Michigan at Indiana Game Matchup
Michigan logo Michigan Wolverines at Indiana HoosiersIndiana logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Indiana -14.5 (47.5) (-650)  Open: -14.0 | 49.0
Indiana 20 - Michigan: 15  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
IND is playing their 4th straight game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Indiana -13.5   (SP+ IND -10)

Projected Score: MICH: 17 - IND: 31 (50)
IND Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MICH Travel: 258 miles
Hoosiers (11 - 2) (10 - 3 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (47 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 2 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Michigan vs Fresno State-21.048.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan vs Texas+7.042.0L 12 - 31ON
Sat 9/14 Michigan vs Arkansas State-22.047.5W 28 - 18UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan vs USC+4.044.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/28 Michigan vs Minnesota-10.534.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/5 Michigan at Washington+1.539.5L 17 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan at Illinois-6.044.0L 7 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Michigan vs Michigan State-3.539.0W 24 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 Michigan vs Oregon+14.545.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Michigan at Indiana+14.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.535.5W 50 - 6OY
Sat 11/30 Michigan at Ohio State+20.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Michigan vs Alabama+16.545.5W 19 - 13UY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Indiana's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Indiana vs Florida International-20.550.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/6 Indiana vs Western Illinois-44.552.5W 77 - 3OY
Sat 9/14 Indiana at UCLA-3.546.5W 42 - 13OY
Sat 9/21 Indiana vs Charlotte-28.550.0W 52 - 14OY
Sat 9/28 Indiana vs Maryland-7.550.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/5 Indiana vs Northwestern-12.540.5W 41 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Indiana vs Nebraska-6.548.0W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/26 Indiana vs Washington-5.554.0W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/2 Indiana at Michigan State-7.553.5W 47 - 10OY
Sat 11/9 Indiana vs Michigan-14.547.5W 20 - 15UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Indiana at Ohio State+10.552.5L 15 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Indiana vs Purdue-28.556.5W 66 - 0OY
Fri 12/20 Indiana at Notre Dame+7.050.0L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 4, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#11 (.33)50% (7)2247% (31)3.26 (39)14056% (2)1904.79 (10)#1 (-.01)32% (1)19.932% (4)33% (4)2.37 (1)22.80.51.6
IND#106 (.12)41% (85)41.339% (117)3.26 (38)12144% (48)2123.11 (119)#103 (.24)46% (120)15.647% (109)45% (118)4.08 (95)511.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense15221350.3%4.790.5183301401904.356%44%47%56%11%.33
IND Defense1215.611.445.8%4.081 - - - - - 52%47%47%45%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1519.919.532.3%2.371.6 - - - - - 49%50%32%33%21%-.01
IND Offense1241.346.940.9%3.111.5203341212123.450%49%39%44%17%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1528:2517.747%79%2.522.80.51.64.92.1433.6
Indiana1229:2519.737%35%5.5511.516.11.8226.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1556% (25)47% (31)32.9140.24.335 (5).19 (45)3.26 (39)76% (46)7% (7)0.91 (107)
IND Defense1252% (96)47% (109) - - - - .14 (65)3.24 (100)75% (80)10% (58)0.85 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1549% (50)32% (4) - - - - -.09 (1)2.57 (9)55% (4)12% (13)0.85 (11)
IND Offense1250% (68)39% (117)36.2121.33.413 (108).07 (112)3.26 (38)69% (105)11% (83)0.91 (108)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1544% (105)56% (2)15.521189.6912.221 (65)5 (6).55 (5)1.5 (89)28% (11)38% (11).52 (16)4% (12)2 (77)
IND Defense1247% (36)45% (118) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (117)1.6 (77)29% (115)33% (104).41 (110)6% (69)2.2 (103)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1550% (79)33% (4) - - - - - - 16 (9).09 (7)1.6 (67)36% (19)25% (16).07 (1)9% (3)1.7 (3)
IND Offense1249% (70)44% (48)17.930.5212.3711.918 (81)10 (56).26 (76)1.5 (119)30% (43)28% (91).16 (118)6% (82)1.9 (107)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 5.11   Indiana: 21.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6   Indiana: 20.1




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Indiana's Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Indiana's Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
2024 Talent Rating: 706.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Indiana's 2024 Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0
Indiana's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 31
Michigan 17


Projected Total Points: 50
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.9
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Indiana's 2024 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 7 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Indiana20Michigan15IndianaIndiana -14.5Michigan47.5Under
202310/14Michigan52Indiana7MichiganMichigan -33.5Michigan45.5Over
202210/08Indiana10Michigan31MichiganMichigan -23.5Indiana57.5Under
202111/06Michigan29Indiana7MichiganMichigan -20.5Michigan51.0Under
202011/07Indiana38Michigan21IndianaMichigan -4.5Indiana54.5Over
201911/23Indiana14Michigan39MichiganMichigan -10Michigan52.5Over
201811/17Michigan31Indiana20MichiganMichigan -28Indiana53.5Under
201710/14Indiana20Michigan27MichiganMichigan -7NA44.0Over
201611/19Michigan20Indiana10MichiganMichigan -28Indiana50.5Under
201511/14Indiana41Michigan48MichiganMichigan -11Indiana56.0Over
201411/01Michigan34Indiana10MichiganMichigan -9.5Michigan0
201310/19Michigan63Indiana47MichiganMichigan -10.5Michigan0
201010/02Indiana35Michigan42Michigan
200909/26Michigan36Indiana33Michigan
200611/11Indiana3Michigan34Michigan
200511/12Michigan41Indiana14Michigan
200410/02Indiana14Michigan35Michigan
200309/27Michigan31Indiana17Michigan
200010/13Michigan58Indiana0Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana255 Overs
Michigan1765 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 77 - 44 - 33 - 1
Road Teams7 - 124 - 71 - 33 - 4

(#43) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.11 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41% #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Indiana
Power #43
#10
Off #116
#6
Def #51
#24
Talent #7
#58
SP+ #26
#11
SP+ Off #93
#18
SP+ Def #10
#15

Rematch from Week 11
Indiana -14.5 (47.5)
Indiana won vs Michigan this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan last year (20-15)
Michigan beat Indiana in 2023 (52-7)
Michigan beat Indiana in 2022 (31-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 62° - Wind: 7 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MICH | IND
Depth Chart: MICH | IND
Rosters: MICH | IND
(#10) Indiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 21.3 #10
Offense Rating: 28.20 #6
Defense Rating: 4.35 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.4 #15
Talent Rating: 706.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 11.0 - 2.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.03 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Great Pass Success 56%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Indiana Notes
(12/5) Co-OC Sunseri hired as UCLA OC after '24
(11/24) Off awful vs OSU, 153 total yards. Def wilted
(11/13) Off human vs Mich, Rgame awful (40 yds, 1.4 ypc)
(11/2) Run Def killed MSU. Off 47 pts but #'s bad
(11/1) 3-0, avg 27 ppg margin of victory in Oct
(10/28) QB Rourke (inj) could play vs Michigan St
(10/19) 500 yds, owned Nebraska. Def was good, fun team
(9/28) 500+ yds vs MD. Overcame 5 TOs, still won
(9/19) V good WR's. Cooper top 5 M2M, 4 good options.
(9/1) Grounded FIU, 234 yds rushing (6 ypc). Def was good


  
Michigan's OC Kirk Campbell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Alex Orji264953%151323.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Orji5726914.729
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Benjamin Hall297202.514
Semaj Morgan63205.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Morris23248210.828
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620
Marlin Klein1310808.333

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Don Martindale
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham (Tr)664152
Aamir Hall (Tr)383104
Zeke Berry373029
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Cameron Brandt134312
Ernest Hausmann897221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
Aamir Hall (Tr)383104

Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kurtis Rourke (Tr)22232069%30422959.5
Tayven Jackson233762%349419.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Justice Ellison (Tr)159848105.347
Ty Son Lawton141668124.729
Kaelon Black (Tr)4625125.521
Elijah Green (Tr)2920156.951
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt (Tr)53957818.184
Omar Cooper Jr.28594721.269
Myles Price (Tr)38466312.341
Ke'Shawn Williams (Tr)39448511.552

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher (Tr)1186234
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Shawn Asbury II (Tr)695214
D'Angelo Ponds555009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikail Kamara (Tr)4614961
James Carpenter (Tr)3711552
Tyrique Tucker (Tr)245341
CJ West (Tr)428201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Jailin Walker (Tr)8210258
Jamari Sharpe131106