Texas at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Monday, January 1st 2024 (8:45 PM EST)
Texas -3.0 (61.5) (-180) Open: -4.0 | 64.5
Washington 37 - Texas: 31 (CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl)

Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (20 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas -3.5 (SP+ TEX -6)
Projected Score: TEX: 30 - WASH: 26 (56)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TEX Travel: 458 miles

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
TEX Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas vs Rice	-35.5	59.0	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/9	Texas at Alabama	+7.0	53.0	W 34 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Texas vs Wyoming	-31.0	48.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/23	Texas at Baylor	-17.5	49.5	W 38 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas vs Kansas	-15.5	61.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas vs Oklahoma	-4.0	62.0	L 30 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Texas at Houston	-24.0	60.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Texas vs BYU	-20.5	48.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/4	Texas vs Kansas State	-4.0	49.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/11	Texas at TCU	-13.0	56.0	W 29 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/18	Texas at Iowa State	-7.5	43.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Texas vs Texas Tech	-16.5	53.5	W 57 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/2	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-14.0	55.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Mon 1/1	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX	.28	48%	30.5	51%	3.29	188	46%	241	4.52	.13	39%	20.3	37%	40%	3.06	47.3	1.1	1.3
WASH	.37	52%	34.1	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	18.7	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Offense	13	30.5	19.8	48.3%	4.52	1.1	23	429	188	241	5.2	48%	52%	51%	46%	12%	.28
WASH Defense	13	18.7	19.7	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TEX Defense	13	20.3	25.8	38.5%	3.06	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	37%	40%	17%	.13
WASH Offense	13	34.1	36.7	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas	13	27:18	22.8	39%	55%	6.1	47.3	1.1	1.3	6.7	2.1	3	30.4
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Offense	13	48%	51%	36.2	188	5.2	29	.22	3.29	75%	8%	0.9
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TEX Defense	13	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.91	81%	11%	0.97
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Offense	13	52%	46%	19.1	31.2	241.4	7.8	12.7	22	7	.34	1.5	28%	32%	.4	4%	2
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TEX Defense	13	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.6	35%	31%	.26	6%	2
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 913.24 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87 Washington: 16.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 16.87 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 751.12 #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 30
Washington 26

Projected Total Points: 56

Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	01/01	Washington	37	Texas	31	Texas -3.0	Washington	61.5	Over
2022	12/29	Washington	27	Texas	20	Texas -3	Washington	67.0	Under
2001	12/28	Texas	47	Washington	43

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	2	2	1 Overs
Texas	1	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0

Texas Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Semifinal	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	61.5	L 31 - 37
2022	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Washington	-3.0	67.0	L 20 - 27
2020	Alamo Bowl	Texas vs Colorado	-9.5	63.5	W 55 - 23
2019	N/A	Texas vs Utah	+7.5	57.0	W 38 - 10
2018	Sugar Bowl	Texas vs Georgia	+12.0	59.0	W 28 - 21
2017	Texas Bowl	Texas vs Missouri	+3.0	62.0	W 33 - 16

Washington Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	CFP Nat'l Title	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34
2023	CFP Semifinal	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31
2022	Alamo Bowl	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	67.0	W 27 - 20
2019	Vegas Bowl	Washington vs Boise State	-4.0	48.0	W 38 - 7
2018	Rose Bowl	Washington vs Ohio State	+5.5	55.5	L 23 - 28
2017	N/A	Washington vs Penn State	+3.0	55.0	L 28 - 35

(#11) TEX at (#12) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TEX	WASH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#11	#12
SP+SP+	#6	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#10	#13
OffenseOff	#17	#4
DefenseDef	#17	#42
Spec TeamsST	#4	#15
TalentTal	#6	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	#7	#23

Texas Injury Report

Washington Injury Report

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WASH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#17	#42
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#40	#52
SP+SP+	#6	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#25	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#56	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#3	#27
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TEX Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#4	#17
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#5	#15
SP+SP+	#4	#10
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#39	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#78

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#16
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

TEX 5 Year Profile: Improving Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Texas 3.0 (61.5)
Washington won vs Texas this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Texas in 2023 (37-31)

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Quinn Ewers	272	394	69%	3479	22	6	8.8
Maalik Murphy	40	71	56%	477	3	3	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonathon Brooks	187	1139	10	6.1	67
CJ Baxter Jr.	138	659	5	4.8	54
Jaydon Blue	65	398	3	6.1	69
Keilan Robinson	12	134	3	11.2	57

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Worthy	75	1014	5	13.5	54
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)	55	845	11	15.4	62
Ja'Tavion Sanders	45	682	2	15.2	50
Jordan Whittington	42	505	1	12.0	41

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Jeff Choate (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylan Ford	96	11	1	6	2
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Jahdae Barron	55	4	0	0	5
Michael Taaffe	45	3	0	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Hill Jr.	66	8	5	3	2
Ethan Burke	39	9	5	2	0
Byron Murphy II	26	8	5	6	0
Barryn Sorrell	34	4	3	11	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Jerrin Thompson	37	1	7
Terrance Brooks	20	0	5
Jahdae Barron	55	4	5

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6