Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan Wolverines
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Michigan -10.5 (35.5) (-425) Open: -13.5
Michigan 50 - Northwestern: 6 (Big Ten)
Wildcats (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach David Braun (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 18 - 26 (18 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Michigan -19.5 (SP+ MICH -19)
Projected Score: NW: 10 - MICH: 30 (43)
MICH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NW Travel: 202 miles, 1 hrs behind
Our Line: Michigan -19.5 (SP+ MICH -19)
Projected Score: NW: 10 - MICH: 30 (43)
MICH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
NW Travel: 202 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Northwestern's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Northwestern vs Miami (OH) | -4.0 | 43.0 | W 13 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Fri 9/6 | Northwestern vs Duke | -2.5 | 37.5 | L 20 - 26 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois | -26.5 | 38.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Northwestern at Washington | +11.5 | 42.5 | L 5 - 24 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Northwestern vs Indiana | +12.5 | 40.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/11 | Northwestern at Maryland | +11.0 | 45.0 | W 37 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Northwestern vs Wisconsin | +9.5 | 42.5 | L 3 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Northwestern at Iowa | +16.5 | 38.5 | L 14 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Northwestern at Purdue | +3.0 | 44.5 | W 26 - 20 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Northwestern vs Ohio State | +28.0 | 43.5 | L 7 - 31 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Northwestern at Michigan | +10.5 | 35.5 | L 6 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Northwestern vs Illinois | +8.5 | 42.5 | L 28 - 38 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Michigan vs Fresno State | -21.0 | 48.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Michigan vs Texas | +7.0 | 42.0 | L 12 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Michigan vs Arkansas State | -22.0 | 47.5 | W 28 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Michigan vs USC | +4.0 | 44.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Michigan vs Minnesota | -10.5 | 34.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Michigan at Washington | +1.5 | 39.5 | L 17 - 27 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Michigan at Illinois | -6.0 | 44.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Michigan vs Michigan State | -3.5 | 39.0 | W 24 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Michigan vs Oregon | +14.5 | 45.5 | L 17 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Michigan at Indiana | +14.5 | 47.5 | L 15 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Michigan vs Northwestern | -10.5 | 35.5 | W 50 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Michigan at Ohio State | +20.5 | 41.5 | W 13 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Michigan vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.5 | W 19 - 13 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW | #113 (.1) | 38% (110) | 17.8 | 39% (109) | 2.63 (129) | 102 | 38% (102) | 202 | 4.11 (48) | #33 (.14) | 43% (83) | 26.3 | 43% (73) | 44% (94) | 3.65 (56) | 42.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| MICH | #11 (.33) | 50% (7) | 22 | 47% (31) | 3.26 (39) | 140 | 56% (2) | 190 | 4.79 (10) | #1 (-.01) | 32% (1) | 19.9 | 32% (4) | 33% (4) | 2.37 (1) | 22.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MICH | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Offense | 13 | 17.8 | 17.6 | 38.3% | 4.11 | 0.7 | 17 | 304 | 102 | 202 | 2.9 | 49% | 51% | 39% | 38% | 16% | .1 |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 19.9 | 21 | 32.3% | 2.37 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 32% | 33% | 21% | -.01 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Defense | 13 | 26.3 | 28.8 | 43.1% | 3.65 | 1.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 45% | 43% | 44% | 14% | .14 |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 22 | 26.9 | 50.3% | 4.79 | 0.5 | 18 | 330 | 140 | 190 | 4.3 | 56% | 44% | 47% | 56% | 11% | .33 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 13 | 28:34 | 16.8 | 40% | 21% | 5.3 | 42.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 29.7 |
| Michigan | 15 | 28:25 | 17.7 | 47% | 79% | 2.5 | 22.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 33.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Offense | 13 | 49% (79) | 39% (109) | 35.2 | 101.9 | 2.9 | 13 (108) | .05 (120) | 2.63 (129) | 70% (97) | 11% (88) | 0.83 (128) |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 49% (50) | 32% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.09 (1) | 2.57 (9) | 55% (4) | 12% (13) | 0.85 (11) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Defense | 13 | 54% (115) | 43% (73) | - | - | - | - | .09 (36) | 3.12 (73) | 69% (43) | 9% (105) | 0.92 (31) |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 56% (25) | 47% (31) | 32.9 | 140.2 | 4.3 | 35 (5) | .19 (45) | 3.26 (39) | 76% (46) | 7% (7) | 0.91 (107) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Offense | 13 | 51% (51) | 38% (102) | 18.5 | 29.9 | 202 | 6.8 | 10.9 | 20 (70) | 8 (30) | .18 (100) | 1.6 (62) | 35% (116) | 29% (84) | .36 (59) | 5% (23) | 2.2 (25) |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 50% (79) | 33% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (9) | .09 (7) | 1.6 (67) | 36% (19) | 25% (16) | .07 (1) | 9% (3) | 1.7 (3) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW Defense | 13 | 45% (20) | 44% (94) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (26) | .22 (39) | 1.4 (9) | 29% (123) | 32% (102) | .31 (68) | 5% (101) | 1.8 (9) |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 44% (105) | 56% (2) | 15.5 | 21 | 189.6 | 9 | 12.2 | 21 (65) | 5 (6) | .55 (5) | 1.5 (89) | 28% (11) | 38% (11) | .52 (16) | 4% (12) | 2 (77) |
Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Northwestern's Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Northwestern's Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Northwestern's Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Northwestern's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Northwestern's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -9.92 Michigan: 10.355
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -8.2 Michigan: 10.6
Northwestern: -9.92 Michigan: 10.355
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -8.2 Michigan: 10.6
Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Michigan's Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.6
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.6
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8
Northwestern's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 30
Northwestern 10
Projected Total Points: 43
Michigan 30
Northwestern 10
Projected Total Points: 43
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Michigan | 50 | Northwestern | 6 | Michigan | Michigan -10.5 | Michigan | 35.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/23 | Michigan | 33 | Northwestern | 7 | Michigan | Michigan -23.5 | Michigan | 51.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 09/29 | Northwestern | 17 | Michigan | 20 | Michigan | Michigan -14.5 | Northwestern | 46.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Michigan | 38 | Northwestern | 0 | Michigan | Michigan -10 | Michigan | 37.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | Northwestern | 9 | Michigan | 10 | Michigan | Northwestern -2 | Michigan | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/16 | Northwestern | 19 | Michigan | 27 | Michigan | Northwestern -1.5 | Michigan | 0 | |
| 2012 | 11/10 | Michigan | 38 | Northwestern | 31 | Michigan | ||||
| 2011 | 10/08 | Northwestern | 24 | Michigan | 42 | Michigan | ||||
| 2008 | 11/15 | Michigan | 14 | Northwestern | 21 | Northwestern | ||||
| 2007 | 09/29 | Northwestern | 16 | Michigan | 28 | Michigan | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Michigan | 17 | Northwestern | 3 | Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/29 | Northwestern | 17 | Michigan | 33 | Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 11/13 | Michigan | 42 | Northwestern | 20 | Michigan | ||||
| 2003 | 11/15 | Northwestern | 10 | Michigan | 41 | Michigan | ||||
| 2000 | 11/03 | Northwestern | 54 | Michigan | 51 | Northwestern |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 13 | 5 | 2 Overs |
| Northwestern | 2 | 1 | 2 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 8 | 4 - 2 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 7 | 2 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 3 |
(#100) Northwestern Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.92 #100
Offense Rating: 11.18 #125
Defense Rating: 11.29 #83
Overall SP+ Rating: -8.2 #101
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #124
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.3 #51
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.02 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.74 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Northwestern Notes
(12/21) Signed QB P Stone (SMU)
(11/18) QB Lausch tough vs OSU, Rgame abysmal, Def OK
(10/19) Off awful vs Wisc, 200 yds, 9 1st D, 2-14 3rd
(10/12) Killed MD. Tough, hard nosed. 4 TO's but Off bad
(10/11) OL bad in Run game, top 20 in Pass protection
(10/10) QB Lausch a big upgrade, genuine JAG QB
(9/10) QB: Jack Lausch replacing ineffective Mike Wright
(9/1) Rock fight 13-6 W over Mia Oh, QB Wright JAG
(8/28) QB battle (3 way), WR decent with exp.
(8/28) QB Wright (Miss St) seems to have won this job
Power #100
#43Off #125
#116Def #83
#51Talent #50
#7SP+ #101
#26SP+ Off #124
#93SP+ Def #51
#10Rematch from Week 13
Michigan -10.5 (35.5)
Michigan won vs Northwestern this year (50-6)
Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Northwestern last year (50-6)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 44° - Wind: 10 mph
Team Information
Injuries: NW | MICH
Depth Chart: NW | MICH
Rosters: NW | MICH
(#43) Michigan Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lausch | 159 | 296 | 54% | 1714 | 7 | 8 | 5.8 |
| Mike Wright (Tr) | 39 | 67 | 58% | 356 | 0 | 1 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Porter | 126 | 501 | 6 | 4.0 | 44 |
| Joseph Himon II | 52 | 257 | 2 | 4.9 | 51 |
| Jack Lausch | 87 | 213 | 2 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Caleb Komolafe | 50 | 139 | 0 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Porter | 23 | 174 | 0 | 7.6 | 28 |
| CJ Johnson II | 11 | 121 | 0 | 11.0 | 23 |
| Frank Covey IV | 10 | 98 | 0 | 9.8 | 27 |
| Joseph Himon II | 15 | 96 | 1 | 6.4 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Devin Turner | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Robert Fitzgerald | 46 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hubbard | 33 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Anto Saka | 15 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Kilbane | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Mac Uihlein | 84 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theran Johnson | 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Josh Fussell | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Devin Turner | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Warren | 133 | 207 | 64% | 1198 | 7 | 9 | 5.8 |
| Alex Orji | 26 | 49 | 53% | 151 | 3 | 2 | 3.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Orji | 57 | 269 | 1 | 4.7 | 29 |
| Jordan Marshall | 31 | 120 | 0 | 3.9 | 24 |
| Benjamin Hall | 29 | 72 | 0 | 2.5 | 14 |
| Semaj Morgan | 6 | 32 | 0 | 5.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Morris | 23 | 248 | 2 | 10.8 | 28 |
| Semaj Morgan | 27 | 139 | 1 | 5.1 | 31 |
| Fredrick Moore | 11 | 128 | 1 | 11.6 | 20 |
| Marlin Klein | 13 | 108 | 0 | 8.3 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Hausmann | 89 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaishawn Barham (Tr) | 66 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Aamir Hall (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Zeke Berry | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Guy | 32 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Derrick Moore | 23 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Cameron Brandt | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Ernest Hausmann | 89 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Berry | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| Jyaire Hill | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Aamir Hall (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |