Mercer at Alabama - 2024 Matchup Preview
Mercer logo Mercer Bears at Alabama Crimson Tide(#4)Alabama logo
Saturday, November 16th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
Alabama -42 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0 | 58.0
Alabama 52 - Mercer: 7

 
Bears (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 7 - 52 (7 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Alabama -24.5  (SP+ ALA -25)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Mercer's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Mercer at Alabama+42.058.5L 7 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Mercer's Schedule
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%70%000%000%520%0%0000
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MER0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Offense1770%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ALA Defense1317.413.737.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MER Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ALA Offense1333.84145.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mercer10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MER Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MER Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

Mercer's Power Ratings
Mercer's Power Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense Rating: NR
2024 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Mercer's 2024 Expected Record: -
Mercer's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Mercer's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Alabama: 24.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mercer:    Alabama: 25.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 24.435  #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39  #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21  #20
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82  #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0  #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9  #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Mercer Scoring
Offense: 7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Mercer's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 41
Mercer 16

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Alabama 42
Mercer 12

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Alabama 45
Mercer 11

Total Points: 56
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Alabama52Mercer7Alabama -42Alabama58.5Over
202109/11Alabama48Mercer14Alabama -54.0Mercer60.5Over
201711/18Alabama56Mercer0Alabama -49Alabama0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama322 Overs
Mercer010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 31 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#NR) MER at (#9) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMERALA
Power RatePwrNR #9
SP+SP+NR #4
Perf GradeGradeNR #12
OffenseOffNR #24
DefenseDefNR #9
Spec TeamsSTNR #58
TalentTalNR #1
Blue ChipsBC%NR #1
Mercer on Offense
CategoryCat
MER OffALA Def
Perf GradePerfNR #9
SuccessSucNR #12
ExplosiveExpNR #47
PPAPPANR #8
PowerPwrNR #20
SP+SP+NR #8
Pts POPPONR #5
HavocHavNR #41
Mercer Run Game
CategoryCat
MER OffALA Def
Run GameRunNR #8
Run SuccessRSucNR #15
Run ExplRExpNR #19
PPAExpNR #8
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #38
Stuff RateStuffNR #53
TackleTak -  #5
Mercer Pass Game
CategoryCat
MER OffALA Def
Pass GamePassNR #10
Pass SuccessPSucNR #19
Pass ExplPExlNR #86
PPAExpNR #22
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #49
F7 HavocF7NR #61
DB HavocDBNR #15
Alabama on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatALA OffMER Def
Perf GradePerf #24NR
SuccessSuc #34NR
ExplosiveExp #34NR
PPAPPA #44NR
PowerPwr #33NR
SP+SP+ #6NR
Pts POPPO #8NR
HavocHav #63NR
Alabama Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ALA OffMER Def
Run GameRun #14NR
Run SuccessRSuc #52NR
Run ExplRExp #12NR
PPAExp #28NR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLY #112NR
Stuff RateStuff #121NR
TackleTak - NR
Alabama Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatALA OffMER Def
Pass GamePass #21NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #31NR
Pass ExplPExl #78NR
PPAExp #59NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66NR
F7 HavocF7 #102NR
DB HavocDB #20NR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'25 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MER 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 12
Alabama -42.0 (58.5)
Alabama won vs Mercer this year (52-7)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mercer last year (52-7)

  
MER's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Mercer's Full Roster

MER's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Standley101000
TJ Moore90001
Tommy Bliss60001
Chris Joines50000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ken Standley101000
Isaac Prince20000
Drew Clare10000
Xavier Jennings10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Watkins20001
Tommy Bliss60001
Marques Thomas40001

ALA's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
C.J. Dippre21256012.246
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Kane Wommack (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Deontae Lawson766204
Malachi Moore703138
Justin Jefferson617201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Tim Smith354250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Moore703138
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015