Michigan at Indiana - 2024 Matchup Preview

Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Indiana -14.5 (47.5) (-650) Open: -14.0 | 49.0
Indiana 20 - Michigan: 15 (Big Ten)

Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IND is playing their 4th straight game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -13.5 (SP+ IND -10)
Projected Score: MICH: 18 - IND: 32 (50)
IND Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MICH Travel: 258 miles

Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MICH Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Michigan vs Fresno State	-21.0	48.0	W 30 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan vs Texas	+7.0	42.0	L 12 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/14	Michigan vs Arkansas State	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 18	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan vs USC	+4.0	44.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan vs Minnesota	-10.5	34.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan at Washington	+1.5	39.5	L 17 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Michigan at Illinois	-6.0	44.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/26	Michigan vs Michigan State	-3.5	39.0	W 24 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Michigan vs Oregon	+14.5	45.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/9	Michigan at Indiana	+14.5	47.5	L 15 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Michigan vs Northwestern	-10.5	35.5	W 50 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan at Ohio State	+20.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Michigan vs Alabama	+16.5	45.5	W 19 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule

Indiana's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Indiana vs Florida International	-20.5	50.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Indiana vs Western Illinois	-44.5	52.5	W 77 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Indiana at UCLA	-3.5	46.5	W 42 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Indiana vs Charlotte	-28.5	50.0	W 52 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Indiana vs Maryland	-7.5	50.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/5	Indiana vs Northwestern	-12.5	40.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Indiana vs Nebraska	-6.5	48.0	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Indiana vs Washington	-5.5	54.0	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Indiana at Michigan State	-7.5	53.5	W 47 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Indiana vs Michigan	-14.5	47.5	W 20 - 15	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Indiana at Ohio State	+10.5	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Indiana vs Purdue	-28.5	56.5	W 66 - 0	O	Y
Fri 12/20	Indiana at Notre Dame	+7.0	50.0	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH	#11 (.33)	50% (7)	27.5	47% (31)	3.26 (39)	140	56% (2)	190	4.79 (10)	#1 (-.01)	32% (1)	20.4	32% (4)	33% (4)	2.37 (1)	22.8	0.5	1.6
IND	#106 (.12)	41% (85)	41.6	39% (117)	3.26 (38)	121	44% (48)	212	3.11 (119)	#103 (.24)	46% (120)	11.7	47% (109)	45% (118)	4.08 (95)	51	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Offense	15	27.5	26.4	50.3%	4.79	0.5	18	330	140	190	4.3	56%	44%	47%	56%	11%	.33
IND Defense	12	11.7	8.4	45.8%	4.08	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	47%	45%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MICH Defense	15	20.4	24.4	32.3%	2.37	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	32%	33%	21%	-.01
IND Offense	12	41.6	49.1	40.9%	3.11	1.5	20	334	121	212	3.4	50%	49%	39%	44%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan	15	28:25	17.7	47%	79%	2.5	22.8	0.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	4	33.6
Indiana	12	29:25	19.7	37%	35%	5.5	51	1.5	1	6.1	1.8	2	26.5

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Offense	15	56% (25)	47% (31)	32.9	140.2	4.3	35 (5)	.19 (45)	3.26 (39)	76% (46)	7% (7)	0.91 (107)
IND Defense	12	52% (96)	47% (109)	-	-	-	-	.14 (65)	3.24 (100)	75% (80)	10% (58)	0.85 (14)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MICH Defense	15	49% (50)	32% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.09 (1)	2.57 (9)	55% (4)	12% (13)	0.85 (11)
IND Offense	12	50% (68)	39% (117)	36.2	121.3	3.4	13 (108)	.07 (112)	3.26 (38)	69% (105)	11% (83)	0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Offense	15	44% (105)	56% (2)	15.5	21	189.6	9	12.2	21 (65)	5 (6)	.55 (5)	1.5 (89)	28% (11)	38% (11)	.52 (16)	4% (12)	2 (77)
IND Defense	12	47% (36)	45% (118)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.39 (117)	1.6 (77)	29% (115)	33% (104)	.41 (110)	6% (69)	2.2 (103)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MICH Defense	15	50% (79)	33% (4)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.09 (7)	1.6 (67)	36% (19)	25% (16)	.07 (1)	9% (3)	1.7 (3)
IND Offense	12	49% (70)	44% (48)	17.9	30.5	212.3	7	11.9	18 (81)	10 (56)	.26 (76)	1.5 (119)	30% (43)	28% (91)	.16 (118)	6% (82)	1.9 (107)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 550.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 5.11 Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6 Indiana: 20.1

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 361.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 32
Michigan 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Indiana	20	Michigan	15	Indiana -14.5	Michigan	47.5	Under
2023	10/14	Michigan	52	Indiana	7	Michigan -33.5	Michigan	45.5	Over
2022	10/08	Indiana	10	Michigan	31	Michigan -23.5	Indiana	57.5	Under
2021	11/06	Michigan	29	Indiana	7	Michigan -20.5	Michigan	51.0	Under
2020	11/07	Indiana	38	Michigan	21	Michigan -4.5	Indiana	54.5	Over
2019	11/23	Indiana	14	Michigan	39	Michigan -10	Michigan	52.5	Over
2018	11/17	Michigan	31	Indiana	20	Michigan -28	Indiana	53.5	Under
2017	10/14	Indiana	20	Michigan	27	Michigan -7	NA	44.0	Over
2016	11/19	Michigan	20	Indiana	10	Michigan -28	Indiana	50.5	Under
2015	11/14	Indiana	41	Michigan	48	Michigan -11	Indiana	56.0	Over
2014	11/01	Michigan	34	Indiana	10	Michigan -9.5	Michigan	0
2013	10/19	Michigan	63	Indiana	47	Michigan -10.5	Michigan	0
2010	10/02	Indiana	35	Michigan	42
2009	09/26	Michigan	36	Indiana	33
2006	11/11	Indiana	3	Michigan	34
2005	11/12	Michigan	41	Indiana	14
2004	10/02	Indiana	14	Michigan	35
2003	09/27	Michigan	31	Indiana	17
2000	10/13	Michigan	58	Indiana	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	2	5	5 Overs
Michigan	17	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 7	7 - 4	4 - 3	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 12	4 - 7	1 - 3	3 - 4

(#43) MICH at (#10) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MICH	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#43	#10
SP+SP+	#26	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#21	#1
OffenseOff	#101	#2
DefenseDef	#7	#4
Spec TeamsST	#38	#4
TalentTal	#9	#57
Blue ChipsBC%	#16	#38

Michigan Notes(12/24) Signed QB Keene (Fresno) w Underwood
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
(9/21) Bully balled USC w/ a high school Off & great D
Michigan Injury Report

Indiana Notes(12/24) Signed QB Mendoza (Cal)/RB Hemby (MD)
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good
(8/4) Cignetti is cocky/confident & wins everywhere.
Indiana Injury Report

Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#4
SuccessSuc	#7	#120
ExplosiveExp	#106	#26
PPAPPA	#11	#103
PowerPwr	#116	#24
SP+SP+	#93	#15
Pts POPPO	#10	#95
HavocHav	#6	#59

Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#58	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#31	#109
Run ExplRExp	#107	#14
PPAExp	#45	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	#39	#100
Stuff RateStuff	#6	#81
TackleTak	-	#94

Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat	MICH Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#125	#17
Pass SuccessPSuc	#2	#118
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#77
PPAExp	#5	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#90	#11
F7 HavocF7	#7	#58
DB HavocDB	#12	#69

Indiana on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MICH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#2	#7
SuccessSuc	#85	#1
ExplosiveExp	#114	#37
PPAPPA	#106	#1
PowerPwr	#6	#51
SP+SP+	#18	#10
Pts POPPO	#119	#1
HavocHav	#88	#6

Indiana Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#33	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	#117	#4
Run ExplRExp	#108	#11
PPAExp	#112	#1
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	#38	#9
Stuff RateStuff	#9	#22
TackleTak	-	#10

Indiana Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	IND Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#4
Pass ExplPExl	#119	#67
PPAExp	#76	#7
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#36	#1
F7 HavocF7	#83	#13
DB HavocDB	#82	#3

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

MICH 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Indiana -14.5 (47.5)
Indiana won vs Michigan this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan in 2024 (20-15)
Michigan beat Indiana in 2023 (52-7)

MICH's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Warren	133	207	64%	1198	7	9	5.8
Jack Tuttle	30	50	60%	306	1	2	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kalel Mullings	185	948	12	5.1	63
Donovan Edwards	128	589	4	4.6	41
Alex Orji	57	269	1	4.7	29
Jordan Marshall	31	120	0	3.9	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colston Loveland	56	582	5	10.4	36
Tyler Morris	23	248	2	10.8	28
Semaj Morgan	27	139	1	5.1	31
Fredrick Moore	11	128	1	11.6	20

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ernest Hausmann	89	7	2	2	1
Jaishawn Barham (Tr)	66	4	1	5	2
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1
Makari Paige	45	1	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josaiah Stewart	33	13	9	7	0
TJ Guy	32	7	6	6	0
Derrick Moore	23	6	4	4	2
Mason Graham	46	7	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zeke Berry	37	3	0	2	9
Jyaire Hill	35	6	1	0	8
Quinten Johnson	43	1	0	0	5

IND's OC Mike Shanahan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)	222	320	69%	3042	29	5	9.5
Tayven Jackson	23	37	62%	349	4	1	9.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)	159	848	10	5.3	47
Ty Son Lawton	141	668	12	4.7	29
Kaelon Black (Tr)	46	251	2	5.5	21
Elijah Green (Tr)	29	201	5	6.9	51

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)	53	957	8	18.1	84
Omar Cooper Jr.	28	594	7	21.2	69
Myles Price (Tr)	38	466	3	12.3	41
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)	39	448	5	11.5	52

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Bryant Haines (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)	118	6	2	3	4
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)	69	5	2	1	4
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)	46	14	9	6	1
James Carpenter (Tr)	37	11	5	5	2
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)	24	5	3	4	1
Lanell Carr	39	5	3	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Jailin Walker (Tr)	82	10	2	5	8
Jamari Sharpe	13	1	1	0	6