Texas at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Monday, January 1st 2024 (8:45 PM EST)
Texas -3.0 (61.5) (-180) Open: -4.0 | 64.5
Washington 37 - Texas: 31 (CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl)

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 33 - 15 (24 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 17.2 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas -3.5 (SP+ TEX -6)
Projected Score: TEX: 28 - WASH: 24 (47)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TEX Travel: 1770 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TEX Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.28	48%	33	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	15.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3
WASH	.37	52%	23.4	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	23.8	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	33	23.8	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28
WASH Defense	13	23.8	12.3	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	15.3	13.3	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13
WASH Offense	13	23.4	28.8	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87 Washington: 16.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 16.87 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Texas Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 15.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 28
Washington 24

Projected Total Points: 47

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	01/01	Washington	37	Texas	31	Washington	Texas -3.0	Washington	61.5	Over
2022	12/29	Washington	27	Texas	20	Washington	Texas -3	Washington	67.0	Under
2001	12/28	Texas	47	Washington	43	Texas

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	2	2	1 Overs
Texas	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0

Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Semifinal	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37
2022	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	67.0	L 20 - 27
2020	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Colorado	-9.5	63.5	W 55 - 23
2019	N/A	Texas vs Utah	+7.5	57.0	W 38 - 10
2018	Sugar Bowl	Texas vs Georgia	+12.0	59.0	W 28 - 21
2017	Texas Bowl	Texas vs Missouri	+3.0	62.0	W 33 - 16

Washington Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34
2023	CFP Semifinal	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31
2022	Alamo Bowl	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	67.0	W 27 - 20
2019	Vegas Bowl	Washington vs Boise State	-4.0	48.0	W 38 - 7
2018	Rose Bowl	Washington vs Ohio State	+5.5	55.5	L 23 - 28
2017	N/A	Washington vs Penn State	+3.0	55.0	L 28 - 35

(#11) Texas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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,

Texas has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Texas has played in 8 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 3)
Texas has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (15 - 8)

Texas Ratings Matchup Washington

Power #11

#12

Off #40

Def #15

#52

Talent #6

#41

SP+ #6

#11

SP+ Off #6

SP+ Def #10

#45

Rematch from Week 1
Texas 3.0 (61.5)
Washington won vs Texas this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Texas in 2023 (37-31)
Washington beat Texas in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 53° - Wind: 17 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | WASH
Depth Chart: TEX | WASH
Rosters: TEX | WASH

(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.87 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

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Washington has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (1 - 1)
Washington has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Washington has played in 17 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 10)

Texas's OC Kyle Flood

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	293	445	66%	3472	31	12	7.8
Maalik Murphy	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaydon Blue	134	730	8	5.4	77
Savion Red	119	687	8	5.8	69
Ky Woods	7	25	0	3.6	8
Casey Cain	1	7	0	7.0	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gunnar Helm	60	786	7	13.1	49
Jaydon Blue	42	368	6	8.8	45
Johntay Cook II	8	137	2	17.1	40
Casey Cain	7	136	2	19.4	50

View Texas's Full Roster

Texas's DC Jeff Choate

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Jerrin Thompson	65	2	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Barryn Sorrell	43	11	6	12	1
Vernon Broughton	39	5	4	5	2
Kristopher Ross	29	6	3	3	2
Jalen Catalon (Tr)	77	5	2	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jahdae Barron	67	3	1	2	10
Alfred Collins	55	6	1	1	6
Kitan Crawford	76	3	0	1	6

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	2	3	67%	39	1	0	13.0
Dylan Morris	1	1	100%	6	0	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Nixon	19	76	0	4.0	12
Germie Bernard (Tr)	4	37	1	9.3	13
Giles Jackson	4	16	1	4.0	6
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)	4	9	0	2.3	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Will Nixon	4	44	0	11.0	20

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC William Inge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Davon Banks	35	6	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5