Texas at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas logo (#1)Texas Longhorns vs Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Monday, January 1st 2024 (8:45 PM EST)
Texas -3.0 (61.5) (-180)  Open: -4.0 | 64.5
Washington 37 - Texas: 31  (CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl)

 
Longhorns (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (16 - 12)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (32 - 19 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Texas -3.5   (SP+ TEX -6)

Projected Score: TEX: 31 - WASH: 28 (59)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TEX Travel: 1770 miles, 2 hrs ahead
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas vs Rice-35.559.0W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/9 Texas at Alabama+7.053.0W 34 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 Texas vs Wyoming-31.048.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 9/23 Texas at Baylor-17.549.5W 38 - 6UY
Sat 9/30 Texas vs Kansas-15.561.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/7 Texas vs Oklahoma-4.062.0L 30 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Texas at Houston-24.060.5W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Texas vs BYU-20.548.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/4 Texas vs Kansas State-4.049.5W 33 - 30ON
Sat 11/11 Texas at TCU-13.056.0W 29 - 26UN
Sat 11/18 Texas at Iowa State-7.543.5W 26 - 16UY
Fri 11/24 Texas vs Texas Tech-16.553.5W 57 - 7OY
Sat 12/2 Texas vs Oklahoma State-14.055.0W 49 - 21OY
Mon 1/1 Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas's Schedule
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#33 (.28)45% (43)35.842% (81)3.19 (54)17648% (16)2663.84 (75)#15 (.1)36% (14)18.933% (5)38% (26)3.43 (38)47.51.11.6
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)3654% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)24.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TEX#39 (.24)46% (27)49% (16)2.95 (84)15244% (43)2414.03 (54)#3 (-.01)38% (22)42% (61)34% (7)2.57 (3)44.31.41.8
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Offense1435.831.644.7%3.841.1214421762664.949%51%42%48%14%.28
WASH Defense1524.821.444.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TEX Defense1418.919.235.9%3.431.6 - - - - - 41%58%33%38%19%.1
WASH Offense153638.352.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas1429:3121.439%63%5.947.51.11.65.42.1531
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Offense1449% (80)42% (81)35.6175.64.926 (30).21 (35)3.19 (54)64% (121)8% (33)1.13 (14)
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TEX Defense1441% (4)33% (5) - - - - -.06 (4)2.45 (5)54% (2)11% (37)0.79 (5)
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Offense1451% (50)48% (16)20.930.9266.48.612.724 (41)9 (40).35 (38)1.5 (102)30% (32)34% (32).45 (32)5% (46)2.1 (52)
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TEX Defense1458% (131)38% (26) - - - - - - 16 (9).24 (52)1.7 (92)36% (20)28% (31).27 (42)8% (15)2.1 (87)
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Texas's Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Texas's Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Texas's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Texas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas: 15.87   Washington: 16.87

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas: 24.6   Washington: 18.6




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 16.87 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Texas Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.6
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.2

Texas's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas 31
Washington 28


Total Points: 59

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202301/01Washington37Texas31WashingtonTexas -3.0Washington61.5Over
202212/29Washington27Texas20WashingtonTexas -3Washington67.0Under
200112/28Texas47Washington43Texas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington221 Overs
Texas101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 20 - 20 - 0

Texas Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023CFP Semifinal Texas vs Washington-3.061.5L 31 - 37
2022Alamo Bowl Texas vs Washington-3.067.0L 20 - 27
2020Alamo Bowl Texas vs Colorado-9.563.5W 55 - 23
2019N/A Texas vs Utah+7.557.0W 38 - 10
2018Sugar Bowl Texas vs Georgia+12.059.0W 28 - 21
2017Texas Bowl Texas vs Missouri+3.062.0W 33 - 16
Washington Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023CFP Nat'l Title Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34
2023CFP Semifinal Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31
2022Alamo Bowl Washington vs Texas+3.067.0W 27 - 20
2019Vegas Bowl Washington vs Boise State-4.048.0W 38 - 7
2018Rose Bowl Washington vs Ohio State+5.555.5L 23 - 28
2017N/A Washington vs Penn State+3.055.0L 28 - 35
  
(#11) Texas Info
Power Rating: 15.87 #11
Offense Rating: 19.42 #40
Defense Rating: 2.04 #15
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #6
Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #6
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.5 #10
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40


Texas has played in 4 CFP Playoff Games (2 - 2)
Texas has played in 8 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 3)
Texas has played in 23 Bowls since 2000 (15 - 8)

Texas Highlights
Texas is Undefeated away from Home

Texas has Really Good Running Game (#47)
Texas has a really good defense (#25)
Texas has a good run defense (#38)
Texas has a good pass defense (#24)
Texas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#31)
Texas Defensive Line is very good (#16)
Texas Secondary is very good (#26)
Texas defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Texas Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWASHTEX
OverallOver#11#8
OffenseOff#4#15
DefenseDef#34#13
Special TeamsST#15#4
PassingPass#3#19
RushingRush#26#17
Run BlockRBLK#32#44
Pass BlockPBLK#15#3
Route RunningWR Rt#1#12
TacklingTkl#93#68
Run DefenseR Def#69#5
Pass Rush DefPRush#24#15
Coverage DefCov#20#49

Rematch from Week 1
Texas 3.0 (61.5)
Washington won vs Texas this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Texas in 2023 (37-31)
Washington beat Texas in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Caesers Superdome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TEX | WASH
Depth Chart: TEX | WASH
Rosters: TEX | WASH
(#12) Washington Info
Power Rating: 16.87 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10


Washington has played in 2 CFP Playoff Games (1 - 1)
Washington has played in 6 Bowls in the last 5 years (3 - 3)
Washington has played in 17 Bowls since 2000 (7 - 10)

Washington Highlights
Washington is Undefeated away from Home
Washington is Undefeated vs Spread as Underdogs Away from Home

Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington offense is good in red zone (#25)
Washington offense is good on 3rd downs
Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington Secondary is very good (#56)
Washington defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Washington does not Sack the QB (#80)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)


  
Texas's OC Kyle Flood
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Quinn Ewers27239469%34792268.8
Maalik Murphy407156%477336.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathon Brooks1871139106.167
CJ Baxter Jr.13865954.854
Jaydon Blue6539836.169
Keilan Robinson12134311.257
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Worthy751014513.554
Adonai Mitchell (Tr)558451115.462
Ja'Tavion Sanders45682215.250
Jordan Whittington42505112.041

View Texas's Full Roster
Texas's DC Jeff Choate
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylan Ford9611162
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Jahdae Barron554005
Michael Taaffe453012
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hill Jr.668532
Ethan Burke399520
Byron Murphy II268560
Barryn Sorrell3443110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jerrin Thompson371007
Terrance Brooks200005
Jahdae Barron554005

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Penix Jr.36355665%490336118.8
Dylan Morris91464%2241116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)2331195165.153
Will Nixon3320116.121
Tybo Rogers4418404.222
Germie Bernard (Tr)134323.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rome Odunze9216401317.852
Ja'Lynn Polk691159916.892
Jalen McMillan45559512.445
Jack Westover4643349.428

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC William Inge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominique Hampton980006
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Carson Bruener802013
Alphonzo Tuputala642201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralen Trice46117152
Zion Tupuola-Fetui295420
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Dominique Hampton980006
Mishael Powell383026