Alabama at Wisconsin - 2024 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, September 14th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -15.5 (51.0) (-650) Open: -9.0
Alabama 42 - Wisconsin: 10

Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Alabama -16 (SP+ ALA -22)
Projected Score: ALA: 33 - WIS: 17 (49)
ALA Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ALA Travel: 689 miles

Badgers (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (21 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Alabama vs Western Kentucky	-31.0	60.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Alabama vs South Florida	-33.5	65.5	W 42 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/14	Alabama at Wisconsin	-15.5	51.0	W 42 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Alabama vs Georgia	+2.0	50.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Alabama at Vanderbilt	-23.5	53.5	L 35 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/12	Alabama vs South Carolina	-21.0	50.0	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 10/19	Alabama at Tennessee	-3.5	57.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/26	Alabama vs Missouri	-16.0	51.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Alabama at LSU	-2.5	57.5	W 42 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Alabama vs Mercer	-42.0	58.5	W 52 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Alabama at Oklahoma	-14.0	47.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/30	Alabama vs Auburn	-10.5	50.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Alabama vs Michigan	-16.5	45.5	L 13 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-24.0	57.0	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/7	Wisconsin vs South Dakota	-17.5	44.5	W 27 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/14	Wisconsin vs Alabama	+15.5	51.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28	Wisconsin at USC	+14.0	50.5	L 21 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-12.0	44.5	W 52 - 6	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Wisconsin at Rutgers	+1.0	43.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-9.5	42.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/26	Wisconsin vs Penn State	+6.5	47.0	L 13 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Wisconsin at Iowa	+2.5	40.0	L 10 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Wisconsin vs Oregon	+13.5	49.5	L 13 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Wisconsin at Nebraska	+1.5	40.5	L 25 - 44	O	N
Fri 11/29	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	+1.5	40.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	#20 (.29)	45% (39)	33.8	45% (43)	3.23 (45)	160	45% (34)	212	4.59 (17)	#26 (.11)	36% (12)	17.4	38% (28)	34% (6)	3.86 (73)	45.7	0.7	1.3
WIS	#84 (.16)	44% (50)	22.6	50% (15)	3.52 (7)	151	38% (100)	191	4.02 (55)	#17 (.1)	40% (47)	23.1	40% (41)	42% (72)	2.98 (13)	44.2	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	14	33.8	27.8	45%	4.59	0.7	19	373	160	212	4.3	57%	43%	45%	45%	15%	.29
WIS Defense	13	23.1	20.4	40.4%	2.98	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	17%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	14	17.4	22.2	35.8%	3.86	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	34%	19%	.11
WIS Offense	13	22.6	21.4	43.6%	4.02	1.2	18	342	151	191	4.7	47%	52%	50%	38%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	14	28:25	18.6	47%	83%	5.4	45.7	0.7	1.3	5.9	2.8	2	30.6
Wisconsin	13	26:53	18.3	45%	28%	5.1	44.2	1.2	1.2	5.8	2.2	1	29.2

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	14	57% (18)	45% (43)	37	160.4	4.3	30 (21)	.21 (39)	3.23 (45)	81% (13)	11% (91)	0.98 (79)
WIS Defense	13	51% (78)	40% (41)	-	-	-	-	.09 (38)	3.06 (57)	64% (20)	11% (42)	0.96 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	14	48% (40)	38% (28)	-	-	-	-	.15 (71)	3.13 (74)	67% (36)	12% (21)	1.12 (114)
WIS Offense	13	47% (92)	50% (15)	32.3	151.3	4.7	21 (54)	.22 (31)	3.52 (7)	74% (67)	8% (26)	0.89 (116)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	14	43% (115)	45% (34)	13.7	21.6	212.1	9.8	15.5	23 (51)	6 (14)	.44 (20)	1.9 (8)	31% (50)	34% (39)	.55 (11)	4% (6)	2.6 (1)
WIS Defense	13	48% (51)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.19 (21)	1.4 (15)	32% (63)	28% (36)	.27 (43)	6% (61)	2 (51)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	14	52% (98)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.11 (9)	1.5 (42)	35% (29)	26% (18)	.23 (25)	7% (37)	2.1 (71)
WIS Offense	13	52% (41)	38% (100)	19.5	33	191.1	5.8	9.8	11 (117)	5 (6)	.13 (116)	1.4 (132)	30% (34)	34% (42)	.28 (85)	7% (106)	1.7 (132)

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 901
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 18.87 Wisconsin: 6.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 25.0 Wisconsin: 3.0

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 6.08 #45
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
2024 Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Wisconsin's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Wisconsin's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Alabama 33
Wisconsin 17

Projected Total Points: 49

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.4
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.4

Wisconsin's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/14	Wisconsin	10	Alabama	42	Alabama	Alabama -15.5	Alabama	51.0	Over
2015	09/05	Alabama	35	Wisconsin	17	Alabama	Alabama -10	Alabama	44.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	0	0	2 Overs
Alabama	2	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#9) Alabama Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 18.87 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 82% #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama Ratings Matchup Wisconsin

Power #9

#45

Off #33

#67

Def #20

#73

Talent #3

#24

SP+ #4

#60

SP+ Off #6

#100

SP+ Def #8

#22

Rematch from Week 3
Alabama 15.5 (51.0)
Alabama won at Wisconsin this year (42-10)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: ALA | WIS
Depth Chart: ALA | WIS
Rosters: ALA | WIS

(#45) Wisconsin Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.08 #45
Offense Rating: 19.90 #67
Defense Rating: 9.97 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.0 #60
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #100
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #22
Talent Rating: 842.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #29
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.02 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.17 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin Notes
(12/6) Hired OC Jeff Grimes (Bay/KU)
(11/29) How does Fickell address the offense for '25
(11/29) 5 str L's to finish. Offense is untenable. Bad vibes
(11/29) 22 year bowl streak over, was CFB longest
(11/23) 4 str L's, Locke good, Def torched by Nebraska
(11/18) Fight w/ Oreg, Locke awful, Rgame bad, OC fired
(11/17) OC Longo fired after Oregon loss
(11/2) Locke is awful. Rgame avg at best. Longo Off bad
(10/27) Rgame awful vs PSU, Lock bad INT. < 300 yds
(10/22) Def stop rate is 75% (#10) into PSU/Iowa games

Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ty Simpson	14	25	56%	167	0	0	6.7
Dylan Lonergan	5	6	83%	23	0	0	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamarion Miller	145	668	7	4.6	56
Justice Haynes	79	448	7	5.7	85
Richard Young	27	146	2	5.4	62
Daniel Hill	21	61	1	2.9	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ryan Williams	48	865	8	18.0	84
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Jamarion Miller	16	155	1	9.7	25

View Alabama's Full Roster

Alabama's DC Kane Wommack

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Justin Jefferson	61	7	2	0	1
Brayson Hubbard	57	1	0	0	2
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quandarrius Robinson	23	7	4	5	0
Tim Keenan III	40	8	3	2	1
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4
Lebbeus Overton	42	3	2	9	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson (Tr)	51	2	0	1	7
DeVonta Smith	30	1	0	1	5
Deontae Lawson	76	6	2	0	4

Wisconsin's OC Phil Longo

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Braedyn Locke	164	296	55%	1936	13	10	6.5
Tyler Van Dyke (Tr)	43	68	63%	422	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	190	864	10	4.5	55
Darrion Dupree	79	317	1	4.0	32
Cade Yacamelli	33	274	2	8.3	45
Dilin Jones	16	88	0	5.5	47

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mark Hamper	43	869	5	20.2	74
Vinny Anthony	39	672	4	17.2	63
Will Pauling	42	407	3	9.7	28
Trech Kekahuna	25	339	2	13.6	69

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	1
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	4
Jaheim Thomas (Tr)	53	2	1	0
Austin Brown	51	2	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Christian Alliegro	66	5	3	0	1
Elijah Hills (Tr)	26	6	3	2	1
John Pius (Tr)	21	4	3	3	0
Sebastian Cheeks (Tr)	12	2	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Ben Barten	22	0	1	5
Preston Zachman	58	3	0	4
Ricardo Hallman	16	0	0	4