Washington at USC Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Washington -3.0 (76.0) (-165) Open: -6.0 | 76.5
Washington 52 - USC: 42 (Pac-12)

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WASH 2nd straight Road Game
USC is playing their 7th straight game
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington -5.5 (SP+ WASH -10.5)
Projected Score: WASH: 35 - USC: 30 (51)
WASH Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
WASH Travel: 965 miles

Trojans (8 - 5) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (14 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (37 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.1 - 4.9 (#43)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
USC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

USC's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	USC vs San José State	-31.5	66.0	W 56 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/2	USC vs Nevada	-37.5	63.5	W 66 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	USC vs Stanford	-28.5	70.5	W 56 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	USC at Arizona State	-34.5	62.0	W 42 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/30	USC at Colorado	-22.0	74.5	W 48 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/7	USC vs Arizona	-21.0	69.5	W 43 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/14	USC at Notre Dame	+3.0	61.0	L 20 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	USC vs Utah	-7.5	51.5	L 32 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	USC at California	-10.5	67.5	W 50 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/4	USC vs Washington	+3.0	76.0	L 42 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/11	USC at Oregon	+12.5	78.5	L 27 - 36	U	Y
Sat 11/18	USC vs UCLA	-6.0	65.5	L 20 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/27	USC vs Louisville	+4.5	58.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.37	52%	23.4	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	23.8	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1
USC	.4	51%	30.2	53%	3.52	171	50%	335	4.68	.29	48%	24.1	53%	46%	4.54	58	0.5	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	23.4	15.6	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37
USC Defense	14	24.1	23.8	48.4%	4.54	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	53%	46%	17%	.29

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	23.8	35.2	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24
USC Offense	14	30.2	36.8	51.3%	4.68	0.5	26	506	171	335	5.1	44%	56%	53%	50%	11%	.4

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2
USC	14	31:54	25.7	54%	68%	6.3	58	0.5	2.1	5.5	2.9	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08
USC Defense	14	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.36	3.45	78%	10%	1.14

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9
USC Offense	14	44%	53%	33.8	171.1	5.1	30	.3	3.52	83%	7%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9
USC Defense	14	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.27	1.5	29%	36%	.42	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1
USC Offense	14	56%	50%	24.6	36.7	335.3	9.1	13.7	43	5	.48	1.6	28%	36%	.49	4%	2.2

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 USC: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 USC: 7.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.355 #23
USC's Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
USC's Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
2023 Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
USC's 2023 Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90
USC's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 35
USC 30

Projected Total Points: 51

USC Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.8

USC's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	Washington	26	USC	21	Washington	USC -2	Washington	55.0	Under
2023	11/04	USC	42	Washington	52	Washington	Washington -3.0	Washington	76.0	Over
2019	09/28	Washington	28	USC	14	Washington	Washington -12.5	Washington	60.5	Under
2016	11/12	Washington	13	USC	26	USC	Washington -10	USC	59.5	Under
2015	10/08	USC	12	Washington	17	Washington	USC -17	Washington	59.5	Under
2012	10/13	Washington	14	USC	24	USC
2011	11/12	USC	40	Washington	17	USC
2010	10/02	USC	31	Washington	32	Washington
2009	09/19	Washington	16	USC	13	Washington
2008	11/01	USC	56	Washington	0	USC
2007	09/29	Washington	24	USC	27	USC
2006	10/07	USC	26	Washington	20	USC
2005	10/22	Washington	24	USC	51	USC
2004	10/23	USC	38	Washington	0	USC
2003	10/25	Washington	23	USC	43	USC
2002	10/19	USC	41	Washington	21	USC
2001	10/06	Washington	27	USC	24	Washington

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
USC	10	1	1 Overs
Washington	7	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 8	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 9	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

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Washington Ratings Matchup USC

Power #12

#23

Off #5

Def #52

#119

Talent #41

#33

SP+ #11

#38

SP+ Off #4

SP+ Def #45

#109

Rematch from Week 10
Washington 3.0 (76.0)
Washington won at USC this year (52-42)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat USC last year (26-21)
Washington beat USC in 2023 (52-42)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | USC
Depth Chart: WASH | USC
Rosters: WASH | USC

(#23) USC Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #23
Offense Rating: 26.88 #7
Defense Rating: 14.89 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.9 #38
Offense SP+ Rating: 42.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #109
Talent Rating: 780.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #14
Expected Record: 8.10 - 4.90

Team Profile

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Washington's OC Ryan Grubb

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	2	3	67%	39	1	0	13.0
Dylan Morris	1	1	100%	6	0	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Nixon	19	76	0	4.0	12
Germie Bernard (Tr)	4	37	1	9.3	13
Giles Jackson	4	16	1	4.0	6
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)	4	9	0	2.3	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Will Nixon	4	44	0	11.0	20

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC William Inge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Davon Banks	35	6	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5

USC's OC Josh Henson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Malachi Nelson	12	17	71%	128	0	1	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	YPC	LONG
Darwin Barlow	9	62	6.9	14
Raleek Brown	9	42	4.7	14
Mario Williams	2	12	6.0	13
Malachi Nelson	2	-11	-5.5	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Williams	48	831	4	17.3	68
Dorian Singer (Tr)	53	702	1	13.2	40
Jude Wolfe	18	161	2	8.9	32
Darwin Barlow	3	31	0	10.3	17

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Cobb (Tr)	72	3	0	0	3
Jaylin Smith	58	4	0	0	2
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Romello Height	34	7	3	4	0
Korey Foreman	23	5	2	4	1
Stanley Ta'ufo'ou	30	4	2	0	0
Jamil Muhammad (Tr)	27	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Domani Jackson	51	2	0	1	7
Ceyair Wright	39	1	1	1	6
DeCarlos Nicholson	27	0	0	0	5