Washington State at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at Washington Huskies

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (4:00 PM EST)
Washington -16 (68.5) (-675) Open: -16.0 | 68.5
Washington 24 - Washington State: 21 (Pac-12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (13 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 28 (30 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH is playing their 7th straight game
WSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Washington -16 (SP+ WASH -14)
Projected Score: WSU: 25 - WASH: 41 (66)
WASH Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
WSU Travel: 250 miles

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington State at Colorado State	-9.5	54.0	W 50 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington State vs Wisconsin	+5.0	58.0	W 31 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Washington State vs Northern Colorado	-48.0	55.0	W 64 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/23	Washington State vs Oregon State	+3.0	58.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Washington State at UCLA	+3.0	60.0	L 17 - 25	U	N
Sat 10/14	Washington State vs Arizona	-7.5	57.5	L 6 - 44	U	N
Sat 10/21	Washington State at Oregon	+19.5	60.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Washington State at Arizona State	-4.5	49.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington State vs Stanford	-13.0	59.5	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Washington State at California	+1.5	58.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Fri 11/17	Washington State vs Colorado	-4.5	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington State at Washington	+16.0	68.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#65 (.2)	45% (40)	31.7	47% (24)	2.85 (110)	84	44% (47)	336	4.17 (41)	#62 (.17)	42% (64)	28.1	45% (95)	39% (34)	4.22 (108)	49.8	1.8	1.3
WASH	#7 (.38)	53% (4)	36	54% (4)	3.37 (16)	109	53% (5)	298	4.73 (12)	#72 (.19)	44% (99)	24.8	51% (127)	40% (50)	3.93 (80)	64	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	#19 (.29)	48% (15)		47% (27)	3.1 (54)	159	49% (8)	248	4.43 (23)	#99 (.22)	46% (112)		51% (129)	43% (91)	4.18 (107)	54.8	0.8	1.7
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	12	31.7	29.7	44.9%	4.17	1.8	23	420	84	336	3	34%	65%	47%	44%	18%	.2
WASH Defense	15	24.8	21.4	44.1%	3.93	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	51%	40%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	12	28.1	31.8	41.7%	4.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	39%	15%	.17
WASH Offense	15	36	38.3	52.9%	4.73	1.1	20	407	109	298	4.5	40%	60%	54%	53%	13%	.38

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	12	29:43	22.7	42%	46%	6.1	49.8	1.8	1.3	5.2	2	3	29.4
Washington	15	25:41	20.2	48%	73%	6.8	64	1.1	1.2	3.9	1.3	3	31

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	12	34% (132)	47% (24)	28.4	84.3	3	17 (81)	.09 (98)	2.85 (110)	72% (80)	11% (96)	0.98 (80)
WASH Defense	15	41% (3)	51% (127)	-	-	-	-	.3 (130)	3.63 (132)	78% (99)	7% (126)	0.99 (66)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	12	49% (54)	45% (95)	-	-	-	-	.12 (53)	3.03 (53)	68% (39)	9% (87)	0.98 (60)
WASH Offense	15	40% (125)	54% (4)	24	108.5	4.5	26 (30)	.28 (10)	3.37 (16)	74% (71)	7% (18)	0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	12	65% (3)	44% (47)	28.4	42.6	335.7	7.9	11.8	27 (25)	9 (40)	.29 (69)	1.5 (117)	31% (58)	34% (37)	.43 (34)	6% (80)	2.1 (65)
WASH Defense	15	58% (130)	40% (50)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (9)	.14 (13)	1.4 (7)	29% (122)	30% (66)	.22 (23)	8% (12)	1.7 (2)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	12	50% (82)	39% (34)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.24 (50)	1.6 (66)	32% (59)	29% (54)	.26 (39)	6% (93)	2.1 (78)
WASH Offense	15	60% (8)	53% (5)	21.3	32.3	298	9.2	14	35 (7)	10 (56)	.49 (11)	1.5 (109)	26% (7)	41% (5)	.56 (10)	5% (36)	2 (89)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: 1.89 #51
Washington State's Offense Rating: 17.91 #54
Washington State's Defense Rating: 9.69 #68
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Washington State's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 6.20
Washington State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #47
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 1.89 Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 4.6 Washington: 18.6

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.7
Defense: 28.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Washington State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 41
Washington State 25

Total Points: 66

Based on Last 4 Games
Washington 35
Washington State 31

Total Points: 66

Based on Entire Season
Washington 34
Washington State 27

Total Points: 61

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Washington State	24	Washington	59	Washington -21	Washington	51.5	Over
2024	09/14	Washington	19	Washington State	24	Washington -4	Washington State	56.0	Under
2023	11/25	Washington	24	Washington State	21	Washington -16	Washington State	68.5	Under
2022	11/26	Washington State	33	Washington	51	Washington -2	Washington	60.0	Over
2021	11/26	Washington	13	Washington State	40	Washington -1	Washington State	45.0	Over
2019	11/29	Washington	31	Washington State	13	Washington -7.5	Washington	65.0	Under
2018	11/23	Washington State	15	Washington	28	Washington State -2.5	Washington	50.0	Under
2017	11/25	Washington	41	Washington State	14	Washington -9.5	Washington	50.5	Over
2016	11/25	Washington State	17	Washington	45	Washington -6	Washington	62.0	Push
2015	11/27	Washington	45	Washington State	10	Washington -5.5	Washington	52.5	Over
2014	11/29	Washington State	13	Washington	31	Washington -4	Washington	0
2013	11/29	Washington	27	Washington State	17	Washington -14.5	Washington State	0
2012	11/23	Washington State	31	Washington	28
2011	11/26	Washington	38	Washington State	21
2010	12/04	Washington State	28	Washington	35
2009	11/28	Washington	30	Washington State	0
2008	11/22	Washington State	16	Washington	13
2007	11/24	Washington	35	Washington State	42
2006	11/18	Washington State	32	Washington	35
2005	11/19	Washington	22	Washington State	26
2004	11/20	Washington State	28	Washington	25
2003	11/22	Washington	27	Washington State	19
2001	11/17	Washington	26	Washington State	14
2000	11/17	Washington State	3	Washington	51

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	17	8	5 Overs
Washington State	7	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	3 - 9	3 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	12 - 12	9 - 3	4 - 0	5 - 3

(#51) WSU at (#12) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	WASH
Power RatePwr	#51	#12
SP+SP+	#47	#11
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#13
OffenseOff	#87	#4
DefenseDef	#88	#42
Spec TeamsST	#78	#15
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#23

Washington State Injury Report

Washington Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	#87	#42
SuccessSuc	#40	#99
ExplosiveExp	#75	#20
PPAPPA	#65	#72
PowerPwr	#54	#52
SP+SP+	#38	#45
Pts POPPO	#41	#80
HavocHav	#94	#89

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#109	#80
Run SuccessRSuc	#24	#127
Run ExplRExp	#80	#66
PPAExp	#98	#130
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	#110	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#86	#130
TackleTak	-	#109

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#33	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	#47	#50
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#7
PPAExp	#69	#13
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#75	#27
F7 HavocF7	#96	#126
DB HavocDB	#80	#12

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#4	#88
SuccessSuc	#4	#64
ExplosiveExp	#81	#54
PPAPPA	#7	#62
PowerPwr	#5	#68
SP+SP+	#4	#75
Pts POPPO	#12	#108
HavocHav	#13	#94

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#39	#103
Run SuccessRSuc	#4	#95
Run ExplRExp	#90	#60
PPAExp	#10	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#16	#53
Stuff RateStuff	#34	#55
TackleTak	-	#117

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#34
Pass ExplPExl	#109	#66
PPAExp	#11	#50
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#17	#59
F7 HavocF7	#18	#87
DB HavocDB	#36	#93

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°

Rematch from Week 13
Washington -16.0 (68.5)
Washington won vs Washington State this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Washington State beat Washington last year (24-19)
Washington beat Washington State in 2023 (24-21)
Washington beat Washington State in 2022 (51-33)

WSU's OC Ben Arbuckle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cameron Ward	324	486	67%	3732	25	7	7.7
John Mateer	13	17	77%	225	2	1	13.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nakia Watson	89	321	4	3.6	17
Dylan Paine	25	160	1	6.4	52
Djouvensky Schlenbaker	33	146	0	4.4	20
Cameron Ward	120	122	8	1.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)	61	923	8	15.1	51
Lincoln Victor	89	860	5	9.7	50
Kyle Williams (Tr)	61	842	6	13.8	63
Carlos Hernandez	24	258	0	10.8	48

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Thornton	87	5	1	6	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4
Sam Lockett	73	3	1	1	1
Devin Richardson (Tr)	62	3	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brennan Jackson	57	12	8	9	3
Ron Stone Jr.	59	11	5	14	1
Nusi Malani	25	5	3	3	1
Jaden Hicks	76	6	3	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cam Lampkin	34	2	0	0	7
Chau Smith-Wade	35	2	0	1	6
Kapena Gushiken	36	2	1	0	5

WASH's OC Ryan Grubb (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Penix Jr.	363	556	65%	4903	36	11	8.8
Dylan Morris	9	14	64%	224	1	1	16.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)	233	1195	16	5.1	53
Will Nixon	33	201	1	6.1	21
Tybo Rogers	44	184	0	4.2	22
Germie Bernard (Tr)	13	43	2	3.3	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rome Odunze	92	1640	13	17.8	52
Ja'Lynn Polk	69	1159	9	16.8	92
Jalen McMillan	45	559	5	12.4	45
Jack Westover	46	433	4	9.4	28

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC William Inge (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Carson Bruener	80	2	0	1	3
Alphonzo Tuputala	64	2	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bralen Trice	46	11	7	15	2
Zion Tupuola-Fetui	29	5	4	2	0
Edefuan Ulofoshio	90	8	3	0	2
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	44	5	2	0	13
Dominique Hampton	98	0	0	0	6
Mishael Powell	38	3	0	2	6