California at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Washington -21 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Washington 59 - California: 32  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (19 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Rain Predicted
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington -20   (SP+ WASH -18)
Projected Score: CAL: 15 - WASH: 35 (48)
WASH Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
CAL Travel: 676 miles
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (29 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.1939%25.140%2.939738%2683.81.250%22.351%49%3.9544.612
WASH.3752%23.451%3.3214652%3704.82.2444%23.847%43%3.9760.10.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1225.119.438.6%3.81119365972683.637%62%40%38%16%.19
WASH Defense1323.812.344.3%3.971 - - - - - 47%53%47%43%14%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1222.323.849.7%3.952 - - - - - 47%53%51%49%13%.2
WASH Offense1323.428.851.7%4.820.8275151463704.738%62%51%52%9%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1228:4319.335%55%5.344.6124.41.3125.8
Washington1331:2027.257%55%6.860.10.815.52.8030.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1237%40%26.596.53.610.122.9363%11%1.05
WASH Defense1347%47% - - - - .153.2271%10%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%51% - - - - .123.4277%8%0.77
WASH Offense1338%51%30.9145.64.733.33.3275%4%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1262%38%24.338.8268.16.911.1239.271.636%29%.376%2.2
WASH Defense1353%43% - - - - - - 7.361.732%34%.454%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1253%49% - - - - - - 11.321.428%28%.255%2
WASH Offense1362%52%28.744.2369.88.412.9329.441.429%45%.595%1.9

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90   Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1   Washington: 18.6




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 35
California 15

Projected Total Points: 48
Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.3

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Washington59California32WashingtonWashington -21Washington55.5Over
202210/22California21Washington28WashingtonWashington -7.5California54.5Under
202109/25Washington31California24WashingtonWashington -7.5California47.5Over
201909/07Washington19California20CaliforniaWashington -13.5California42.5Under
201810/27California12Washington10CaliforniaWashington -12California46.0Under
201710/07Washington38California7WashingtonWashington -28.5Washington55.5Under
201611/05California27Washington66WashingtonWashington -17Washington73.5Over
201509/26Washington24California30CaliforniaCalifornia -2California59.5Under
201410/11California7Washington31WashingtonCalifornia -1Washington0
201310/26Washington41California17WashingtonWashington -23Washington0
201211/02California13Washington21Washington
201109/24Washington31California23Washington
201011/27California13Washington16Washington
200912/05Washington42California10Washington
200812/06California48Washington7California
200711/17Washington37California23Washington
200610/21California31Washington24California
200509/10Washington17California56California
200411/13Washington12California42California
200311/15California54Washington7California
200210/05Washington27California34California
200109/29California28Washington31Washington
200010/20Washington36California24Washington
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington1453 Overs
California955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 53 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 125 - 52 - 23 - 3

(#75) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 662.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70

Team Profile






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California     Ratings Matchup     Washington
Power #75
#12
Off #75
#5
Def #101
#52
Talent #61
#41
SP+ #61
#11
SP+ Off #32
#4
SP+ Def #85
#45

Rematch from Week 4
Washington -21.0 (55.5)
Washington won vs California this year (59-32)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat California in 2023 (59-32)
Washington beat California in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 55° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.012


Team Information
Injuries: CAL | WASH
Depth Chart: CAL | WASH
Rosters: CAL | WASH
(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile






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California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley (Tr)21138755%25811696.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ben Finley (Tr)805100.633
Marquez Dortch (Tr)330010.015
Jeremiah Hunter1404.04
Sam Jackson (Tr)2000.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter36490113.642
Mason Starling9121013.419
Sam Jackson (Tr)263131.537
Ben Finley (Tr)21507.510

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Craig Woodson703017
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Miles Williams513011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Carlton4711981
Moso'oipala Tuitele356420
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
Myles Jernigan121121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaylin Moore (Tr)372019
Nohl Williams (Tr)511018
Craig Woodson703017

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Austin Mack2367%391013.0
Dylan Morris11100%6006.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Will Nixon197604.012
Germie Bernard (Tr)43719.313
Giles Jackson41614.06
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)4902.36
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Giles Jackson85893710.549
Germie Bernard (Tr)50794215.947
Josh Cuevas (Tr)16218113.643
Will Nixon444011.020

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC William Inge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carson Bruener1042035
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Kamren Fabiculanan541012
Austin Harnetiaux442010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alphonzo Tuputala814421
Voi Tunuufi364321
Mishael Powell382116
Davon Banks356103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)3810010
Mishael Powell382116
Carson Bruener1042035