California at Washington - 2023 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Washington HuskiesWashington logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (10:30 PM EDT)
Washington -21 (55.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Washington 59 - California: 32  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (32 - 37)
Avg Score : 30 - 33 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 7.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Washington -20   (SP+ WASH -18)

Projected Score: CAL: 19 - WASH: 39 (59)
WASH Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
CAL Travel: 676 miles
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 California at North Texas-5.053.5W 58 - 21OY
Sat 9/9 California vs Auburn+5.055.5L 10 - 14UY
Sat 9/16 California vs Idaho-14.552.5W 31 - 17UN
Sat 9/23 California at Washington+21.055.5L 32 - 59ON
Sat 9/30 California vs Arizona State-13.047.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/7 California vs Oregon State+7.551.0L 40 - 52ON
Sat 10/14 California at Utah+9.042.5L 14 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 California vs USC+10.567.5L 49 - 50OY
Sat 11/4 California at Oregon+26.561.5L 19 - 63ON
Sat 11/11 California vs Washington State-1.558.5W 42 - 39OY
Sat 11/18 California at Stanford-6.552.5W 27 - 15UY
Sat 11/25 California at UCLA+9.550.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 12/16 California vs Texas Tech+3.554.5L 14 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#61 (.21)41% (88)30.244% (59)3.39 (13)17338% (103)2184.12 (46)#87 (.21)45% (112)32.847% (103)44% (108)4.4 (118)44.82.22.2
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)3654% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)24.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1330.230.540.5%4.122.2213911732184.550%49%44%38%18%.21
WASH Defense1524.821.444.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1332.833.245%4.42.2 - - - - - 47%52%47%44%16%.21
WASH Offense153638.352.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1328:4021.439%52%5.544.82.22.24.51.9131.2
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1350% (68)44% (59)38.2173.14.526 (30).24 (23)3.39 (13)75% (60)11% (86)1.11 (20)
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1347% (32)47% (103) - - - - .14 (67)3.1 (67)73% (66)9% (98)0.98 (55)
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1349% (64)38% (103)19.833.4218.26.51122 (61)16 (121).21 (92)1.6 (49)33% (84)27% (96).33 (70)7% (97)2 (67)
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1352% (103)44% (108) - - - - - - 12 (37).3 (88)1.5 (34)27% (129)35% (121).36 (91)7% (40)1.8 (10)
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: -1.90 #75
California's Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
California's Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
California's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70
California's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
California: -1.90   Washington: 19.37

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 1.1   Washington: 18.6




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


California Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

California's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 39
California 19


Total Points: 59

Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Washington59California32WashingtonWashington -21Washington55.5Over
202210/22California21Washington28WashingtonWashington -7.5California54.5Under
202109/25Washington31California24WashingtonWashington -7.5California47.5Over
201909/07Washington19California20CaliforniaWashington -13.5California42.5Under
201810/27California12Washington10CaliforniaWashington -12California46.0Under
201710/07Washington38California7WashingtonWashington -28.5Washington55.5Under
201611/05California27Washington66WashingtonWashington -17Washington73.5Over
201509/26Washington24California30CaliforniaCalifornia -2California59.5Under
201410/11California7Washington31WashingtonCalifornia -1Washington0
201310/26Washington41California17WashingtonWashington -23Washington0
201211/02California13Washington21Washington
201109/24Washington31California23Washington
201011/27California13Washington16Washington
200912/05Washington42California10Washington
200812/06California48Washington7California
200711/17Washington37California23Washington
200610/21California31Washington24California
200509/10Washington17California56California
200411/13Washington12California42California
200311/15California54Washington7California
200210/05Washington27California34California
200109/29California28Washington31Washington
200010/20Washington36California24Washington
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington1453 Overs
California955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 53 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 125 - 52 - 23 - 3

(#75) California Info
Power Rating: -1.90 #75
Offense Rating: 15.66 #75
Defense Rating: 12.83 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #61
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #85
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 5.30 - 7.70


California has won 1 straight
California has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

California Highlights
California has a top Offensive Line (#63)

California Deficiencies
California has a bad TO Margin (#28)
California Fumbles a Lot (#42)
California throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
California pass game is really bad (#68)
California Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
California has a bad defense (#32)
California has a bad red zone defense (#41)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWASHCAL
OverallOver#11#77
OffenseOff#4#65
DefenseDef#34#76
Special TeamsST#15#101
PassingPass#3#63
RushingRush#26#22
Run BlockRBLK#32#87
Pass BlockPBLK#15#96
Route RunningWR Rt#1#38
TacklingTkl#93#102
Run DefenseR Def#69#102
Pass Rush DefPRush#24#32
Coverage DefCov#20#72

Rematch from Week 4
Washington -21.0 (55.5)
Washington won vs California this year (59-32)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat California in 2023 (59-32)
Washington beat California in 2022 (28-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CAL | WASH
Depth Chart: CAL | WASH
Rosters: CAL | WASH
(#12) Washington Info
Power Rating: 19.37 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33 #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10


Washington has won 3 straight
Washington has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (2 - 4 - 1 vs Spread)

Washington Highlights
Washington is Undefeated at Home

Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington offense is good in red zone (#25)
Washington offense is good on 3rd downs
Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington Secondary is very good (#56)
Washington defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Washington does not Sack the QB (#80)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)


  
California's OC Jake Spavital
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza15324363%170814107.0
Sam Jackson (Tr)519753%553525.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jadyn Ott2451310125.366
Isaiah Ifanse (Tr)7036575.226
Ashton Stredick4220024.841
Jaivian Thomas1811016.127
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiah Hunter63709711.350
Trond Grizzell39590515.154
Jack Endries35408211.732
Taj Davis (Tr)38393310.327

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Peter Sirmon
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Craig Woodson804104
Cade Uluave677203
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Reese (Tr)339843
Xavier Carlton506552
Cade Uluave677203
Nathan Burrell233211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Patrick McMorris (Tr)886117
Kaleb Elarms-Orr873166
Lu-Magia Hearns III270006

Washington's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Penix Jr.36355665%490336118.8
Dylan Morris91464%2241116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)2331195165.153
Will Nixon3320116.121
Tybo Rogers4418404.222
Germie Bernard (Tr)134323.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rome Odunze9216401317.852
Ja'Lynn Polk691159916.892
Jalen McMillan45559512.445
Jack Westover4643349.428

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC William Inge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominique Hampton980006
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Carson Bruener802013
Alphonzo Tuputala642201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralen Trice46117152
Zion Tupuola-Fetui295420
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Dominique Hampton980006
Mishael Powell383026