Arizona State at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Arizona State Sun Devils at Washington Huskies

Saturday, October 21st 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Washington -28 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 15 - Arizona State: 7 (Pac-12)

Sun Devils (3 - 9) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kenny Dillingham (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 18 - 32 (12 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.4 - 8.6 (#127)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH 2nd straight Home Game
ASU coming off BYE
Our Line: Washington -29 (SP+ WASH -31)
Projected Score: ASU: 14 - WASH: 43 (57)
WASH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
ASU Travel: 1121 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ASU Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-34.0	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/9	Arizona State vs Oklahoma State	+2.5	53.5	L 15 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/16	Arizona State vs Fresno State	+4.0	48.0	L 0 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Arizona State vs USC	+34.5	62.0	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Arizona State at California	+13.0	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Arizona State vs Colorado	+3.0	58.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Arizona State at Washington	+28.0	59.5	L 7 - 15	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Arizona State vs Washington State	+4.5	49.0	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Arizona State at Utah	+11.0	40.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/11	Arizona State at UCLA	+14.0	45.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Arizona State vs Oregon	+21.5	52.5	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	Arizona State vs Arizona	+12.5	48.5	L 23 - 59	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#110 (.12)	38% (112)	17.8	44% (57)	3.14 (62)	111	34% (123)	210	3.28 (108)	#112 (.25)	47% (123)	31.8	47% (105)	47% (125)	3.99 (86)	51.8	1.7	1
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	36	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	24.8	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ASU	#13 (.31)	50% (8)		52% (6)	3.35 (19)	187	47% (21)	208	4.14 (48)	#36 (.12)	42% (79)		41% (49)	44% (106)	3.64 (51)	50.1	0.6	1.4
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Offense	12	17.8	12	37.7%	3.28	1.7	19	322	111	210	3.6	43%	56%	44%	34%	18%	.12
WASH Defense	15	24.8	21.4	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ASU Defense	12	31.8	25.3	46.5%	3.99	1	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	47%	47%	16%	.25
WASH Offense	15	36	38.3	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona State	12	30:16	18.8	31%	47%	5.8	51.8	1.7	1	5.4	2.2	0	25.1
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Offense	12	43% (113)	44% (57)	31.2	111.2	3.6	17 (81)	.2 (42)	3.14 (62)	67% (107)	10% (73)	0.99 (71)
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ASU Defense	12	42% (5)	47% (105)	-	-	-	-	.2 (104)	3.53 (130)	72% (63)	10% (60)	0.99 (65)
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Offense	12	56% (23)	34% (123)	20.3	36.7	210.3	5.7	10.4	8 (128)	14 (107)	.1 (124)	1.5 (95)	34% (111)	25% (113)	.23 (102)	8% (120)	2.1 (41)
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ASU Defense	12	58% (129)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (126)	.3 (91)	1.4 (6)	30% (110)	33% (105)	.41 (109)	6% (67)	1.9 (21)
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: -7.84 #106
Arizona State's Offense Rating: 12.85 #101
Arizona State's Defense Rating: 16.76 #123
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Arizona State's 2023 Expected Record: 3.40 - 8.60
Arizona State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.9 #108
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #102
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -7.84 Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -11.9 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 17.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Arizona State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 43
Arizona State 14

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 36
Arizona State 24

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Washington 33
Arizona State 19

Total Points: 52

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/21	Washington	15	Arizona State	7	Washington -28	Arizona State	59.5	Under
2022	10/08	Arizona State	45	Washington	38	Washington -13.5	Arizona State	56.0	Over
2021	11/13	Washington	30	Arizona State	35	Arizona State -6	Washington	45.5	Over
2018	09/22	Washington	27	Arizona State	20	Washington -17.5	Arizona State	53.0	Under
2017	10/14	Arizona State	13	Washington	7	Washington -18	Arizona State	60.0	Under
2016	11/19	Washington	44	Arizona State	18	Washington -26	Push	62.5	Under
2015	11/14	Arizona State	27	Washington	17	Arizona State -3.5	Arizona State	51.0	Under
2014	10/25	Washington	10	Arizona State	24	Arizona State -3.5	Arizona State	0
2013	10/19	Arizona State	53	Washington	24	Arizona State -3	Arizona State	0
2010	10/09	Washington	14	Arizona State	24
2009	10/17	Arizona State	24	Washington	17
2008	11/08	Washington	19	Arizona State	39
2007	10/13	Arizona State	44	Washington	20
2006	10/28	Washington	23	Arizona State	26
2005	10/29	Arizona State	44	Washington	20
2002	10/26	Arizona State	27	Washington	16
2001	10/27	Arizona State	31	Washington	33
2000	10/13	Arizona State	15	Washington	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	5	1	2 Overs
Arizona State	13	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	5 - 3	2 - 2	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 11	3 - 5	1 - 3	2 - 2

(#106) ASU at (#12) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ASU	WASH
Power RatePwr	#106	#12
SP+SP+	#108	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#130	#13
OffenseOff	#132	#4
DefenseDef	#120	#42
Spec TeamsST	#117	#15
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#27	#23

Arizona State Injury Report

Washington Injury Report

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	#132	#42
SuccessSuc	#112	#99
ExplosiveExp	#90	#20
PPAPPA	#110	#72
PowerPwr	#101	#52
SP+SP+	#102	#45
Pts POPPO	#108	#80
HavocHav	#101	#89

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#68	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#127
Run ExplRExp	#71	#66
PPAExp	#42	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	#62	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#18	#130
TackleTak	-	#109

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#133	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	#123	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#95	#7
PPAExp	#124	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#27
F7 HavocF7	#73	#126
DB HavocDB	#120	#12

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ASU Def
Perf GradePerf	#4	#120
SuccessSuc	#4	#123
ExplosiveExp	#81	#30
PPAPPA	#7	#112
PowerPwr	#5	#123
SP+SP+	#4	#94
Pts POPPO	#12	#86
HavocHav	#13	#62

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#39	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#105
Run ExplRExp	#90	#65
PPAExp	#10	#104
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#130
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#129
TackleTak	-	#99

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#6
PPAExp	#11	#91
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#95
F7 HavocF7	#18	#60
DB HavocDB	#36	#67

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ASU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53°

Rematch from Week 8
Washington -28.0 (59.5)
Washington won vs Arizona State this year (15-7)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Arizona State in 2023 (15-7)
Arizona State beat Washington in 2022 (45-38)

ASU's OC Beau Baldwin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Trenton Bourguet	151	248	61%	1486	1	4	6.0
Jaden Rashada	44	82	54%	485	4	3	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	164	788	9	4.8	66
DeCarlos Brooks (Tr)	48	259	3	5.4	21
Kyson Brown	23	106	0	4.6	15
Jalin Conyers	22	92	1	4.2	39

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijhah Badger	65	713	3	11.0	65
Jalin Conyers	30	362	0	12.1	50
Cameron Skattebo (Tr)	24	286	1	11.9	66
Xavier Guillory (Tr)	21	226	1	10.8	47

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Chris Edmonds	71	0	0	2	2
Travion Brown (Tr)	53	3	1	0	1
Tate Romney (Tr)	52	4	1	4	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Prince Dorbah (Tr)	30	10	6	7	1
B.J. Green II	39	12	6	11	0
Clayton Smith (Tr)	21	6	5	7	1
Dashaun Mallory (Tr)	48	10	2	4	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Clark	50	2	0	0	9
Shamari Simmons (Tr)	73	2	1	4	6
Demetries Ford	31	2	0	0	5

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6