(#21)Michigan Wolverines at Illinois Fighting Illini(#9)
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -6 (44.0) (-218) Open: -2.0
Illinois 21 - Michigan: 7 (Big Ten)
Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Illinois -3 (SP+ MICH -1)
Projected Score: MICH: 21 - ILL: 24 (44)
MICH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MICH Travel: 277 miles, 1 hrs ahead
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: Illinois -3 (SP+ MICH -1)
Projected Score: MICH: 21 - ILL: 24 (44)
MICH Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
MICH Travel: 277 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bret Bielema (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 3 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
| Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Michigan vs Fresno State | -21.0 | 48.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Michigan vs Texas | +7.0 | 42.0 | L 12 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Michigan vs Arkansas State | -22.0 | 47.5 | W 28 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Michigan vs USC | +4.0 | 44.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Michigan vs Minnesota | -10.5 | 34.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Michigan at Washington | +1.5 | 39.5 | L 17 - 27 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Michigan at Illinois | -6.0 | 44.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Michigan vs Michigan State | -3.5 | 39.0 | W 24 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Michigan vs Oregon | +14.5 | 45.5 | L 17 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Michigan at Indiana | +14.5 | 47.5 | L 15 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Michigan vs Northwestern | -10.5 | 35.5 | W 50 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Michigan at Ohio State | +20.5 | 41.5 | W 13 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Michigan vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.5 | W 19 - 13 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Illinois's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | Illinois vs Eastern Illinois | -28.5 | 50.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Illinois vs Kansas | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 23 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Illinois vs Central Michigan | -21.5 | 49.5 | W 30 - 9 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/20 | Illinois at Nebraska | +9.5 | 41.5 | W 31 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Illinois at Penn State | +19.5 | 48.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Illinois vs Purdue | -22.5 | 47.5 | W 50 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Illinois vs Michigan | +6.0 | 44.0 | W 21 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Illinois at Oregon | +22.5 | 54.0 | L 9 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Illinois vs Minnesota | +2.5 | 47.0 | L 17 - 25 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Illinois vs Michigan State | -2.0 | 47.5 | W 38 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Illinois at Rutgers | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 38 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Illinois vs Northwestern | -8.5 | 42.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Illinois vs South Carolina | +9.5 | 50.0 | W 21 - 17 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | #113 (.1) | 40% (102) | 22 | 41% (101) | 3 (80) | 149 | 40% (92) | 123 | 4.18 (45) | #40 (.13) | 38% (28) | 19.9 | 38% (18) | 39% (42) | 3.48 (36) | 36.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 28.3 | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 21.7 | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | #113 (.1) | 40% (102) | 41% (101) | 3 (80) | 149 | 40% (92) | 123 | 4.18 (45) | #40 (.13) | 38% (28) | 38% (18) | 39% (42) | 3.48 (36) | 36.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | ||
| ILL | #31 (.25) | 45% (45) | 45% (51) | 3.14 (49) | 140 | 44% (44) | 198 | 4.23 (39) | #76 (.18) | 46% (115) | 50% (127) | 43% (90) | 3.48 (37) | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 13 | 22 | 13 | 40.1% | 4.18 | 1.5 | 15 | 272 | 149 | 123 | 4.5 | 60% | 39% | 41% | 40% | 15% | .1 |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 21.7 | 17.6 | 46.3% | 3.48 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 52% | 50% | 43% | 13% | .18 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 13 | 19.9 | 19.5 | 38.3% | 3.48 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 38% | 39% | 19% | .13 |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 28.3 | 32 | 44.6% | 4.23 | 0.9 | 19 | 338 | 140 | 198 | 4.4 | 53% | 47% | 45% | 44% | 18% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 13 | 28:57 | 15.2 | 43% | 71% | 3.7 | 36.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 2 | 30 |
| Illinois | 13 | 26:52 | 18.7 | 44% | 50% | 5.1 | 39 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 13 | 60% (9) | 41% (101) | 33.3 | 148.5 | 4.5 | 18 (78) | .1 (86) | 3 (80) | 84% (7) | 10% (73) | 0.91 (91) |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 48% (37) | 50% (127) | - | - | - | - | .19 (108) | 3.57 (132) | 75% (75) | 8% (120) | 0.8 (5) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 13 | 42% (1) | 38% (18) | - | - | - | - | .04 (24) | 2.72 (24) | 82% (120) | 11% (50) | 0.85 (11) |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 53% (50) | 45% (51) | 31.8 | 140 | 4.4 | 20 (67) | .13 (67) | 3.14 (49) | 81% (17) | 11% (107) | 0.91 (95) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 13 | 39% (126) | 40% (92) | 13.8 | 22.5 | 123.3 | 5.5 | 9 | 11 (122) | 12 (85) | .12 (119) | 1.4 (131) | 33% (90) | 30% (92) | .26 (96) | 5% (51) | 1.7 (133) |
| ILL Defense | 13 | 52% (95) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .19 (44) | 1.4 (17) | 28% (117) | 34% (111) | .37 (97) | 6% (84) | 1.9 (40) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 13 | 57% (134) | 39% (42) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 (52) | .21 (56) | 1.6 (71) | 36% (12) | 28% (28) | .27 (54) | 8% (10) | 2.2 (109) |
| ILL Offense | 13 | 47% (83) | 44% (44) | 15.4 | 25.5 | 197.8 | 7.8 | 12.9 | 21 (51) | 5 (6) | .38 (16) | 1.8 (15) | 31% (62) | 31% (81) | .42 (31) | 6% (82) | 2.3 (5) |
Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 5.11 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6 Illinois: 9.6
Michigan: 5.11 Illinois: 10.69
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6 Illinois: 9.6
Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Illinois's Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Illinois's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Illinois's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 24
Michigan 21
Total Points: 44
Illinois 24
Michigan 21
Total Points: 44
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6
Illinois's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/19 | Illinois | 21 | Michigan | 7 | Illinois | Michigan -6 | Illinois | 44.0 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/19 | Michigan | 19 | Illinois | 17 | Michigan | Michigan -17 | Illinois | 41.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/12 | Illinois | 25 | Michigan | 42 | Michigan | Michigan -24.5 | Illinois | 49.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Michigan | 41 | Illinois | 8 | Michigan | Michigan -28 | Michigan | 51.5 | Under |
| 2012 | 10/13 | Michigan | 45 | Illinois | 0 | Michigan | ||||
| 2011 | 11/12 | Illinois | 14 | Michigan | 31 | Michigan | ||||
| 2010 | 11/06 | Michigan | 67 | Illinois | 65 | Michigan | ||||
| 2009 | 10/31 | Illinois | 38 | Michigan | 13 | Illinois | ||||
| 2008 | 10/04 | Michigan | 20 | Illinois | 45 | Illinois | ||||
| 2007 | 10/20 | Illinois | 17 | Michigan | 27 | Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Illinois | 19 | Michigan | 30 | Michigan | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Michigan | 56 | Illinois | 14 | Michigan | ||||
| 2002 | 09/28 | Illinois | 28 | Michigan | 45 | Michigan | ||||
| 2001 | 09/29 | Michigan | 45 | Illinois | 20 | Michigan | ||||
| 2000 | 09/22 | Illinois | 31 | Michigan | 35 | Michigan |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois | 3 | 3 | 1 Overs |
| Michigan | 12 | 1 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 7 | 3 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 8 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 2 | 1 - 1 |
(#43) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan has lost 1 straight
Michigan has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
Michigan Highlights
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)
Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is really bad (#99)
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)
Michigan run game is really bad (#103)
Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan has lost 1 straight
Michigan has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
Michigan Highlights
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)
Michigan has a really good defense (#65)
Michigan has a good run defense (#59)
Michigan Defensive Line is very good (#68)
Michigan Secondary is very good (#34)
Michigan commits very few Penalties (#49)
Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan offense is really bad (#99)
Michigan offense is not Explosive (#10)
Michigan run game is really bad (#103)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ILL | MICH |
| OverallOver | #29 | #17 |
| OffenseOff | #34 | #80 |
| DefenseDef | #37 | #5 |
| Special TeamsST | #41 | #34 |
| PassingPass | #33 | #100 |
| RushingRush | #32 | #41 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #54 | #55 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #74 | #77 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #11 | #82 |
| TacklingTkl | #6 | #9 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #79 | #2 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #45 | #1 |
| Coverage DefCov | #18 | #57 |
Rematch from Week 8
Michigan 6.0 (44.0)
Illinois won vs Michigan this year (21-7)
Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Michigan last year (21-7)
Michigan beat Illinois in 2022 (19-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: MICH | ILL
Depth Chart: MICH | ILL
Rosters: MICH | ILL
(#39) Illinois Info
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has won 1 straight
Illinois has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
Power Rating: 10.69 #39
Offense Rating: 22.25 #47
Defense Rating: 9.87 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.6 #31
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #55
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 10.0 - 3.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Illinois has won 1 straight
Illinois has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Illinois Highlights
Illinois does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#80)
Illinois defense does not give up big plays (#53)
Illinois has a great TO Margin (#1)
Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad defense (#56)
Illinois Does Not Stuff Runs (#6)
Illinois has a bad defensive line (#49)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Warren | 133 | 207 | 64% | 1198 | 7 | 9 | 5.8 |
| Jack Tuttle | 30 | 50 | 60% | 306 | 1 | 2 | 6.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalel Mullings | 185 | 948 | 12 | 5.1 | 63 |
| Donovan Edwards | 128 | 589 | 4 | 4.6 | 41 |
| Alex Orji | 57 | 269 | 1 | 4.7 | 29 |
| Jordan Marshall | 31 | 120 | 0 | 3.9 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colston Loveland | 56 | 582 | 5 | 10.4 | 36 |
| Tyler Morris | 23 | 248 | 2 | 10.8 | 28 |
| Semaj Morgan | 27 | 139 | 1 | 5.1 | 31 |
| Fredrick Moore | 11 | 128 | 1 | 11.6 | 20 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Hausmann | 89 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaishawn Barham (Tr) | 66 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Mason Graham | 46 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Makari Paige | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josaiah Stewart | 33 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| TJ Guy | 32 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Derrick Moore | 23 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Mason Graham | 46 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Berry | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| Jyaire Hill | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Quinten Johnson | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Altmyer | 211 | 347 | 61% | 2717 | 22 | 6 | 7.8 |
| Donovan Leary | 2 | 5 | 40% | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua McCray | 117 | 609 | 10 | 5.2 | 60 |
| Aidan Laughery | 97 | 589 | 4 | 6.1 | 64 |
| Kaden Feagin | 67 | 306 | 3 | 4.6 | 34 |
| Luke Altmyer | 99 | 217 | 4 | 2.2 | 37 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Bryant | 53 | 978 | 10 | 18.5 | 64 |
| Zakhari Franklin (Tr) | 56 | 658 | 4 | 11.8 | 44 |
| Hank Beatty | 20 | 294 | 1 | 14.7 | 59 |
| Collin Dixon | 18 | 264 | 0 | 14.7 | 41 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dylan Rosiek | 61 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| James Kreutz | 54 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Jacas | 71 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| Dennis Briggs Jr. (Tr) | 42 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Te-Rah Edwards | 38 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Seth Coleman | 53 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Scott | 49 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Matthew Bailey | 94 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Jaheim Clarke | 34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |