alabama at Tennessee - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#6)Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers(#11)

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -3.5 (57.5) (-162) Open: -2.5
Tennessee 24 - Alabama: 17 (SEC)

Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -1 (SP+ ALA -3)
Projected Score: ALA: 29 - TENN: 28 (56)
ALA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-31.0	60.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs South Florida	-33.5	65.5	W 42 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at Wisconsin	-15.5	51.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.0	50.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-23.5	53.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/12	Alabama vs South Carolina	-21.0	50.0	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Alabama at Tennessee	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Missouri	-16.0	51.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama at LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 42 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Alabama vs Mercer	-42.0	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama at Oklahoma	-14.0	47.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	Alabama vs Auburn	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Tennessee vs Chattanooga	-38.5	56.5	W 69 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Tennessee vs NC State	-10.0	60.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Tennessee vs Kent State	-49.5	61.5	W 71 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Tennessee at Oklahoma	-6.0	57.0	W 25 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Tennessee at Arkansas	-14.0	57.5	L 14 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/12	Tennessee vs Florida	-13.5	54.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Tennessee vs Alabama	+3.5	57.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Tennessee vs Kentucky	-17.5	45.5	W 28 - 18	O	N
Sat 11/9	Tennessee vs Mississippi State	-26.5	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/16	Tennessee at Georgia	+8.5	47.0	L 17 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/23	Tennessee vs UTEP	-41.5	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Tennessee at Vanderbilt	-9.5	45.5	W 36 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Tennessee at Ohio State	+7.5	47.0	L 17 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)	33.8	45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)	17.4	38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)	35.7	48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)	16.1	36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#44 (.23)	45% (34)		45% (52)	2.75 (112)	169	45% (31)	222	4.71 (8)	#8 (.05)	37% (12)		38% (15)	37% (19)	2.85 (5)	66.3	1.4	2.1
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)		48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)		36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	33.8	27.8	45.2%	4.71	1.4	20	390	169	222	4.8	53%	47%	45%	45%	16%	.23
TENN Defense	13	16.1	9.9	37.6%	3.03	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	36%	39%	21%	.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	17.4	22.2	37.2%	2.85	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	38%	37%	18%	.05
TENN Offense	13	35.7	43.4	47.4%	4.02	1.2	23	448	227	221	5.1	57%	43%	48%	47%	12%	.23

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	27:39	19.7	49%	62%	7.1	66.3	1.4	2.1	4.8	1.8	0	29.8
Tennessee	13	29:35	23.3	47%	61%	8.1	66.8	1.2	1.6	7.2	2.2	2	31.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	53% (49)	45% (52)	35.2	168.8	4.8	41 (5)	.21 (28)	2.75 (112)	76% (44)	11% (102)	1.12 (12)
TENN Defense	13	48% (42)	36% (9)	-	-	-	-	.01 (17)	2.61 (17)	62% (15)	14% (5)	0.98 (65)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	52% (87)	38% (15)	-	-	-	-	-.02 (8)	2.81 (38)	76% (86)	10% (61)	0.87 (19)
TENN Offense	13	57% (23)	48% (23)	44.7	226.8	5.1	34 (10)	.18 (39)	3.4 (13)	86% (2)	8% (33)	0.87 (115)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	47% (84)	45% (31)	16.2	24.7	221.6	9	13.7	16 (87)	10 (63)	.27 (59)	1.5 (78)	28% (21)	31% (77)	.3 (83)	4% (20)	2.3 (4)
TENN Defense	13	51% (87)	39% (48)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.16 (32)	1.5 (38)	33% (46)	31% (74)	.33 (80)	7% (39)	2 (44)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	48% (49)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.12 (22)	1.6 (86)	35% (21)	29% (38)	.25 (44)	8% (15)	2 (56)
TENN Offense	13	43% (111)	47% (19)	18.2	28.7	221.2	7.7	12.2	21 (51)	7 (26)	.29 (51)	1.5 (113)	29% (25)	34% (41)	.38 (50)	4% (13)	1.9 (114)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87 Tennessee: 21.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0 Tennessee: 22.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 21.065 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 29
Tennessee 28

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 33
Alabama 24

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 30
Alabama 22

Total Points: 52

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Alabama	37	Tennessee	20	Alabama -8.5	Alabama	60.5	Under
2024	10/19	Tennessee	24	Alabama	17	Alabama -3.5	Tennessee	57.5	Under
2023	10/21	Alabama	34	Tennessee	20	Alabama -8.5	Alabama	47.5	Over
2022	10/15	Tennessee	52	Alabama	49	Alabama -9	Tennessee	68.0	Over
2021	10/23	Alabama	52	Tennessee	24	Alabama -24.5	Alabama	68.0	Over
2020	10/24	Tennessee	17	Alabama	48	Alabama -21.5	Alabama	67.0	Under
2019	10/19	Alabama	35	Tennessee	13	Alabama -35	Tennessee	62.0	Under
2018	10/20	Tennessee	21	Alabama	58	Alabama -29.5	Alabama	57.5	Over
2017	10/21	Alabama	45	Tennessee	7	Alabama -36.5	Alabama	51.5	Over
2016	10/15	Tennessee	10	Alabama	49	Alabama -9	Alabama	54.5	Over
2015	10/24	Alabama	19	Tennessee	14	Alabama -14.5	Tennessee	48.5	Under
2014	10/25	Tennessee	20	Alabama	34	Alabama -15.5	Tennessee	0
2013	10/26	Alabama	45	Tennessee	10	Alabama -26.5	Alabama	0
2012	10/20	Tennessee	13	Alabama	44
2011	10/22	Alabama	37	Tennessee	6
2010	10/23	Tennessee	10	Alabama	41
2009	10/24	Alabama	12	Tennessee	10
2008	10/25	Tennessee	9	Alabama	29
2007	10/20	Alabama	41	Tennessee	17
2006	10/21	Tennessee	16	Alabama	13
2005	10/22	Alabama	6	Tennessee	3
2004	10/23	Tennessee	17	Alabama	13
2003	10/25	Alabama	43	Tennessee	51
2002	10/26	Tennessee	14	Alabama	34
2001	10/20	Alabama	24	Tennessee	35
2000	10/20	Tennessee	20	Alabama	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	7	5	6 Overs
Alabama	19	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 10	8 - 5	5 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	10 - 16	5 - 8	3 - 3	2 - 5

(#9) ALA at (#14) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	TENN
Power RatePwr	#9	#14
SP+SP+	#4	#9
Perf GradeGrade	#12	#21
OffenseOff	#24	#57
DefenseDef	#9	#19
Spec TeamsST	#58	#42
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#1	#12

Alabama Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Alabama on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	TENN Def
Perf GradePerf	#24	#19
SuccessSuc	#34	#17
ExplosiveExp	#34	#58
PPAPPA	#44	#13
PowerPwr	#33	#16
SP+SP+	#6	#6
Pts POPPO	#8	#10
HavocHav	#63	#5

Alabama Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#14	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	#52	#9
Run ExplRExp	#12	#65
PPAExp	#28	#17
Run BlockR Blk	#74	-
OL YdsOLY	#112	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#121	#15
TackleTak	-	#29

Alabama Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	ALA Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#27
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#48
Pass ExplPExl	#78	#38
PPAExp	#59	#32
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#66	#13
F7 HavocF7	#102	#5
DB HavocDB	#20	#39

Tennessee on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ALA Def
Perf GradePerf	#57	#9
SuccessSuc	#18	#12
ExplosiveExp	#128	#47
PPAPPA	#46	#8
PowerPwr	#61	#20
SP+SP+	#23	#8
Pts POPPO	#55	#5
HavocHav	#15	#41

Tennessee Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#25	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	#23	#15
Run ExplRExp	#115	#19
PPAExp	#39	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	#13	#38
Stuff RateStuff	#4	#53
TackleTak	-	#5

Tennessee Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat	TENN Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#19	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#113	#86
PPAExp	#51	#22
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#49
F7 HavocF7	#33	#61
DB HavocDB	#13	#15

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 8
Alabama 3.5 (57.5)
Tennessee won vs Alabama this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

ALA's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Milroe	205	319	64%	2844	16	11	8.9
Ty Simpson	14	25	56%	167	0	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalen Milroe	168	726	20	4.3	72
Jamarion Miller	145	668	7	4.6	56
Justice Haynes	79	448	7	5.7	85
Richard Young	27	146	2	5.4	62

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	48	865	8	18.0	84
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
C.J. Dippre	21	256	0	12.2	46
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Justin Jefferson	61	7	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jihaad Campbell	119	12	5	3	2
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Keenan III	40	8	3	2	1
Tim Smith	35	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malachi Moore	70	3	1	3	8
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7
DeVonta Smith	30	1	0	1	5

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava	213	334	64%	2616	19	5	7.8
Gaston Moore	16	27	59%	201	2	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dylan Sampson	258	1491	22	5.8	56
DeSean Bishop	74	455	3	6.1	53
Nico Iamaleava	109	364	3	3.3	31
Peyton Lewis	64	339	3	5.3	35

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dont'E Thornton	26	661	6	25.4	86
Bru McCoy	39	472	2	12.1	42
Squirrel White	34	381	2	11.2	45
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)	29	333	2	11.5	53

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Jeremiah Telander	43	4	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	38	13	8	10	1
Omarr Norman-Lott	18	4	4	3	0
Jaxson Moi (Tr)	16	5	2	0	1
Tyre West	16	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)	44	1	0	0	7
Arion Carter	68	7	0	3	6
Will Brooks	59	4	1	1	5