Auburn at Alabama - 2024 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo (#22)Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide(#14)Alabama logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Alabama -10.5 (50.5) (-450)  Open: -11.5 | 52.5
Alabama 28 - Auburn: 14  (SEC)

 
Tigers (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 28 - 21 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Alabama -14   (SP+ ALA -16)

Projected Score: AUB: 18 - ALA: 32 (50)
ALA Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
AUB Travel: 127 miles
Crimson Tide (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 17 (41 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Auburn vs Alabama A&M-48.558.5W 73 - 3OY
Sat 9/7 Auburn vs California-11.552.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/14 Auburn vs New Mexico-25.558.5W 45 - 19OY
Sat 9/21 Auburn vs Arkansas-2.553.5L 14 - 24UN
Sat 9/28 Auburn vs Oklahoma-2.043.0L 21 - 27ON
Sat 10/5 Auburn at Georgia+21.050.0L 13 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Auburn at Missouri+3.549.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Auburn at Kentucky+2.043.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Auburn vs Vanderbilt-7.548.0L 7 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Auburn vs UL Monroe-24.546.0W 48 - 14OY
Sat 11/23 Auburn vs Texas A&M+2.547.0W 43 - 41OY
Sat 11/30 Auburn at Alabama+10.550.5L 14 - 28UN

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Alabama's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Alabama vs Western Kentucky-31.060.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 9/7 Alabama vs South Florida-33.565.5W 42 - 16UN
Sat 9/14 Alabama at Wisconsin-15.551.0W 42 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Alabama vs Georgia+2.050.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 10/5 Alabama at Vanderbilt-23.553.5L 35 - 40ON
Sat 10/12 Alabama vs South Carolina-21.050.0W 27 - 25ON
Sat 10/19 Alabama at Tennessee-3.557.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/26 Alabama vs Missouri-16.051.5W 34 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Alabama at LSU-2.557.5W 42 - 13UY
Sat 11/16 Alabama vs Mercer-42.058.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 11/23 Alabama at Oklahoma-14.047.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/30 Alabama vs Auburn-10.550.5W 28 - 14UY
Tue 12/31 Alabama vs Michigan-16.545.5L 13 - 19UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)27.848% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)21.338% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)33.845% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)17.438% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
ALA#44 (.23)45% (34)45% (52)2.75 (112)16945% (31)2224.71 (8)#8 (.05)37% (12)38% (15)37% (19)2.85 (5)66.31.42.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1227.81744.9%3.421.821430166264548%52%48%42%17%.24
ALA Defense1317.413.737.2%2.852.1 - - - - - 52%48%38%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1221.322.537.8%3.351.1 - - - - - 53%47%38%38%15%.09
ALA Offense1333.84145.2%4.711.4203901692224.853%47%45%45%16%.23

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1227:1320.941%47%5.849.31.81.15.72.3127.9
Alabama1327:3919.749%62%7.166.31.42.14.81.8029.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1248% (85)48% (21)33.4165.7513 (105).16 (55)3.32 (23)69% (95)10% (67)0.92 (89)
ALA Defense1352% (87)38% (15) - - - - -.02 (8)2.81 (38)76% (86)10% (61)0.87 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1253% (98)38% (19) - - - - -.02 (7)2.49 (6)80% (108)10% (81)0.93 (44)
ALA Offense1353% (49)45% (52)35.2168.84.841 (5).21 (28)2.75 (112)76% (44)11% (102)1.12 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1252% (47)42% (67)19.230.8263.98.613.827 (20)13 (103).31 (45)1.6 (39)31% (55)32% (69).41 (34)7% (113)1.9 (101)
ALA Defense1348% (49)37% (19) - - - - - - 16 (10).12 (22)1.6 (86)35% (21)29% (38).25 (44)8% (15)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1247% (42)38% (34) - - - - - - 8 (93).22 (63)1.7 (104)35% (19)28% (34).21 (31)6% (77)2.1 (85)
ALA Offense1347% (84)45% (31)16.224.7221.6913.716 (87)10 (63).27 (59)1.5 (78)28% (21)31% (77).3 (83)4% (20)2.3 (4)

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 10.97 #27
Auburn's Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Auburn's Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Auburn's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Auburn's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 10.97   Alabama: 24.435

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 9.5   Alabama: 25.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 24.435 #9
Alabama's Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Alabama's Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Alabama's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Alabama's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.5

Auburn's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 32
Auburn 18


Total Points: 50

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 41
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Alabama's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Alabama28Auburn14AlabamaAlabama -10.5Alabama50.5Under
202311/25Auburn24Alabama27AlabamaAlabama -14.0Auburn48.0Over
202211/26Alabama49Auburn27AlabamaAlabama -22Push51.0Over
202111/27Auburn22Alabama24AlabamaAlabama -21Auburn57.5Under
202011/28Alabama42Auburn13AlabamaAlabama -24.5Alabama65.0Under
201911/30Auburn48Alabama45AuburnAlabama -3.5Auburn51.0Over
201811/24Alabama52Auburn21AlabamaAlabama -26Alabama53.0Over
201711/25Auburn26Alabama14AuburnAlabama -5Auburn47.5Under
201611/26Alabama30Auburn12AlabamaAlabama -20Auburn47.0Under
201511/28Auburn13Alabama29AlabamaAlabama -13Alabama47.5Under
201411/29Alabama55Auburn44AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama0
201311/30Auburn34Alabama28AuburnAlabama -9.5Auburn0
201211/24Alabama49Auburn0Alabama
201111/26Auburn14Alabama42Alabama
201011/26Alabama27Auburn28Auburn
200911/27Auburn21Alabama26Alabama
200811/29Alabama36Auburn0Alabama
200711/24Auburn17Alabama10Auburn
200611/18Alabama15Auburn22Auburn
200511/19Auburn28Alabama18Auburn
200411/20Alabama13Auburn21Auburn
200311/22Auburn28Alabama23Auburn
200111/17Auburn7Alabama31Alabama
200011/17Alabama0Auburn9Auburn
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1454 Overs
Auburn1066 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 24 - 15 - 1
Road Teams10 - 142 - 91 - 51 - 4

(#27) Auburn Info
Power Rating: 10.97 #27
Offense Rating: 23.04 #40
Defense Rating: 5.80 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #17
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 40% #18
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.42 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Auburn has won 2 straight
Auburn has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Auburn Highlights
Auburn has a top Offensive Line (#21)
Auburn has a really good defense (#16)
Auburn defense is really good in red zone (#63)
Auburn has a good run defense (#3)
Auburn Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#9)
Auburn Defensive Line is very good (#6)

Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn has a bad TO Margin (#11)
Auburn Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Auburn throws a Lot of Interceptions (#1)
Auburn offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#8)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatALAAUB
OverallOver#10#21
OffenseOff#22#42
DefenseDef#7#15
Special TeamsST#49#46
PassingPass#19#55
RushingRush#12#52
Run BlockRBLK#57#34
Pass BlockPBLK#58#55
Route RunningWR Rt#16#37
TacklingTkl#4#39
Run DefenseR Def#7#10
Pass Rush DefPRush#44#27
Coverage DefCov#10#59

Rematch from Week 14
Alabama -10.5 (50.5)
Alabama won vs Auburn this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Auburn last year (28-14)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2023 (27-24)
Alabama beat Auburn in 2022 (49-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AUB | ALA
Depth Chart: AUB | ALA
Rosters: AUB | ALA
(#9) Alabama Info
Power Rating: 24.435 #9
Offense Rating: 23.39 #33
Defense Rating: 4.21 #20
Overall SP+ Rating: 25.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.9 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #8
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 82 #1
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.71 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Great in Scoring Position 2.85 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Alabama has lost 1 straight
Alabama has won 6 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Alabama Highlights
Alabama is Undefeated at Home

Alabama offense is good in red zone (#23)
Alabama offense is good on 3rd downs
Alabama has a really good defense (#44)
Alabama defense is really good in red zone (#102)
Alabama has a good run defense (#43)
Alabama has a good pass defense (#56)
Alabama Secondary is very good (#103)
Alabama defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Commits a Lot of Penalties (#91)
Alabama Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#48)


  
Auburn's OC Derrick Nix
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne19931763%27132198.6
Hank Brown274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter187120186.450
Payton Thorne11228322.531
Damari Alston5227635.336
Jeremiah Cobb2914204.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Cam Coleman37598816.263
Malcolm Simmons40451311.357
Rivaldo Fairweather31372212.043

View Auburn's Full Roster
Auburn's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalen McLeod5614821
Keldric Faulk4511771
Demarcus Riddick275321
Dorian Mausi Jr. (Tr)819312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kayin Lee320007
Jay Crawford150007
Jerrin Thompson (Tr)652105

Alabama's OC Nick Sheridan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe20531964%284416118.9
Ty Simpson142556%167006.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Milroe168726204.372
Jamarion Miller14566874.656
Justice Haynes7944875.785
Richard Young2714625.462
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ryan Williams48865818.084
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
C.J. Dippre21256012.246
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643

View Alabama's Full Roster
Alabama's DC Kane Wommack
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Deontae Lawson766204
Malachi Moore703138
Justin Jefferson617201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jihaad Campbell11912532
Quandarrius Robinson237450
Tim Keenan III408321
Tim Smith354250
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malachi Moore703138
Domani Jackson (Tr)512017
DeVonta Smith301015