Alabama at Tennessee - 2024 Matchup Preview
Alabama logo Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -3.5 (57.5) (-162)  Open: -2.5
Tennessee 24 - Alabama: 17  (SEC)

 
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -1   (SP+ ALA -3)

Projected Score: ALA: 28 - TENN: 27 (52)
ALA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ALA Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (27 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Tennessee vs Chattanooga-38.556.5W 69 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Tennessee vs NC State-10.060.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 9/14 Tennessee vs Kent State-49.561.5W 71 - 0OY
Sat 9/21 Tennessee at Oklahoma-6.057.0W 25 - 15UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Tennessee at Arkansas-14.057.5L 14 - 19UN
Sat 10/12 Tennessee vs Florida-13.554.5W 23 - 17UN
Sat 10/19 Tennessee vs Alabama+3.557.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Tennessee vs Kentucky-17.545.5W 28 - 18ON
Sat 11/9 Tennessee vs Mississippi State-26.561.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 11/16 Tennessee at Georgia+8.547.0L 17 - 31ON
Sat 11/23 Tennessee vs UTEP-41.554.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 11/30 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-9.545.5W 36 - 23OY
Sat 12/21 Tennessee at Ohio State+7.547.0L 17 - 42ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA#20 (.29)45% (39)33.845% (43)3.23 (45)16045% (34)2124.59 (17)#26 (.11)36% (12)17.438% (28)34% (6)3.86 (73)45.70.71.3
TENN#36 (.27)46% (24)35.746% (39)3.31 (30)18747% (25)2323.56 (94)#54 (.16)39% (35)16.137% (19)41% (65)3.41 (34)65.60.91.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense1433.827.845%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29
TENN Defense1316.19.938.9%3.411.2 - - - - - 48%52%37%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Defense1417.422.235.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11
TENN Offense1335.743.446.3%3.560.9204191872325.651%49%46%47%13%.27

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Tennessee1322:3219.943%31%7.565.60.91.27.22.8430.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (13)11% (91)0.98 (79)
TENN Defense1348% (41)37% (19) - - - - .05 (21)2.71 (15)65% (24)13% (11)1.03 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (36)12% (21)1.12 (114)
TENN Offense1351% (60)46% (39)33.5186.95.620 (61).22 (28)3.31 (30)72% (80)7% (16)1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)
TENN Defense1352% (96)41% (65) - - - - - - 10 (67).29 (85)1.6 (85)35% (27)31% (82).36 (93)5% (100)2 (41)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)
TENN Offense1349% (69)47% (25)19.330.1231.77.71221 (65)5 (6).35 (39)1.5 (110)30% (39)32% (64).38 (54)6% (68)2.1 (63)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87   Tennessee: 21.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0   Tennessee: 22.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 21.065 #14
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
2024 Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #12
Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 28
Tennessee 27


Projected Total Points: 52
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17TennesseeAlabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20AlabamaAlabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49TennesseeAlabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24AlabamaAlabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48AlabamaAlabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13AlabamaAlabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58AlabamaAlabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7AlabamaAlabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14AlabamaAlabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34AlabamaAlabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10AlabamaAlabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44Alabama
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6Alabama
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41Alabama
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10Alabama
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29Alabama
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17Alabama
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13Tennessee
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3Alabama
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13Tennessee
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51Tennessee
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34Alabama
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35Tennessee
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee756 Overs
Alabama1874 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 107 - 54 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 155 - 73 - 32 - 4

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #9
#14
Off #33
#61
Def #20
#16
Talent #3
#12
SP+ #4
#9
SP+ Off #6
#23
SP+ Def #8
#6

Rematch from Week 8
Alabama 3.5 (57.5)
Tennessee won vs Alabama this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Alabama last year (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2022 (52-49)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 73°

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | TENN
Depth Chart: ALA | TENN
Rosters: ALA | TENN
(#14) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.065 #14
Offense Rating: 20.60 #61
Defense Rating: 3.79 #16
Overall SP+ Rating: 22.0 #9
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #6
Talent Rating: 932.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 44 #12
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Great Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.03 PPO
Great Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position



  
Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Dylan Lonergan5683%23003.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Daniel Hill216112.911
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643
Jamarion Miller1615519.725

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Lawson766204
Justin Jefferson617201
Brayson Hubbard571002
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Deontae Lawson766204
Lebbeus Overton423291
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015
Deontae Lawson766204

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava21333464%26161957.8
Gaston Moore162759%201227.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeSean Bishop7445536.153
Nico Iamaleava10936433.331
Peyton Lewis6433935.335
Cameron Seldon2311815.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White34381211.245
Chris Brazzell II (Tr)29333211.553
Miles Kitselman (Tr)22301413.731
Holden Staes (Tr)1513118.720

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arion Carter687036
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Jeremiah Telander434111
Joshua Josephs399283
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominic Bailey254250
Jayson Jenkins94200
Tyre West165220
Jaxson Moi (Tr)165201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermod McCoy (Tr)441007
Arion Carter687036
Jalen Mcmurray (Tr)140004