Michigan at Ohio State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo (#15)Michigan Wolverines at Ohio State Buckeyes(#1)Ohio State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (12:00 PM EST)
Ohio State -20.5 (41.5) (-2000)  Open: -20.5 | 43.5
Michigan 13 - Ohio State: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 17.4 MPH
OSU 2nd straight Home Game
OSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Ohio State -26.5  (SP+ OSU -21)

Projected Score: MICH: 8 - OSU: 35 (43)
OSU Win prob: 94% | Cover: 54%
MICH Travel: 161 miles
Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 36 - 13 (39 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Michigan vs Fresno State-21.048.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan vs Texas+7.042.0L 12 - 31ON
Sat 9/14 Michigan vs Arkansas State-22.047.5W 28 - 18UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan vs USC+4.044.0W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/28 Michigan vs Minnesota-10.534.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/5 Michigan at Washington+1.539.5L 17 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan at Illinois-6.044.0L 7 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Michigan vs Michigan State-3.539.0W 24 - 17OY
Sat 11/2 Michigan vs Oregon+14.545.5L 17 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Michigan at Indiana+14.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.535.5W 50 - 6OY
Sat 11/30 Michigan at Ohio State+20.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Michigan vs Alabama+16.545.5W 19 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Ohio State vs Akron-50.558.5W 52 - 6UN
Sat 9/7 Ohio State vs Western Michigan-37.554.5W 56 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Ohio State vs Marshall-40.057.0W 49 - 14ON
Sat 9/28 Ohio State at Michigan State-23.548.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 10/5 Ohio State vs Iowa-17.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 10/12 Ohio State at Oregon-3.554.5L 31 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Ohio State vs Nebraska-25.048.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 11/2 Ohio State at Penn State-3.047.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Ohio State vs Purdue-37.555.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 11/16 Ohio State vs Northwestern-28.043.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 11/23 Ohio State vs Indiana-10.552.5W 38 - 15OY
Sat 11/30 Ohio State vs Michigan-20.541.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 12/21 Ohio State vs Tennessee-7.547.0W 42 - 17OY
Wed 1/1 Ohio State vs Oregon-2.555.5W 41 - 21OY
Fri 1/10 Ohio State vs Texas-6.551.5W 28 - 14UY
Mon 1/20 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-8.545.5W 34 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)2241% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)19.938% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)35.748% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)12.939% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2
OSU#1 (.43)52% (3)48% (19)3.37 (15)13756% (1)2114.6 (15)#2 (-.01)36% (7)39% (26)34% (8)2.05 (1)31.60.81.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense13221340.1%4.181.5152721491234.560%39%41%40%15%.1
OSU Defense1612.99.936.3%2.051.1 - - - - - 53%46%39%34%19%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1319.919.538.3%3.481.2 - - - - - 42%57%38%39%19%.13
OSU Offense1635.738.751.8%4.60.817347137211549%50%48%56%12%.43

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1328:5715.243%71%3.736.81.51.25.62.4230
Ohio State1624:2716.942%70%3.431.60.81.15.12.4228.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1360% (9)41% (101)33.3148.54.518 (78).1 (86)3 (80)84% (7)10% (73)0.91 (91)
OSU Defense1653% (90)39% (26) - - - - .01 (15)2.9 (48)67% (33)13% (16)0.87 (20)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1342% (1)38% (18) - - - - .04 (24)2.72 (24)82% (120)11% (50)0.85 (11)
OSU Offense1649% (77)48% (19)27.3136.8528 (25).31 (8)3.37 (15)76% (48)7% (7)1.11 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1339% (126)40% (92)13.822.5123.35.5911 (122)12 (85).12 (119)1.4 (131)33% (90)30% (92).26 (96)5% (51)1.7 (133)
OSU Defense1646% (35)34% (8) - - - - - - 9 (76).02 (2)1.5 (28)32% (74)30% (66).16 (13)6% (61)1.7 (6)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1357% (134)39% (42) - - - - - - 11 (52).21 (56)1.6 (71)36% (12)28% (28).27 (54)8% (10)2.2 (109)
OSU Offense1650% (60)56% (1)16.723.4210.6912.631 (6)9 (48).58 (1)1.6 (70)27% (7)37% (12).55 (6)5% (42)2.1 (41)

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 5.11  #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94  #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69  #51
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 41%  #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6  #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 5.11   Ohio State: 34.17

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 10.6   Ohio State: 31.2




Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 34.17  #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14  #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55  #1
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75  #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2  #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2  #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 35
Michigan 8


Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Ohio State 29
Michigan 14

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Ohio State 29
Michigan 15

Total Points: 44
Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 12.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Michigan9Ohio State27Ohio State -9.5Ohio State43.5Under
202411/30Ohio State10Michigan13Ohio State -20.5Michigan41.5Under
202311/25Michigan30Ohio State24Michigan -3.0Michigan47.0Over
202211/26Ohio State23Michigan45Ohio State -9Michigan56.0Over
202111/27Michigan42Ohio State27Ohio State -6.5Michigan63.5Over
201911/30Michigan27Ohio State56Ohio State -9Ohio State53.0Over
201811/24Ohio State62Michigan39Michigan -4.5Ohio State52.5Over
201711/25Michigan20Ohio State31Ohio State -12.5Michigan49.0Over
201611/26Ohio State30Michigan27Ohio State -7Michigan44.5Over
201511/28Michigan13Ohio State42Ohio State -2.5Ohio State46.0Over
201411/29Ohio State42Michigan28Ohio State -20Michigan0
201311/30Michigan41Ohio State42Ohio State -13Michigan0
201211/24Ohio State26Michigan21
201111/26Michigan40Ohio State34
201011/27Ohio State37Michigan7
200911/21Michigan10Ohio State21
200811/22Ohio State42Michigan7
200711/17Michigan3Ohio State14
200611/18Ohio State42Michigan39
200511/19Michigan21Ohio State25
200411/20Ohio State37Michigan21
200311/22Michigan35Ohio State21
200111/24Michigan20Ohio State26
200011/17Ohio State26Michigan38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio State1748 Overs
Michigan782 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 125 - 71 - 44 - 3
Road Teams12 - 127 - 53 - 44 - 1

(#43) MICH at (#1) OSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHOSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #43 #1
SP+SP+ #26 #1
Perf GradeGrade #21 #2
OffenseOff #101 #5
DefenseDef #7 #2
Spec TeamsST #38 #11
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #16 #2
Michigan Notes
(12/24) Signed QB Keene (Fresno) w Underwood
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
(9/21) Bully balled USC w/ a high school Off & great D
Michigan Injury Report
Ohio State Notes
(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished
(10/6) B2B drubbings (MSU/Iowa). Top #s, Rzone esp
Ohio State Injury Report
Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #101 #2
SuccessSuc #102 #7
ExplosiveExp #133 #15
PPAPPA #113 #2
PowerPwr #116 #1
SP+SP+ #93 #1
Pts POPPO #45 #1
HavocHav #58 #22
Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #58 #3
Run SuccessRSuc #101 #26
Run ExplRExp #91 #20
PPAExp #86 #15
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLY #80 #48
Stuff RateStuff #27 #97
TackleTak -  #12
Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
CategoryCat
MICH OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #125 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #92 #8
Pass ExplPExl #131 #28
PPAExp #119 #2
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #90 #18
F7 HavocF7 #73 #16
DB HavocDB #51 #61
Ohio State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #7
SuccessSuc #3 #28
ExplosiveExp #17 #73
PPAPPA #1 #40
PowerPwr #5 #51
SP+SP+ #3 #10
Pts POPPO #15 #36
HavocHav #14 #23
Ohio State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
OSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #19 #2
Run SuccessRSuc #19 #18
Run ExplRExp #16 #11
PPAExp #8 #24
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLY #15 #24
Stuff RateStuff #48 #61
TackleTak -  #10
Ohio State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatOSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #18 #70
Pass SuccessPSuc #1 #42
Pass ExplPExl #70 #71
PPAExp #1 #56
Pass Block/RushP Blk #97 #1
F7 HavocF7 #7 #50
DB HavocDB #42 #10
Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

MICH 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'24 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 31° - Wind: 17 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Ohio State -20.5 (41.5)
Michigan won at Ohio State this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Ohio State last year (13-10)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2023 (30-24)
Michigan beat Ohio State in 2022 (45-23)

  
MICH's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Davis Warren13320764%1198795.8
Jack Tuttle305060%306126.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kalel Mullings185948125.163
Donovan Edwards12858944.641
Alex Orji5726914.729
Jordan Marshall3112003.924
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Colston Loveland56582510.436
Tyler Morris23248210.828
Semaj Morgan2713915.131
Fredrick Moore11128111.620

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Don Martindale (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ernest Hausmann897221
Jaishawn Barham (Tr)664152
Mason Graham467431
Makari Paige451004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josaiah Stewart3313970
TJ Guy327660
Derrick Moore236442
Mason Graham467431
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zeke Berry373029
Jyaire Hill356108
Quinten Johnson431005

OSU's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Howard (Tr)30942373%401035109.5
Devin Brown112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)1941060145.586
TreVeyon Henderson1441016107.166
Will Howard (Tr)10522672.219
James Peoples4919724.018
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Smith7613151517.370
Emeka Egbuka8110111012.568
Carnell Tate52733414.140
TreVeyon Henderson27284110.575

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Caleb Downs (Tr)818116
Lathan Ransom759112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J.T. Tuimoloau61221353
Jack Sawyer599986
Cody Simon11213707
Sonny Styles10011605
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davison Igbinosun452009
Jordan Hancock482118
Cody Simon11213707