Michigan at Washington - 2024 Matchup Preview

Michigan Wolverines at Washington Huskies

Saturday, October 5th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Washington -1.5 (39.5) (-118) Open: -8.5
Washington 27 - Michigan: 17 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -4 (SP+ MICH -7.5)
Projected Score: MICH: 25 - WASH: 21 (46)
WASH Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MICH Travel: 1901 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Michigan vs Fresno State	-21.0	48.0	W 30 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan vs Texas	+7.0	42.0	L 12 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Michigan vs Arkansas State	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan vs USC	+4.0	44.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan vs Minnesota	-10.5	34.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan at Washington	+1.5	39.5	L 17 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Michigan at Illinois	-6.0	44.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Michigan vs Michigan State	-3.5	39.0	W 24 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Michigan vs Oregon	+14.5	45.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Michigan at Indiana	+14.5	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Michigan vs Northwestern	-10.5	35.5	W 50 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan at Ohio State	+20.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Michigan vs Alabama	+16.5	45.5	W 19 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Washington's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington vs Weber State	-29.0	51.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington vs Eastern Michigan	-25.0	48.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/14	Washington vs Washington State	-4.0	56.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington vs Northwestern	-11.5	42.5	W 24 - 5	U	Y
Fri 9/27	Washington at Rutgers	+1.5	44.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	Washington vs Michigan	-1.5	39.5	W 27 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Washington at Iowa	+2.5	41.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Washington at Indiana	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Washington vs USC	+2.0	55.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Washington at Penn State	+13.5	48.0	L 6 - 35	U	N
Fri 11/15	Washington vs UCLA	-4.5	47.0	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Washington at Oregon	+17.5	50.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/31	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#11 (.33)	50% (7)	27.5	47% (31)	3.26 (39)	140	56% (2)	190	4.79 (10)	#1 (-.01)	32% (1)	20.4	32% (4)	33% (4)	2.37 (1)	22.8	0.5	1.6
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	34.1	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	18.7	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	15	27.5	26.4	50.3%	4.79	0.5	18	330	140	190	4.3	56%	44%	47%	56%	11%	.33
WASH Defense	15	18.7	19.7	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	15	20.4	24.4	32.3%	2.37	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	32%	33%	21%	-.01
WASH Offense	15	34.1	36.7	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	15	28:25	17.7	47%	79%	2.5	22.8	0.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	4	33.6
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	15	56% (25)	47% (31)	32.9	140.2	4.3	35 (5)	.19 (45)	3.26 (39)	76% (46)	7% (7)	0.91 (107)
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	15	49% (50)	32% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.09 (1)	2.57 (9)	55% (4)	12% (13)	0.85 (11)
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	15	44% (105)	56% (2)	15.5	21	189.6	9	12.2	21 (65)	5 (6)	.55 (5)	1.5 (89)	28% (11)	38% (11)	.52 (16)	4% (12)	2 (77)
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	15	50% (79)	33% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.09 (7)	1.6 (67)	36% (19)	25% (16)	.07 (1)	9% (3)	1.7 (3)
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 5.11 Washington: 4.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6 Washington: 3.1

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 4.02 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 398.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 25 #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 25
Washington 21

Projected Total Points: 46

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Michigan	24	Washington	7	Michigan -4.5	Michigan	50.5	Under
2024	10/05	Washington	27	Michigan	17	Washington -1.5	Washington	39.5	Over
2023	01/08	Michigan	34	Washington	13	Michigan -5.5	Michigan	55.5	Under
2021	09/11	Michigan	31	Washington	10	Michigan -6.5	Michigan	47.5	Under
2002	08/31	Michigan	31	Washington	29
2001	09/08	Washington	23	Michigan	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	2	1	1 Overs
Michigan	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 0	4 - 0	4 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 6	0 - 4	0 - 0	0 - 4

(#43) MICH at (#64) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	WASH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#43	#64
SP+SP+	#26	#58
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#69
OffenseOff	#101	#71
DefenseDef	#7	#62
Spec TeamsST	#38	#121
TalentTal	#9	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	#16	#23

Michigan Notes(12/24) Signed QB Keene (Fresno) w Underwood
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
(9/21) Bully balled USC w/ a high school Off & great D
Michigan Injury Report

Washington Notes(12/31) QB D Williams (Mobile, Fr) great in bowl.
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
(8/4) Fisch good HC, but year 0 with 0 ret. starters
Washington Injury Report

Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#62
SuccessSuc	#7	#99
ExplosiveExp	#106	#20
PPAPPA	#11	#72
PowerPwr	#116	#81
SP+SP+	#93	#36
Pts POPPO	#10	#80
HavocHav	#6	#89

Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#58	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#127
Run ExplRExp	#107	#66
PPAExp	#45	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	#39	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#6	#130
TackleTak	-	#2

Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#7
PPAExp	#5	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#90	#82
F7 HavocF7	#7	#126
DB HavocDB	#12	#12

Washington on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#71	#7
SuccessSuc	#4	#1
ExplosiveExp	#81	#37
PPAPPA	#7	#1
PowerPwr	#73	#51
SP+SP+	#66	#10
Pts POPPO	#12	#1
HavocHav	#13	#6

Washington Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#37	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#4
Run ExplRExp	#90	#11
PPAExp	#10	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#22
TackleTak	-	#10

Washington Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#67
PPAExp	#11	#7
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#1
F7 HavocF7	#18	#13
DB HavocDB	#36	#3

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'24 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MICH 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Washington -1.5 (39.5)
Washington won vs Michigan this year (27-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Washington last year (24-7)
Washington beat Michigan in 2024 (27-17)
Michigan beat Washington in 2023 (34-13)

MICH's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Warren	133	207	64%	1198	7	9	5.8
Jack Tuttle	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
Alex Orji	57	269	1	4.7	29
Jordan Marshall	31	120	0	3.9	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Tyler Morris	23	248	2	10.8	28
Semaj Morgan	27	139	1	5.1	31
Fredrick Moore	11	128	1	11.6	20

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ernest Hausmann	89	7	2	2	1
Jaishawn Barham (Tr)	66	4	1	5	2
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart	33	13	9	7	0
TJ Guy	32	7	6	6	0
Derrick Moore	23	6	4	4	2
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zeke Berry	37	3	0	2	9
Jyaire Hill	35	6	1	0	8
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5

WASH's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Rogers (Tr)	220	311	71%	2458	14	7	7.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	82	105	78%	944	8	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	83	282	2	3.4	43
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	42	193	0	4.6	32
Cameron Davis	44	190	0	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Denzel Boston	63	834	9	13.2	51
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)	36	490	1	13.6	42
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Russell Davis II (Tr)	4	3	3	0	0
Isaiah Ward (Tr)	28	6	3	2	2
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	1	6